KyleRodda
KyleRodda
Presenter at ausbiz. Market commentator. Financial journalist. Macro enthusiast.
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avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-26

Macro Economy| Thoughts on GOOG, XJO, META& NAB

Hello everyone! Today I want to my thoughts about macro economy and stocks with you.$Alphabet(GOOG)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$Alphabet's results were a miss this morning. Shares were off as much as 6% in after-hours trade.Sales were $57.27b, missing the $58.18b estimate. EPS came in at $1.06 versus the $1.25 estimate.The company reported a significant impact to advertising revenues.Australian CPI comes in higher than forecast. Key numbers."CPI rose 1.8 per cent in the September 2022 quarter" 6.1% trimmed mean CPI well above expectations of 5.6%.ASX200 takes a little spill following CPI. 
Macro Economy| Thoughts on GOOG, XJO, META& NAB
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-14

The Analysis on 14 October: US Macro Economy

Your morning market wrap. Wild price action on Wall Street.Stocks: Wall Street staged a remarkable rebound after an initial sell-off following another hotter than expected us CPl print.The S&P500 rallied 2.6%, led be energy and financials. Tech also performed strongly and the NASDAQ gained 2.3%.SPI Futures are pointing to a110 point jump for the ASX200 at the open.Rates/bonds: US CPl came in higher than expected and 8.2% and core CPl rose to 6.6%-its highest level in 40 years. Yields pushed higher across the curve. The Us 10 year yield increased 6 points to 3.96% and the 10-2 spread fell to 51 basis points. Fed Fund Futures are fully pricing in a 75 point hike from the Fed in October and a peak in rates of 5% next year. Gilt markets also continue
The Analysis on 14 October: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-28

The Analysis on 28 October-- US Macro Economy & AMZN

Your morning bite. Tech earnings knock stocks down. The ECB hikes by 75bp.Stocks: The S&P500 fell 0.6% and the NASDAQ shed 1.9% in cash trade, as the markets digested weak tech results. Things took another turn for the worse after Amazon reported results after the bell, posted weak sales guidance, and its shares plunged roughly 20%. Apple also delivered results which reflected potential sales weakness, with its share dropping after hours. SPI Futures are pointing to a 26 point drop for the ASX200 this morning. $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  $Apple(AAPL)$
The Analysis on 28 October-- US Macro Economy & AMZN
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-05

Stock Markets| Thoughts on ASX& US Markets

This has flattened out quite considerably since yesterday's Info decision. Markets pricing in a peak in interest rates around 3.5% (give or take). It was over 4% last week.$( $AUD)$Your morning market wrap. Wall Street records its best two days since April 2020. ASX200 is set to extend its rally. $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$Quite a bounce-off support here for the ASX200. $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$"Continued monetary tightening". Reserve Bank 
Stock Markets| Thoughts on ASX& US Markets
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-12

Analysis on October 12: US Macro Economy

Your morning market wrap. Stocks weaken leading into US CPI data.  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $DJIA(.DJI)$ Take this for what you will. Cash rate futures are back to implying rates will hit ~4% next year. Sticking my neck out here...  $Bitcoin Group SE(BTGGF)$ Does the crypto industry receive a disproportionate amount of attention given its total market value is less than four of Wall Street's biggest companies, individually?Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Analysis on October 12: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-13

The Analysis on 13 October: US Macro Economy

Your morning market wrap. All eyes are on US CPI.Stocks: Another down day for Wall Street. The S&P 500 dropped 0.33% to dropp to newlows, while the NASDAQ was practically flat. FOMC minutes sparked a brief flurry. However,investors remain braced for tonight's US CPl data. SPlFutures are pointing to an18 pointdrop for the ASX200 this morning.Rates/bonds: lmplied volatility in the bond market pushed to new highs. Yields dropped marginally, with the US 10 year falling 5 points to 3.89%. FOMC minutes delivered the "higher for longer” message, however some members agreed it was important to eventually"calibrate the pace" of hikes to balance risks to economic activity. Rate expectations didn'tmaterially change, with market pricing suggesting a peak in the Fed Funds Rate of aro
The Analysis on 13 October: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-03

The Analysis on 3 November-- US Macro Economy

Your morning market bite. Fed hikes by 75, suggests rates could go higher and be there for longer.Stocks: Wall Street fell after Chair Powells press conference.The market had initially railed upon the release of the Fed's decision. However, "higher for longer" language saw stocks take a tumble. The S&P500 finished the day down by 2.5%, with all sectors lower. Tech underperformed with the NASDAQ shedding 3.4%. SPI Futures are pointing to a 113 pointfall for the ASX200 this morning. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$   $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$  $SPY(SPY)$  
The Analysis on 3 November-- US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-06

Analysis about US Macro Economy

Your morning market wrap. Fed-speak suggests the central bank isn't for turning. Stock market rebound stalls. OPEC+ cuts output. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $DJIA(.DJI)$ The equity put/call was almost 4 standard deviations above the mean before this rally - the highest since the pandemic. Have we reached peak fear or is this just another squeeze? $S&P 500(.SPX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Analysis about US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-17

Macro Economy: Thoughts on Australia

Hello everyone! Today I want to share views about macro economy with you.Throwing this chart into the inflation debate.Australian inflation versus capacity utilisation.Perhaps adds weight to the argument of excess demand in the economy. $($aud)$ auspol'Unemployment rate falls to 3.4%'  $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$- Participation rate 66.5% (Est. 66.6%)- Employment +32.2k (Est. 15k)- FT Employment 47.1k$($aud)$ has diverged from the 2-year yield spread. Let's call it "China hopes". What happens next?Follow me to learn more about analysis!!
Macro Economy: Thoughts on Australia
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-01

The Analysis on 1 November: US Macro Economy

Your morning bite. Looking ahead to the RBA Info meeting.Stocks: Wall Street slipped with the S&P500 falling 0.75%. The index finished October 8% higher. Energy stocks ended higher but whipsawed on plans from the Biden administration to tax "windfall” profits. The sector was the only to finish higher for the session. Tech stocks underperformed with the NASDAQ down 1.2%. SPI Futures are pointing to a 10 point gamefor the ASX200 this morning. $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$Rates/bonds: Yields crept higher, with the Us 10 year up
The Analysis on 1 November: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-10

What the instability in cryptos shows?

Here's my take on the #FTX situation, cryptocurrencies, and #Bitcoin. The instability in cryptos shows the important function of central banks in any good monetary and financial system. KYLE'S VIEWFor those who aren't aware, I'm not an advocate for central banks. Our over reliance onmonetary policy for decades has manifested in gross inequalities, economic inefficiencies.and political and social instability.Central banks, sometimes because of a failure of government, sometimes because of economic circumstances, sometimes because of academic overeach, have done too muchand arguably caused more harm than good.One thing that central bank' have often done well, though - and gives reason to their existence - is act as a lender of last resort andensure efficient mar
What the instability in cryptos shows?
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-27

Analysis on 27 October--US Macro Economy

Your morning bite. A smaller-than-expected BOC hike raises hopes for slower rate hikes globally. Meta's results stink.Stocks: Microsoft and Alphabet earnings weighed on Wall Street last night. Meta's earnings  this morning is likely to extend that trend. lt posted weaker than expected results, with EPS coming in below the $1.86 estimate and at $1.64. Revenues declined, and revenue guidance was below expectations. The S&P500 fell 0.7% and the NASDAQ dropped 2.3% in cashtrade. SPI Futures are implying a 26 point lift for the ASX200 this morning.  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  
Analysis on 27 October--US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-25

Analysis on 25 October: US Macro Economy

Your morning bite. US stocks extend rally. Gilts surge on Sunak Prime Ministership.Stocks: Wall Street extended its recovery. The S&P500 rose 1.2% and the NASDAQ jumped 1.1% Health care and consumer staples led the charge. SPl Futures are pointing to a 28 point jumpfor the ASX200 this morning.Rates/bonds: US PMl data undershot expectations and pointed to a rapidly slowing US economy. PMls in Europe were also disappointing. Despite that, the Us 10 year yield edged higher, rising to 4.25%. Futures continue to point a terminal Fed Funds Rate of 5%. The 10year Gilt yield plunged 31 points after it was revealed Rishi Sunak would be the next UK prime minister.FX:The US Dollar Index rose 0.4%.The Pound and Euro was practically flat. But Japan'sefforts to sta
Analysis on 25 October: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-02

The Analysis on 2 November: US Macro Economy

Your morning market bite. US JOLTS report shows a resilient labour market. All eyes on the Fed!Stocks: Wall Street pulled back following some stronger than forecast US economic data. The S&P500 dropped 0.41%, while the NASDAQ shed 1%. Energy and financials were the leaders for the day, while lT, consumer discretionary and communication services lagged. SPI Futures are indicating a 5 point jump for the ASX200 this morning. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$Rates/bonds: ISM Manufacturing PMl was slightly stronger than expected, while US JOLTS Job Openi
The Analysis on 2 November: US Macro Economy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-09-15

Stock Markets| Thought on Inflation& Macroeconomy

Your 2-minute market wrap. Stocks steady but all eyes on the FOMC next week."GDP increases 1.7 percent in June 2022 quarter" $ New Zealand Dollar - main 2209(NZDmain)$ A lift in the participation rate pushes the unemployment rate to 3.5% from 3.4%.  33.5k jobs added, below 35.5k forecast. $Australian Dollar - Sep 2022(AUD2209)$  $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$
Stock Markets| Thought on Inflation& Macroeconomy
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-22

ASX Stocks| A Good Chance to Enter

Pick your preferred risk-on-play: #gold or S&P500. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$  $Eversource(ES)$
ASX Stocks| A Good Chance to Enter
avatarKyleRodda
2022-11-30

ASX Stocks| Big miss on Aussie CPI

Big miss on Aussie CPI. 6.9%  y/y versus 7.6% forecast. $Australian Dollar - Dec 2022(AUD2212)$ down.
ASX Stocks| Big miss on Aussie CPI
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-19

US Stock Market| Thoughts on NFLX

A bit of word vomit here. But here are the headlines for Netflix's results. $Netflix(NFLX)$ EPS: $3.10, Est $2.13. Net adds: 2.41m v 4.38mFollow me to learn more about analysis!!
US Stock Market| Thoughts on NFLX
avatarKyleRodda
2022-12-07

S&P 500: 100DMA acting as support.

Price action for $S&P 500(.SPX)$Resistance respected. Ascending wedge breaks.100DMA acting as support.
S&P 500: 100DMA acting as support.
avatarKyleRodda
2022-10-18

News about Macro Economy

New Zealand CPI rises 7.2% in the September quarter. Key headlines from RBA minutes. $BetaShares Strong Australian Dollar(AUDS.AU)$  Follow me to learn more about news!!
News about Macro Economy

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