Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields

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Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields

Bloomberg2022-03-25

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...

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Comment（49）

ZenInv
·2022-03-28
Be prepared.
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KFChen
·2022-03-28
Woa
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SPOT_ON
·2022-03-28
Buy DAIRYFARM INTERNATIONAL.. ASIA 's LARGEST CONSUMER STAPLE GROUP
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1
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Seah CL
·2022-03-28
Pls buy bank share
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Success88
·2022-03-27
Buy bank stock
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koolgal
·2022-03-27
With a more aggressive rate hike in May and even in June by 0.50 %, stocks may certainly experience more volatility. The Feds have a fine balancing act to do in order to contain inflation. Add in the Ukraine war and oil price rising and labour shortages, there is certainly a perfect storm ahead. Let's brace ourselves and fortify our portfolio with counter measures like diversification and getting our warchest ready to bargainhunt. @TigerStars
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28
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okkar
·2022-03-27
💰
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2
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湖中有虎
·2022-03-27
K
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3
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小虎一只
·2022-03-27
K
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4
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DingDang
·2022-03-27
Time your buys during the dips!
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3
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Phillipsan
·2022-03-26
Bad for economy and may have recession if inflatiok persist
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6
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Kitsonlin
·2022-03-26
Evening
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5
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StarGate
·2022-03-26
Likely to occur in May or June to stimulate markets
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5
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Jahme
·2022-03-26
Ohh
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4
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AdamAniQAzem
·2022-03-26
Maybe
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4
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ZenInv
·2022-03-26
The surprise would be if the FED raises 75bp
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2
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Tj23
·2022-03-26
Wow
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2
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PearlynCSY
·2022-03-26
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve. A week ago, FED has raised interest rate by 25 basis points, the first time since 2018, after the consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to a four-decade high of 7.9% in February, with many economists predicting inflation still hasn't peaked yet. Officials have also signalled a quarter-point increase will be followed by six more this year to combat inflation.
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CL777
·2022-03-26
That's too high an estimation
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claratan
·2022-03-26
Wow
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1
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It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. 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It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. 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It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010254782,"gmtCreate":1648420575607,"gmtModify":1676534334596,"author":{"id":"3582922989777578","authorId":"3582922989777578","name":"SPOT_ON","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/080f029371339d9db26930961de6adb1","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3dee1aa3a3a3c1814833a4d3f8a5669","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Buy DAIRYFARM INTERNATIONAL.. ASIA 's LARGEST CONSUMER STAPLE GROUP","listText":"Buy DAIRYFARM INTERNATIONAL.. ASIA 's LARGEST CONSUMER STAPLE GROUP","text":"Buy DAIRYFARM INTERNATIONAL.. ASIA 's LARGEST CONSUMER STAPLE GROUP","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010254782","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010258887,"gmtCreate":1648419937351,"gmtModify":1676534334476,"author":{"id":"4102135564535180","authorId":"4102135564535180","name":"Seah CL","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/970bca7b04e85a42a2c8eabed7ec96d0","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Pls buy bank share","listText":"Pls buy bank share","text":"Pls buy bank share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010258887","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010849131,"gmtCreate":1648345215464,"gmtModify":1676534329256,"author":{"id":"4101948424484190","authorId":"4101948424484190","name":"Success88","avatar":"https://static.itradeup.com/news/4408e1a22d73e99adb53aa65dde8ad91","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0a2963eb37c60c5d6d4a8dbcd266952","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Buy bank stock&nbsp;","listText":"Buy bank stock&nbsp;","text":"Buy bank stock","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010849131","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010895589,"gmtCreate":1648332331578,"gmtModify":1676534327463,"author":{"id":"3559581955535845","authorId":"3559581955535845","name":"koolgal","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c05274d88ffc0434623e57350c52c70a","vip":2,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a8758340a08196056f8bc1e54805193","crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"With a more aggressive rate hike in May and even in June by 0.50 %, stocks may certainly experience more volatility.&nbsp; The Feds have a fine balancing act to do in order to contain inflation.&nbsp; Add in the Ukraine war and oil price rising and labour shortages, there is certainly a perfect storm ahead.&nbsp;&nbsp;Let's brace ourselves and fortify our portfolio with counter measures like diversification and getting our warchest ready to bargainhunt.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000149\">@TigerStars</a>","listText":"With a more aggressive rate hike in May and even in June by 0.50 %, stocks may certainly experience more volatility.&nbsp; The Feds have a fine balancing act to do in order to contain inflation.&nbsp; Add in the Ukraine war and oil price rising and labour shortages, there is certainly a perfect storm ahead.&nbsp;&nbsp;Let's brace ourselves and fortify our portfolio with counter measures like diversification and getting our warchest ready to bargainhunt.&nbsp;<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/9000000000000149\">@TigerStars</a>","text":"With a more aggressive rate hike in May and even in June by 0.50 %, stocks may certainly experience more volatility. The Feds have a fine balancing act to do in order to contain inflation. Add in the Ukraine war and oil price rising and labour shortages, there is certainly a perfect storm ahead. Let's brace ourselves and fortify our portfolio with counter measures like diversification and getting our warchest ready to bargainhunt. @TigerStars","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":28,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010895589","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010891711,"gmtCreate":1648330274987,"gmtModify":1676534327377,"author":{"id":"3580969894464089","authorId":"3580969894464089","name":"okkar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5284953eb6a2c6608eb0336ea3795f46","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"💰","listText":"💰","text":"💰","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010891711","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010893628,"gmtCreate":1648329284301,"gmtModify":1676534327347,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010893628","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010893011,"gmtCreate":1648329083557,"gmtModify":1676534327332,"author":{"id":"3581981992184294","authorId":"3581981992184294","name":"小虎一只","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010893011","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010802851,"gmtCreate":1648315914665,"gmtModify":1676534327200,"author":{"id":"3553254172092293","authorId":"3553254172092293","name":"DingDang","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2a0c38ce6f3c2661fa15b7d1f52eeaf","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Time your buys during the dips!","listText":"Time your buys during the dips!","text":"Time your buys during the dips!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010802851","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010121775,"gmtCreate":1648297525953,"gmtModify":1676534326124,"author":{"id":"4092664462639970","authorId":"4092664462639970","name":"Phillipsan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f364c09b985ef2a4f7e1383be3528ad","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Bad for economy and may have recession if inflatiok persist","listText":"Bad for economy and may have recession if inflatiok persist","text":"Bad for economy and may have recession if inflatiok persist","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010121775","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010187389,"gmtCreate":1648289423034,"gmtModify":1676534325766,"author":{"id":"4088412711170620","authorId":"4088412711170620","name":"Kitsonlin","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/8f861facf7d7b6166cb50fa387771267","vip":1,"hat":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c1eed764d9c7ff83dc093fbb9a96bc2","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Evening","listText":"Evening","text":"Evening","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010187389","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010136924,"gmtCreate":1648277836701,"gmtModify":1676534325126,"author":{"id":"3586990023332519","authorId":"3586990023332519","name":"StarGate","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9db084b2eae373a6cc56043329defb07","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Likely to occur in May or June to stimulate markets&nbsp;","listText":"Likely to occur in May or June to stimulate markets&nbsp;","text":"Likely to occur in May or June to stimulate markets","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010136924","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010373600,"gmtCreate":1648267176942,"gmtModify":1676534324210,"author":{"id":"3577502940596690","authorId":"3577502940596690","name":"Jahme","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d07b4bec5131f225dae7aadbfebc0c02","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Ohh","listText":"Ohh","text":"Ohh","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010373600","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010373947,"gmtCreate":1648267080488,"gmtModify":1676534324209,"author":{"id":"4093486654879930","authorId":"4093486654879930","name":"AdamAniQAzem","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/31958a5ea6c26b273b1d7367c72a0674","vip":1,"crmLevel":8,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Maybe&nbsp;","listText":"Maybe&nbsp;","text":"Maybe","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010373947","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010382552,"gmtCreate":1648258922712,"gmtModify":1676534322946,"author":{"id":"4098783902581330","authorId":"4098783902581330","name":"ZenInv","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/033bd47e3df1977aaef462f53997e9f1","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"The surprise would be if the FED raises 75bp","listText":"The surprise would be if the FED raises 75bp","text":"The surprise would be if the FED raises 75bp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010382552","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010330571,"gmtCreate":1648255687741,"gmtModify":1676534322133,"author":{"id":"3571780042589602","authorId":"3571780042589602","name":"Tj23","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010330571","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010305011,"gmtCreate":1648254115272,"gmtModify":1676534321598,"author":{"id":"4092458811577680","authorId":"4092458811577680","name":"PearlynCSY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3e9fe7af061efe80a756d23de62e7b3","vip":1,"crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"htmlText":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve. A week ago, FED has raised interest rate by 25 basis points, the first time since 2018, after the consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to a four-decade high of 7.9% in February, with many economists predicting inflation still hasn't peaked yet. Officials&nbsp;have&nbsp;also signalled a&nbsp;quarter-point increase will be followed by six more this year to combat inflation.&nbsp;","listText":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve. A week ago, FED has raised interest rate by 25 basis points, the first time since 2018, after the consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to a four-decade high of 7.9% in February, with many economists predicting inflation still hasn't peaked yet. Officials&nbsp;have&nbsp;also signalled a&nbsp;quarter-point increase will be followed by six more this year to combat inflation.&nbsp;","text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve. A week ago, FED has raised interest rate by 25 basis points, the first time since 2018, after the consumer price index (CPI) accelerated to a four-decade high of 7.9% in February, with many economists predicting inflation still hasn't peaked yet. Officials have also signalled a quarter-point increase will be followed by six more this year to combat inflation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010305011","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010942248,"gmtCreate":1648251921195,"gmtModify":1676534321151,"author":{"id":"3560241002253187","authorId":"3560241002253187","name":"CL777","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e9aef3dd830373a0427a3447b1b564e3","vip":1,"crmLevel":6,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"That's too high an estimation&nbsp;","listText":"That's too high an estimation&nbsp;","text":"That's too high an estimation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010942248","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"},{"id":9010948690,"gmtCreate":1648251623729,"gmtModify":1676534321086,"author":{"id":"3573731928321338","authorId":"3573731928321338","name":"claratan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c6bbdac9048ff2e4b740f272576e2be","vip":1,"crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"htmlText":"Wow&nbsp;","listText":"Wow&nbsp;","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9010948690","repostId":1170832075,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170832075","pubTimestamp":1648220236,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170832075?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2022-03-25 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170832075","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-p","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.</p><p>The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.</p><p>The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.</p><p>An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.</p><p>“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”</p><p>Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sees Half-Point Fed Hikes in May and June, Higher Yields\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-25 22:57 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GS":"高盛"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/goldman-sees-half-point-fed-141144535.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170832075","content_text":"Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said it now expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates by a half-percentage point at both its May and June meetings to contend with surging inflation, leading the Wall Street bank to revise up its forecasts for U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.The bank now sees shorter-dated yields rising at a faster pace than longer-dated ones, causing the yield curve to invert by around 20 basis points. It predicts that 2-year yields -- now around 2.24% -- will rise to 2.9% at the end of this year and 3.15% at the end of 2023. Its 2022 forecast on 10-year yields was revised to 2.7%, up from 2.25% previously. The 10-year yield was around 2.45% in trading Friday.The forecast changes follow a steady drumbeat of comments from Fed officials who have said they would be willing to raise rates by a half-percentage point at a time if needed, a type of move the U.S. central bank hasn’t done since 2000. That has pushed up bond yields and left traders across Wall Street bracing for a more aggressive path from the Fed.An inverted yield curve is normally seen as a warning signal of a recession. But Goldman Sachs said that while the risk of an economic slowdown has increased, a modestly inverted curve is a less definitive predictor of a recession, especially in a high-inflation environment like today’s. Inversions were much deeper in the 1970s and early 1980s ahead of a recession, it said.“One feature of our forecast is a modest inversion of the 2s10s yield curve by year-end,” the report said. “However, we note that the nominal curve tends to invert more easily in a high inflation environment, and we could see earlier and/or deeper curve inversions this cycle. In such an environment, a deeper nominal curve inversion may be needed to produce the same recession odds in models as seen in more recent business cycles.”Goldman Sachs’s forecast is for the Fed to end its hiking cycle with its benchmark rate at 3.00-3.25%, compared with the market pricing of 2.50-2.75%. The rate is now at 0.25%-0.50%.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"tweetType":1,"langContent":"EN"}],"hasMoreComments":true,"newsSizeData":{"likeSize":537,"commentSize":49,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false}}