Fed Tracker

Fed policy is altering the market math for investors.

Latest News

2023-07-27
Tiger Chart | Review of the Current Tightening Cycle
Tiger Chart | Review of the Current Tightening Cycle
2023-08-24
Powell's Jackson Hole Speech Could Deliver The Final Blow To The Market
Powell's Jackson Hole Speech Could Deliver The Final Blow To The Market
2023-08-21
Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole: Expect Push-back on Rate Cuts, Bond Yield Comments
Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole: Expect Push-back on Rate Cuts, Bond Yield Comments
2023-08-18
Powell to Speak Aug. 25 at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
Powell to Speak Aug. 25 at Jackson Hole Economic Symposium
2023-08-16
Fed Minutes Set to Show Only a Minority Saw End of Tightening
Fed Minutes Set to Show Only a Minority Saw End of Tightening
2023-07-27
It's Possible Federal Reserve Will Hike at September Meeting: Powell Press Conference
It's Possible Federal Reserve Will Hike at September Meeting: Powell Press Conference
2023-07-27
Fed Raises Rates Another 25 Basis Points in July That Takes Interest Rates to Highest Level in More Than 22 Years
Fed Raises Rates Another 25 Basis Points in July That Takes Interest Rates to Highest Level in More Than 22 Years
2023-07-26
Fed Poised to Hike Rates As Markets Anticipate Inflation Endgame
Fed Poised to Hike Rates As Markets Anticipate Inflation Endgame
2023-07-26
Fed Set to Raise Rates to 22-Year High and Decide If It's Done Hiking
Fed Set to Raise Rates to 22-Year High and Decide If It's Done Hiking
2023-07-24
Federal Reserve to Resume Rate Hikes After June Pause
Federal Reserve to Resume Rate Hikes After June Pause
2023-07-21
Fed Meeting Preview: Interest Rates Expected To Surge To 22-Year Highs, But Communication On Future Steps Is Key
Fed Meeting Preview: Interest Rates Expected To Surge To 22-Year Highs, But Communication On Future Steps Is Key
2023-07-21
Ex-Fed Chair Bernanke Says Next Fed Interest Rate Hike May Be Its Last
Ex-Fed Chair Bernanke Says Next Fed Interest Rate Hike May Be Its Last
2023-07-19
Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say
Fed's Last Rate Hike Coming at July Meeting, Economists Say
2023-07-12
US June CPI a Welcome Disinflation Signal for Fed
US June CPI a Welcome Disinflation Signal for Fed
2023-07-12
Traders Bet Slowing Inflation Will Let Fed Pause After July Hike
Traders Bet Slowing Inflation Will Let Fed Pause After July Hike
2023-07-11
Fed's Williams Says Central Bank Is Not Done With Rate Rises
Fed's Williams Says Central Bank Is Not Done With Rate Rises

User Discussion

avatarBarcode
09-18
$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  🎯📊 The Fed’s Next Move: Pattern Seeds, Dollar Doldrums, and Market Volatility! 📊🎯 Tēnā koe i tēnei ahiahi everyone!  🚨📰🗞️🅱️arcode’s Broader Market Update for the 18th of September; NZ 🇳🇿 time.       Tomorrow’s trading is like preparing your garden for a storm⛈️🌀, you’ve got to tend to every detail or risk your portfolio getting swept away. With the Fed decision looming, we’re gearing up for volatility, so buckle in! 🌪️🌩️ 💲 US Dollar: Drifting in the Doldrums The US dollar is acting like that plant in your garden that’s been overwatered....drooping under pressure. Currently trading near one-year lows, the dollar is facing a perf
2518
avatarBarcode
09-18
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Are we going to see a run into close? Will they leave it like this looking at maybe a head and shoulders and we are left leaning into a Call and bounce into open tomorrow? It's trying with a little bounce. Looks like a Phase B or the start of Phase C? In a bearish pattern right now 🔻 Chop, chop, chop. What will Powell do? I'd love this to be a Wyckoff Phase B. Maybe have a chance with 20 September Call SP 5700? Thoughts anyone?  @twaity @TigerPM @Tiger_comments @TigerPicks
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avatarBarcode
09-16
$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🚨📰🗞️ Source the Kobeissi Letter BREAKING: Prediction markets are now pricing-in a 48% chance of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut this week. Odds of a 50 basis point rate cut have gone from 2% to 48% in just 5 days, according to @Kalshi. This will be the first Fed policy decision without a 90%+ consensus since 2020. What should the Fed do this week? In 111 years of the Fed’s history, most of the time when they started lowering interest rates it was bad news for markets. In other words, in a typical economic cycle, the US central bank begins to cut rates into a recession. Is it different this time? @Tiger_co
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avatar芝士虎
08-20

Rate Cut Trading topic | How to seize investment opportunities as Fed rate cuts become imminent

Hi Tigers；Recently, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have been intensifying. The "Super Macro Week" combined with the "Super Earnings Week" has triggered a series of black swan events, leading to severe turbulence in global capital markets. As investors, how should we position ourselves?In July, U.S. employment data showed widespread weakness, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by only two-thirds of the expected amount, and the unemployment rate climbing further to 4.3%. The U.S. earnings season has seen frequent disappointments, with Intel’s revenue, earnings, and guidance all collapsing, resulting in a 30% drop in its stock price. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have escalated once again. Instantly, a confluence of unfavorable factors has heightened fears of a
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Rate Cut Trading topic | How to seize investment opportunities as Fed rate cuts become imminent
avatarJacksNiffler
01-16

Fed slows tapering to avoid 'disturbances'

The Federal Reserve is considering slowing down its balance sheet reduction, a move that could impact financial markets. The focus is on slowing rather than ending the quantitative tightening policy.🏦 The Federal Reserve officials are set to discuss the slowdown of quantitative tightening at this month's policy meeting.💰 Despite halting interest rate hikes last summer, the Fed continues to tighten monetary policy by reducing its holdings of bonds and assets by about $800 billion per month.📈 Concerns arise as the rapid pace of balance sheet reduction may deplete reserve funds quickly, leading to potential market disruptions.💸 Signs indicate a rapid decrease in cash surplus in the money markets, with overnight reverse repo balances declining faster than expected.🏦 The current pace of balance
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Fed slows tapering to avoid 'disturbances'
avatarMaxGain
2023-08-25
Just stop fudging around and put in another 2% more on the current interest and to hold it out until end H1 to put the inflation concern into the deep freezers and off the cliff for good. A benefit from this would be another great opportunity for greedy fat investment entities to buy into the market while rooting out the weak and shitty struggling businesses.
Powell's Jackson Hole Speech Could Deliver The Final Blow To The Market
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avatarTyrchrf
2023-08-24
Final blowjob for the market 
Sorry, the original content has been removed
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avatarSunshinekim
2023-07-27
Sigh.  Borrowing becomes more diff. Businesses will continue to be squeezed.  
Fed Raises Rates Another 25 Basis Points in July That Takes Interest Rates to Highest Level in More Than 22 Years
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avatarnerdbull1669
2023-07-27
It has been a good plan so far to be on healthcare and biosciences stocks. Inflation not at 2%, expect more rate hike at higher rate maybe The longer it drag to bring it down to 2%, opportunity cost higher.
It's Possible Federal Reserve Will Hike at September Meeting: Powell Press Conference
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avatarMIe
2023-07-26
Fed Powell Conference today n hike end game 
Fed Set to Raise Rates to 22-Year High and Decide If It's Done Hiking
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