A month ago on 16 Jun 2023, we saw $SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ hit a new 52week high of $8.05. It has been a rollercoaster ever since 🎢 SIA price before market opened this morning 2023: The Rise of SIANo one really doubted SIA's ability to bounce back once travel reopened. The only question people had was — how much? Image 1: Data extracted from SIA operating statistics from FY2021 to latest report of May 2023 statistics; visualization done on Tableau Public Operating statistics since FY2021 clearly show both an increasing passenger load factor (i.e. % of available passenger capacity filled, seen by the narrowing of the gap between the two lines in Image 1) as well as an increase in supply (avai

Looking back at the first half of this year, Fed remains firm in raising interest rates, and the US benchmark interest rate has broken through the 5% . At the same time, although global inflation has fallen, it is still far from the 2% target.  “Higher For Longer” for the interest rate has gradually been verified. The birth of ChatGPT has triggered the fantasy of artificial intelligence to greatly improve production efficiency, which is the biggest surprise in the first half of this year. Under these multiple influences, the United States may enter the era of "high interest rates, high inflation, and high growth" in an all-round way. Looking forward to the second half of the year, how will the market perform?I. Asset Performance Review in H11. Major asset returnsLe

A few days ago, Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, increased its stake in $Occidental(OXY)$ Petroleum , raising its stakes to 25%. Buffett's favoritism towards Occidental Petroleum is well-known, and with the endorsement of the stock market guru, Occidental Petroleum is one of the strongest performing companies in the energy sector.However, Buffett also endorsed an oil and gas company. On July 10th, $Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$ Energy agreed to acquire a 50% stake in $Dominion Resources(D)$ energy's Cove Point liquefied natural gas (LNG) facility in Maryland for $3.3 billion. After the completion of the transaction, Berkshire Hathaway will own a 75% limited p

Following a stellar start to 2023, the S&P 500 index has now recorded close to a 15% gain year-to-date. However, most of the rally has been concentrated in Large Cap US Tech stocks. The S&P 500 Ex-Information Technology Index is up less than 2% YTD, heavily underperforming the S&P. This underperformance can be attributed to the rise of Generative AI, with companies such as Nvidia, Meta and Tesla contributing to a significant portion of the gains in tech. Best-Performing Stocks of Q1 2023 | Morningstar Macroeconomic Update The US economy is showing no signs of recession despite echoes from the Fed maintaining its hawkish stance. The labour market remains extremely tight with the unemployment rate at 3.6% as of Jun 2023. Following this week’s mixed job data, traders will be looki

Last week, there was a certain degree of discrepancy in the two employment data released by the United States. Thursday, the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change data greatly exceeded expectations. After seasonal adjustment, private sector employment increased by 497,000 in June, more than twice the market's expectation of 225,000 and far surpassing the previous value of 278,000. It marked the largest monthly increase since July 2022 and significantly heightened market anticipation for the non-farm employment report to be released on Friday. However, the non-farm data did not turn out as strong as anticipated. The newly added non-farm employment in the report released on Friday unexpectedly declined to 209,000, reaching a two-year low. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate slightly decreased as ex

$NIO Inc.(NIO)$ NIO's stock is expected to surge to its December 2022 highs. https://invezz.com/news/2023/07/06/nio-stock-price-forecast-technicals-point-to-a-40-upside/

We just saw a BIG bearish indicator on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ SPY - a shooting star candle! A shooting star candle is a bearish reversal pattern that consists of a single candlestick. It is characterized by a long upper shadow, a small real body, and little or no lower shadow. The long upper shadow indicates that the price of the asset rose sharply during the day, but then closed near the open. This suggests that buying momentum was waning and that sellers were starting to take control. Shooting star candles are most effective when they occur after a period of strong uptrend. This is because they signal that the bulls are losing their grip on the market and that a reversal may be imminent. Here are some of

Thanks to Tiger for awarding the weekly top predictions for QQQ again! 21.5% gain from taking QQQ calls after NFP data released on Friday. Join me to trade the CPI data with option trading strategy next week! 🥳 The U.S. labor market continues to send mixed signals, as contrasting data emerged in the June jobs report, which are still likely to keep the Federal Reserve fully focused on the war against inflation. In June, nonfarm payrolls (NFPs) rose by 209,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics data, significantly missing economists’ expectations of 225,000. This figure represents a sharp decline from the revised lower 306,000 increase seen in May, signaling that the employment momentum softened last month. This lower-than-expected reading comes on the heels of an i

Investment themes for H2 2023RC-2023.06-Key-convictions-fig2Follow the sequenceRC-2023.06-Key-convictions-fig3Key CIO convictions for H2 2023Markets are at a critical juncture as central banks are hitting the pause button after the fastest hiking cycle since the ‘80s. Quality is the compass for navigating this phase.1. Narrow and uncertain path to growth, with a bottom in H2 2023The lagging effects of tightening in the real economy will lead to a further deceleration in growth with divergences: a mild US recession, anaemic growth in Europe and more resilience in emerging markets. With low absolute numbers, both on the positive (Europe) and negative (United States) sides, the path ahead remains very uncertain.2. Gradual slowdown in inflationInflation is trending lower, but the speed of adju

The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ ’s coming retracement will be limited, while the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ ‘s trend may be more fiercely , and the $DJIA(.DJI)$ components will be a safe haven?Key points: With the blessing of $Apple(AAPL)$ new Iphone 15 going to launch in september, the $SP Plus(SP)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ may not retreat to 4,000 point, otherwise we have not yet broken out of the bear market. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ 's heavyweight tech stocks have risen too much, and need to be adjusted and repaired in

US stocks $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell sharply on the day of the trade after positive US labor market data boosted Treasury yields $iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF(AGG)$ , which fueled speculation about the Fed taking more aggressive measures against inflation.$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ , the volatility index, rose 20% in the trading hours and closed up 8.89%. Before yesterday’s rally, VIX has remained at its bottom.  1. What triggers VIX’s surprising surge?The recent 20% surge in the VIX and the 10-year Treasury yield's rise to 4.08%, back to the high point before the March rate hike, are correlated. For reference, the 10Y Treasury yiel

On July 6th, USJune ADP private sector seasonally adjusted employment figures increased significantly by 497,000, more than double the market's expectation of 225,000 and far surpassing the previous figure of 278,000. This has brought waves of excitement to the recently calm market. As mentioned earlier, positive economic data is crucial support for the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate hikes. From the upward revision of GDP last week to the explosive employment data this week, the US dollar index has once again strengthened. The two-year US Treasury yield briefly surpassed the high point of 5%, the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell by 0.79%, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ briefly surged to the level o

The equity markets of Developed Markets (DM) economies are going through a slow roll in the year so far as recessionary indicators continue to be prevalent while not enough are flashing red to call for a recession in the biggest DM of all: the United States. This colours how the markets can be expected to perform in the next six months. JPMorgan estimates that while core inflation is likely to cool, the inflation slide is likely to prove incomplete. An actual recession would go a long way in cooling high valuations and increasing affordability. There, in the absence of a recession, the bank forecasts that global core inflation will remain well above 3% through the end of 2024. Of all possible scenarios, the dominant one indicates a 36% probability of a synchronized recession sometime in 20

I agree that the investment principle of unity of knowledge and action is very important for investors, because it can reduce the risk of losing money on the investment road. There are many changes in investing in the stock market, and you often don’t know if you are caught in an investment trap. Therefore, you need to master enough theoretical knowledge to invest. In addition, it is necessary to apply this knowledge to practice, to continuously accumulate experience and to adjust investment strategies regularly, so as to achieve the mutual promotion of investment and practice. The above is the perfect implementation of the investment principle of unity of knowledge and action. It is a pity that it is very difficult to implement the investment principle of unity of knowledge and action in

$WILMAR INTERNATIONAL LIMITED(F34.SI)$ Keep a Look out my friend @MHh @SR050321 What your view and target price? 

These would be the steps I would take in creating my trading target plan: 1. Set Clear Goals 1.1 Define my trading objectives, such as capital appreciation, income generation, or risk management. 1.2 Determine my target returns and timeframes. 2. Risk Management 2.1 Establish risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and diversifying my portfolio to spread risk. 3. Research and Analysis 3.1 Conduct thorough research on the markets, sectors, and specific securities I plan to trade. 3.2 Utilize fundamental and technical analysis techniques to make informed decisions. 4. Trading Style 4.1 Choose a trading style that suits my personality and time commitment. For instance, more inclined towards day trading, swing trading, or long-term investi

My trading target plan would be: 1. Set Clear Goals 1.1 Define my trading objectives, such as capital appreciation, income generation, or risk management.  1.2 Determine my target returns and timeframes. 2. Risk Management 2.1 Establish risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and diversifying my portfolio to spread risk. 3. Research and Analysis 3.1 Conduct thorough research on the markets, sectors, and specific securities I plan to trade. 3.2 Utilize fundamental and technical analysis techniques to make informed decisions. 4. Trading Style 4.1 Choose a trading style that suits my personality and time commitment. For instance, more inclined towards day trading, swing trading, or long-term investing.  5. Develop a Tr

We think the worst is over for investors.Megan Werner from JPMorgan said in mid-year outlook.Despite the likelihood of an economic downturn and a U.S. recession by the end of the year, the worst may be over for investors.We think that both stocks and bonds can continue to generate healthy returns for investors through the end of the year and into 2024.Looking Back1.Stock market: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has recovered from its lows in October 2022 and is trading 15% higher.2.Economy: Profits and margins have decreased slightly, but sales are resilient, transportation and energy costs are lower, and the scramble for workers has eased.3.Sectors: Technology and communication services sectors have performed well in the S&P 500 this year, recovering from