美股恐下跌黄金将上扬?“痛苦指数”早已说明一切

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美股恐下跌黄金将上扬?“痛苦指数”早已说明一切

智通财经 2021-07-06

“经济痛苦指数”最早由美国经济学家欧肯提出,该指数通过将失业率和通货膨胀水平相加,以评估民众的实际经济压力，也是衡量经济滞胀程度的一个指标，并且该指数历来与美国股市、黄金价格呈高度相关性。目前，伴随通胀率、失业率一路飙升，标普500指数相对于黄金仍处于多年高位，这对黄金较为有利。下表显示了痛苦指数与标准普尔500指数/黄金比率之间的相关性，可以追溯到20世纪50年代。目前该比率相当高，远远...

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Zhengxi
·2021-07-06
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bkloh1981
·2021-07-06
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  2021-07-06
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