25 bps is Certain? How Will Rate Cut Dot Plot Affect 2025?

The Federal Reserve will announce a rate decision on Wednesday, Dec. 18. It's expected December will cut another 25 bps. However, economists are now expecting fewer cuts in 2025. The keypoint of this meeting is the dot plot about 2025 rate cuts. ------------------------- How do you expect the final rate cut this year? Will fewer rate cuts in 2025 force the market decline?

avatarTiger_Academy
12-18 17:01

【Weekly Wealth Trends】The Dow’s 9-Day Losing Streak: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?

Hi Tigers!As of Tuesday, the Dow Jones Index has experienced a 9-day losing streak, marking its longest decline in nearly 40 years. From a technical perspective, the Dow appears heavily oversold in the short term, and the TD Sequential Indicator on the daily chart is signaling a potential reversal.So, is now the time to buy the dip in the Dow Jones or related sectors?Hold on! Let’s first take a look at two major events happening this week:1.Fed Rate Decision on WednesdayThis Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its final rate decision for the year. Officials are likely to approve a third consecutive rate cut while hinting at a more cautious approach to rate cuts next year.Recent data suggests the economy has performed better than officials expected during their September meeting. T
【Weekly Wealth Trends】The Dow’s 9-Day Losing Streak: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?
avatarDerivTiger
12-18 11:45

Tiger Weekly Insights:2024/12/09—2024/12/15

I. Performance and Valuation of Global Equity Indices Data Source: Bloomberg, Complied by Tiger Brokers II. Key Market Themes i. Positive Signals from China's High-Level Meeting: How to Position Greater China Assets? On December 9, the Chinese Communist Party's Politburo convened a meeting to analyze and discuss economic work for 2025. Compared to previous sessions, this meeting adopted a more positive tone, introducing the term “extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments” for the first time. Moreover, in the overall agenda, “expanding domestic demand comprehensively” was prioritized over “building a modern industrial system,” indicating that addressing “how to expand domestic demand and tackle insufficient effective demand” will be the top priority for China’s economy next year. Nota
Tiger Weekly Insights:2024/12/09—2024/12/15

Japanese Car Maker In Potential Merger

$Honda(HMC)$ , $Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.(NSANY)$ and Mitsubishi may engage in merger and reorganization related matters.Honda is considering a variety of options including merger, capital cooperation or the establishment of a holding company.In fact, the two companies began to explore cooperation in March this year, and in August carried out a comprehensive business cooperation on the generalization of in-vehicle software and components and other consultations, Mitsubishi Motors has also expressed the desire to cooperate.Merger rumorsAccording to Nikkei News, Honda and Nissan are preparing to start negotiations on a merger, and plans to eventually bring Mitsubishi into the holding company's fold, Nissan is
Japanese Car Maker In Potential Merger
The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut on December 18, marking the third consecutive reduction this year, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.25%-4.5%.  However, the focus is on the dot plot for 2025, which may indicate fewer cuts than previously anticipated due to persistent inflation and economic uncertainties.  This cautious outlook could lead to market volatility, as fewer cuts in 2025 might affect equity valuations and investor sentiment. How will the revised dot plot impact the stock market? The revised dot plot could significantly impact the stock market by shaping expectations about future monetary policy. If the dot plot signals fewer rate cuts in 2025, it may dampen investor sentiment, leading to a potential decline in eq
The fed are targeting the 3%range and no big moves planned ahead won't change their targets. Optimism remains high regardless of feds desicion barring unforseen events and new breakout stocks ahead there's always opportunity if your prepared to look.⭐
avatarHusairi
12-18 23:58
avatar非一般股民
12-18 23:45
nvdx
avatarSpiders
12-17 21:02

25 bps is Certain? How Will the Rate Cut Dot Plot Shape 2025?

The Case for 25 bps: Probable, But Not Guaranteed A 25 basis point rate cut seems highly probable, but it is far from guaranteed. The U.S. economy has displayed resilience, underpinned by strong consumer spending, a strong labor market, and easing inflation. While inflation appears more controlled, the fear of its resurgence remains a critical concern for the Federal Reserve. Policymakers may take a cautious approach to ensure inflation does not reignite, especially if wage growth or global commodity prices rise unexpectedly. This uncertainty underscores the fact that a 25 bps cut is not a done deal. The Fed’s decisions will remain highly data-driven, sensitive to any new developments that could alter the inflation or growth outlook. S&P 500's Bullish Streak: How Rate Cuts May or May N
25 bps is Certain? How Will the Rate Cut Dot Plot Shape 2025?
avatarMicroStrategist
12-18 23:01
JPM should be OK
avatarEvara
12-18 17:30
25 basis points is highly anticipated but not guaranteed, however the main point of the upcoming meeting with be the tone for 2025 rate cuts. Inflation is still not below the expected levels & we almost can see a different picture from the reports  than the real world.  The tone of the meeting should define if we are in for a soft landing in 2025.
avatarIvan_Gan
12-17 16:07

What to expect from this week's Fed meeting

This Thursday night is the last Federal Reserve interest rate meeting this year, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference after the meeting. The continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points at this meeting has been fully expected by the market, so the market focus will be on the wording of the Fed meeting announcement and the content of Powell's subsequent speech. As Trump will officially take office next year, how the chairman of the Federal Reserve deals with this "new" president is also one of the key points of this meeting. To put it simply, it may be difficult for the Federal Reserve to avoid "political" issues with a neutral position at this meeting. The media are happy to speculate whether the Federal Reserve is with the new president. " Whether to "do it o
What to expect from this week's Fed meeting
avatarhighhand
12-18 18:13
DOW dips onto 50 ma... good time to buy. healthcare stocks pulling it down.
avatarcandra88
12-18 17:12
lest go to trad in here.................go go
avatarJacksNiffler
12-18 10:54

Top 25 Choice for 2025

Top 25 Choice for 2025
avatarTigerObserver
12-16 15:57

Weekly: Nasdaq logged a record high before the final Fed meeting of 2024

Last Week's RecapThe US Market - $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ declinedThe benchmark index slid 0.64% last week to end a three-week winning streak, while the Dow posted a 1.8% decline and fell for seven consecutive days. However, the tech-heavy $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ secured its fourth consecutive week of gains.Two big inflation reports sealed the deal for a Fed rate cut on December FOMC, even as some results pointed to a stronger growth backdrop. The headline CPI rose 2.7% yoy and core CPI rose 3.3% yoy, both met the expectations. The overall PPI rose 3% from the year prior, above what economists had projected. And the Core PPI was also upward revised.“Alternatin
Weekly: Nasdaq logged a record high before the final Fed meeting of 2024
avatarSuccess88
12-18 08:44
Don't time the market. The next strategy is to keep on continue to invest no later Nasdeq or DJ
avatarBinni Ong
12-17 11:39

S&P 500 & Nasdaq Highs: Is Market Breadth Supporting the Rally?

The $.SPX(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ are hitting all-time highs, but is the rally sustainable? In this video, I dive into market breadth—a crucial tool to assess whether these record moves are supported by broad participation or driven by a few big names. You’ll learn: How to use market breadth effectively. How to analyze whether the rally in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 can hold. 2 key implications investors need to consider when interpreting market breadth. Short-term trading using DLCs Mirae Asset DLCs: https://dlc.miraeasset.hk/ SocGen DLCs: https://dlc.socgen.com/en/usdlc UBS DLCs: https://dlc.ubs.com/ Hit the follow button to stay updated! I post valuable trading and investing insights every week—don
S&P 500 & Nasdaq Highs: Is Market Breadth Supporting the Rally?

Themes for 2025 | 2025 Might Be the Year of SaaS

Today, let's exploring themes for 2025.It should be noted that alpha selection will become increasingly important in 2025, with significant differences expected between sectors and companies.As investors, we should consider which themes or sectors should include and important considerations :There’s no need to hedge against a hard landing, as this risk is already addressed at the allocation level by reducing delta.The chosen sector should have strong fundamentals, includIing healthy revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow, and it should not be a sunset industry. This ensures that even if the market experiences a significant pullback, the sector has recovery potential, avoiding forced losses during downturns.Industries driven primarily by long-term expectations—like quantum computing o
Themes for 2025 | 2025 Might Be the Year of SaaS
avatarSpiders
12-15
I tend to take profits based on intuition, selling when I feel the timing is right—usually after a substantial increase in stock prices. My approach is to only sell stocks that have already generated a profit; I avoid selling at an unrealized loss, as I prefer to wait for potential recovery. This strategy allows me to lock in gains while minimizing the risk of crystallizing losses unnecessarily. Currently, I have no plans to sell my holdings in the TLT and TLH ETFs. These long-term Treasury bond ETFs show potential for price appreciation, particularly given my expectation of future interest rate cuts. As rates decline, bond prices typically rise, which could result in favorable returns for these investments. My strategy is to hold onto these positions to capitalize on this anticipated ma