Nio Could Soon Be in Another Electric Tizzy

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Nio Could Soon Be in Another Electric Tizzy

investorplace2022-01-20

Electric vehicle (EV) companies are great long-term investments, but investors need to ensure that they manage their short-run value at risk because it tends to be negatively skewed when volatility ...

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Uasbau
·2022-01-21
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1
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tigernaut
·2022-01-20
👍
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RetiredPig83
·2022-01-20
Like 👍
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1
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PhilipGoh
·2022-01-20
Rocket 🚀
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1
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Vandaluus
·2022-01-20
NIO has came off quite a bit in 2021. It needs to show results to reverse the downtrend.
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5
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MJ Cheng
·2022-01-20
[Miser]
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1
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glorify
·2022-01-20
NIO is a good long term buy. Keep going!💪👌👍🚀🚀🚀
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5
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gsr45
·2022-01-20
bounced off the demand zone twice n flew. if we gap up and retest, get those calls ready...
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2
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Tootsieroll
·2022-01-20
Trap
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博方bofang
·2022-01-20
Nice
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3
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koolgal
·2022-01-20
The author is sounding caution on Nio as he feels it is overpriced and trending downwards. However if it is a long term hold then this does not matter. Go Nio! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙
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22
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Jane777
·2022-01-20
Looks like this is going to be a long journey for NIO. Hope in a long run, this will be turn to be a positive counter
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4
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DylDyl
·2022-01-20
Hoping to trust the longer term hodl for this
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1
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Salanne
·2022-01-20
Cool
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4
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ZenInv
·2022-01-20
There could be a point here. Tesla.
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MHh
·2022-01-20
Not just Nio I believe. Seems like most, if not all EVs are overvalued
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seetees
·2022-01-20
Ok[Happy]
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鸟雨花香
·2022-01-20
👍
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Nio (NYSE:NIO) performed especially well during the earlier stages of the pandemic for two reasons. First, NIO stock gained because unexpected expansionary monetary policy allowed for growth stocks to surge. Secondly, the market was craving a Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) competitor that could possibly emulate TSLA’s impressive bull run.The broad-based market climate is set to change in 2022, however. With contractionary monetary policy entering the building, I expect many growth investors to scatter. NIO stock is one of the names that could be subject to such an event.Here’s why.NIO Stock: Deliveries Could Disappoint ManyAccording to Morgan Stanley analyst Tim Hsiao, Nio’s deliveries are set to get off to a slow start in January amid Chinese New Year celebrations and tight Covid-19 restrictions. The analyst has the following to say:“The industry is looking for a pre-holiday boost to rev up weekly sales until later in January, when store traffic/deliveries could fall substantially. This is especially the case given sporadic lock-downs amid resurgence of Covid cases in China. With easing chip shortage, we saw more resilient sales in ICEVs than EVs at the beginning of year, likely due to unleashing of pent-up demand from 2021.”With this in mind, I believe there will be a cooldown in demand for the rest of 2022 as well. Of course, many investors may be tired of hearing about China’s revised debt policies and its crackdown on big tech. But it’s very relevant in relation to car sales — especially when it involves product switching from ICE vehicles to EVs.When it comes down to it, the reduction of private-sector leverage and a smoothing in technological development will likely underscore previously estimated real GDP forecasts, potentially damaging Nio’s top-line earnings growth as a result. In turn, that could damage the price of NIO stock.There’s a Pricing Problem HereThe price-sales (P/S) ratio is an excellent metric to use when valuing a growth company. Why? Because it’s less susceptible to volatility and not easily manipulated by a company’s management team. One would usually compare a stock’s price multiples to its five-year average to justify an overvalued or undervalued call. However, seeing as Nio only listed in 2018, we’ll need to look at a sector comparison and then discuss cyclicality.Currently, Nio’s P/S ratio is trading at a 7.7 times premium to the industry. That isn’t good news. Rather, it tells us that the market has gotten ahead of itself, which may mean that NIO stock is set for downward mean reversion in the short term. And business cyclicality certainly doesn’t help the cause. As I mentioned before, we’re heading into a contractionary monetary cycle. That usually gives rise to value stocks while stunning growth stocks like NIO.A final pricing problem to look at is the company’s price-book (P/B) ratio. Right now, Nio’s P/B ratio is also trading at a premium relative to industry peers. The P/B ratio is an important metric to consider with asset-heavy businesses and Nio’s isn’t only overvalued based on a peer analysis. It’s also considerably above the valuation threshold, yet again suggesting downward short-term mean reversion.What’s Next for NIO Stock?All things considered, Nio is a great company. However, it could be subject to macroeconomic headwinds going into 2022. Furthermore, NIO stock isn’t priced correctly, with the lingering effects of 2020’s market gunning still present.NIO stock is trading below its 10-, 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages, conveying a downward momentum pattern that would take a lot to reverse. I wouldn’t look at shorting the stock, however. Last year, China’s recent hard-line political shift was a catalyst to a significant drawdown. 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It needs to show results to reverse the downtrend.","listText":"NIO has came off quite a bit in 2021. It needs to show results to reverse the downtrend.","text":"NIO has came off quite a bit in 2021. It needs to show results to reverse the downtrend.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004468376","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004484083,"gmtCreate":1642662216346,"gmtModify":1676533733347,"author":{"id":"4101867743462900","authorId":"4101867743462900","name":"MJ Cheng","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3bcebb6a5b3d1fb1cbb1908f46382399","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","listText":"[Miser]&nbsp;","text":"[Miser]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004484083","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004485514,"gmtCreate":1642662028834,"gmtModify":1676533733339,"author":{"id":"4087698744325360","authorId":"4087698744325360","name":"glorify","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb1a0d88b0029e6cb51d7065d6b143e5","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"NIO is a good long term buy. Keep going!💪👌👍🚀🚀🚀","listText":"NIO is a good long term buy. Keep going!💪👌👍🚀🚀🚀","text":"NIO is a good long term buy. Keep going!💪👌👍🚀🚀🚀","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004485514","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004488041,"gmtCreate":1642660723946,"gmtModify":1676533733262,"author":{"id":"3586937342194873","authorId":"3586937342194873","name":"gsr45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5737c351325217c4f4672346f37ad81e","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b073a07f77dbe6b3bec6b12311fde6bd","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"bounced off the demand zone twice n flew. if we gap up and retest, get those calls ready...","listText":"bounced off the demand zone twice n flew. if we gap up and retest, get those calls ready...","text":"bounced off the demand zone twice n flew. if we gap up and retest, get those calls ready...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004488041","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004480024,"gmtCreate":1642659305155,"gmtModify":1676533733158,"author":{"id":"3575535431943242","authorId":"3575535431943242","name":"Tootsieroll","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1ec6090a100f45863daf6da5efcf9ad","vip":1,"crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Trap","listText":"Trap","text":"Trap","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004480024","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004417775,"gmtCreate":1642659279276,"gmtModify":1676533733166,"author":{"id":"3579858853019653","authorId":"3579858853019653","name":"博方bofang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/990d7a32ea10ef4fc32cd529ce547b6e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004417775","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004414754,"gmtCreate":1642658966632,"gmtModify":1676533733142,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"The author is sounding caution on Nio as he feels it is overpriced and trending downwards.&nbsp; However if it is a long term hold then this does not matter. Go Nio! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","listText":"The author is sounding caution on Nio as he feels it is overpriced and trending downwards.&nbsp; However if it is a long term hold then this does not matter. Go Nio! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","text":"The author is sounding caution on Nio as he feels it is overpriced and trending downwards. However if it is a long term hold then this does not matter. Go Nio! 🚀🚀🚀🌙🌙🌙","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":22,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004414754","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004414636,"gmtCreate":1642658793527,"gmtModify":1676533733126,"author":{"id":"3571314277385192","authorId":"3571314277385192","name":"Jane777","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/68c7d18b4dc39c08fbace9c3b8b672f1","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Looks like this is going to be a long journey for NIO. Hope in a long run, this will be turn to be a positive counter","listText":"Looks like this is going to be a long journey for NIO. Hope in a long run, this will be turn to be a positive counter","text":"Looks like this is going to be a long journey for NIO. Hope in a long run, this will be turn to be a positive counter","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004414636","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004415744,"gmtCreate":1642658543539,"gmtModify":1676533733118,"author":{"id":"4101213868270960","authorId":"4101213868270960","name":"DylDyl","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b34d60cb1a7bcb3fab3d7a1ee697c6e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Hoping to trust the longer term hodl for this","listText":"Hoping to trust the longer term hodl for this","text":"Hoping to trust the longer term hodl for this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004415744","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004542166,"gmtCreate":1642644691040,"gmtModify":1676533731612,"author":{"id":"3582863829198969","authorId":"3582863829198969","name":"Salanne","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1a0b291a15070a5d20437a1f5b7f692","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004542166","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":2,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004585413,"gmtCreate":1642638976183,"gmtModify":1676533730555,"author":{"id":"4098783902581330","authorId":"4098783902581330","name":"ZenInv","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/033bd47e3df1977aaef462f53997e9f1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"There could be a point here. Tesla.&nbsp;","listText":"There could be a point here. Tesla.&nbsp;","text":"There could be a point here. Tesla.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9004585413","repostId":1117803405,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9004581640,"gmtCreate":1642638617717,"gmtModify":1676533730440,"author":{"id":"4091758936365950","authorId":"4091758936365950","name":"MHh","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/54b2feced9ef5dcc9e95997d1f4db280","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Not just Nio I believe. Seems like most, if not all EVs are overvalued","listText":"Not just Nio I believe. Seems like most, if not all EVs are overvalued","text":"Not just Nio I believe. 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