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07-29 02:40

$Corning(GLW)$ $Amphenol(APH)$  $TE Connectivity(TEL)$  ๐Ÿšจ Corning $GLW Just Posted Strong Earnings. So Why Is the Stock Getting Crushed? ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ‘€

Todayโ€™s move has caught many traders off guard.

๐Ÿ”ป Pacing for its worst single-session decline since March 2020

๐Ÿ“Š RSI has fallen to 28, entering oversold territory

๐Ÿ“ˆ Options volume surged to roughly 3x normal levels within the first hour, with traders aggressively buying both downside puts and upside August calls.

Despite the sell-off:

๐ŸŸข EPS: $0.78 vs $0.75 expected

๐ŸŸข Revenue: $4.74B vs $4.63B expected

CEO Wendell Weeks remained highly confident:

โ€œWe continue to deepen our long-term customer partnerships with industry leaders, most recently with Amazon $AMZN and NVIDIA $NVDA. These partnerships provide strong proof points supporting our exciting Springboard Plan.โ€

Corning delivered one of its strongest quarters in years.

Core sales jumped 17% to $4.74B while Core EPS climbed 30% to $0.78 as demand for AI networking infrastructure accelerated. Even more importantly, Amazon and NVIDIA committed billions through long-term agreements that include significant customer prepayments, reducing Corningโ€™s expansion risk while supporting future capacity growth.

Management also raised its long-term Springboard Plan again, now targeting a remarkable $40B annualised sales run rate by 2030.

๐Ÿ‚ Bull Case

โœ… AI infrastructure demand is exploding.

Optical Communications revenue surged 32% YoY while Enterprise Networks jumped an incredible 65%. Amazon and NVIDIA partnerships strengthen Corningโ€™s position as one of the essential suppliers powering next-generation AI data centres.

โœ… Margins continue expanding.

Core operating margin improved to 20.9%, while gross margin reached 39.6%. Higher-margin AI connectivity products continue improving profitability.

โœ… Cash flow exploded.

Adjusted Free Cash Flow reached $1.42B, helped by approximately $880M of customer deposits and incentives. This allows Corning to expand production while limiting balance sheet risk.

โœ… Long-term visibility keeps improving.

Management now expects approximately 19% annual sales growth through 2030, an unusually ambitious outlook for an industrial manufacturer.

๐Ÿป Bear Case

โš ๏ธ Solar profitability remains weak.

Solar revenue almost doubled, yet the segment still posted a loss because of maintenance shutdowns and equipment upgrades. Investors want proof that future capacity can generate sustainable profits.

โš ๏ธ Legacy businesses remain soft.

Glass Innovations grew just 1% while Life Sciences revenue fell 15% and swung to a $21M loss. Outside AI infrastructure, several businesses remain under pressure.

โš ๏ธ Expectations may have become too high.

After an enormous run into earnings, investors may simply be locking in profits despite another excellent report. When expectations become elevated, even strong beats can trigger selling.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Highlights

๐ŸŸข Optical Communications revenue: +32% YoY

๐ŸŸข Enterprise Networks revenue: +65% YoY

๐ŸŸข Core operating margin: 20.9%

๐ŸŸข Gross margin: 39.6%

๐ŸŸข Operating Cash Flow: $1.72B

๐ŸŸข Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.42B

๐ŸŸข Optical Communications net income: $438M, up 77% YoY

๐Ÿ“ˆ Guidance

Q3 Core Sales:

$4.9B to $5.0B

Q3 Core EPS:

$0.85 to $0.89

2030 Springboard Plan:

Annualised sales run rate increased to $40B.

โš–๏ธ Verdict: ๐ŸŸข๐ŸŸข

The earnings themselves were difficult to fault.

AI networking demand continues accelerating, profitability is improving, cash generation has surged, and the Amazon and NVIDIA partnerships significantly strengthen long-term growth visibility.

Todayโ€™s decline appears driven more by valuation, profit-taking and elevated expectations than any deterioration in the underlying business.

If the AI infrastructure investment cycle continues for several more years, Corning looks increasingly like one of the highest-quality โ€œpicks and shovelsโ€ companies enabling the AI revolution.

๐Ÿ‘‰โ“Do you think todayโ€™s sell-off is simply profit-taking after a strong run, or is the market signalling that AI infrastructure stocks have become priced for perfection?

๐Ÿ“ข Donโ€™t miss out! Like, Repost, Comment and Follow me for exclusive setups, cutting-edge trends and insights that move markets ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ Iโ€™m obsessed with hunting down the next big movers and sharing strategies that crush it. Letโ€™s outsmart the market, share ideas and stack those gains together! ๐Ÿ€

Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€๐Ÿ€

๐Ÿ’ฐStocks to watch today?(29 July๏ผ‰
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