Long_Equity
Long_Equity
Concentrated Global Equity Fund | ROC + FCF | Linear Compounders | Value Creation + Pricing Power | “There’s never a bad time to buy a compounding machine.”
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avatarLong_Equity
2024-05-05

Here's my 1-page mental model for understanding the semiconductor ecosystem

Here's my 1-page mental model for understanding the semiconductor ecosystem👇 Covering: - design software $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $Synopsys(SNPS)$ - equipment $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ - chip designers $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ - chip manufacturers $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ $Mi
Here's my 1-page mental model for understanding the semiconductor ecosystem
avatarLong_Equity
2023-12-30

My best performing stocks this year have been NVIDIA, FICO and Cadence

Portfolio at the end of December and the end of 2023. No new positions.2023 performance: 31.1%5yr FCF per share CAGR = 20% FCF ROC = 32% FCF Margin = 34% FCF Yield = 3.34% Share price linearity (5yr) = 0.87ImageThere were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ . $Microsoft(MSFT)$ was the only detractor from performance.My best performing stocks this year have been $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$
My best performing stocks this year have been NVIDIA, FICO and Cadence
avatarLong_Equity
2024-06-30

US-Listed Companies: Global Revenue Distribution

10 of the 12 companies I invest in are listed in the US.But only 44% of their revenue is derived from North America. $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ has the most US exposure, while $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$ has the least (27% China, 24% Taiwan, 18% Korea).You can be globally diversified just by owning US stocks. $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Novo-Nordisk A/S(NVO)$ $Constellation Software, Inc.(CONSF)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$
US-Listed Companies: Global Revenue Distribution
avatarLong_Equity
2025-07-06

Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses

Asset LIGHT businesses generally outperform capital INTENSIVE businesses.Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses are:- high return on tangible assets- low physical assets as a percentage of total assets- low CAPEX / OCF- margin expansionWhat would you add to this list?For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of Commission-Free trading.💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉💰CBA Mini Course 1: What is Cash
Some of the best ratios for screening for asset light businesses

Logistics Moat: McKesson Moves Drugs, Unlocks High-Margin Services

Some thoughts on $McKesson(MCK)$ Most patients never encounter McKesson. Doctors prescribe drugs, pharmacies dispense them, and manufacturers produce them. But McKesson actually moves the medicine through the system. They function less like a healthcare company and more like infrastructure. They operate a massive logistics network that moves pharmaceuticals from manufacturers to hospitals, pharmacies, and clinics across the US. Once something becomes embedded this deeply into a system, it stops looking like a business and starts looking like plumbing. From the outside the economics appear unusual. McKesson generates hundreds of billions in annual revenue, but operates on thin margins. Enormous volumes are moved, but with only small margins attached
Logistics Moat: McKesson Moves Drugs, Unlocks High-Margin Services

Mapping Market Power: Key Monopolies, Duopolies, and Oligopolies

This overview categorizes major companies by market power: monopolies dominate niche sectors, duopolies share control between two leaders, and oligopolies consist of a few key players shaping entire industries. It highlights how market structure drives pricing, retention, and competitive advantage. 🏰 Monopolies $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ - advance semi fab $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ – EUV lithography $VeriSign(VRSN)$ - domain name registry $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ – credit scores $Intuit(INTU)$ – tax preparation software $Thermo Fisher
Mapping Market Power: Key Monopolies, Duopolies, and Oligopolies
avatarLong_Equity
2024-03-25

Why very few companies are capable of sustaining a high return on capital?

Three reasons why very few companies are capable of sustaining a high return on capital over a long period of time:1. Economic downturns - few companies are resilient to these due to exposure to commodities and interest rates (eg banks and energy companies).2. Reinvestment opportunities - companies lacking reinvestment oppportunities typically pay out a large chunk of their earnings as a dividend, rather than reinvest (eg consumer staples).3. Pricing power - few companies are capable of raising prices without losing sales to their competition.ImageValuation reflects both future growth and current multiple. I personally focus on future growth. I see a lot of value currently in $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ and $Fo
Why very few companies are capable of sustaining a high return on capital?
avatarLong_Equity
2024-12-30

Which companies are you most excited for in 2025?

Which company in your portfolio are you most excited for in 2025? $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ - Where would the world be without them $AppFolio(APPF)$ - It has a lot of positive sentiment at the moment $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ - Sometimes CAPEX takes a while to return FCF, I see all the semiconductor equipment manufacturers ( $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ $KLA-Tencor(KLAC)$
Which companies are you most excited for in 2025?

Is $MSCI Overdue for a Re-Rating?

1.I recently added four new companies to my Global Compounders Database: $MarketAxess(MKTX)$ , $PTC Inc(PTC)$ , $GOODWIN PLC(GDWN.UK)$ and $Elmos Semiconductor AG(ELTTF)$ . 2. $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$ Is MSCI overdue a re-rating? Unlike other high quality growth companies, MSCI often sees its share price grow at a slower rate than its FCF. Consequently, FCF yield has been steadily going up over the last few years. 3. $Lam Research(LRCX)$ Lam Research is up 35% since I first entered in 2 months ago. Positions in green have been held less tha
Is $MSCI Overdue for a Re-Rating?

LRCX Positioned for the AI Driven Semiconductor Cycle

$Lam Research(LRCX)$ is one of the key equipment providers enabling the production of advanced semiconductors used in AI, data centers, and high-performance computing. With strong leadership in etch and deposition tools, a rapidly growing services business, and deep relationships with major chipmakers such as $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , the company sits at the center of the semiconductor manufacturing ecosystem. As chip architectures shift toward more complex 3D structures and AI demand accelerates global semiconductor investment, Lam Research is strategically positioned to capture a significant share of the next semiconductor capital expenditure cycle. 1. Business Lam Research sells wafer
LRCX Positioned for the AI Driven Semiconductor Cycle

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