Investing Over-SimplifiedIf you can explain how the stocks you own will grow earnings AND benefit from multiple expansion you are 5 steps ahead of most investors. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ $GLOBAL X DOW 30® COVERED CALL ETF(DJIA)$ ImageYou won't beat the market if no one thinks you're a little crazy.90% of beating the market is really just:Buy great companiesDoing nothing for YEARSProfitIt's harder than it looks, but the formula is simple.https://twitter.com/Travi
Travis Hoium
No personal profile
0Follow
995Followers
0Topic
0Badge
Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk
$Mobileye Global Inc.(MBLY)$ ’s Gambit Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk. Mobileye made one of the most surprising announcements in the market this week. Instead of waiting for customers to adopt its Level 4 robotaxi software and hardware solutions — continuing the modular business model it’s been using for years — Mobileye is making its own robotaxi vehicle and ride-sharing app. Mobileye isn’t abandoning its old business model, but it is bolting on a high-risk vertical integration model. Upon further review, this makes a lot of sense, even if it’s not being done from a point of strength. Mobileye’s current business model is selling autonomy hardware and software to automakers, which is ultimately reliant on OEMs for demand.
Mobileye is going to own robotaxis, which is a big risk
Debt will fuel the next phase of the market, for better or worse
Why Everything In the Market Just Changed Debt will fuel the next phase of the market, for better or worse. The AI buildout has been driving the market in incredible ways over the past three years. Memory has exploded, fabs are going vertical, and equipment-makers are on a massive hot streak. S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ heat map over the past year. What’s unique about this moment is the scale of the value the market has put on all things AI. 45% of the S&P 500’s value is in AI-related stocks. And those stocks aren’t cheap. Over half of the S&P 500 trades for over 10x sales. This is something I’ve been concerned about for a while, but it’s taken a turn recently. Why? Debt at an unprecedented scale is now involved. More on that in a mom
Debt will fuel the next phase of the market, for better or worse
Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA
1.SPOT $Spotify Technology S.A.(SPOT)$ Spotify's user base has increased at a 26.6% compound annual growth rate.ImageA year ago, I wrote that SPOT had 10x potential over the next 10 years. 1 year in, the stock is up 118.4% and I'm more bullish than ever. 2.DIS $Walt Disney(DIS)$ As the parks go, Disney goes.Image3.NVDA $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ NVIDIA's data center business didn't exist a decade ago. Insane!Imagehttps://twitter.com/TravisHoium/status/1775558658186695161
Hot stock reviews - SPOT, DIS & NVDA
Investing Over-Simplified
Investing Over-Simplified
It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT
A year ago, if you wrote something nice about $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ , someone would respond with something like, “They’re cooked. Ever heard of ChatGPT?”The sentiment around Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai was about as bad as it could get. He didn’t know how to innovate. Google was terrible at making new products. A “woke” culture couldn’t win in AI (see early Gemini images). Today, Google seems inevitable. And I’m struck by how simple the answer was and continues to be as an investor. Buy Alphabets stock and just hang on for the ride! The History of DisruptionThe negative sentiment around Google was always about disruption. ChatGPT was first to “figure out” the AI chatbot, and that would disrupt
It’s Over! Google has beaten OpenAI and ChatGPT
Regulatory Capture vs Disruption: $COIN $HIMS Challenge the System
The common theme is I want to own companies playing offense, not defense. But defense does have its advantages in business, and this week, we saw how regulatory capture can be used to delay, if not prevent, disruptive businesses. $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ saw just how powerful the banking lobby is and $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ sees opportunities blocked by the economics and incentives of regulatory capture. This dynamic isn’t new in business. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ had to get laws changed to operate in most states and $Uber(UBER)$ operated illegally in some instances, blocked by a legal monopoly taxis held. W
Regulatory Capture vs Disruption: $COIN $HIMS Challenge the System
Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around
$Walt Disney(DIS)$ hasn’t been the most popular stock over the past year and that’s understandable for a lot of reasons. Films have been disappointing, cable TV is dying, and the streaming business is losing money like crazy.But in the August 2023 spotlight of Disney, I laid out how the company could be a leader in streaming everything from proprietary IP to sports with an experiences business attached.Q1 2024 financial results showed Bob Iger is not only taking Disney in that direction, but he may be burning some bridges along the way.First Things FirstAt a high level, the quarter was about treading water on the top line and cost cuts on the bottom line. The cuts were deeper than expected and that’s why the market reacted positively to the quarter
Disney's Bob Iger Isn't Playing Around
$GOOG's $85B Raise Is a Warning Shot to AI Competitors
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ raising $85 billion at peak hype is brilliant. They can now watch competitors scrounge to either dilute with equity or watch rising debt costs eat their business. I wouldn’t want to be a neocloud up against that beast. The Asymmetric Portfolio has been underperforming the market all year because I have no semi/memory/chip exposure outside of $GOOG. Frankly, I'm not buying the bubble. BUT now that we have a big selloff in bubbl-y stocks, I'm up 2% and the market is down 1%. Time will show the slow and steady approach of buying great companies at reasonable prices will win. FOMO has a bad connotation for a reason. On the internet, the power goes to the company people CHOOSE to interact with every day.
$GOOG's $85B Raise Is a Warning Shot to AI Competitors
Google Flexes Its AI Muscles
Whether the market realizes it or not, the biggest news of the week was $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ earnings report. The company told us search continues to grow, Gemini is taking market share, and Google Cloud is becoming a behemoth.Despite the momentum, Alphabet stock trades at the lowest P/E multiple of any Mag7 stock and about one-third than owning the market overall. The market’s perception is that Alphabet is being disrupted.I disagree.This is the fourth largest position in the Asymmetric Portfolio, and I think a decade from now, this will be seen as one of the “no-brainer” winners in AI. But that’s not the conventional wisdom today.Search Isn’t DeadLet’s start with search. The theory is tha
Google Flexes Its AI Muscles
The Reason Behind Investing in Big Names
One of the things I try to do is understand why things have worked out the way they have in the past.I’ve written a lot about how formerly strong brands like $The Kraft Heinz Company(KHC)$ , $BUDWEISER BREWING CO APAC LTD.(BDWBY)$ , and $Coca-Cola(KO)$ have lost their power position, as limited shelf space that drove supply’s advantage shifted in an internet world of unlimited shelf space.But where are the opportunities?A simple screen of the stocks that have generated a 25% compound annual return (25.9% is a 10x in 10 years) shows that most of the big companies on the list were household names a decade ago. And yet, they still generated huge returns.Even if we loo
The Reason Behind Investing in Big Names
Go to Tiger App to see more news