美元走强、卖碳收入低，特斯拉一年来首度收入逊于预期，盘后跳水

华尔街见闻2022-10-20

三季度特斯拉盈利高于预期，接近纪录高位，收入创单季新高，但和毛利率均低于预期，汽车平均售价环比下跌，“卖碳”收入创一年新低，称外汇对利润的负面影响为2.5亿美元。特斯拉重申预期多年内年均交付增速达50%，称上海等各地工厂产量均创单季新高，卡车Semi定于12月开始交付，4680电池产量环比二季度增三倍，三季度储能创新高，同比增62%。财报公布后，特斯拉股价盘后一度跌近7%，马斯克称四季度交付量将...

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AHO
·2022-10-20
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JaniceZhu
·2022-10-20
財報中，特斯拉總結了一些影響營收和盈利能力的因素。正面影響因素包括： 1.汽車交付量增長； 2.汽車平均售價（ASP）同比上漲；但因二季度上海工廠生產受限，ASP環比二季度下跌； 3.其他業務的收入和利潤增長。負面影響因素包括： 1.外匯的負面影響，其中外匯對利潤的負面影響達2.5億美元； 2.原材料、大宗商品、物流、保修、加急送貨的成本增加。 3.特斯拉在美國得州和德國柏林工廠生產爬坡的成本，以及4680電池擴大生產的成本。
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- koolgal:
  Thanks for sharing your insights and knowledge
  2022-10-20
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- Amiter:
  [微笑]
  2022-10-20
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- pipiso:
  nice
  2022-10-20
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奥龙
·2022-10-20
股價的反應，感覺是公司業績出現虧損
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Tesla's revenue was worse than expected for the first time in a year, and it dived after hours","themeId":"","isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae0a2bf2a51c8d036ec07a48c2a45b0e","symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9},"content_text":"三季度特斯拉盈利高于预期，接近纪录高位，收入创单季新高，但和毛利率均低于预期，汽车平均售价环比下跌，“卖碳”收入创一年新低，称外汇对利润的负面影响为2.5亿美元。特斯拉重申预期多年内年均交付增速达50%，称上海等各地工厂产量均创单季新高，卡车Semi定于12月开始交付，4680电池产量环比二季度增三倍，三季度储能创新高，同比增62%。财报公布后，特斯拉股价盘后一度跌近7%，马斯克称四季度交付量将创新高、季度需求将“相当不错”，盘后跌幅收窄到不足3%，但CFO称，预计今年的年度交付增速将低于50%，盘后跌幅又扩大。财报显示，特斯拉今年第三季度的盈利继续超预期增长，但收入一年来首次低于华尔街预期，继周二公布财报的奈飞之后，再次体现了美元走强对美国科技巨头的外汇冲击。美东时间19日周三美股盘后，特斯拉公布的三季度收入创单季新高，EPS盈利和净利润都接近单季最高水平，但收入和毛利率都低于预期，汽车业务的毛利率连续两个季度低于30%。财报中，特斯拉继续重申，预计多年间的年度车辆交付量将增长50%，但承认营收受到负面的外汇影响，而且汽车的平均售价（ASP）环比二季度下跌。有评论称，特斯拉的ASP实际上环比下降了4%，因为出售零排放汽车获得的管理性积分——所谓的“卖碳”收入低了，所以毛利率低于预期。财报公布后，特斯拉股价盘后先迅速上涨，涨幅曾接近3%，后很快跳水转跌，一度跌近7%，此后跌幅收窄。财报业绩电话会上，特斯拉CEO马斯克说，似乎我们将拥有史诗般的一年结尾（epic end of year），预计汽车交付量将在四季度创新纪录，公司预计四季度车辆需求将“相当不错”。特斯拉正在研究廉价的下一代车辆平台。马斯克讲话后，特斯拉股价的盘后跌幅收窄到不足3%。但特斯拉首席财务官（CFO）Kirkhorn在电话会上称，在三季度交付量中，三分之一集中在最近两周内，预计今年的年度交付增速将低于50%。特斯拉的跌幅又扩大到5%。财报中，特斯拉将原材料和大宗商品涨价、物流成本增加列为影响利润的部分负面因素。业绩电话会上，特斯拉高管一致认为，大多数大宗商品的价格正在下跌，但运费却贵得出奇。马斯克称，若没有任何激励政策，特斯拉电池费用恐怕会达到70美元/千瓦时。他确认，特斯拉正在美国得州修建锂冶炼厂。收入创单季新高 但和毛利率低于预期 盈利高于预期 接近纪录高位特斯拉三季度的主要财务数据如下：三季度营业收入214.54亿美元，刷新一季度所创的季度营收新高，同比增长56%，仍低于分析师预期的220.9亿美元，这是2021年第三季度以来首次季度营收低于预期。三季度非美国通用会计准则（GAAP）口径下调整后每股收益（EPS）为1.05美元，略低于一季度所创的EPS最高纪录1.07美元，同比增长69%，高于分析师预期的1.01美元；三季度GAAP口径下EPS为0.95%美元，同比增98%。三季度调整后净利润为32.92亿美元，略低于一季度创下的利润新高33.18亿美元，同比增长75%，高于分析师预期的32亿美元。三季度GAAP口径下毛利率25.1%，低于分析师预期的26.6%，去年三季度也是26.6%。三季度汽车业务毛利率27.9%，低于分析师预期的28.4%，连续第二个季度低于30%，截至今年一季度的三个季度都高于30%。三季度调整后息税折旧摊销前利润（EBITDA）为49.68亿美元，同比增长55%，增速高于二季度的52%。三季度现金和现金等价物为211.07亿美元，同比增长31%，低于分析师预期的217.9亿美元。三季度资本支出18.03亿美元，最近三个季度首次超过18亿美元，同比下降1%，但低于分析师预期的19.2亿美元。汽车平均售价环比下跌 外汇对利润的负面影响为2.5亿美元财报中，特斯拉总结了一些影响营收和盈利能力的因素，正面影响因素包括：汽车交付量增长；汽车平均售价（ASP）同比上涨；但因二季度上海工厂生产受限，ASP环比二季度下跌；其他业务的收入和利润增长。负面影响因素包括：外汇的负面影响，其中外汇对利润的负面影响达2.5亿美元；原材料、大宗商品、物流、保修、加急送货的成本增加。特斯拉在美国得州和德国柏林工厂生产爬坡的成本，以及4680电池扩大生产的成本。“卖碳”收入创一年新低有评论认为，特斯拉“卖碳”收入剧减可能也是营收逊于预期的一个原因。特斯拉以往盈利的一大推手——通过出售碳排放信用额度获得的收入三季度为2.86亿美元，创去年三季度以来新低，较今年一季度所创的高位6.79亿美元减少58%，环比二季度减少17%。要达今年目标四季度交付需环比增45% 重申多年内会达到50%的平均年增速财报显示，特斯拉三季度交付汽车34.383万辆，比当季产量少2.2093万辆，和本月初公布的数据一致。虽然交付量创单季高，却低于华尔街预期的约35.8万辆。面对全球央行持续加息和外界对经济衰退的担忧，华尔街对特斯拉达成今年的目标更加悲观。因为特斯拉希望今年交付140多万辆车，让年产量较去年提高50%，要实现这个目标，四季度必须交付近50万辆，较三季度环比增长约45%。不过，三季度财报中，特斯拉继续重申“计划尽快扩大制造产能”，并继续重申多年内年均交付增速的预期，“在多年期间内，我们预计汽车交付量的平均年度增速会达到50%。这一增速将取决于设备的能力、工厂的正常运转时间、运营效率、供应链的能力和稳定。”本月初特斯拉对交付量低于产量的解释是，受物流运输影响。华尔街见闻此后指出，对投资者来说，这个解释还不够，他们更担忧的并不是眼下的物流受阻，而是影响更为严重的需求走弱。有分析认为，特斯拉9月在中国推出高额保险补贴的“变相降价”就反映出，特斯拉汽车的需求走弱。此外，中国新能源车市场的激烈竞争撼动了特斯拉的王座。本月初比亚迪公布的9月销量远超预期，史上首次月度销量突破20万辆，今年内保持每月超过100%的同比增速。在上半年超过特斯拉之后，比亚迪有望全年也稳坐全球新能源车销售榜首。上海等各地工厂产量均创单季新高 卡车Semi 12月开始交付 4680电池产量环比二季度增三倍特斯拉财报称，三季度各个地区的工厂都创造了各自的单季产量新高。其中，在加州Fremont工厂的生产率进一步提高，在德州工厂的Model Y生产率继续逐月提升。三季度4680电池的总产量环比二季度增长三倍。特斯拉半挂式电动卡车Semi定于今年12月开始交付首批车。在二季度生产放缓后，上海工厂三季度的生产率刷新此前所创的最高纪录。上海工厂依然是特斯拉的主要出口中心，主要向北美以外的大部分市场供应汽车。得益于三季度末的生产率强劲提升，德国柏林的工厂在一周内运用2170电池生产了超过2000辆Model Y汽车，该工厂的生产率进展符合公司预期。尽管芯片业挑战影响 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