Morgan Stanley eyes a correction, S&P 500 falling as much as 20%

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Morgan Stanley eyes a correction, S&P 500 falling as much as 20%

seekingalpha2021-09-22

Large-cap stocks are in a mid-cycle transition with two potential downward paths: fire and ice, Morgan Stanley strategists say. "Many commentators and clients continue to point to the S&P 500 near all...

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Aoyjai
·2021-09-22
The next few weeks is going to be rough and tough, let’s hope for a explosive bull towards end of the year
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- Gabriel林倡銘:
  Hmm
  2021-09-22
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Jenjorjack
·2021-09-22
This weekend and Monday will be critical to see how Evergrande is a contagion a not onshore and offshore. Please like comment and follow.
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- WanEH:
  hope not really affected market
  2021-09-22
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Brencakes
·2021-09-22
Oh no
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dzgunners95
·2021-09-22
Cool
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zolluA
·2021-09-22
Get rdy
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Pluto891
·2021-09-22
another prediction...
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- zolluA:
  ..
  2021-09-22
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Melvin888
·2021-09-22
Another Correction after Mar 2020?
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- SilverSoul:
  Oh no.
  2021-09-22
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- Jweikit:
  Nice
  2021-09-22
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terryvstitch
·2021-09-22
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With our year end target 10% below current levels, our view is clear: the mid-cycle transition will end with the rolling correction finally hitting the S&P 500.\"\nWilson outlines two outcomes:\n\n\nFire, more typical, where the economy overheats and the Fed removes accommodation. It will \"lead to a modest and healthy 10% correction in the S&P 500.\"\nIce, where given \"the extraordinary fiscal stimulus\" during the recession, \"the inevitable deceleration in growth will be much worse than what is currently expected\" and lead to a drop of 20% or more.\n\n\nThe ice scenario, where \"earnings revisions and higher frequency macro data points decelerate amid demand pull forward, supply chain issues and margin pressure\" is starting to look more likely, Wilson says.\nTo play this, Morgan Stanley recommends a barbell strategy of Health Care(NYSEARCA:XLV)and Consumer Staples(NYSEARCA:XLY), while also keeping in Financials(NYSEARCA:XLF)for the potential fire scenario where rates rise.\nInvestors should watch these S&P support and resistance levels, BofA says.","kind":null,"is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":869668273,"gmtCreate":1632281377192,"gmtModify":1676530742569,"author":{"id":"3578371382142637","authorId":"3578371382142637","name":"Aoyjai","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9dcf5c34602d2433f3133ca6c6fece6a","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3578371382142637","authorIdStr":"3578371382142637"},"htmlText":"The next few weeks is going to be rough and tough, let’s hope for a explosive bull towards&nbsp;end of the year&nbsp;","listText":"The next few weeks is going to be rough and tough, let’s hope for a explosive bull towards&nbsp;end of the year&nbsp;","text":"The next few weeks is going to be rough and tough, let’s hope for a explosive bull towards end of the year","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869668273","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5955440,"gmtCreate":1632284414718,"gmtModify":1663234256126,"authorId":3575234021908444,"author":{"id":3575234021908444,"idStr":"3575234021908444","authorId":3575234021908444,"name":"Gabriel林倡銘","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/5f79fe34fb45208de204a36457e2a3d7","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789-1","templateUuid":"7a9f168ff73447fe856ed6c938b61789","name":"Knowledgeable Investor","description":"Traded more than 10 stocks","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":869668273,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"Hmm","text":"Hmm","html":"Hmm"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869691281,"gmtCreate":1632277114343,"gmtModify":1676530741474,"author":{"id":"3554873215379647","authorId":"3554873215379647","name":"Jenjorjack","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d9d4687aa5519f0d2fb1b18f916be861","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84d87792f02cf78e80ee34979fd31e5","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3554873215379647","authorIdStr":"3554873215379647"},"htmlText":"This weekend and Monday will be critical to see how Evergrande is a contagion a not onshore and offshore. Please like comment and follow.","listText":"This weekend and Monday will be critical to see how Evergrande is a contagion a not onshore and offshore. Please like comment and follow.","text":"This weekend and Monday will be critical to see how Evergrande is a contagion a not onshore and offshore. Please like comment and follow.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869691281","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5954482,"gmtCreate":1632278588878,"gmtModify":1663234249241,"authorId":4089383496572850,"author":{"id":4089383496572850,"idStr":"4089383496572850","authorId":4089383496572850,"name":"WanEH","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f13510c4daf7c6eff3a61591fdca817","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":869691281,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"hope not really affected market","text":"hope not really affected market","html":"hope not really affected market"}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869691965,"gmtCreate":1632277098657,"gmtModify":1676530741459,"author":{"id":"3561967153760715","authorId":"3561967153760715","name":"Brencakes","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c929d65869638dbafe19d96b87310089","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3561967153760715","authorIdStr":"3561967153760715"},"htmlText":"Oh no","listText":"Oh no","text":"Oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869691965","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869604606,"gmtCreate":1632276754605,"gmtModify":1676530741356,"author":{"id":"3563319809929304","authorId":"3563319809929304","name":"dzgunners95","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3563319809929304","authorIdStr":"3563319809929304"},"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869604606","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869609686,"gmtCreate":1632276281445,"gmtModify":1676530741221,"author":{"id":"3574939149444540","authorId":"3574939149444540","name":"zolluA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f8d93c1ba9f0a0ae56af713df14b69f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3574939149444540","authorIdStr":"3574939149444540"},"htmlText":"Get rdy","listText":"Get rdy","text":"Get rdy","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869609686","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869875410,"gmtCreate":1632275999030,"gmtModify":1676530741146,"author":{"id":"3581937910767045","authorId":"3581937910767045","name":"Pluto891","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9963f2ef3d3ad2aff28340461d3d6d0","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"idStr":"3581937910767045","authorIdStr":"3581937910767045"},"htmlText":"another prediction...","listText":"another prediction...","text":"another prediction...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869875410","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5954054,"gmtCreate":1632276290462,"gmtModify":1663234247667,"authorId":3574939149444540,"author":{"id":3574939149444540,"idStr":"3574939149444540","authorId":3574939149444540,"name":"zolluA","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f8d93c1ba9f0a0ae56af713df14b69f","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":869875410,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"..","text":"..","html":".."}],"langContent":"EN"},{"id":869878550,"gmtCreate":1632275798770,"gmtModify":1676530741073,"author":{"id":"3577938728188071","authorId":"3577938728188071","name":"Melvin888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1f7e36200d6d8c6159f6d35c041d8e3e","vip":1,"crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3577938728188071","authorIdStr":"3577938728188071"},"htmlText":"Another Correction after Mar&nbsp;2020?","listText":"Another Correction after Mar&nbsp;2020?","text":"Another Correction after Mar 2020?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/869878550","repostId":1111011992,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"comments":[{"id":5953982,"gmtCreate":1632275842431,"gmtModify":1663234247727,"authorId":3563403277012456,"author":{"id":3563403277012456,"idStr":"3563403277012456","authorId":3563403277012456,"name":"SilverSoul","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/692e9e2f198854f2b357459085e07d4f","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-3","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Legendary Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 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