AlanBell
AlanBell
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avatarAlanBell
2023-03-29
I had seen a lot of paid bashers here .. Lot of Games are being played here and these guys talks about the silence of DM. Folks he is busy in his Job . Don't have time to give an explanations to all the Bashers and does not make any sense.. This will not go to basket as u expect.. Will come up at any point now.. I had never seen such a paid shortings and bathers in any other stocks at the Penny Level. Definitely some Big Players are really worried in MULN coming up . Since all thr Dirty Corporate games are being played and those who abandon the ship will regret it for sure.. Am gonna add more .. can't loose the opp . All the best my fellow FolksA good investment...
avatarAlanBell
2021-07-15

Some point about AMD I have to say….

So here we go guys (Tom, take some deep breaths and remember I am absolutely 100% on yours/AMD’s side here...), there’s something I’ve not seen anyone mention on here and it scares me when this happens. We all know about the recent Intel announced server delay... but that news was out ages ago and yet just broke, what, a few weeks ago? The reason I bring this up is I’ve heard whispers that a similar situation may or may not take place with AMD. Could literally be another quarter or more until we find out for sure, but it’s obviously “easy” to spin bad news that I am slightly concerned will be utilized by the street to manipulate people into selling/excuse for shorting it down irrationally low. We’ve all seen this nonsense too many times in the past to ignore the possibility entirely (remem
Some point about AMD I have to say….
avatarAlanBell
2023-08-29

Accumulate Taiwan Semiconductor, Especially If Mr. Market Brings It Down

SummaryTSMC's stock price has struggled to recover, but investors should accumulate it due to the semiconductor industry's recovery and TSMC's unique competitive position.The semiconductor industry is seeing the bottom in demand, and TSMC's revenue has been showing signs of improvement.TSMC is the only major fabrication company that does not compete with its own customers, giving it a strong advantage over potential newcomers like Intel.BING-JHEN HONGIntroductionVolatility is arguably inevitable when investing in tech companies. This is especially true for semiconductor players as the industry is heavily reliant on macroeconomic conditions. Perhaps, as a result of this inherent business cycle, TSMC's $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ stock
Accumulate Taiwan Semiconductor, Especially If Mr. Market Brings It Down
avatarAlanBell
2022-03-29

Is Genting Singapore Limited's Stock On A Downtrend As A Result Of Its Poor Financials?

With its stock down 2.6% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Genting Singapore (SGX:G13). We decided to study the company's financials to determine if the downtrend will continue as the long-term performance of a company usually dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus onGenting Singapore'sROE. Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital. How Is ROE Calculated? The formula for ROE is: Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Genting Singapore is: 2.3% = S
Is Genting Singapore Limited's Stock On A Downtrend As A Result Of Its Poor Financials?
avatarAlanBell
2023-06-07

Marathon Digital: Look Out Below If Bitcoin Breaks Down

SummaryMarathon Digital Holdings stock is in a long consolidation.While there's cause for optimism, there are plenty of offsetting factors.Watch Bitcoin itself for Marathon's next move.OlemediaBitcoin (BTC-USD) has been an absolute rocket ship this year. This, despite a pretty sizable consolidation that is underway since mid-April. Of course, that sort of action takes a number of stocks with it, including those that mine Bitcoin for a living.One such name is Marathon Digital $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$, which is also up enormously this year, but has been stuck since mid-April. The last time I visited Marathon, I placed a buy rating on the stock as there was a bullish setup identified in the chart. That setup eventually invalidated, and t
Marathon Digital: Look Out Below If Bitcoin Breaks Down
avatarAlanBell
2023-07-07
The Plug Power $Plug Power(PLUG)$ stock price fell by -6.48% on Thursday, 6th Jul 2023 from $10.64 to $9.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.93% from a day low at $9.81 to a day high of $10.49. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.71% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -2 million shares and in total, 34 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $338.44 million.The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, t
avatarAlanBell
2023-04-24

$BBAI The Go-To AI Provider For Federal Agencies

The recent AI hype following the release of Open AI’s ChatGPT had a significant effect on the majority of AI stocks including BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. $BigBear.ai Holdings(BBAI)$. BBAI is a leading AI-driven decision-making software provider, where the company mainly serves the US national defense and intelligence agencies. However, the company started expanding to more commercial markets throughout the previous year – specifically in industries with a high AI addressable market. With Elon Musk starting his new AI company, BBAI stock and other AI stocks could witness another phase of hype. This could cause a possible short squeeze following the recent short interest on BBAI stock after recent speculations about possible AI industry regulations.BB
$BBAI The Go-To AI Provider For Federal Agencies
avatarAlanBell
2023-03-31
Gonna ask this question here as otherwise it'd look like trolling (I'm long INTC).What do you guys think about the current trend of increasing power consumption and decreasing value? My desktop is still sporting an old Ryzen 1700, bought for about $100 three or four years ago. Yesterday, I compared it to the behemoth 5995WX Threadripper. Sure, these aren't "supposed" to be comparable, but still... The TR is 65x the price with 6.5x the performance. About 4x the power consumption. In other words, per watt it's significantly more expensive, though more efficient, and disregarding power efficiency, it's ridiculously more expensive from a strict pricing perspective. Now, a more obvious comparison would be the 1700 to the 7700. Here, we're talking about 3x the price, with slightly higher power c
avatarAlanBell
2022-03-28

$0.61 EPS Expected for Starbucks Co. This Quarter

Equities analysts forecast that Starbucks Co. will announce earnings per share of $0.61 for the current fiscal quarter. Ten analysts have provided estimates for Starbucks' earnings. The highest EPS estimate is $0.68 and the lowest is $0.58. Starbucks posted earnings of $0.62 per share during the same quarter last year, which would indicate a negative year-over-year growth rate of 1.6%. The business is expected to announce its next quarterly earnings report on Monday, January 1st. On average, analysts expect that Starbucks will report full year earnings of $3.35 per share for the current fiscal year, with EPS estimates ranging from $3.27 to $3.43. For the next fiscal year, analysts forecast that the firm will post earnings of $3.94 per share, with EPS estimates ranging from $3.81 to $4.15.
$0.61 EPS Expected for Starbucks Co. This Quarter
avatarAlanBell
2023-04-21

Alibaba: Irresistible According To Buffett's 10x EBT Rule

SummaryAlibaba Group Holding Limited is currently priced at only 8.5x its FY1 pretax earnings.As such, it provides a very asymmetric return/risk profile according to the so-called Buffett’s 10x pre-tax rule (earnings before taxes, EBT).An 8.5x EBT multiple is comparable to ~12% bond yields because bond yields are quoted in pre-tax terms even if earnings stagnate.Any growth is a bonus.Of course, the assumption is that the business has no existential risk, which is a good assumption here in my view.Andrii Yalanskyi/iStock via Getty ImagesInvestment thesisIn the past 1 or 2 years, the stock prices of Alibaba Group Holding Limited $Alibaba(BABA)$ have been largely dominated by news and fear. Despite a large rally since its stock price bottomed near $6
Alibaba: Irresistible According To Buffett's 10x EBT Rule
avatarAlanBell
2023-08-11
FTNT $Fortinet(FTNT)$ has grown revenues at a 24% CAGR over the past 5 years and has an average profit margin of 18%. Assuming shares are repurchased uniformly throughout the year, over the last 3 years 91%, 12% and 116% of those profits were used to reduce the diluted share count ~3% per year.If they can grow revenues at 20% over a decade, sustain their 18% profit margin and continue to distribute 70% of it through buybacks, applying a terminal multiple of 20 and discounting at 10% you get today's price of $57.Are all your investments bets on sustained 20% growth in competitive sectors? I am not willing to bet on 20% growth.What if they "only" grow at 15% and "only" 50% of profits can be deployed towards buybacks? Then, all else equal, we are alr
avatarAlanBell
2022-03-25

Buffett Sitting on Oxy Warrants That Could Give Him 23.6 Percent Stake

Warren Buffett’s Occidental Petroleum Corp. warrants are looking increasingly attractive as the share price climbs. As part of Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s $10 billion investment in the oil company in 2019, Buffett has the option to acquire 83.86 million shares at $59.62 each, a level that the stock has closed above the past two days. Exercising those warrants could give Berkshire a nearly 23.6% stake in the oil company, in addition to its preferred stock. Buffett’s firm is already Occidental’s biggest shareholder. “He does have a very good track record of lending out money in times of duress for the recipient, for the borrower, and procuring these warrants,” said Darren Pollock, whose Cheviot Value Management LLC oversees investments including Berkshire shares. “Over time when thos
Buffett Sitting on Oxy Warrants That Could Give Him 23.6 Percent Stake
avatarAlanBell
2022-03-25

Nvidia and Intel might be set to team up on future chip building

Nvidiais apparently considering turning toIntelto manufacture its chips based on recent remarks from the company's CEO Jensen Huang. During a call with reporters, Huang explained that the chip giant is interested in the company using its foundries and that it was open to exploring the idea. However, he also noted that foundry discussions take a long time since they involve integrating supply chains according to anew reportfromReuters. As it stands now, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is responsible for building the majority of Nvidia's chips. However, TSMC also manufacturers chips for AMD, Apple, Broadcom, MediaTek and many other large firms. The reporters on the call asked Huang about whether he was concerned about working with a competitor like Intel to which he said th
Nvidia and Intel might be set to team up on future chip building
avatarAlanBell
2023-08-18

Takeaways From Marathon Digital's Q2 Earnings Call

SummaryDespite missing consensus estimates, Marathon's financial performance demonstrated significant growth compared to the previous.Regulatory scrutiny and Bitcoin price volatility remain challenges for Marathon Digital's future profitability.The company's commitment to enhancing hash rate and mining capacity, along with proprietary firmware development, demonstrates a strategy for operational efficiency.luza studiosMarathon Digital Holdings $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ released its Q2 earnings report on August 8. Despite Bitcoin's (BTC-USD) 78% price gain YTD, the mining company didn't show profitability in its Q2 earnings. Marathon reported a 228.5% YoY increase in revenue, and a Q2 net loss of $21.3 million, resulting in a per-s
Takeaways From Marathon Digital's Q2 Earnings Call
avatarAlanBell
2023-04-11
I used to love staying Airbnb. The prices were reasonable but not so much anymore. For example, I priced out one bedroom apartment for one night and here is the price breakdown:$149 - price $Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ $58 - cleaning fee$28 - service fee$33- taxesThe total is almost $270Hotel cost me about $200 (after taxes)In some instances, Airbnb still makes sense (for example you have a large family and want to stay together and etc) but the reality is Airbnb no longer has an advantage as it did a few years ago.Also, add the fact cities and towns are passing tight regulations and competition is growing, I’m afraid that Airbnb stock is risky.
avatarAlanBell
2023-05-25

Workday: Perfect Shelter In A Volatile Market

SummaryWorkday has continued to grow at a steady pace amid darkening macro clouds.As of its most recent quarter, Workday's subscription growth still exceeded 20% y/y; its current-year guidance implies growth only slowing to the high teens.As the cloud juggernaut in both HCM as well as finance software, Workday remains well-positioned to capture a huge global TAM.Profitability is also inching upward, owing to economies of scale.Workday remains modestly valued at ~6x forward revenue.hapabapaThough rising interest rates have significantly sapped the appeal of stocks versus cash, and in particular slammed the brakes on tech-stock multiples, it's important to not completely lose exposure to growth stocks amid the current recession. In my view, there remains a great opportunity for investor
Workday: Perfect Shelter In A Volatile Market
avatarAlanBell
2023-07-18

Alibaba: Emerging As A Strong Buy Now

SummaryAlibaba's share price has seen a significant uptick, indicating renewed investor confidence following a potential easing of governmental clampdown on the tech sector in China.Despite pressures, Alibaba has demonstrated resilience and is currently undergoing a process of bottom formation, presenting I think a significant buying opportunity.I expect the company's stock price to rise further if the monthly closing price surpasses $121, making a long-term investment entry at the current level an appealing prospect with low risk.maybefalseAlibaba Group Holding Limited $Alibaba(BABA)$, a titan in the global e-commerce and cloud platform arena, has seen a notable uptick in its share price, indicative of a revival in investor confidence. This resur
Alibaba: Emerging As A Strong Buy Now
avatarAlanBell
2023-04-13
lmfao 😆 you longs seriously never learn. mu was supposed to take off after Monday. every analyst said it was a buy and since then it has lagged the market and it's competition. same ol mu. I'm shorting the hell out of it and won't lose. $Micron Technology(MU)$ hammer time GIF
avatarAlanBell
2023-06-09

Lucid Drops On Major Equity Offering

SummaryLucid announced a major capital raise, aiming to raise $3 billion, which caused its shares to drop.LCID is struggling with ramping production and generating sales, leading to significant cash burn.The capital raise will help the balance sheet short-term, but the real issue is increasing production and consumer purchases.hachiwareA couple of weeks ago, I detailed how electric vehicle startup Lucid $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ had just reported another awful set of quarterly results. Not only did the company badly miss revenue estimates, but it also essentially lowered delivery guidance for the year. On Wednesday afternoon, the company saw its shares drop again after announcing a major capital raise to shore up the balance sheet.Man
Lucid Drops On Major Equity Offering
avatarAlanBell
2023-07-27

Teladoc Health: Promising Signs

SummaryTeladoc Health, Inc. reported Q2 2023 results with a double beat.The telehealth provider hinted at an easier market opportunity with reduced competition and a desire for healthcare providers to consolidate the market leader.The stock is still cheap at ~13x forward adjusted EBITDA targets.Moyo StudioTeladoc Health, Inc. $Teladoc Health Inc.(TDOC)$ has faced a difficult year, but the telemedicine provider is starting to show promising signs of a return to sustainable growth. The company faced intense competitive pressure due to Covid excitement for virtual care while demand plunged once doctor offices reopened. My investment thesis is ultra Bullish on the stock, even though the stock is already up sharply after the quarter
Teladoc Health: Promising Signs

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