๐๐ง ๐ Is Capital Repricing AI Duration via $PLTR LEAPS? ๐๐ง ๐
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 23Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|24Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm watching a very deliberate repricing take shape, and the charts are unusually aligned. ๐ Long-Dated Conviction In Software Iโm seeing over $19M in premium flow into Palantir June 2027 $210 calls, with additional size extending into 2028. These contracts were bought to open, clustered, and largely lifted at the ask. This is not short-term gamma or tactical hedging. This is capital committing to duration. June 2027 sits well beyond quarterly noise and near-term contract
Iโm flagging this because leveraged ETFs still catch traders off guard. $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ goes ex-dividend today, 23Dec25, at $0.11222 per share. That matters for price mechanics and positioning, not yield. I always treat TSLL as a precision tool. It works best when $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is trending cleanly, structure is clear, momentum is strong & volatility is directional. I avoid it in choppy tape because decay becomes the silent enemy and sideways regimes slowly bleed the position. The biggest edge for me is flexibility. TSLL trades outside regular hours, so when Tesla reacts to deliveries, CPI, or headlines, I can respond immediately instead of waiting for the options chai
@Barcode:๐โก๐ Tesla back in the top seven by market cap, can it hold the line ๐โก๐
$SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ๐๐ง ๐ $SMCI Institutional Accumulation Breaks to Record Highs ๐๐ง ๐ Iโm watching institutional ownership in $SMCI push to all time highs, and this is not background noise. This is sponsorship. While price has already absorbed a violent repricing cycle, institutions have continued to accumulate, not distribute. That divergence matters. It signals weaker hands exiting during volatility while long duration capital steadily absorbed supply. I focus on what institutions actually underwr
๐๐ก๏ธ๐ ServiceNow Rewrites Enterprise Security With $7.75B Armis Deal ๐๐ก๏ธ๐
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ 23Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|24Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm watching ServiceNow make a deliberate, high-conviction move to reinforce its position as the control plane for the modern enterprise. ServiceNow has confirmed it will acquire Armis for US$7.75B in cash, with the transaction expected to close in H2 2026, subject to regulatory approvals. Armis was last valued around US$6.1B and already serves more than 40% of the Fortune 100. This is not incremental. This is architectural. ๐ Strategic significance I see this acquisition as ServiceNow
๐๐ง ๐ SPY Volatility Hits Extreme Lows, A Cross-Asset Compression Regime Is In Play ๐๐ง ๐
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$ 23Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|24Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ IV Rank Collapse Iโm watching $SPY IV Rank collapse to an extreme 1.51%, one of the lowest readings of the year. Option pricing has been aggressively crushed relative to realised movement. This is deliberate positioning, not noise, as we move into a holiday shortened tape where dealers are comfortable selling premium and risk appetite stays contained. ๐ Volatility Drift Confirms The Message Iโm seeing both IV and ARV completely flattened across the session
๐โก๐ Tesla back in the top seven by market cap, can it hold the line ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Bullish 23Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|24Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ Price Behaviour, Structure, And The Battle Zone Price action opened exactly how late-stage momentum names often do. Up $2.50, down $2.50, then back to flat within the first 15 minutes. That tells me liquidity is deep and two-sided, not thin or emotional. Despite printing a fresh all-time high yesterday, TSLA failed to secure a new high daily close. That failure matters. Near-term structure requires $487 and $485.50 to hold, with clearly defined resistance at $489.88. This is not noise. This is a well-defined battle zone where suppl
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Netflix(NFLX)$ ๐๐๐ง Liquidity Is Leading, Not Breadth ๐โก๐ Iโm reading this market through one primary lens right now, liquidity is leading price, not participation. That distinction matters, especially into a holiday week where surface-level calm can hide very deliberate positioning underneath. ๐ Mega-cap options concentration sets the regime Iโm looking at the 10-day options volume leaderboard and $NVDA remains miles ahead with roughly 45.9M contracts traded. That level of sustained activity reflects institutional scale an
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ ๐๐๐ง Rocket Lab, after-hours price action versus information ๐ง ๐๐ Iโm watching the after-hours tape in Rocket Lab and the move doesnโt align with the underlying information. The stock is down roughly $5 in after-hours trade following reports that a director sold 30,000 shares last week. ๐ Insider activity in context The filings show 30k shares sold across December under a pre-arranged 10b5-1 plan. Post-sale, the director still owns approximately 393,000 shares. On a ~$20B market capitalisation, this transaction
๐จ๐๐ง Volatility mispricing beneath the surface, what $AMD and $ORCL are quietly telling us ๐๐ง ๐จ
$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ $Oracle(ORCL)$ $Western Digital(WDC)$ I want to focus on a volatility screen that highlights structural mispricing rather than headline noise. This is not a list of volatile stocks. It is a list of stocks where options have been historically underpriced relative to the actual realised moves in the underlying. The attached table ranks stocks by Volatility Scorecard, with most names clustered between 96 and 100. That immediately tells me implied volatility has repeatedly failed to reflect realised volatility, not occasionally, but ac
๐โก๐ Tesla Rewrites the Tape at New Highs as $500 Becomes the Marketโs Gravity Point ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Direxion Daily TSLA Bull 2X Shares(TSLL)$ Bullish$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ 22Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|23Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read Price Discovery at New Highs Iโm watching $TSLA behave exactly how a momentum led breakout should. The stock printed a fresh all time high at $498.93, tagged my $498.8 blue band almost to the cent, and pulled back in a controlled, mechanical way. That response was not emotional selling. It was liquidity being tested and absorbed. ๐ Options Flow and Dealer Positioning There has been a heavy concentration of weekly $500 strike call activity, dominated by sweeps and blocks. Dealers
๐คโก๐ Quantum Options Signal Turns Aggressively One-Sided ๐โก๐ค
$D-Wave Quantum Inc.(QBTS)$ Bullish $IONQ Inc.(IONQ)$ Bullish $Rigetti Computing(RGTI)$ Bullish 22Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|23Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm seeing a familiar early-cycle signal across quantum names, and itโs coming from positioning, not headlines. Put/call ratios across the group have collapsed to extreme lows versus their 20-day norms. That tells me traders are pressing direction, not hedging exposure. ๐ Options Positioning Is Doing the Talking The Bloomberg snapshot is unambiguous. Todayโs put/call ratios sit deeply compressed across $QBTS $IONQ $RGTI $QUBT versus their own recent history. When ratios dislocate this far, it reflects urgency and leverage,
๐โก๐ Tesla $TSLA Tightens At $483.50 As $500 Or Failure At $477 Comes Into Focus ๐โก๐
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 21Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ|22Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm treating this as a classic compression phase at elevated levels. $TSLA needs to hold $483.50 on a daily closing basis to keep the path toward $500 open. Price is tightening and needs to choose a direction. A hard loss of $477 would signal failed acceptance and, quite simply, no presents under the tree ๐ฒ for this name. ๐ My Daily Structure And Technical Read I anchor to the higher timeframe first. $TSLA has printed record weekly closes in the high $490s, which carries material
๐๐ฐ๏ธ๐ Rocket Lab Execution Is Forcing Repricing ๐๐ฐ๏ธ๐
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Northrop Grumman(NOC)$ $AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ 21Dec25 ET ๐บ๐ธ | 22Dec25 NZ ๐ณ๐ฟ Iโm watching Rocket Lab move through a phase that separates real space companies from stories. Mission success, contract validation, analyst upgrades, and technically confirmed price discovery are now aligning. This is not a single headline move. This is layered execution. ๐ฐ๏ธ Mission Reliability Is Now Compounding Iโm starting with operations because that is where value is earned in this industry. Rocket Lab has now completed its 21st successful Ele
๐๐ฅ๐ Weekly Market Recap for week ending 19Dec25 20Dec25 ET ๐บ๐ธ | 21Dec25 NZ ๐ณ๐ฟ
$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Bullish $Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ๐ฆ Market Pulse From my seat, the tape confirmed structural strength rather than late cycle excess. The S&P 500 settled at 6,834.78, up +0.89% on the session, extending 2025 gains to +16%, and when I map this year against the full S&P 500 return distribution back to 1928, it registers as a solid double digit outcome rather than an outlier melt up. That distinction matters to me for forward expectations, valuation tolerance, and risk management discipline. What stands out to me next is the NASDAQ Composite closing at 23,307.62, up +1.31%. I read
@Queengirlypops:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ I luv โค๏ธ seeing a true Rocket ๐ rocketing and my long term play soaring with fresh ๐ฐ fr! Big shoutout to @Barcode for this setup it's sure volatile with big moves but I'm in for the long haul to da moon ๐ love living close to the rocketlab facility in da city of sails in da land down under ๐ณ๐ฟ ๐ง
@Tui Jude:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ I trimmed some positions for a little weekend cash to ๐ฆ Will look to add more positions once @Barcode gives me the nod! Happy Christmas everyone! ๐๐๐๐
I find this timing interesting. Nancy Pelosi retires at the end of this year and her disclosed portfolio is up 224% since early 2023. This is the final reported weighting as she exits public office, and itโs a reminder of how consistently sheโs been positioned in the right parts of the market. Final top holdings into retirement ~ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$$Amazon.com(AMZN)$$Schwab Short-Term U.S. Treasury ETF(SCHO)$$Broadcom(AVGO)$ That mix says AI infrastructure, cloud, security, and durable cash flow. You donโt land on those weights by accident. ๐๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ จ
@Barcode:๐๐ง ๐ $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning ๐๐ง ๐
@Kiwi Tigress:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ Got better than yesterdays wake up ๐ฒ ๐ happy weekend espesh for us Kiwis fr TY @Barcode Santa arvd early fr ๐ฅ
@Kiwi Tigress:$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ took profit too goooooood to not take some Christmas ๐ money fr ๐ค๐ค๐ค ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ THANKS FOR THE XMAS PRESSIE @Barcode
๐๐ง ๐ $NVDA Into Year-End, Calm Vol, OPEX Distortions and the $2T AI Reckoning ๐๐ง ๐
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Palo Alto Networks(PANW)$ ๐ 19Dec25 ๐บ๐ธ | 20Dec25 ๐ณ๐ฟ, Context Before Conclusions Iโm framing everything below through the lens of a major year-end expiry window. This is quadruple witching and OPEX territory, where equity options, index options, single-stock futures, and index futures all roll simultaneously. These events routinely distort spot price, compress realised volatility, and mute price discovery as dealer hedging dominates tape action. What looks calm on the surface often masks aggressive positioning shifts undernea