Replying to @古拉克:To the moon//@古拉克:Firecracker and firework give the best festive atmosphere for the event.

Firecracker and firework give the best festive atmosphere for the event.

very insightful

No matter what, the anticipate is already priced in the recent surge of BTC, once the news is confirm, investor will sell the news to lock in profit.

I believe in data.

great

Viola

In 2024, the Federal Reserve will commence a cycle of interest rate cuts. Which ETFs should be on your radar during this rate-cutting cycle? Russell 2000 Index ETF, IWM: While major indices like the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow are approaching new highs, the Russell 2000 Index, representing 2000 small-cap stocks, has been consolidating for nearly two years. In 2024, there is a strong likelihood that the Russell 2000 may experience a catch-up rally. The long-term suppression of the Russell 2000 can be attributed to two main factors: During a bull market phase, small-cap stocks detach from fundamentals, experiencing significant gains only to undergo a substantial decline. It takes time for the bottom chips to turn over, allowing for a recovery. Interest rate hikes have a significant impact on gr

This week is a crucial week for central banks. On Wednesday, it is the last interest rate meeting of the year for the Federal Reserve, and not raising interest rates is already the market consensus. In addition to the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England, Switzerland, and Norway will also hold meetings. Except for the Central Bank of Norway, the others are likely to maintain stable interest rates. Major banks and experts predict a decrease of 125 basis points in interest rates next year. The optimism surrounding the potential rate cut, starting as early as March, has boosted the recent bullish sentiment in the stock market. A scenario where the economy remains stable and there is a slight interest rate cut is considered the best scenario for the stock market's st

The $S&P 500 Index(.SPX.US)$ rose 0.4% to 4,604.37, while the $Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI.US)$ gained 0.4% to 36,247.87. The $Nasdaq Composite Index(.IXIC.US)$ closed 0.5% higher at 14,403.97. S&P 500 index broke through the previous high of 4607 points intraday, which was set on July 27. In July, S&P 500 was deviating too far from the long-term moving average, a condition referred to as a high "dispersion rate." Once the dispersion rate is high, the index tends to correct. There are two ways to correct: a sideways movement until the annual moving average catches up or a decline to meet the annual moving average. The S&P 500 rapidly declined and reversed after hitting the annual moving average. Now, with the S&P 500 reaching the 4607 high again, it is once aga

All in valuable stocks like Telsa, NVIDIA and hold. Buy the fear when war breaks, when oil price surges etc

Following is the market recap on 2023 Dec 5, Tuesday The JOLTS data today indicates that the U.S. labor market is cooling down, and this week there is also the ADP small non-farm payroll, and on Friday, there is a large non-farm payroll. These are crucial macroeconomic data points before the Federal Reserve’s December interest rate meeting. In reality, the market has already set the probability of no interest rate hike in December at 97.7%, basically a foregone conclusion. The trading prices in the bond market are the most sensitive to interest rates. When bond prices rise, market interest rates are actually declining. Recently, bonds have quietly risen, and bond yields have dropped significantly. The ten-year U.S. Treasury yield turned downward after reaching 5% on October 19, and now it

Market log for 4 Dec 2023, Monday In Monday’s stock market, a significant downturn pressure was witnessed, with the market showing divergence at its peak. The divergence, particularly in the KDJ indicator, often accumulates dynamic energy, posing the potential for a sudden downward movement. The S&P 500 index, after a modest increase in the past two weeks, displayed a progressively lower KDJ situation. The accuracy of a top divergence in KDJ deserves attention, though blind reliance is cautioned. When KDJ turns down from above 80, it signals overbought conditions, suggesting weakening buying strength and potential challenges for the market’s upward momentum. Severe divergences may lead to corrective moves in the form of neutral or even bearish candlesticks in the index. However, it’s e

Today, Powell delivered a roundtable speech at Spelman College in Atlanta, effectively dousing the market with cold water. He emphasized the dual mandate of the Federal Reserve: achieving full employment and maintaining price stability. On the employment front, the labor market demonstrated strength, with a slight uptick in the unemployment rate in the latter half of the year but still holding at a historic low of 3.9%. Concerning price stability, the long-term target is a 2% inflation rate. Despite the Fed’s measures such as rate hikes and balance sheet reduction to curb inflation, the core inflation rate remains elevated at 3.5%, significantly surpassing the target. Powell underscored that the belief in having implemented sufficiently restrictive policies is premature, and speculating on

The iron rule of nature is: You get what you reward for. If you want ants to come, you put sugar on the floor. by Charlie Munger.

Post rocket to the moon.