Tiger_James Ooi
Tiger_James OoiTiger Staff
Tiger Certification: Tiger Brokers Market Strategist in Singapore.
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05-16 11:01

Webinar: Can Nvidia and AI ETFs live up to the hype?

Key Topics: Earnings preview of the leading chipmaker – Nvidia. Nvidia has provided an average yearly return of 71% over the last 10 years. What lies ahead? AI-related ETFs (AIQ, SMH, IGPT) are poised to benefit from the AI optimism. Please click here to access the webinar on May 16th at 7.30 pm.
Webinar: Can Nvidia and AI ETFs live up to the hype?

Quick Thoughts on Why the US Needs to Cut Rates Soon

This is an important week for the US as it will announce PPI data on Tuesday and CPI data on Wednesday. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is also scheduled to speak on Tuesday, and he is expected to stick to his higher-for-longer script. I reckon that any market correction due to a hotter-than-expected inflation surprise may provide investors and traders with an accumulation opportunity, as I think interest rate cuts are still on the way. The bigger narrative here is that default and refinancing risks are increasing for US companies, especially for speculative-grade firms, over the next several years. Speculative-grade companies, also known as non-investment grade or junk-rated companies, will face $2 trillion in debt maturing from 2024 to 2028. The year-over-year growth rates of speculative-grad
Quick Thoughts on Why the US Needs to Cut Rates Soon

Why have Hong Kong stocks experienced a sharp turnaround this year?

Portfolio diversification: Mainland Chinese investors may have been investing in non-RMB denominated assets (e.g., HK-listed shares) to diversify potential RMB depreciation risk.  HKEX Expands Eligible stocks/ETFS Under Stock Connect On April 19, 2024, China announced its plans to expand the list of stocks, REITs, and ETFs included in the Stock Connect program. Currently, there are 24 listed companies participating in the yuan share trading counter program. These 24 listed companies may be added to the southbound Stock Connect. To put it simply, this means that mainland investors will be able to trade these 24 Hong Kong stocks in yuan in the future.  AH Premium: A-shares are now 37% more expensive than their H-share equivalents. China is considering a proposal to exempt in
Why have Hong Kong stocks experienced a sharp turnaround this year?

The S&P 500 is trading near its record high. How much higher could it climb?

Source: Tiger PC APP The S&P 500 closed at 5222 on Friday. It is now trading at 0.6% below the all-time high of 5254. We may see a short squeeze once the S&P 500 goes above the all-time high. My best-case scenario, based on fundamental analysis, suggests that we may see a 20.5% upside in the S&P 500, ending the year at 5750, with an EPS of 250 and a PE ratio at 23x. Based on technical analysis, I see that the S&P 500 may potentially take a breather at 5556, and 6118 based on Fibonacci Extension. While a 344-point increase to reach 5556 may seem like a lot, it is only a 6% increase from the current price of 5222. The recent 5.46% correction from 5254 to 4967 may appear too shallow for most investors. However, I would like to argue that the correction may have been completed
The S&P 500 is trading near its record high. How much higher could it climb?

TSMC looks likely to surpass its all-time high

Source: TSMC TSM's $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ share price surged by 3.6% in pre-market trading following the announcement of sales growth. April's revenue saw an impressive 59.6% year-over-year increase, reaching NT$236 billion. This revenue milestone marks the second-highest monthly revenue in the company's history. Industry experts attribute this revenue surge to strong demand for high-performance computing related to artificial intelligence (AI) and robust customer demand for 3nm and 5nm advanced process technology, as reported by CNA. During the 1Q2024 earnings call, TSMC projected that the Q2 midpoint revenue would reach NT$646 billion. With April's revenue already reaching NT$236 billion, this accounts for 36.5% of its Q2 targ
TSMC looks likely to surpass its all-time high

Why Did Warren Buffett Reduce Apple's Stake?

What to Know: Warren Buffett recently sold a large stake in Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ in the first quarter of 2024. His Apple stake decreased from 906 million shares (as of the end of December 2023) to approximately 790 million shares (as of the end of March 2024), representing a decrease of nearly 13% in Apple stake. Despite the reduction, Apple remained Berkshire's largest holding as of the end of March 2024, and Buffett stated that Apple would likely remain Berkshire's largest holding at year-end.   Reason for Selling: Buffett sold Apple to mitigate a potentially higher tax bill, as he believes the US will increase taxes to fund the growing US fiscal deficit.  Conclusion: I don't believe Warren Buffett's decision was solely based on
Why Did Warren Buffett Reduce Apple's Stake?

Should You Ride the Alphabet FOMO Wave?

Source: Alphabet Earnings 1Q2024 Earnings Review Most revenue metrics beat market expectations. Earnings per share: USD1.89 vs. USD1.51 expected Revenue: USD80.54 billion vs. USD78.59 billion expected YouTube advertising revenue: USD8.09 billion vs. USD7.72 billion expected Google Cloud revenue: USD9.57 billion vs. USD9.35 billion expected Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): USD12.95 billion vs USD12.74 billion expected Google's advertising grew by 13.04%, while the advertising segments for Meta and Amazon grew by 26.81% and 24% respectively during the same period. Despite this, Google's advertising growth remains impressive, marking its strongest year-over-year growth since 1Q2022. Google Cloud revenue increased by 28.44% year over year, compared to AWS's 17% and Microsoft Azure
Should You Ride the Alphabet FOMO Wave?

Amazon Beats Earnings as AI Reinvigorates Growth

Source: Amazon 1Q2024 Earnings Amazon $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ has exceeded expectations across all key earnings metrics: EPS: 98 cents vs. 83 cents expected Revenue: USD143.3 billion vs. USD142.5 billion expected Advertising: $11.8 billion vs. 11.7 billion expected In the latest quarter, Amazon's Advertising Services segment demonstrated a good revenue growth of 24% year-over-year. In comparison, Google's advertising grew by 13.04% and Meta's advertising by 26.81% during the same period. Amazon Web Services: USD25 billion vs. USD24.5 billion expected AWS experienced a year-over-year growth of 17%, lagging behind Google Cloud's growth of 28.44% and Microsoft Azure's 31% during the same period. However, AWS's operating income yoy growth was impressi
Amazon Beats Earnings as AI Reinvigorates Growth

Meta Platforms fell 10% since earnings announcement. Can Meta make a comeback?

Meta stock is currently trading 15.94% lower than its all-time high. Despite the recent 10% drop on earnings result day, Meta stock is still trading 12.29% higher than its 4Q2023 earnings release on February 1st. This indicates that the recent pessimism hasn't completely erased the gains it generated since the 4Q2023 earnings results. 1Q2024 Earnings Result: Revenue: USD36.46 billion vs. USD36.16 billion expected EPS: USD4.71 vs. USD4.32 expected Source: Reuters Source: Meta's Earnings Slides The 10% drop in stock price on earnings day were due to: Weaker earnings forecast: 2Q2024 total revenue is expected to fall within the range of $36.5 billion to $39 billion, with a midpoint of $37.8 billion. This misses the street estimate of $38.3 billion. Additionally, management anticipates a
Meta Platforms fell 10% since earnings announcement. Can Meta make a comeback?

Tesla stock jumped 13% after announcing a quicker launch for its affordable EV

Tesla $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ rose 1.8% on Wednesday but surged 13% in after-hours trading as CEO Elon Musk pledged to accelerate plans for a more affordable EV. Tesla's Wednesday closing price of USD144.61 is still 64.5% lower than its all-time high. 1Q2024 Earnings Review: Revenue declined 9% year-over-year to USD 21.3 billion, falling short of the LSEG estimate of USD 22.15 billion. This marks the first year-over-year revenue drop since the second quarter of 2020. Earnings per share (EPS) declined 47% year-over-year to 45 cents, missing the LSEG estimate of 51 cents. Automotive Gross Margin stood at 16.4% in the first quarter, lower than the expected 17.6%. Operating margin was disappointing at 5.5%, below the anticipated 7%. Tesla cautioned tha
Tesla stock jumped 13% after announcing a quicker launch for its affordable EV

A quick glance at Verizon’s 1Q2024 earnings

1Q2024: Verizon’s $Verizon(VZ)$ Revenue increased by 0.2% year-over-year in 1Q2024 to USD33 billion, slightly below the estimate of USD 33.24 billion. Adjusted EPS declined by 4.2% year-over-year in 1Q2024 to USD1.15 per share, surpassing the estimate of USD 1.12 per share. Operating expenses rose by 0.5% year-over-year. For 2024, Verizon expects: Total wireless service revenue growth of 2% - 3.5% Adjusted EBITDA growth of 1% -3% Adjusted EPS of $4.50 to $4.70. The revenue and expense growth of the US telecommunications industry suggest that it may have entered a mature business cycle with limited growth catalysts. While investors typically anticipate improved profit margins from companies in mature cycles, Verizon has struggled to achieve g
A quick glance at Verizon’s 1Q2024 earnings

PDD's Overseas Push Has Sustained Its Growth Narrative, , but How Much Longer Can It Last?

Pinduoduo $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ has fallen by 22.43% year-to-date and is still trading 42% below its all-time high. PDD is a multinational online marketplace. However, its main source of revenue is advertising income. It does not hold inventory and is not responsible for fulfillment. Instead of investing its cash flow in building its logistic arms like JD.com and Alibaba, PDD has been heavily spending cash on subsidizing merchandise to woo merchants and outsourcing fulfillment and logistics. PDD is currently relying on its overseas e-commerce unit, Temu, to maintain its high revenue growth momentum. PDD briefly overtook Alibaba in market cap end 2023. Source: Bloomberg, 22 Apr 2024 Earnings Review: Revenue in 4Q2023 rose 123% year-over-year t
PDD's Overseas Push Has Sustained Its Growth Narrative, , but How Much Longer Can It Last?

Will ASML Stock Continue to Decline?

ASML $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ fell 7.09% last Wednesday on earnings miss. ASML is currently trading 17.94% lower than its all-time high. 1Q2024 Earnings Net sales were €5.29B, missing the estimate of €5.39B. Net sales grew by -21.6% year-over-year. EPS was €3.11B, beating the estimate of €3B, but grew by -37.3% year-over-year. The biggest disappointment is the bookings. Bookings fell by 4% year-over-year or 61% quarter-over-quarter to €3.6B, which are about 20% below estimate. Gross Profit Margin was 51%, higher than the estimated 48.8%. Operating Margin was just 26.3% relative to 32.7% in the same quarter of 2023. ASML has forecasted that 10-15% of China sales this year will be hampered by export control measures. Still, ASML expects "strong"
Will ASML Stock Continue to Decline?

Netflix Dropped Nearly 5% in After-Hours Trading After Missing Earnings Forecast

Netflix $Netflix(NFLX)$ closed down by 0.41% on Thursday and is trading 4.85% lower in after-hours trading due to an earnings forecast miss. Netflix stock is currently trading 11.47% lower than its all-time high in October 2021. Netflix remains one of the best-performing stocks among the S&P 500, providing a year-to-date return of +25.5%. Recap of 1Q2024 Earnings Revenue, Operating Income, and Subscriber count have reached their all-time highs. Revenue increased by 14.8% year-over-year to USD 9.37 billion, surpassing the LSEG estimate of USD 9.28 billion. Operating Income surged by 28.1% year-over-year to USD 2.6 billion. EPS rose to USD 5.28 compared to the LSEG estimate of USD 4.52. Subscribers grew by 16% year-over-year to 269.6 million
Netflix Dropped Nearly 5% in After-Hours Trading After Missing Earnings Forecast

A Quick Glance at TSMC's 1Q2024 Earnings

TSMC's $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ share price closed 0.55% lower on Wednesday. It might open higher tonight due to earnings beat.  1Q2024 Earnings: Both Net Revenue and Net Income exceeded LSEG consensus estimates by 1.7% and 5.5%, respectively. Net Revenue increased by 16.5% year-over-year to NT$592.64 billion, while Net Income also rose by 16.5% year-over-year to NT$592.64 billion. However, both Net Revenue and Net Income experienced quarter-over-quarter declines of -5.3% and -5.5%, respectively. Both Gross Margin and Operating Margin remained robust at 53.1% and 42% in the quarter. The 3nm process technology contributed 9% of total wafer revenue in 1Q24, with 5nm and 7nm accounting for 37% and 19%, respectively. Advanced
A Quick Glance at TSMC's 1Q2024 Earnings

Webinar: Will Tesla and Apple beat their Q1 earnings?

Key Topics: Why the generative AI stock bubble won't burst anytime soon? What to expect from the upcoming earnings reports of Tesla and Apple? Why did Apple and Tesla underperform other Magnificent Seven stocks? Please click here to access the webinar on April 17th at 7.30 pm.
Webinar: Will Tesla and Apple beat their Q1 earnings?

Meituan's Stock Soars 63% from 2024 Low: What's Next?

Meituan's $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ stock has risen 45.5% since I last covered it on January 18, 2024. I believe it's a good time to revisit Meituan, particularly given its Friday closing price of HKD102.10, which is approaching the resistance level I mentioned at HKD107.91in my previous article. 4Q2023 Earnings Review: Revenue surged 22% year-over-year to RMB 73 billion in the latest quarter, while operating income reached RMB 1.7 billion compared to a loss of RMB 731 million in the corresponding period last year. Both revenue and operating income surpassed street expectations. However, the operating margin dropped to just 2.39% in 4Q2024. Operating margin was substantially higher in previous
Meituan's Stock Soars 63% from 2024 Low: What's Next?

Tencent: Sluggish Gaming Growth, But Advertising Comes to the Rescue

4Q2023 Earnings Review: Tencent’s $TENCENT(00700)$ Revenue increased by 7.07%, and Operating Income rose by 41.96% year-over-year in the latest quarter. The Operating Margin stands at 26.28% for FY2023, the highest in the past six years. VAS revenue shrank by 1.9% year-over-year, while Online Advertising and Fintech & Business Services grew by 20.82% and 15.1% year-over-year respectively in the latest quarter. Moving forward, we expect the weakness in VAS (especially weak gaming revenue) to be offset by margin expansion in Online Advertising and Fintech & Business Services. VAS revenue, accounting for 45% of total revenue, continues its lackluster performance mainly due to lower domestic gaming revenue and decreased Social Networks re
Tencent: Sluggish Gaming Growth, But Advertising Comes to the Rescue

4 things you need to know about the upcoming Lion-OCBC Securities APAC Financials Dividend Plus ETF

Lion-OCBC Securities APAC Financials Dividend Plus ETF ( $Lion-OSPL APAC Fin S$(YLD.SI)$ ) is a passive ETF that seeks to track the performance of the iEdge APAC Financials Dividend Plus Index, which comprises the 30 largest and most tradable financial sector companies listed in the Asia Pacific region with stable dividend payouts. The region consists of Australia, Hong Kong, Japan, Singapore, Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. The Initial Offering Period (IOP) for the said ETF is from 11 April to 3 May 2024. 1) Good Track Record of Fund Manager The fund manager, Lion Global Investors Limited (LGI), is one of the leading asset managers in Southeast Asia. Its notable milestones include: Its assets under management (AUM) stands at S$69.9 b
4 things you need to know about the upcoming Lion-OCBC Securities APAC Financials Dividend Plus ETF

Don't fret: US bull market still has legs

The S&P 500 fell by 0.04% on Monday, following a minor sell-off of 1% last week. Although the S&P 500 is currently trading just 0.99% or 52 points below its all-time high at 5,254, some stocks have recently experienced notable corrections. Notable examples include Nvidia (-8% off ATH), AMD (-20% off ATH), SMCI (-22% off ATH), and Ulta Beauty (-20% off ATH).   Last week's weak performance in the S&P 500 was likely due to: Federal Reserve's Kashkari floating the idea of no rate cut this year. A strong non-farm payrolls report. The tax filing season.   We are not particularly worried because: Fed's Kashkari is not a member of the Fed's policy-setting committee, and therefore, his statements do not carry much weight. The strong non-farm payrolls suggest a stronger-than
Don't fret: US bull market still has legs

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