作者:袁玉玮去年,由全球央行放水驱动的股,债,商品三牛,导致无论国内外,大多数投资者都对2021过度乐观。但是,从宏观基本面来说,2020年股市其实没有基本面支持(我不反对个别行业)。去年的牛市,其实是疫情诱发的金融危机和经济危机大背景下,央行看跌期权 —— 央行为了切断经济危机里的风险传导链,救市压制资产下行波动。那么,体弱内需的经济去年被人为压制的波动 —— 就像令狐冲被一群庸医用外力压制的内...
Source Link泷韬全球宏观2021-03-24
作者:袁玉玮去年,由全球央行放水驱动的股,债,商品三牛,导致无论国内外,大多数投资者都对2021过度乐观。但是,从宏观基本面来说,2020年股市其实没有基本面支持(我不反对个别行业)。去年的牛市,其实是疫情诱发的金融危机和经济危机大背景下,央行看跌期权 —— 央行为了切断经济危机里的风险传导链,救市压制资产下行波动。那么,体弱内需的经济去年被人为压制的波动 —— 就像令狐冲被一群庸医用外力压制的内...
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