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2022-06-26

Seth Klarman Best Investing Qoutes

Seth KlarmanSeth Klarman is the chief executive and portfolio manager of the Baupost Group. He is a proponent of value investing, nicknamed the "Oracle of Boston" for his similar approach to Warren Buffett.Here are Klarman's quotes from the recent interview with Harvard Business School.1. "Our approach is, 'Let's look a mile wide, let's look at everything that we can possibly figure out.' Then we find something that seems like it might be a bargain, an inefficient pricing, and we go a mile deep."2. "We look between the silos. We look for cracks, we look for things leaking out, and we look for things that can't be easily siloed. There are fewer competitors in those, and if I love one thing, it's the lack of competition."3. "When you just know a certain kind of company, or you only know 20 s
Seth Klarman Best Investing Qoutes
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2022-11-29

📈 SGX Sectors & Stocks That Led Recent Net Fund Inflows

From the 21 Oct to 21 Nov close, $Straits Times Index(STI.SI)$ rallied 9.4%, with Singapore's 100 most traded stocks averaging 8.0% total returns. The 100 stocks also saw S$730M of combined net fund inflows over the month, taking their 2022 YTD net fund inflows to S$1.2B.    The 100 stocks represent all key sectors, with Telecommunications, Banks, and Technology Sectors seeing the most net fund inflows, proportionate to their current market capitalisation over the month, while the Energy, Materials & Resources, and Utilities Sectors saw the most proportionate net fund outflows.    Among the 100 stocks, the 10 stocks that saw the most net fund inflows, proportionate to their current market capitalisation, include
📈 SGX Sectors & Stocks That Led Recent Net Fund Inflows
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2022-05-13
Buy $Albemarle(ALB)$. Albemarle is a leading producer of lithium (42% of net sales), bromine (35%) and refining catalysts (23%).The company is targeting significant growth, about 3x  2021 adj. EBITDA in five years (by 2026), mostly from the EV boom. Energy storage is expected to be >85% of Albemarle Lithium revenues by 2026.By 2025, annual demand for lithium will to rise to 1.5 million metric tons of lithium carbonate equivalent - up from about 500,000 metric tons used in 2021. ALB will benefit from increased demand, both in volume and in lithium prices.
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2022-12-06

Ford : More Than Just the Vehicles

Ford Motor $Ford(F)$  is selling electric delivery vans to $Deutsche Post AG(DPSTF)$  logistics company DHL. Selling vehicles is what car companies do, but this time Ford is selling more than just the vehicle. DHL announced Monday it has signed a memorandum of understanding with Ford to purchase 2,000 electric-delivery vans by the end of 2023. A couple thousand units is not all that big a deal for an auto maker that can easily deliver more than 4 million vehicles annually. But DHL also will purchase services from Ford's Pro division, including connected telematics that provide usage and maintenance details as well as EV-charging services. It's extra revenue for Ford that goes beyond veh
Ford : More Than Just the Vehicles
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2022-11-23

ComfortDelGro: Recovery in Progress, Cheap Valuation

I believe recovery is already in progress but the market valuations remains at historical low. 3Q22 Results $COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LTD(C52.SI)$  recent 3Q22 results shows good improvement with net profit up by 33% YoY to SGD 58.8M while revenue up by 10.1% YoY to SGD 969.5M. The improvements was mainly by Taxis, Vehicle Inspection and Driving Centre on easing restrictions, higher mobility trend, and post-covid reopening. Mobility trends in Singapore have already begun to normalise and this should be reflected in its operating performance in the future. According to DBS, ComfortDelGro FY22F net profit could rise 14% YoY and returning to 80%/94% of 2019 levels by 2023F/24F as key segments see increased rid
ComfortDelGro: Recovery in Progress, Cheap Valuation
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2022-11-22

Manulife US REIT : Largest US Office SREIT

Consider  $MANULIFE US REIT(BTOU.SI)$, currently trades at around 13% yield, very attractive especially in this high interest rates era. About Manulife US REIT Manulife US REIT is the first pure-play US Office REIT Listed in Asia, established with the investment strategy principally to invest, directly or indirectly, in a portfolio of income-producing office real estate in key markets in the United States, as well as real estate-related assets. Manulife US REIT is the largest US Office SREIT, it has 12 properties, 5.5 m sqft net lettable area, and USD 2.2B assets under management. Its portfolio consists of nine freehold, Class A or Trophy-quality office properties in Atlanta, Los Angeles, New Jersey, Washington DC, Virginia, Orange Coun
Manulife US REIT : Largest US Office SREIT
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2023-02-10

Transition to Dorscon Green, Singapore Reopening Beneficiaries

Feb 13 marks the end of pandemic restrictions, a day before Budget 2023. Masks no longer mandatory, shift to Dorscon Green, and cessation of the multi-ministry task force, highlights the receding threat of COVID-19 in Singapore. While the news is unlikely a gamechanger for tourist arrivals and retail sales, it nevertheless completes Singapore's transition to normalcy. Passenger traffic at Changi Airport has recovered to 80% of pre-COVID. Further recovery should take hold with the return of Hong Kong and China tourists as they made up c.21% of visitor arrivals in 2019. They are also in net cash position, that's a big plus in this high interest rate era. Net cash is a measure of a company's liquidity - its ability to quickly meet its financial obligations. Investors can use net cash to help
Transition to Dorscon Green, Singapore Reopening Beneficiaries
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2022-11-15
$Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.B)$  bought more than USD 4B of $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  shares in the third quarter. The purchase of 60 million shares of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM), the leading contract producer of semiconductors in the world, was the highlight of the latest 13-F report. Those shares are worth USD 4.4 billion based on TSM latest closing price. The shares of Taiwan's top company and a critical producer of semiconductors are trading for half their peak of $145 hit in January. There undoubtedly will be speculation about whether the purchase is by CEO Warren Buffett, who oversees Berkshire's $306 billion equity portfolio, or one of his
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2022-05-17

Consider LIT If You Believe Lithium Battery Is The Future

$Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF(LIT)$ (LIT) is an ETF that invests in the full lithium cycle, from mining and refining the metal, through battery production.LIT PerformanceLithium has become the essential ingredient for lightweight, power-dense batteries used by laptops, cell phones and electric vehicles (EVs). Given the insatiable demand for these products, especially EVs, the price of lithium has more than doubled since 2015.Global lithium suppy and demand forecastReasons to Consider LIT High Growth Potential Lithium battery technology is essential to the rise of electric vehicles (EVs), renewable energy storage, and mobile devices. Advancing Clean Technologies EVs produce zero direct emissions, meaning broader
Consider LIT If You Believe Lithium Battery Is The Future
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2022-11-21

JD 3Q22 Core Earnings Surged 99%, Above Expectations

$JD-SW(09618)$  announced its 3Q22 results on 18 Nov after HK market close. Revenue increased by 11% y-o-y to RMB 244 billion, in line with market expectations. Segment wise, JD retail and JD logistics revenue increased by 7% and 39%, respectively. Non-GAAP net profit increased by 99% to RRMB 10bn, above market expectations of RMB 7bn. As for Cash Flow, JD has outstanding cash conversion cycle results in operating cashf low greater than net profit as you see on the table and chart below. Annual active customer accounts increased by 7% y-o-y to 589m by the end of Sep 2022. The outperformance of earnings growth was mainly driven by better-than-expected operating efficiency of JD retail and new business.
JD 3Q22 Core Earnings Surged 99%, Above Expectations
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2022-11-14
Sell $Sea Ltd(SE)$ and buy $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$   No more free money. E-commerce players are focusing on profitability. They used to focus on growth, now they can't do that anymore. According to current research, smaller deliveries have become expensive. Merchants on third-party e-commerce platforms have increased product-pricing sharply as platforms are charging much higher take rates. Shopee's well-known market strategy to acquire market shares within a short time was offering free shipping and vouchers in the form of cash. This enabled users to offset some or all their delivery charges. However, Shopee has begun to charge higher delivery charge
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2022-11-13

Why I'm Bearish on TSLA

Three reasons why I'm bearish on $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ . First, Elon Musk is too busy playing with Twitter and he will need to sell his TSLA shares to fund his new ambition.  Second, other that new EV companies, TSLA also facing fierce competition from big old competitors like $Ford(F)$   ,  $Volkswagen AG(VWAPY)$  , and $Bayerische Motoren Werke AG(BMWYY)$  . The big guys already jump into EV and gain more marketshare. Well established auto companies have enough capital to invest in EV. Third, TSLA valuation is super premium to
Why I'm Bearish on TSLA
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2022-05-30

A Story Selling Gum

Joel GreenblattI find this very useful as a general approach in stock investing.Excerpt from Joel Greenblatt lectureA Story Selling GumI started in business school 25 years ago. What I know about investing other than reading financial statements, I learned on my own reading and making mistakes. Hopefully, I can give you the benefit of my experience.A number of years ago, I was trying to explain to my son what I did for a living. He is 11 years old. I spoke about selling gum.Jason, a boy in my son’s class, sold gum each day at school. He would buy a pack of gum for 25 cents and he would sell sticks of gum for 25 cents each. He sells 4 packs a day, 5 days a week, 36 weeks or about $4,000 a year.What if Jason offered to sell you half the business today? What would you pay?My son replied, "Wel
A Story Selling Gum
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2022-05-29

Biden Is Rethinking China Tariffs

Read the news on Barron's that Biden is rethinking China Tariffs. Is this a sign of the end of the trade war?“We did not impose any of these tariffs; they were imposed by the last administration,” President Biden said about U.S. tariffs on China.Donald Trump’s trade war with China, which peaked in 2018, is dead policy walking.Tariffs he imposed on some 8,000 Chinese imports cost U.S. customers $81 billion last year, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics.The president showed signs of rethinking that during his just-concluded Asian tour.Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has been agitating to trim the tariff list to fight inflation. “Yellen is trying to distinguish between pillowcases and semiconductors,” says Gary Hufbauer, lead author of the Peterson Institute study.
Biden Is Rethinking China Tariffs
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2022-11-01

Visa: Value Compounder, Durable Moat, High Profit Margins

Consider $Visa(V)$. Great company with ample free cash flow, no debt which is good at this high interest rate era, and still has rooms for double digits sales and earnings growth. Visa Operating Performance  Visa is a great value compounder with economies of scale, durable moat, and high profit margins. As you can see from the table above, Visa has an extraordinary operating performance. Super high ROIC and profit margins. Visa Valuation  As for the valuation, V is now trading below its 5-year average valuation. This is not a recommendation, just my opinion. Do your own research. Data source : Morningstar.com
Visa: Value Compounder, Durable Moat, High Profit Margins
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2022-12-15

CapitaLand China Trust: Beneficiary of China's shift from zero-COVID

$CapLand China T(AU8U.SI)$  is a beneficiary of China's shift from zero-COVID. Mainland and Hong Kong may resume quarantine-free travel as soon as 9 Jan according to local media reports. The 9 January timeline is earlier than most expectations, and should reinforce positive sentiments among investors that an eventual reopening may come sooner rather than later. Furthermore, $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$  is now running a generous S-REIT event where we have a chance to win stock vouchers worth up to SGD 1000. This will be a great opportunity to get additional rewards while investing in China reopening activity. While China's reopening process won't be a smooth straight-line process, r
CapitaLand China Trust: Beneficiary of China's shift from zero-COVID
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2022-05-27
I originally made this to participate in the "Describe A Stock with A Song" event @TigerEvents.But I can only post 200 chars max. I don't wanna "waste" my masterpiece.... [Cool] so here we go. TGIF, Tigers!Original song : Rosanna by TOTO$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$All I wanna do when I wake up in the morning is see you riseAMC, AMCI never thought that a stonk like you could go to the moonAMCAll I wanna do in the middle of the evening is HODL you tightAMC, AMCI didn't know you were tanking for more than my leverageNot quite a year since you're at $72AMC, yeahNow you're down to $12 a pieceShould I buy the dip?Should I diamond hand?AMC, yeahShould I short you instead?Should I diamond hand?AM
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2022-12-01

📈 Office S-REITS see growth in occupancy and rent reversions

According to JLL, Singapore office rents in Q3 2022 have reached a near 14-year high, exceeding pre-pandemic peak. CBD Grade A office rents have taken just 18 months to recover the grounds lost due to Covid-19. S-Reits with Singapore based office assets reported growth in rental reversions and improvements in occupancy rates. CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust $CapLand IntCom T(C38U.SI)$  reported higher Q3 2022 gross revenue and net property income (NPI) of 29.6 per cent and 27.7 per cent year on year (yoy) respectively for its office portfolio. Its Singapore offices recorded a 7.9 per cent growth in rent reversion in 9M 2022 while portfolio occupancy increased from 92.9 per cent in Q2 2022 to the cur
📈 Office S-REITS see growth in occupancy and rent reversions
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2022-12-07

Apple to build chips in US for the first time in a decade at TSMC's plant

$Apple(AAPL)$  will build computer chips in the US for the first time in nearly a decade, the company's chief executive Tim Cook confirmed on Tuesday. Mr Cook was speaking in Phoenix, Arizona, alongside US President Joe Biden and other executives at the site of a future $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  Company plant. TSMC already produces chips for Apple, but Mr Cook said the two companies will expand their relationship when the plant opens in 2024. "As many of you know, we work with TSMC to manufacture the chips that help power our products all over the world," Mr Cook said. "And we look forward to expanding this work in the
Apple to build chips in US for the first time in a decade at TSMC's plant
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2023-02-22

Singapore Airlines 3QFY23 Key Takeaways

$SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD(C6L.SI)$ recently released Financial Results for Third Quarter Ended 31 December 2022 (3QFY23). 3QFY23 performance was remarkable, setting new records in operational metrics and financial performance, surpassing analysts estimates significantly. Here are key takeaways taken from their latest financial results presentation slides. Key Takeaways Q3 FY22/23 SIA achieved a record 9MFY23 net profit of S$1,555m on highest ever quarterly operating profit of S$755m in 3QFY23 and highest ever nine-month operating profit of S$1,989m in 9MFY23. 3QFY23 revenue of S$4,846m (+8.0% q-o-q and +109.3% y-o-y) was also a record quarterly revenue for the Group, driven by record quarterly group passenger load factor of 87.4%. Passenger
Singapore Airlines 3QFY23 Key Takeaways

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