Travis Hoium
Travis Hoium
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avatarTravis Hoium
2024-04-04

Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA

1.SPOT $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ Spotify's user base has increased at a 26.6% compound annual growth rate.ImageA year ago, I wrote that SPOT had 10x potential over the next 10 years. 1 year in, the stock is up 118.4% and I'm more bullish than ever. 2.DIS $Walt Disney(DIS)$ As the parks go, Disney goes.Image3.NVDA $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's data center business didn't exist a decade ago. Insane!Imagehttps://twitter.com/TravisHoium/status/1775558658186695161
Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-04-04

Investing Over-Simplified

Investing Over-SimplifiedIf you can explain how the stocks you own will grow earnings AND benefit from multiple expansion you are 5 steps ahead of most investors. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ ImageYou won't beat the market if no one thinks you're a little crazy.90% of beating the market is really just:Buy great companiesDoing nothing for YEARSProfitIt's harder than it looks, but the formula is simple.https://twitter.com/Travi
Investing Over-Simplified
avatarTravis Hoium
2025-10-12

State of the Portfolio - SPOT, COIN, PTLO, SPCE, ONON, ABNB, DIS, MGM, GOOG, CROX, Z, CELH

Below, I’m going to give an idea of where companies sit from a valuation, balance sheet, and growth perspective. These metrics aren’t all-encompassing and may miss some key information, but this is a snapshot to help you/me figure out where there are opportunities and what stocks may be worth trimming.If there is a market downturn, I want to own companies that can survive and ultimately thrive on the other side.Tomorrow, I’ll be back with Part 2.On Sunday, I’ll recap with some stats about the portfolio overall.1. $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ Spotify continues to perform extremely well operationally. The problem is, the valuation keeps getting higher and higher.When I first bought Spotify, the stock was unloved because it wasn’t a proven cash fl
State of the Portfolio - SPOT, COIN, PTLO, SPCE, ONON, ABNB, DIS, MGM, GOOG, CROX, Z, CELH
avatarTravis Hoium
2025-12-06

The Reason Behind Investing in Big Names

One of the things I try to do is understand why things have worked out the way they have in the past.I’ve written a lot about how formerly strong brands like $The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$ , $BUDWEISER BREWING CO APAC LTD.(BDWBY)$ , and $Coca-Cola(KO)$ have lost their power position, as limited shelf space that drove supply’s advantage shifted in an internet world of unlimited shelf space.But where are the opportunities?A simple screen of the stocks that have generated a 25% compound annual return (25.9% is a 10x in 10 years) shows that most of the big companies on the list were household names a decade ago. And yet, they still generated huge returns.Even if we loo
The Reason Behind Investing in Big Names

It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT

A year ago, if you wrote something nice about $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , someone would respond with something like, “They’re cooked. Ever heard of ChatGPT?”The sentiment around Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai was about as bad as it could get. He didn’t know how to innovate. Google was terrible at making new products. A “woke” culture couldn’t win in AI (see early Gemini images). Today, Google seems inevitable. And I’m struck by how simple the answer was and continues to be as an investor. Buy Alphabets stock and just hang on for the ride! The History of DisruptionThe negative sentiment around Google was always about disruption. ChatGPT was first to “figure out” the AI chatbot, and that would disrupt
It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-02-13

Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around

$Walt Disney(DIS)$ hasn’t been the most popular stock over the past year and that’s understandable for a lot of reasons. Films have been disappointing, cable TV is dying, and the streaming business is losing money like crazy.But in the August 2023 spotlight of Disney, I laid out how the company could be a leader in streaming everything from proprietary IP to sports with an experiences business attached.Q1 2024 financial results showed Bob Iger is not only taking Disney in that direction, but he may be burning some bridges along the way.First Things FirstAt a high level, the quarter was about treading water on the top line and cost cuts on the bottom line. The cuts were deeper than expected and that’s why the market reacted positively to the quarter
Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around
avatarTravis Hoium
2025-07-27

Google Flexes Its AI Muscles

Whether the market realizes it or not, the biggest news of the week was $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ earnings report. The company told us search continues to grow, Gemini is taking market share, and Google Cloud is becoming a behemoth.Despite the momentum, Alphabet stock trades at the lowest P/E multiple of any Mag7 stock and about one-third than owning the market overall. The market’s perception is that Alphabet is being disrupted.I disagree.This is the fourth largest position in the Asymmetric Portfolio, and I think a decade from now, this will be seen as one of the “no-brainer” winners in AI. But that’s not the conventional wisdom today.Search Isn’t DeadLet’s start with search. The theory is tha
Google Flexes Its AI Muscles

Behind Mobileye Stock's Wild Week

A big autonomy win has pushed Mobileye higher, but an acquisition added questions about management's priorities.Mobileye’s U.S. Automaker WinI think the most consequential announcement this week was Mobileye announcing a second design win with “a US-based automaker”. Here’s the meat of the announcement. Mobileye today announced that a US-based automaker has chosen the Mobileye EyeQ™6H to power future advanced driver assistance systems with hands-free driving on select highways across millions of vehicles worldwide. This deal reflects accelerating demand for Mobileye Surround ADAS™ systems globally, and Mobileye now estimates future delivery of more than 19 million EyeQ6H-based Surround systems, including 9 million from the new automaker announced today in addition to programs by Volkswagen
Behind Mobileye Stock's Wild Week
avatarTravis Hoium
2024-09-26

Slow and Steady Wins the Race

The stock market is weird.You can do a great analysis. Be correct about your thesis. And sometimes, the stock doesn’t react for months or even years.Eventually, fundamentals win, but short-term emotions and speculation drive the market.I’m seeing this dynamic play out in $ON Semiconductor(ON)$ . The company hasn’t released so much as a press release since earnings came out on August 13, 2024, and yet the stock is up 22.1% in that time. The market’s sentiment changed, but why?The Same StoryNothing about On Holding has changed in the past month.Nothing has changed in the past year.The company just keeps delivering steady growth quarter after quarter.Why is the stock up?I could spin a tale to tell you why shares are moving. Maybe it was
Slow and Steady Wins the Race
avatarTravis Hoium
2025-06-07

Elon Musk's $1 Trillion Gamble

Note: I wrote most of this before today’s Twitter meltdown by Musk and Donald Trump. I thought it was still relevant today, and maybe more so for investors. On with the story.Next week, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is expected to launch a fully autonomous robotaxi in the city of Austin, TX.This comes more than a decade after Elon Musk said 90% of Tesla’s miles would be autonomous.Will Tesla finally be fully autonomous? Sort of.From what we know, the City of Austin is requiring Tesla to have remote operators available at a moment’s notice. And a safety driver may be in the front seat.But if Robotaxis do indeed launch next week, it would be big news for all of autonomy. It impacts Tesla, and it impacts at least four of the biggest holdings in the Asymmetric
Elon Musk's $1 Trillion Gamble

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