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BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will ASIC Take Nvidia's Market Share?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceMarket volatility rose this week, the $.IXIC(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ hit new highs at the same time, the $.DJI(.DJI)$ recorded the first time since 1974, "ten consecutive losses", while the Federal Reserve's "ultra-hawkish interest rate cuts" to the broader market recorded the largest decline since August.At the same time, the dollar strengthened again, 30-year and 10-year U.S. bond yields exceeded the Federal Reserve's federal funds rate target ceiling of 4.5%.Individual stock level performance is also more differentiated, meme stocks across the board but volatility is also larger, the overall performance of large technology companies sli
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Will ASIC Take Nvidia's Market Share?

Nike 25Q2: New CEO confirmed its start of turnaround?

$Nike(NKE)$ announced its results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025 after the bell on Dec. 19, and the market was volatile after the bell.On the one hand, the quarterly results performed well, both revenue and profit exceeded market expectations, but on the other hand, still can not stop the decline in performance, as well as due to promotions brought about by the decline in profit margins.Investors previously held greater expectations for its "transformation", because the new CEO Elliot Hill has just begun to take the helm, intends to reorganize the channel, the stock price also rose more than 5%, but the CEO said on the call that the transformation of NIKE still need more time, and the current measures are to actively clean up the obsole
Nike 25Q2: New CEO confirmed its start of turnaround?

Fed is wrong? as least in Real Estate

$Lennar(LEN)$ The fourth quarter ended November 30, 2024 was reported on December 18, 2024, and not only did the current period fall short of expectations, but the company also lowered its guidance, reflecting the headwinds faced by the real estate industry.On the other hand, the Federal Reserve's hawkish statement was "confident" that the economy is booming and that they need to see "more data" to support a rate cut.Financials vs. market expectationsQ4 revenue came in at $9.95 billion, slightly below expectations of $10.06 billion, but up 8% year-over-year;Adjusted EPS of $4.03, below expectations of $4.20Delivered 22,206 homes, slightly higher than Q3's 21,516, but down 7% year-over-year.The average sales price of delivered homes was $430,000 per
Fed is wrong? as least in Real Estate

Why the "Ugly for a Reason" Record the Super sales in Q4?

$Birkenstock Holding plc(BIRK)$ shares rose to a four-month high in premarket trading after the company posted solid fiscal fourth-quarter results on the back of the popularity of its closed-toe clogs and double-digit growth in all regions.Despite being "famously ugly," the company saw 90% of its growth come from existing B2B retail stores, suggesting the channel space is doing well, given its historic brand and loyal customer base, in addition to excellent sales of clogs.But with the overall market selloff following the Fed's ultra-hawkish interest rate resolution that day, it was the company's shares that ended up closing up around 1%.Financial data and market expectationsQ4 revenue was €455.8 million, or approximately $478.27 million, exceeding
Why the "Ugly for a Reason" Record the Super sales in Q4?

Japanese Car Maker In Potential Merger

$Honda(HMC)$ , $Nissan Motor Co., Ltd.(NSANY)$ and Mitsubishi may engage in merger and reorganization related matters.Honda is considering a variety of options including merger, capital cooperation or the establishment of a holding company.In fact, the two companies began to explore cooperation in March this year, and in August carried out a comprehensive business cooperation on the generalization of in-vehicle software and components and other consultations, Mitsubishi Motors has also expressed the desire to cooperate.Merger rumorsAccording to Nikkei News, Honda and Nissan are preparing to start negotiations on a merger, and plans to eventually bring Mitsubishi into the holding company's fold, Nissan is
Japanese Car Maker In Potential Merger

Why Investors Are FOMO on AVGO?

Recent trading in $Broadcom(AVGO)$ has been full of FOMO sentiment, and it's pulling down $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ as well.Why are investors so worried about not getting on board?Broadcom has had a strong last two yearsBroadcom (AVGO)$ has had a great last two years, doubling its share price in 2023 and soaring in 2024.Integrating VMware into the business this year was a big deal.Although the integration process was a bit controversial, and was criticized for raising prices and discontinuing some free services, it was good for shareholders.After the integration, VMware's operating expenses were cut in half and gross margins reached 70%.Broadcom's results were stunning, with f
Why Investors Are FOMO on AVGO?

US Stock Valuation & Estimates in 2025

Against the backdrop of the current record highs in the market, investors are increasingly concerned about the valuation situation of U.S. stocks.Multi-dimensional comparative analysis of U.S. stock valuationsDynamic Valuation $.SPX(.SPX)$ The current dynamic P/E ratio of 22.7x is not far from the previous high of 23.4x (2020/9/2), is 1.8x standard deviation above the average of 16.6x since 1990, and is in the 94th percentile of its historical score.The static P/E ratio is even at 27.3x.Dow Jones, NASDAQ, Mag6 ( $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Microsof
US Stock Valuation & Estimates in 2025

BIG TECH WEEKLY | Google's still cheapest of Mag7?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThe Christmas rally intensified in December, with Big Tech hitting new highs this week, from Tesla, which has been languishing for six months and is starting to hit new all-time highs, to Google, which has been treated with caution by investors.In addition, the cryptocurrency market pushed up related risk sentiment, with the Christmas market often being a yearly earnings sprint.However, risk events have not diminished, due to concerns about the Fed's "hawkish rate cuts", the dollar rose, U.S. bonds under pressure, gold also began to recover.To close on December 13, the past week, the big technology companies as a whole rose. $Apple(AAPL)$ +2.02%, $NVDA-5.32%, $Microsoft(MSFT)$ +1.57%
BIG TECH WEEKLY | Google's still cheapest of Mag7?

AVGO Q4: AI accelerating, margin next level

As one of the top performers in the entire semiconductor sector this year, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ continued to surge 14% after announcing its Q4 results on Dec. 12 after-hours.Margin improvement was driven by a relatively strong financial performance in Q4, led by increased revenue in AI, as well as VMware integration and cost control.Investor reaction to the company's future outlook was quite optimistic as the company again raised its guidance for the next quarter on the call and expects the market for AI gas pedals to rise again to $15-20 billion.Key Financials and Market ExpectationsTotal revenue was $14.054 billion, up 51% year-over-year, essentially unchanged from market expectations of $14.08 billion.Net income on a GAAP basis was $4.324 billion,
AVGO Q4: AI accelerating, margin next level

What causes Adobe's -22% YTD Performance?

$Adobe(ADBE)$ announced its Q4 FY24 results on December 11th, and while the quarterly results remained strong and exceeded market consensus expectations, particularly in the areas of digital media and digital experience, investors' expectations for the AI era have also risen even further.But the beauty is that the company's guidance for 2025 is less than what the market expects, partly because expectations have been plucked so high, and partly because the company's caution could make investors skeptical of the company's AI transformation strategy and one of the monetization capabilities that could arise from competing with emerging AI companies, as well as OpenAI's Sora.Hence the 8% after-hours plunge.Adobe is also one of the few companies that ha
What causes Adobe's -22% YTD Performance?

What's important to GME Q3?

$Gaming Post (GME)$ The company's earnings for Q3 2024 were announced on December 10th.The company is one of the leading meme stocks, so earnings results are not a major factor in the stock price.The recent performance has also led many investors with heavy speculative sentiment to question Roaring Kitty's influence.Financials vs. market expectationsKey Financials:Net sales: GameStop reported net sales of $860 million in 3Q2024, down 20% from the same period last year and missing market expectations of $888 millionNet Profit: the company reported a profit of $17.4 million, successfully reversing a loss of $3.1 million in the same period last year, and adjusted EPS of $0.06, beating market expectationsMarket Expectations:Analysts were generally expecti
What's important to GME Q3?

Market Prefers Bargain Shops? OLLI mixed Q3 still makes the surge

$Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.(OLLI)$ The company reported Q3 FY2024 results after the bell on December 10th, and while performance was generally in line with expectations, the challenging economic environment left revenues slightly below market expectations, but the good news is that operational efficiencies improved andmargins exceeded market expectations and investor sentiment was upbeat, surging 13% in December 10 trading.Shares are near all-time highs.This quarter, the market has been very divergent in its approach to the superstore category, consistently favoring headline outperformers such as $Walmart (WMT)$, which has also allowed it to reach record highs in a row, but also punishing
Market Prefers Bargain Shops? OLLI mixed Q3 still makes the surge

C3.AI: Growht on the big-techs?

$C3.ai, Inc.(AI)$ which gets the best-sounding code in the market, announced its Q2 FY2025 results after the bell on Monday and jumped more than 20% at one point in after-hours trading, topping expectations and raising full-year guidance, also thanks to continued strength in AI-related spending.Q2 results exceeded expectations and raised full-year guidance, also thanks to continued strength in artificial intelligence-related spending.At the same time, the Company announced a significant expansion of its strategic alliance with $Microsoft (MSFT)$ Azure, which will significantly increase the velocity of the Company's sales and expand market access.And the company's partner ecosystem continues to expand, notably
C3.AI: Growht on the big-techs?

Should I participate Hershey's takeover?

Shares of $Hershey(HSY)$ oared 11% on Monday after Bloomberg reported that $Mondelez(MDLZ)$ is evaluating a potential takeover of the chocolate maker and has made a preliminary offer.Of course, the deliberations are in the early stages, and it's uncertain whether the talks will lead to a deal.Interestingly, back in August, $Kellanova(K)$ was bought by Mars at a premium, and at that time there were also bids from MDLZ, as well as HSY, $Pepsi(PEP)$ and other food giants.Now MDLZ wants to buy HSY, and it feels like it's very intent on doing so!How is this case likely?This isn't the first time MDLZ has made a solicitation for HSY
Should I participate Hershey's takeover?

Oracle tumbles as Q2 earnings miss despite AI boosts

$Oracle(ORCL)$ announced its financial results for Q2 FY2025 on Dec. 9. The company was down more than 9% after hours due to miss Q2 results and weaker-than-expected guidance, and was one of the relatively worse-performing cloud services companies in this earnings season.Key FinancialsFinancial OverviewOperating income was $14.06 billion, up 9% year-over-year, slightly below market expectations of $14.12 billion.But the growth rate accelerated compared to the previous quarter's 7% year-over-year increase.Adjusted EPS came in at $1.47, up 9.7% year-over-year, again below the market's estimate of $1.48, compared to 17% year-over-year growth in the prior-year quarter.Business Performance by SegmentCloud Services and Licensing Support: revenue for thi
Oracle tumbles as Q2 earnings miss despite AI boosts

Is Stock Cheap or Expensive? Earnings Insights on Q3

Q3 U.S. stock market status(i) Valuation1. OverallCurrently, U.S. stock valuations are at high levels, with $.SPX(.SPX)$ index valued at the 94% historical quartile (Shiller PE) since 1990. According to $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ Group strategists, despite the rise in U.S. stock valuations across the board, historically high valuations alone have not been enough of a cause for immediate concern, and higher valuations are usually benign if the subsequent economic growth environment is healthy.Stock valuations will continue to be a concern. The U.S. tech "Mag 7" have created their own asset class, resulting in distorted valuation metrics, but the actual valuation of U.S. equities is still reasonable, and in addition
Is Stock Cheap or Expensive? Earnings Insights on Q3

UiPath: Beats but still long way to go?

With the recent flurry of software growth stock earnings reports, many of which jumped after the results were announced, and most of which have lost half or more of their highs in market capitalization over the past two years in a high interest rate environment, there may be several reasons for the reversal in market sentiment:Earnings reversal.The main commonality is AI's improvement in company efficiency, especially those where AI can directly lead to revenue improvement, as evidenced by earnings growth rebound, guidance improvement, etc., and often these are also the ones with the biggest Surprise, and investors will be more likely to buy into them;Billing in anticipation of interest rate cuts.Growth stocks are more sensitive to interest rates, and now that we're entering a cycle of rat
UiPath: Beats but still long way to go?

DocuSign Q3 Earnings: AI contracts to lead growth?

With the recent flurry of software growth stock earnings reports, many of which jumped after the results were announced, and most of which have lost half or more of their highs in market capitalization over the past two years in a high interest rate environment, there may be several reasons for the reversal in market sentiment:Earnings reversal.The main commonality is AI's improvement in company efficiency, especially those where AI can directly lead to revenue improvement, as evidenced by earnings growth rebound, guidance improvement, etc., and often these are also the ones with the biggest Surprise, and investors will be more likely to buy into them;Billing in anticipation of interest rate cuts.Growth stocks are more sensitive to interest rates, and now that we're entering a cycle of rat
DocuSign Q3 Earnings: AI contracts to lead growth?

How Asana Makes the breakthrough?

With the recent flurry of software growth stock earnings reports, many of which jumped after the results were announced, and most of which have lost half or more of their highs in market capitalization over the past two years in a high interest rate environment, there may be several reasons for the reversal in market sentiment:Earnings reversal.The main commonality is AI's improvement in company efficiency, especially those where AI can directly lead to revenue improvement, as evidenced by earnings growth rebound, guidance improvement, etc., and often these are also the ones with the biggest Surprise, and investors will be more likely to buy into them;Pricing in anticipation of rate cuts.Growth stocks are more sensitive to interest rates, and now that we're entering a cycle of rate cuts, t
How Asana Makes the breakthrough?

BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

Big-Tech’s PerformanceEntering December, investors began to sprint for yearly gains, and the annual Christmas market seems to be previewed in advance.On the one hand, the U.S. dollar remains at the high end of the rally, the international macro events increased, the risk aversion attribute of the U.S. dollar funds once again reflected; on the other hand, risky assets are extremely active, BTC broke through the $100,000 mark, U.S. growth stocks are active, and big tech is also leading the broader market to new highs.To the close of December 5, the past week, the big technology companies as a whole soared. $Apple(AAPL)$ +3.45%, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ +7.18%, $Microsoft(MS
BIG TECH WEEKLY | AAPL's status is the reflection of 2025 estimates

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