$2M Stock Offering Drags SMCI Down to $850?

Super Micro stock fell 9% to close at 910.97 after the data center specialist announced a new stock offering. The company said it plans to sell 2 million additional shares of common stock, pushing its total shares outstanding to more than 58.5 million. ------------ How do you view the stock offering? Will SMCI dip more this week? What's your target price for SMCI?

avatarBarcode
07-11
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$  MACD curled down below trendline falling. Caution with the knife! Butterfly šŸ¦‹šŸ¦‹šŸ¦‹šŸ¦‹

NVDA or SMCI? IV is the key answer!

The Nvidia GTC 2024 kicked off, and Lao Huang unexpectedly brought out the real deal, three important 'nuclear bombs': Blackwell have improved 25 times compared to the previous generation, making it the world's most powerful chip. The reasoning performance of the GB200 NVL72 compared to the H100 has been increased by up to 30 times. Launching the AI project Project GR00T to assist humanoid robots. However, Nvidia's stock price opened high and closed low, with a mere 0.7% increase at the close, making it the second worst performance on the day of the GTC conference in the past 8 years. I think mainly it's due to 'Sell the News', where market expectations are largely met and there has been some profit-taking before the event.The current status of several AI stocks also shows differences. Nvi
NVDA or SMCI? IV is the key answer!

AI stocks are in divergence (by options IV)

After the interference caused by the $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ capital increase on March 19th, the overall sentiment of chip stocks has declined. As the leading company with GTC support, $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ has not only avoided falling but rebounded, although the IV has also dropped significantly; even $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ has turned negative skewness. Currently, only meme stocks like $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ are maintaining positive sentiment, while others are experiencing a downturn. However, when the market is left with only speculative sentiment, it often tends to reach its peak in the short term. Fig
AI stocks are in divergence (by options IV)
avatarXianLi
03-20

SMCI: What's Going on Next?

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ The offering pull the stock price down.....[Duh][Duh][Duh]Hereā€™s what I see: the zero interest convertible offering for shares were priced at around $935, thatā€™s 1.5384 million shares worthā€¦ Approx..The 2 million shares are at $875, so thatā€™s 3.538 million shares diluted. Sherman Tuan sold 5,000 shares around $865 in Feb., so thatā€™s a little more, and Russell 2000 funds sold shares above $1,000ā€¦Sherman Tuan has been on the board of directors for 17 years and also voted for this 1.75 billion dollar capital raise the 2 million shares brings in.So the % of dilution is past 6.5%folks and the company thinks SMCI is overvalued between $865-935. These are the facts, swallow it any way you like, b
SMCI: What's Going on Next?
avatarsadsam
03-20
Look for sub $600, and good luck! Keep your stick on the ice.[LOL][LOL][LOL]The $2M stock offering truly drags $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ down to $850.... And  it may be lower...The good news is they have cash, but they are ā€œspendingā€ this cash with profit margins on anything sold in the future still at 7.92%. I donā€™t think how any of you who post here daily; think, Super Micro is a good value?At a 1:1 market cap to gross sales, itā€™s a good value, and thatā€™s back down at $300 per share.I personally think $530-590 will be the extent of any pullback comingā€¦ā€ifā€ next quarter is blowout again, and profit margin rises.
avatarblinxz
03-18

SMCI increasing their market share

The size of the overall market has expanded greatly, and NVDA scooping up increased market share is at the expense of AMD and INTC, while SMCI increasing their market share is at the expense of DELL, HPE, Lenovo, Quanta, IBM, etc.SMCI has been partner of NVDA for 20+ years. They get engineering samples of gpus ahead of time, so that they can engineer chassis, motherboards, and cooling solutions to be ready to go the same day the new NVDA chips hit the market. Even if new entrants were able to secure this partnership, they'd still be behind a company that has been engineering this hardware for decades.I believe DELL/others offering modular/liquid cooled data center hardware to claw back market share is the biggest threat to SMCI. But DELL/others are not a pure AI data center play the same w
SMCI increasing their market share
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ With 2 M additional shares, the stock price would be 3% lower......why it is down? It is diluting the share valuesMy guess is that they feel demand is so high that they need more money so that they can expand even more rapidly.I thinks SMCI is overvalued between $865-935. These are the facts, swallow it any way you like, but the pressure from this is downward and certainly not $1,350 any time soon, perhaps next year, and each quarter earnings will shed light. Good luck, you should not buy this stock above $800.00.r/SMCI_Stock - Classic šŸ˜‚ happy I wasnā€™t in this time.
So the offering, which only increases the outstanding shares by a measly 2%, is at $875.  The stock already fell that low today and will probably go there in the pre-market tomorrow morning as well.  [Smart][Smart][Smart]Just get it done and in no time it will be behind us and we can continue the uptrend which will be driven by soaring revenues in upcoming earnings reports.   $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ The money is needed and its a good thing, obviously shorts spin it as a disaster, is a measly 2% increase to the float a disaster?Therefore, the 2 million offering is good for the company, driving the price up![Cool][Cool][Cool]
If market actually sells off later, then chances are we could even see the low 800s again, possibly even the 816-823 range due to residual selling from yesterday coupled with renewed selling.[Cool][Cool][Cool]But we'll see, because I'm sure the vampire squid (GS) has already considered all possible scenarios and how to handsomely profit from them.[Smart][Smart][Smart] $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ The stock price may bounce back! It will not be down any more.[Wow][Wow][Wow]
With this offering the price paid is expected to be below market so if an entity is willing to buy say 300,000 shares for $875 each then that's almost like a deep pocketed investor calling this a bottom.[Strong][Strong][Strong] $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Maybe the offering is a positive sign for the company for development and innovation in the future!
avatarzippixo
03-18
a reverse head and shoulders may form here for Bitcoin, and if it does, then it will go back up to retest ath this week of 74k plus. mstr will continue upward Monday once btc is seen to have upward momentum, and MSTR will continue to squeeze higher and stay inside it's existing diagonal channels. Since both futures and options market is closed Fri night, Saturday, and part of Sunday, the bears never were able to escape short positions in BTC nor mstr. amzn nvda smci might announce BTC on balance sheet soon, bezos seen having lunch with Saylor twice in the last couple weeks $č¶…å¾®ē”µč„‘(SMCI)$ $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$

can only look for support around $814; $850 just won't hold

$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ What's my take on the stock offering? It seems like a clear distribution of shares at a high level. Once we break through the green box, we can only look for support around $814; $850 just won't hold.
can only look for support around $814; $850 just won't hold
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Last chance for oracle to buy SMCI. Larry Ellison is known to buy market proven companies of reasonably large size with high potential to expand market. This will consolidate their position and ftc should be ok with that given smci is much smaller player relatively. 1400$ per share could be 75 billion usd tag which is very doable and will give oracle a long leash on future revenues in the much coveted AI market. Hahha, I initiated very small long position after covering my shorts today finally. I will accumulate or sell based on which way it goes, so no big deal. I have worked in the industry and seen it so many times so this was just a hunch. It is much more likely than ever in my mind.
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Only 4 more weeks of this annual pre-Tax Day tech crash.  SMCI down another 37 pts after the bell, tends to prove this out.  All AI stocks have peaked and are stair stepping down, no matter what pumpers Jim Cramer or Bloomberg say, they can't turn this or any other AI stock around until April 15th.  Of course, many of you will be wiped out by then.It would have to go down to $150 to wipe me out. But do you really think me or anybody else would hang around for that? And what does the tax filing deadline have to do with the price of eggs in China, or the price of SMCI stock?Money has to come out of the stock market in order to pay taxes.  Perhaps up to 45% of the profit,
avatardoozii
03-18
What is actually crazy is the fact the mass public still has not fully embraced the future of ai and what it will do to civilizationAs a long time trader sometimes being early still means years outAnd in the ai case I believe the best years of ai will be late 2020ā€™sSo Iā€™m bullishShort term playing optionsAnd stocking some shares away for the kiddosNvidia smci arm sound and even TeslaTesla still has some impressive ai capabilities compared to competitorsSmci Iā€™m a believerThe whole market needs to sell off to hurt this weeks gains $č¶…å¾®ē”µč„‘(SMCI)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$
avatarblinky
03-17
Ask yourselves, who benefitted from the introduction of the internet? Hardware manufacturers, infrastructure providers? Or companies that used interent to generate new business ideas (Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google)? NVDA is providing the hardware for AI, SMCI is just installing it, they-re the flavour of the day, but don-t kid yourself, they will slowly die down, while businesses build on AI will flourish. That is what you need to find, and invest your money!!! $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$
avatarGigibum
03-23

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avatarMs Mac
03-20
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$   Stay positive! šŸ¤— It's on the move upward..! Hang in there.
SMCI lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 439.65% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $5,260.10 and $6,590.37 at the end of this 3-month period. šŸš€šŸ’‰šŸ‘©ā€āš•ļø $č¶…å¾®ē”µč„‘(SMCI)$
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ bullish  It is good time to buy in , stay patience