Macro Trend

Monetary policy, various types of price indices... Here is everything about the macro economy!

Macro Analysis on GOLD

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading strategies with u!1. $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ Outlook for this week Monday (May 6): international gold opening first narrow pressure running, the dollar index by last Friday's more obvious bottoming out of the power to stop the performance of its gold prices to cause some pressure. Overall, the dollar index daily chart is still in the middle of the rail and short-term averages below, with chart indicators to maintain the short signal, short-term trend of the short side is still dominant, the weekly chart stops at the 10-week average, while the middle rail line is also the support position of the uptrend in recent months, so in the middle of the rail line is not broken, the dollar index is al
Macro Analysis on GOLD
avatarInvest In Assets
05-06 10:10

How to Invest in Value-creating Businesses?

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some trading strategies with you!1.The Stock $Paycom(PAYC)$ shares have returned 28.8% annually since its inception in 2014. However, over the last 5 years, the returns have been flat.ImagePaycom is a founder-led Software-as-a-service Business in the US The stock is on a -70% pullback from its ATHs The business has great fundamentals and promising prospects Let's take a deeper look:Image2. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ has made 3 of the top 5 acquisitions of all time. YouTube bought for $1.65B now brings in $32B of revenue annually. Android bought for $50M is used by more than 3.6B devices worldwide Incredible!Image3.Newton’s Laws of Motion states: “A body in motion remains in mo
How to Invest in Value-creating Businesses?
avatarKYHBKO
05-05 16:48

Preview of the week starting 06 May 2024 - can Tyson hit a new peak?

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (06 May 2024) Notable Highlights The 10-year note auction and 30-year bond auction are references needed for the servicing of the US Federal deficit. Should there be insufficient take-up of these assets, the US government would need to turn to money printing that is inflationary. This would also add to the burden of debt. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look into as they ponder the next interest rate decision Crude Oil Inventories can be seen as forward indicators of market demand and consumption. If the trend of excess inventories continues, demand erosion can lead to reduced production & weakening consumer spendi
Preview of the week starting 06 May 2024 - can Tyson hit a new peak?
avatarKYHBKO
05-05 17:02

My Investing Muse (06May24) - layoffs, debts, banking, reversal?

My Investing Muse (06May24) Layoffs & Closure news Google lays off staff from Flutter, Dart and Python teams weeks before its developer conference - TechCrunch Google is laying off at least 200 employees from its “Core” organization, which includes key teams and engineering talent. As part of the unit’s reorganization, the company will hire corresponding roles in Mexico and India. - CNBC Layoffs in Logistics From X user Craig Fuller: Raven shuts over the road and dedicated trucking fleet. In the trucking bloodbath in 2019, the bankruptcies surged starting in Q2. Seeing people lose their jobs is very unfortunate. But the trucking industry is built on the same economic principles that drive every capital system: supply and demand. We have too much supply. We need to eliminate the
My Investing Muse (06May24) - layoffs, debts, banking, reversal?
avatarmarketpre
05-06 15:16
$MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ 214,000    Any new actor worldwide can just try to buy 1% of  all ever to-be-mined $CME Bitcoin - main 2405(BTCmain)$ Wonder what that will do to the price :) And yes, a premium over bitcoin.  So what?In the long run it doesn't matter at all. Supply and demand.[Happy][Happy][Happy]Not everyone needs or wants a crypto wallet, but participates in another way. With the other stock exchange tickers in their securities file.
avatarYNWIM
05-06 14:53
$Starbucks(SBUX)$ My biggest issue is that the management projected double digit revenue growth for Q1, and they came in negative.That shows me that they aren't very good at forecasting the needs of the company. 73, 68, and 55 are the next levels of major support.I won't be surprised if we test all three.[LOL][LOL][LOL]
avatarKYHBKO
05-05 16:52

Economic Calendar - Federal bonds and Notes for sale this week

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (06 May 2024) Notable Highlights The 10-year note auction and 30-year bond auction are references needed for the servicing of the US Federal deficit. Should there be insufficient take-up of these assets, the US government would need to turn to money printing that is inflationary. This would also add to the burden of debt. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look into as they ponder the next interest rate decision Crude Oil Inventories can be seen as forward indicators of market demand and consumption. If the trend of excess inventories continues, demand erosion can lead to reduced production &
Economic Calendar - Federal bonds and Notes for sale this week
avatartomthetrader1
05-04 14:12

.SPX: What's Going on Next?

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has remained range bound with some good volatility between 5000-5150, trading near the upper range before markets open today. While it may not immediately look like it due to the recent volatility— the index has stalled after the initial bounce. If my speculation is right, price will fail to advance much further from here. My thought remains unchanged— this relief rally has effectively convinced participants the pullback has ended.Follow me to learn more about analysis!!https://twitter.com/tomthetrader1/status/1786374878494630210
.SPX: What's Going on Next?

Technical Analysis on GC_F& VIX

Hello everyone! Today I want to share some macro analysis with you! Hope it can help you!1.Intraday will focus on the U.S. first-quarter labor cost index quarterly rate, the U.S. February FHFA house price index monthly rate, the U.S. February S&P/CS20 big city house price index annual rate, the U.S. April Chamber of Commerce Consumer Confidence Index and other data, the market is expected to be better than the previous value of the overall, and will cause a marked suppression of the price of gold, and vice versa, will also go to the pressure of the shock, and thus the gold price today lower probability of closing down. $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $Gold - main 2406(GCmain)$ 2.
Technical Analysis on GC_F& VIX
avatarKYHBKO
04-28

Preview of the Week starting 29Apr24 - Coinbase rally?

Public Holidays There are no holidays in America for the coming week. Singapore and Hong Kong celebrate Labor Day on 1st May 2024. China celebrates Labor Day from 1st to 3rd May 2024. Economic Calendar (29 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights China will review its manufacturing PMI in the coming week. This will be a good indicator of the growth of its manufacturing sector. US will be releasing its Chicago PMI data. This will be an important indicator of how the Chicago market is growing or shrinking. CB consumer confidence data will also be released in the coming week. The forecast stands at 104.5 which indicates growing confidence. The US will share its ADP non-farm employment change in the coming week. This is good data coming to employment and one that the Federal Reserve will consider as pa
Preview of the Week starting 29Apr24 - Coinbase rally?
avatarKYHBKO
04-21

Preview of the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - could Tesla dip after its earnings?

Public Holidays There are no holidays in Singapore, Hong Kong, China and America for the coming week. Economic Calendar (22 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights New home sales will bring insight into the current status of US real estate. S&P global US manufacturing PMI will bring about an understanding of the manufacturing outlook for the US. S&P Global Services PMI will bring an understanding of services production for the US The most watched economic data in the coming week will be the PCE price index. This is the main index that the Federal Reserve used as a reference for inflation in America. Should this continue to trend upwards, it will be more difficult for the Federal Reserve to impose a fat pivot or a drop in interest rates. US GDP results will also be released in the coming we
Preview of the week starting 22 Apr 2024 - could Tesla dip after its earnings?
avatarKYHBKO
04-28

My Investing Muse (29Apr24) - layoffs, inflation, news, investing

My Investing Muse (29Apr24) Layoff & closure news Some are laid off to trim the excess. Some are laid off to reduce costs. Some are laid off due to innovations and improvements. Some are laid off due to falling demand. The last one would be of most concern for the economy. Theft and organized crime were the reasons why Target in October 2023 closed nine stores in four states. Walgreens in early 2022 and 2021 closed seven stores in San Francisco because of crime. Walmart in 2023 closed 24 stores in 14 states. - The Street Layoffs under Swiss banking giant UBS's cost-cutting programme announced after its takeover of Credit Suisse will take place in five waves this year starting in June, the newspaper SonntagsZeitung reported on Sunday. - Reuters A recent string of mass layoffs acros
My Investing Muse (29Apr24) - layoffs, inflation, news, investing

EveSuper data week is coming!

Hello eveSuper data week is coming! This week's important events and data preview: the Fed debut, NFP 1. Monday: ① data: the euro zone in April industrial sentiment index, consumer confidence index final value, economic sentiment index; Germany in April CPI preliminary monthly rate; U.S. April Dallas Fed business activity index. ② Events: domestic refined oil will open a new round of price adjustment window. ③ Japan's Tokyo Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Japan's March unemployment rate; China's April official manufacturing PMI; China's April Caixin manufacturing PMI; France's preliminary annual GDP rate in the first quarter; France's monthly CPI rate in April; Switzerland's April KOF economic leading indicators; Germany's April quarterly unemployment, unemployment rate; Germany
EveSuper data week is coming!
avatarKYHBKO
04-21

My Investing Muse (22Apr24) - layoffs, PCE, SPR, Middle East, Magnificent 7 earnings

My Investing Muse (22Apr24) Layoffs & Closure news Walgreens Boots Alliance is laying off another round of workers, marking the fourth time the struggling retailer has had to do corporate personnel cuts within a year. - Supermarket News Tesla is planning to lay off 300 temporary workers at its German plant near Berlin as part of plans to cut global staff, Business Insider reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. - Reuters Citibank laid off 2,000 employees after a reorganization. Headcount at Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and PNC Financial, declined by about 2,000 jobs combined in the three months ended March 31. - Reuters Morgan Stanley Is Planning Biggest China Job Cuts in Years. About 50 investment bankers in APAC ex-Japan may lose jobs. China, HK bankers accou
My Investing Muse (22Apr24) - layoffs, PCE, SPR, Middle East, Magnificent 7 earnings

Understanding Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE): A Comprehensive Guide

Introduction: Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) are a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into consumer spending behavior, which drives a significant portion of economic activity. This comprehensive guide aims to delve into what PCE entails, why it matters, how it's calculated, and its implications for the economy. What are Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE)? Personal Consumption Expenditures represent the total value of goods and services purchased by individuals and households within a country over a specific period. It encompasses a wide range of expenditures, including durable goods (cars, appliances), nondurable goods (food, clothing), and services (healthcare, transportation). Importance of PCE: PCE serves as a vital gauge of consumer spending patterns, which
Understanding Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE): A Comprehensive Guide
avatarKYHBKO
04-28

Economic Calendar of the week 29Apr24 - Fed interest rate decision and many other data

Public Holidays There are no holidays in America for the coming week. Singapore and Hong Kong celebrate Labor Day on 1st May 2024. China celebrates Labor Day from 1st to 3rd May 2024. Economic Calendar (29 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights China will review its manufacturing PMI in the coming week. This will be a good indicator of the growth of its manufacturing sector. US will be releasing its Chicago PMI data. This will be an important indicator of how the Chicago market is growing or shrinking. CB consumer confidence data will also be released in the coming week. The forecast stands at 104.5 which indicates growing confidence. The US will share its ADP non-farm employment change in the coming week. This is good data coming to employment and one that the Feder
Economic Calendar of the week 29Apr24 - Fed interest rate decision and many other data
avatarKYHBKO
04-16

when the intent of the Iranian attack was not to win ~ not investing article

Iran and Israel conflict It started with the “arrest” of MSC Aries at the Straits of Hormuz. BREAKING: IRAN BANS ALL SHIPS LINKED TO ISRAEL “Starting today, all vessels linked to the Zionist regime are banned from operating in the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf.Any such vessels found in these waters will be confiscated.” This thread means that all Israeli-linked vessels would not be able to travel past the Oman Sea and the Persian Gulf. This would be taken seriously by the shipping industry, causing further disruptions to the regional supply chain. Vessels will be forced to divert, leading to an increase in supply chain lead time and cost. Missiles and Drones were launched The screenshot was taken from the NBC news report. Iran launched its retaliation after Israel bombed its embassy in
when the intent of the Iranian attack was not to win ~ not investing article
avatarKYHBKO
04-06

Preview of the week starting 08 Apr 2024 - Q1/2024 earnings starts - will BlackRock sink?

Public Holidays Singapore celebrates Eid al-Fitr (Hari Raya Puaa) on 10 Apr 2024 (Wed). There are no public holidays in Hong Kong, China and America in the coming week. Economic Calendar (08 Apr 2024) Notable Highlights The most watched data in the coming week from the economic calendar will be CPI. The CPI is also known as the inflation indicator. A forecast of 3.4% CPI year on year is on the cards. Should the figure turn out to be higher, the market is expected to turn bearish and vice versa. There will be updates of 10-year note auctions and 30-year bond auctions. These are part of the Federal Reserve funding the spending deficit. Initial jobless claims will also be a key macro data that the Federal Reserve will look into as they ponder the next interest rate decision Crude Oil Inve
Preview of the week starting 08 Apr 2024 - Q1/2024 earnings starts - will BlackRock sink?
avatarKYHBKO
04-14

My investing muse (15Apr24) - Layoffs, closures, Iran & CPI

My Investing Muse (15Apr24) Layoffs & Closure news ConvergeOne blamed rising interest rates and a downgraded credit rating as reasons for its recent financial struggles. The company has $1.8 billion in debt, and it reported $1.525 billion in revenue for 2023. - Reuters A popular West Coast pizza chain Mod Pizza shuttered five of its California locations shortly before the state enacted its new minimum wage law this month that raises fast-food workers’ pay from $16 an hour to $20. - NYPost More layoffs hit logistics which is the blood of the economy. over 1300 layoffs hit logistics companies across US - FreightWaves The Associated Press (AP) reported last week that 614 Apple employees were notified in late March that they would be laid off effective May 27. - HCAMAG The job elimination
My investing muse (15Apr24) - Layoffs, closures, Iran & CPI
avatarKYHBKO
03-24

Preview of the week starting 25 Mar 24 - Is Carnival hitting another peak?

Public Holidays This is a short week with Singapore, the USA, and Hong Kong celebrating Good Friday on 29 March 2024. Here is wishing all Christians a blessed Good Friday. The Significance of Good Friday and Easter in Christian Tradition Economic Calendar (25 Mar 2024) Notable Highlights Core PCE would be the most watched macro data for the coming week. This is the main indicator news by the Federal Reserve to understand inflation in the economy. Should the PCE index outcome be unexpected, this should lead to some volatility in the market. New home sales is a good reference pertaining to the real estate industry. CB Consumer Confidence and durable good orders will share insight into the sentiments of consumers in the US economy. Chicago PMI will be a good indicator of the manufacturing
Preview of the week starting 25 Mar 24 - Is Carnival hitting another peak?