Tiger_James Ooi
Tiger_James OoiTiger Staff
Tiger Certification: Tiger Brokers Market Strategist in Singapore.
10Follow
1868Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-09-10

Bearish Chart Patterns Suggest the Stock Market Selloff Isn't Over Yet

Many tech stocks (Nasdaq-100 $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ , Microsoft $Microsoft(MSFT)$ , ARM $ARM Holdings Ltd(ARM)$ , Synopsys $Synopsys(SNPS)$ , Meta $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , and TSMC) are forming classical reversal patterns such as Double Tops and Head & Shoulders. However, fundamentals always take precedence over technical analysis. I see no major fundamental news that would drive stocks toward their technical target prices. I reckon these are bear traps, and eventually, stocks will move higher after the U.S. presidential election on November 5th. However, bulls may only star
Bearish Chart Patterns Suggest the Stock Market Selloff Isn't Over Yet
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-04-14

Meituan's Stock Soars 63% from 2024 Low: What's Next?

Meituan's $MEITUAN-W(03690)$ stock has risen 45.5% since I last covered it on January 18, 2024. I believe it's a good time to revisit Meituan, particularly given its Friday closing price of HKD102.10, which is approaching the resistance level I mentioned at HKD107.91in my previous article. 4Q2023 Earnings Review: Revenue surged 22% year-over-year to RMB 73 billion in the latest quarter, while operating income reached RMB 1.7 billion compared to a loss of RMB 731 million in the corresponding period last year. Both revenue and operating income surpassed street expectations. However, the operating margin dropped to just 2.39% in 4Q2024. Operating margin was substantially higher in previous qua
Meituan's Stock Soars 63% from 2024 Low: What's Next?
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-01-30

James Ooi: 2024 US Market Outlook and Strategic Insights in 19 Graphs

Content: ·       2023 Recap ·       Wall Street’s S&P 500 2024 Year-end Forecasts ·       Will There be a ‘Second Wave’ of Inflation in the US? ·       When Will the Fed Cut Rates in 2024? ·       Why a March Rate Cit is still a Likely Scenario? ·       The Prediction of 6 Rate Cuts in 2024 Appears Overly Aggressive ·       Equity Risk Premium: The Stock Market Isn't Rewarding You for Taking Risk ·       Our S&P 500 2024 Year-end Forecast ·       The Fed could pull off a Soft Landing ·     &n
James Ooi: 2024 US Market Outlook and Strategic Insights in 19 Graphs
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-01-13

The Magnificent Seven Powers S&P 500 higher in Second Week: Is 2024 Another Blockbuster Year for AI?

SPDR S&P 500 ETF ( $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ ) rebounded 1.87% in the second week of Jan 2024 whereas the Magnificent Seven is responsible for 70% of the S&P 500's gains during the same period. The Magnificent Seven also drove 105% of the S&P 500's total returns year-to-date. S&P 500 returned 0.34% thus far this year. The substantial contribution of the Magnificent Seven to the S&P 500's gains indicates that 2024 could be another significant year for AI. While owning these seven stocks appears to be the market's "most crowded" trade due to their notable share price rally in 2023, they remain poised to benefit the most from the ongoing AI craze. We think that that only a few large-cap stocks are participating in the celeb
The Magnificent Seven Powers S&P 500 higher in Second Week: Is 2024 Another Blockbuster Year for AI?
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-03-05

Why SMCI Isn't the Stock to Play Nvidia's AI Boom?

SMCI $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ has experienced a 276% year-to-date surge, reaching USD 1074.34. Its remarkable performance is primarily attributed to: The company is poised to join the S&P 500 Index, with the effective inclusion scheduled before the opening of trading on Monday, March 18, aligning with the quarterly rebalance. The latest earnings results and forecasts have surpassed street expectations. SMCI is capitalizing on the AI spending boom, as the company sells AI server solutions, including rackmounts used for deploying AI chips. Why SMCI isn’t the stock to play the artificial intelligence revolution? Its gross profit margin and operating margin were only 15.4% and 10.14%, respectively, while Nvidia's gross profit margin and op
Why SMCI Isn't the Stock to Play Nvidia's AI Boom?
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-09-02

Intel stock jumped 9% on Friday on reports that the company might sell or spin off its foundry business

I remain pessimistic about Intel. Investing in or trading Intel simply isn't worth the risk. Intel’s Foundry segment has a staggering operating margin of -65.5%, meaning that for every $10,000 wafer sold, Intel incurs a loss of $6,550. In contrast, TSMC boasts an impressive operating margin of 42.55%. Therefore, I doubt any company would be interested in acquiring a foundry business with a -65.5% operating margin, nor do I believe investors would want to invest in Intel to become future shareholders of a spun-off foundry company that is deep in losses. Investors should favor TSMC, Broadcom, Nvidia, ARM, ASML, and AMD instead.
Intel stock jumped 9% on Friday on reports that the company might sell or spin off its foundry business
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-02-15

Has Alibaba Stock Finally Bottomed?

Share Price Performance: The U.S.-listed Alibaba ( $Alibaba(BABA)$ ) fell 5.32%, while HK-listed Alibaba ( $Alibaba(09988)$ ) fell 6.35% year-to-date, outperforming the Hang Seng Tech Index, which has posted a -15.05% return year-to-date. However, BABA is currently trading at USD 73.39, which is still down 77% from its all-time high of USD 317. Source: Bloomberg, 14 Feb 2024 Technical Analysis: There is an inverted head and shoulders pattern in the making, which will be fully formed once it breaks above the neckline at USD78. The earlier inverted head and shoulders pattern successfully formed and propelled Alibaba's stock price to USD 119 in early 2023. While this pattern has worked well for Alibaba in t
Has Alibaba Stock Finally Bottomed?
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-04-14

Tencent: Sluggish Gaming Growth, But Advertising Comes to the Rescue

4Q2023 Earnings Review: Tencent’s $TENCENT(00700)$ Revenue increased by 7.07%, and Operating Income rose by 41.96% year-over-year in the latest quarter. The Operating Margin stands at 26.28% for FY2023, the highest in the past six years. VAS revenue shrank by 1.9% year-over-year, while Online Advertising and Fintech & Business Services grew by 20.82% and 15.1% year-over-year respectively in the latest quarter. Moving forward, we expect the weakness in VAS (especially weak gaming revenue) to be offset by margin expansion in Online Advertising and Fintech & Business Services. VAS revenue, accounting for 45% of total revenue, continues its lackluster performance mainly due to lower domestic gaming revenue and decreased Social Networks revenu
Tencent: Sluggish Gaming Growth, But Advertising Comes to the Rescue
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-03-06

Apple stock fell 14% from its ATH. How low can Apple stock go?

Stock Performance: Apple ( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) stock has experienced a 14% decline from its all-time high (ATH) and an 11% decrease year-to-date. The underperformance, particularly in comparison to other Magnificent Seven stocks, can be attributed to several factors: Analysts downgraded Apple stock. Counterpoint Research reported a 24% year-on-year drop in iPhone sales, while Huawei's smartphone sales saw a notable 64% year-on-year increase in the first six weeks of 2024. Source: Countetpoint Technical Analysis: A Double Tops reversal pattern is currently forming, with a target price of USD133.03 anticipated once the stock breaks below the neckline at USD165.24. Considering the weak candlestick pattern, it is plausible that Apple stock might challenge
Apple stock fell 14% from its ATH. How low can Apple stock go?
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-03-06

S&P 500 is near its all time high. No need to panic?

The S&P 500 has not undergone a correction of more than 2% since reaching its October low last year. This pattern suggests that investors may have succumbed to Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and engaged in panic buying, particularly due to optimism regarding artificial intelligence (AI). It is anticipated that investors’ concerns and unease may only arise if a correction exceeding 2% occurs within the current year. Fibonacci Expansion still indicates a S&P 500 target price of 6118 for the entire bull run. Nevertheless, the S&P 500  may encounter a strong resistance level at the 61.8% Fibonacci level at 5115, potentially leading to a decline to the 50% Fibonacci level at 4805. Despite the possibility of facing these resistance levels, there is currently no significant shift in
S&P 500 is near its all time high. No need to panic?

Go to Tiger App to see more news