传统车企反超新势力，特斯拉的蓝海正逐渐变红

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传统车企反超新势力，特斯拉的蓝海正逐渐变红

智通财经2021-06-04

作者：何钰程老牌车企将要超越特斯拉(TSLA.US)? 随着传统汽车制造商愈发重视新能源汽车制造并开始持续发力时，不仅是特斯拉，而是所有新势力造车企业都将面临越来越大的挑战。智通财经APP注意到，今年以来，特斯拉股价已从高点900美元持续回调，近来已跌破600美元大关，并持续呈现下跌趋势。同样作为新势力造车代表的蔚来(NIO.US)股价今年以来股价也持续呈现颓势，5月中旬其股价已从高点...

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Comment（8）

haiwei183
·2021-06-05
新舊牌子造車競爭激烈
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1
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longLong
·2021-06-05
[微笑]
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2
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Passer_qu
·2021-06-05
痛則變，變則通。
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Winson23
·2021-06-04
??Tesla ??
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1
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- Jerry6666:
  [得意]
  2021-06-04
  Reply
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shib
·2021-06-04
看懂了新型能源車要開始跳崖了下一波行情再續前緣能跑快跑?$特斯拉(TSLA)$
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TIDARAT
·2021-06-04
Good
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1
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第N次大变革大分流
·2021-06-04
說白了就是全球芯片短缺，所謂的傳統勢力把燃油車的芯片挪用到電動車上來了，特斯拉沒有可挪用的芯片，產能受限，自媒體裝作不知道，這是收了多少黑錢
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- 第N次大变革大分流:
  确实，在中国，自媒体大部分都这样
  2021-06-05
  Reply
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- 余客:
  人家靠这个赚钱很正常好吧
  2021-06-05
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xiaohei85
·2021-06-04
好
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- xiaohei85:
  很好
  2021-06-04
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何钰程\n老牌车企将要超越特斯拉(TSLA.US)?\n随着传统汽车制造商愈发重视新能源汽车制造并开始持续发力时，不仅是特斯拉，而是所有新势力造车企业都将面临越来越大的挑战。\n智通财经APP注意到，今年以来，特斯拉股价已从高点900美元持续回调，近来已跌破600美元大关，并持续呈现下跌趋势。\n同样作为新势力造车代表的蔚来(NIO.US)股价今年以来股价也持续呈现颓势，5月中旬其股价已从高点66.9美元腰斩，最新股价报40.9美元。\n而传统车企近年来股价均表现出涨势长红。如因去年欧洲严格的二氧化碳排放限制，大众的电动汽车销量激增，股价一路高涨。今年以来，大众汽车股价累计上涨逾80%，市值突破千亿欧元大关。\n此外，美股市场上，截至6月3日收盘，蔚来、理想已经较2020年12月31日股价下挫已经近3成。而福特(F.US)、通用(GM.US)、丰田(TM.US)、本田(HMC.US)等老牌车企今年股价累积分别上涨82%、52%、16%、17%。\n\n奋力转型的传统车企战况如何?\n尽管各大传统车企都在发力新能源，但市场是否买单，还是得靠数据说话。\n从最近公布的全球新能源车4月销量榜单来看：特斯拉环比暴跌71%，大众首进前三，Top5只有比亚迪(01211)环比上升。\n\n根据EVsales数据，全球新能源乘用车4月销量达39.2万辆，同比上涨255.9%，环比下降26.2%。其中中国市场销量达17.5万辆，占比44.6%;欧洲市场销量超15.9万辆，占比达40.6%。\n4月榜单中，出现了两个“新面孔”——大众ID.4和ID.3，前者是上市以来首次上榜，后者是今年内第一次上榜。\n大众首席执行官迪斯表此前示，大众计划于2021年交付100万辆电动汽车，最迟在2025年成为全球电动汽车市场的领导者。\n福特5月电动车销量大增184%。福特汽车近日宣布其“Ford+”计划，到2025年公司在电动汽车领域的投资将达到300亿美元，到2030年电动汽车销量占比达到40%，确定全面向电动化转型。\n前不久，福特汽车全新纯电动皮卡F-150 Lightning已于北京时间5月20日(当地时间5月19日)通过线上直播新闻发布会正式亮相。\n再来看2020年全年的数据，截至2020年底，占据全球汽车市场份额90%的20家制造商中，已经有18家推出转型计划，在资源投入和分配上大力向新技术和电动车倾斜。\n如果位列前十榜单基本上还是传统车企，如雷诺、尼桑、现代、以及大众旗下的ID3、奥迪系列。\n\n去年大众电动汽车的销量为930万辆，而特斯拉的销量为50万辆。从基础设施建设的角度来看，特斯拉无法像大众那样，能从其全球强大的经销商网络中受益。\n相较于造车新势力，传统车企有着显著优势，保证了其在进入新能源汽车赛道时有足够的竞争力。\n如传统车企较为完善的产业链体系，在研发、生产、销售与售后服务等方面都有一套独特的完整体系，在转向新能源汽车时，这些体系都可以直接共享，不需要再重新搭建，可以减少成本支出，这相对于从零开始的造车新势力而言，优势是相当明显的。\n其次资金实力雄厚。在研发、制造新能源汽车时需要投入大量资金，而传统车企体量庞大，现金流健康，有雄厚的资金储备，可以保证研发投入不中断。此外，传统车企在市场上经营多年，有良好的消费者基础，可以直接依托现有品牌对新能源汽车进行宣传，从而节约大笔宣传费用。\n特斯拉面临红海困境，大行们怎么看?\n在两年前新能源汽车还是一片混沌之时，特斯拉尚能占据一席之地，但随着各大巨头均开始发力，特斯拉的先发优势逐渐丧失，最终的结果就是特斯拉由原来的一个蓝海市场变成了一个红海市场。\n瑞银中国此前表示，以特斯拉为代表的智能电动汽车公司，只生产了不到全球1/100销量的汽车，却创造了全部车企市值之和的市值。\n经纬创投创始合伙人张颖提出，智能电动汽车公司的估值源于“车企的营收+科技股的利润率”。车企往往有几千亿营收，但利润率很低;科技公司是利润率高，但营收规模不及车企。如今市场普遍认可汽车向电动化和智能化转型的预期，这种预期导致了智能电动汽车公司的市值超过传统车企。\n但是目前传统车企也在发力电动化转型，这是否意味这传统车企也将享有科技股的估值，同时还有几千亿营收的估值呢?\n但是享有科技股的估值，并不意味着将智能电动汽车的价值都寄托在电池上，显然价值不高，而核心价值在软件智能化，这一点上传统车企似乎还有较长的路要走。\n德银坚决看多大众在电动汽车方面的布局，并称大众纯电动汽车销量最快明年超过特斯拉。\n值得一提的是，激烈的市场竞争其实留给各家传统车企转型的时间窗口期其实很少，基本上再过3-5年，智能新能源汽车的格局会形成相对稳定局面。","kind":null,"is_publish_news":false,"is_publish_highlight":true,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1},"commentList":[{"id":112340765,"gmtCreate":1622853057357,"gmtModify":1704192368347,"author":{"id":"3572683426659077","authorId":"3572683426659077","name":"haiwei183","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1cae291bddff5a30eeb96060074d8531","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3572683426659077","idStr":"3572683426659077"},"htmlText":"新舊牌子造車競爭激烈","listText":"新舊牌子造車競爭激烈","text":"新舊牌子造車競爭激烈","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112340765","repostId":1142416187,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":112917179,"gmtCreate":1622844658291,"gmtModify":1704192174636,"author":{"id":"3568455935515544","authorId":"3568455935515544","name":"longLong","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/48a9b66d89737d1f232d325dad6b0027","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3568455935515544","idStr":"3568455935515544"},"htmlText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","listText":"[微笑]&nbsp;","text":"[微笑]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112917179","repostId":1142416187,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":112997085,"gmtCreate":1622841380647,"gmtModify":1704192151161,"author":{"id":"3575768086149708","authorId":"3575768086149708","name":"Passer_qu","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44e08c3ee9b0772c8964af5a536efb67","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3575768086149708","idStr":"3575768086149708"},"htmlText":"痛則變，變則通。","listText":"痛則變，變則通。","text":"痛則變，變則通。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112997085","repostId":1142416187,"repostType":4,"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"CN"},{"id":116566030,"gmtCreate":1622812595120,"gmtModify":1704191647945,"author":{"id":"3562537362549247","authorId":"3562537362549247","name":"Winson23","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e2c9acf74be892b5c7e43074b7a5fed9","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f84859c65fc2d7681e28f6b8e9b0535a","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"authorIdStr":"3562537362549247","idStr":"3562537362549247"},"htmlText":"??Tesla ??","listText":"??Tesla ??","text":"??Tesla 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