$Corning(GLW)$ $Amphenol(APH)$ $TE Connectivity(TEL)$ ๐จ Corning $GLW Just Posted Strong Earnings. So Why Is the Stock Getting Crushed? ๐๐
Todayโs move has caught many traders off guard.
๐ป Pacing for its worst single-session decline since March 2020
๐ RSI has fallen to 28, entering oversold territory
๐ Options volume surged to roughly 3x normal levels within the first hour, with traders aggressively buying both downside puts and upside August calls.
Despite the sell-off:
๐ข EPS: $0.78 vs $0.75 expected
๐ข Revenue: $4.74B vs $4.63B expected
CEO Wendell Weeks remained highly confident:
โWe continue to deepen our long-term customer partnerships with industry leaders, most recently with Amazon $AMZN and NVIDIA $NVDA. These partnerships provide strong proof points supporting our exciting Springboard Plan.โ
Corning delivered one of its strongest quarters in years.
Core sales jumped 17% to $4.74B while Core EPS climbed 30% to $0.78 as demand for AI networking infrastructure accelerated. Even more importantly, Amazon and NVIDIA committed billions through long-term agreements that include significant customer prepayments, reducing Corningโs expansion risk while supporting future capacity growth.
Management also raised its long-term Springboard Plan again, now targeting a remarkable $40B annualised sales run rate by 2030.
๐ Bull Case
โ AI infrastructure demand is exploding.
Optical Communications revenue surged 32% YoY while Enterprise Networks jumped an incredible 65%. Amazon and NVIDIA partnerships strengthen Corningโs position as one of the essential suppliers powering next-generation AI data centres.
โ Margins continue expanding.
Core operating margin improved to 20.9%, while gross margin reached 39.6%. Higher-margin AI connectivity products continue improving profitability.
โ Cash flow exploded.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow reached $1.42B, helped by approximately $880M of customer deposits and incentives. This allows Corning to expand production while limiting balance sheet risk.
โ Long-term visibility keeps improving.
Management now expects approximately 19% annual sales growth through 2030, an unusually ambitious outlook for an industrial manufacturer.
๐ป Bear Case
โ ๏ธ Solar profitability remains weak.
Solar revenue almost doubled, yet the segment still posted a loss because of maintenance shutdowns and equipment upgrades. Investors want proof that future capacity can generate sustainable profits.
โ ๏ธ Legacy businesses remain soft.
Glass Innovations grew just 1% while Life Sciences revenue fell 15% and swung to a $21M loss. Outside AI infrastructure, several businesses remain under pressure.
โ ๏ธ Expectations may have become too high.
After an enormous run into earnings, investors may simply be locking in profits despite another excellent report. When expectations become elevated, even strong beats can trigger selling.
๐ Key Highlights
๐ข Optical Communications revenue: +32% YoY
๐ข Enterprise Networks revenue: +65% YoY
๐ข Core operating margin: 20.9%
๐ข Gross margin: 39.6%
๐ข Operating Cash Flow: $1.72B
๐ข Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.42B
๐ข Optical Communications net income: $438M, up 77% YoY
๐ Guidance
Q3 Core Sales:
$4.9B to $5.0B
Q3 Core EPS:
$0.85 to $0.89
2030 Springboard Plan:
Annualised sales run rate increased to $40B.
โ๏ธ Verdict: ๐ข๐ข
The earnings themselves were difficult to fault.
AI networking demand continues accelerating, profitability is improving, cash generation has surged, and the Amazon and NVIDIA partnerships significantly strengthen long-term growth visibility.
Todayโs decline appears driven more by valuation, profit-taking and elevated expectations than any deterioration in the underlying business.
If the AI infrastructure investment cycle continues for several more years, Corning looks increasingly like one of the highest-quality โpicks and shovelsโ companies enabling the AI revolution.
๐โDo you think todayโs sell-off is simply profit-taking after a strong run, or is the market signalling that AI infrastructure stocks have become priced for perfection?
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC ๐๐๐๐๐
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