VictoriaArthur
VictoriaArthur
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avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-04-06
I live in Singapore for more than 15 years. i prefer to take normal taxi, instead of grab. Grab is too expensive nowadays and is not competitive at all when compared to normal taxi like Comfort or Transcab. I will always book a taxi when possible. Many of my friends share the same feeling. we don't think the Grab car business is sustainable, if they keep using the same strategy. I miss those old days when there is 50,000 normal taxis and i can easily get one even at very west of Singapore (e.g. NTU, Tuas) by calling taxi booking number. $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ I think this stock may move below 3 again. Cash burn is very high. Also there is rumor of acquiring Goto which could be disastrous. This is just my own opinion though.And I wish there was some
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-03-23

Is PAPY dead?

Hype doesn’t matter.Earnings matter.PayPal’s operations have produced like $6B past year. They spent around $0.75B on capex same period. That’s what a compounding machine looks like. The business produces much more cash than it needs ($0.75 in…$6 out).$PayPal(PYPL)$ I think it’s an incredibly efficient business. Easy buy at the right price.**Stock based comp is pretty horrendous - costs them around $1-$2B/year right now.Don’t sell because you think it’s dead. It’s generating tons of cash and the market can only miss that for so long.Hold for a few years and give your brain a rest. If you can’t do that, do yourself a favor and move to ETFs.
Is PAPY dead?
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-21

Evaluation of Grab Holdings Limited stock downgraded

The Grab Holdings Limited $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ stock price fell by -1.17% on Tuesday, 20th Jun 2023 from $3.42 to $3.38. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.39% from a day low at $3.34 to a day high of $3.52. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.68% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -8 million shares and in total, 16 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $53.13 million.The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is exp
Evaluation of Grab Holdings Limited stock downgraded
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-05-11

TSMC And ASE: World's Largest Foundry And World's Largest OSAT

SummaryTSMC (53% share) and ASE (27% share) are the world’s largest foundry and OSAT, respectively, with an advantage that extends beyond Taiwan as their positions had strengthened globally.Both companies are partners with an integrated supply chain and both companies have similar geographic distribution of manufacturing sites, customers and revenue.In advanced packaging OSAT, TSMC (8.5% share) is increasingly competing with ASE directly (24% share) as its advanced packaging capabilities are similar to ASE (2.5D/3D and FO) with larger capex.SweetBunFactoryIn the following analysis, we explore the interdependence of two prominent players in the semiconductor industry: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing
TSMC And ASE: World's Largest Foundry And World's Largest OSAT
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-04-13

ZIM Integrated: Last Dividend Paid, Now What

SummaryZIM paid the last major dividend of this cycle on April 3 with an ex-dividend date of April 4.The container shipping market remains under massive pressure, with index rates still falling.ZIM stock trades above $17, but the company faces years of losses pressuring the stock due to the lack of dividend payouts ahead.Daniel WrightOn April 3, ZIM Integrated Shipping Services $ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.(ZIM)$ paid a large dividend to shareholders. As expected, the stock fell to offset the dividend payout, though the amount didn’t originally match the large dividend as forecast. My investment thesis remains Bearish on the stock with shareholders not fully appreciating the lack of dividends in the next few years ahead.Source: FinvizEnd O
ZIM Integrated: Last Dividend Paid, Now What
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-13

Airbnb: I Am Still Not Convinced

SummaryAirbnb investors suffered a hammering in early May due to over-optimism.I had cautioned investors in February that a massive slowdown could be approaching. Perhaps, these investors probably thought management was "sandbagging."Reality is often harsher than it seems, but when reality hits, it's better to accept that ABNB is still priced at a steep premium.Growth investors looking for higher upside have likely left for the AI hype train, leaving Airbnb "diamond hands" to support the stock.courtneykAirbnb, Inc. $Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB)$ stock has struggled for momentum since its initial attempt to bottom out following last month's short report floundered after the market assessed its weak forward guidance in early May.As such, ABNB investors will n
Airbnb: I Am Still Not Convinced
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-07-24

Taiwan Semiconductor: AI Speed Bump

Summary:TSMC reported a mixed Q2'23 earnings report due to cutting full-year estimates.The Taiwanese foundry company still predicted booming AI demand while the headlines focused too much on delays at the Arizona fab.The stock is cheap at 14x more normalized '24 EPS targets considering a forecast for a return to 20% growth.Bilanol/iStock via Getty ImagesTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ reported disappointing Q2’23 earnings to kick off the earnings season for the semiconductor sector on the wrong note. The foundry leader faces a tough Q3 due to ongoing inventory overhangs, but the current weak results are just a speed bump towards a big AI future. My investment thes
Taiwan Semiconductor: AI Speed Bump
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-05

CrowdStrike: Healthy Business Despite Macro Headwinds

SummaryShares of CrowdStrike declined in after-hours trading yesterday, despite the company beating expectations and increasing the full-year guidance.The decline is potentially driven by ARR concerns or the stock simply running ahead of itself into earnings.I believe ARR concerns are unfounded, and that CrowdStrike is well-positioned to deliver strong growth in the following quarters and years.Companies like Snowflake and Cloudflare recently reported underwhelming results, and their share prices are recovering regardless. We could see the same scenario unfold with CrowdStrike, and more so since the results were comparatively stronger.francescoch/iStock via Getty ImagesShares of CrowdStrike $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ took a hit right out o
CrowdStrike: Healthy Business Despite Macro Headwinds
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-19

Plug Power's Progress Is Unlikely To Be Rewarded For A While

SummaryLast August, I turned bullish on Plug Power as I believed the company was finally ready to back up its exciting story with some encouraging numbers.Although Plug Power's topline growth has been encouraging, there have been no positive developments regarding profitability.In this analysis, I highlight how Plug Power is making progress with strategic partnerships that enable the company to grow sustainably in the future.I also discuss why these promising developments may not lead to a positive market reaction for the time being.sarawuth702Last August, I turned bullish on Plug Power Inc. $Plug Power(PLUG)$ as I believed the company was finally ready to back up its exciting story with some encouraging numbers. Although Plug Power's topline grow
Plug Power's Progress Is Unlikely To Be Rewarded For A While
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-07-03

Make No Mistake, Apple's AI Opportunities Are Enormous

SummaryApple’s advancing AI capabilities promise to revolutionize how users engage with devices, driving immense Product and Services revenue growth.Don’t underestimate the commercial viability of Apple’s ecosystem.The bears are missing the grander AI-driven revenue opportunities hidden beneath the surface.fazon1Given the promise of AI to transform products and services across industries, investors have been throwing money at technology stocks that they deem to be big beneficiaries of this revolution. Apple $Apple(AAPL)$ is no exception. Though the company has been more nuanced about its AI capabilities, partly because its executives refer to it as 'machine learning' instead. While Apple's AI-related announcements in June may seem simple, investor
Make No Mistake, Apple's AI Opportunities Are Enormous
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-07

[Watch] MARA versus Bitcoin | How high can MARA pull...?

Year-to-date: ⤴️156,70%What's going on, Team $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$ Yes, yesterday, the SEC went after Binance, and as usual, it created a new buy opportunity.You can see how hard they work to kill BTCUSD to introduce their ideas.Sellers seem exhausted, and they come and go...Today I am sharing Tradingview's Autopattern available for premium members.This is my Demand Zone 7,98$ to 7,66$ per share.Those levels are the weekly candle's Open and Low Prices on April 10, 2023.What does this mean to you? It means I am a buyer at those levels IF, which is a big IF price move lower.Let's congratulate the new Pine Wizards Tradingview in 2023.They have many great tools to enhance your trading and maximize every opportunity.
[Watch] MARA versus Bitcoin | How high can MARA pull...?
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-04-20

1929 Stock Market & Today

The story of 1929 - $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2306(NQmain)$ The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that lasted from 1929 to the late 1930s. There were several factors that contributed to the trigger of the Great Depression, but the key trigger is often attributed to the stock market crash of 1929.In the 1920s, there was a period of economic growth and prosperity in the United States, also known as the "Roaring Twenties." During this time, people invested heavily in the stock market, and the prices of stocks rose rapidly. However, in September and October of 1929, the stock market began to decline, and on October 24, 1929, known as "Black Thursday," panic selling began, causing the stock market to crash.The stock market
1929 Stock Market & Today
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-03-31
I have way too much SOXL and have been rewarded very, very well. Plan on holding longer term even though I have some $6 to $9 shares. $Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL)$ $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ I want to hold for better cap gains treatment and then also see a huge quadruple return when I get $40. Look at the SOXS volume today. Might buy a few as a hedge and then flip since its at its 52 week low.
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-08-17

AMC Entertainment Stock Forecast

The AMC Entertainment $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ stock price gained 1.90% on Wednesday, 16th Aug 2023, rising from $3.68 to $3.75. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.66% from a day low at $3.47 to a day high of $3.84. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -21.88% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -13 million shares and in total, 56 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $210.63 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying
AMC Entertainment Stock Forecast
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-04-13
ARK Innovation's total loss this year is nearly 63%, says Morningstar Direct. That's the largest drop among the more than 230 actively traded diversified ETFs. The S&P 500, in contrast, is down just 14.4% including dividends.Cathie and inverse Jim should start a book club on how to lose billions of dollars $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-03-27
ZIM nice try.$ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.(ZIM)$ 1. US taxpayers get their 25% back thanks to US - Israel ( and many other countries) tax agreements.3. You'll pay US capital gains tax ANYWAY...Last, with your FUD "logic": why invest if you pay taxes? Me? I am perfectly fine paying tax on gains.
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-29

Alibaba: High Risk-High Reward

SummaryAlibaba's stock has been substantially undervalued for a long time because of massive political risks, though I consider these risks are highly likely in the past.The company is well-positioned for growth in e-commerce and cloud computing, with a vast ecosystem, which is a solid competitive advantage.My valuation analysis suggests vast upside potential for the stock price.Andrew BurtonInvestment thesisAlibaba's $Alibaba(BABA)$ stock has been substantially undervalued for a long time. There is only one reason why: vast potential and geopolitical risks. The company's fundamentals are immense, with an impressive growth profile and stellar profitability. Alibaba invests vast resources to fuel further growth, and its firm financial position allo
Alibaba: High Risk-High Reward
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-06-15
I am heavily invested in Faraday $Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc.(FFIE)$, but I'm a realist. I give it an 80% chance of being here one year from now, at a share price of $10 to $25. And a 20% chance of being under a dollar or out of business one year from now. I'm going with the odds and taking the gamble, buying more every week, because where else can you get a share of stock in a company with so much promise - and technological know-how - for 35 cents?
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-04-26

First Republic Bank: We Have Reached A Point Of No Return

SummaryFirst Republic Bank's current situation can be compared to a person in a vegetative state kept alive by a plug: in this case, the plug is the FED's loans.The Fed has not yet been able to save First Republic.Basically, in just three months, First Republic's deposit structure has completely changed.Short-term borrowings have increased by $73.66 billion.wildpixelRecently I wrote an article regarding the whole affair surrounding First Republic Bank $First Republic Bank(FRC)$ and why this bank was in clear trouble due to demerits not its own. That article was appreciated, and I thank you.Anyway, toward the end I was saying that investing in this company before the release of the Q1 quarterly report was too risky since we could not know in detail
First Republic Bank: We Have Reached A Point Of No Return
avatarVictoriaArthur
2023-08-07

Apple: Staying On The Sidelines As Near-Term Weakness Likely To Persist

SummaryThe company has multiple levers to pull on the cost front to ensure that profitability and margins are maintained despite the challenging macroeconomic environment.Apple's iPad, Mac, and iPhone segment remains difficult in the near term, posing a weakness in revenues in the meantime.The US smartphone market is likely to be a headwind to iPhone revenues as a result of inflation, weak consumer demand, and an elevated inventory position.AAPL's capital return to shareholders remains attractive for long-term investors due to its massive net cash position and strong cash generation capabilities.At 29x FY2024 P/E, the risk-reward is not attractive for investors to enter into the name.WirestockI have looked deep into Apple's $Apple(AAPL)$ recent FY
Apple: Staying On The Sidelines As Near-Term Weakness Likely To Persist

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