回港上市或“撞车”，B站和百度谁更值得投资？

第一财经2021-01-24

一个是成功破圈的“后浪”，手握“中视频”流量洼地；一个则在经历低谷后，因造车实现U型反弹。中概股回港IPO浪潮再次袭来。近日有消息称B站、百度先后向港交所正式提交了二次上市申请。交表时间接近，意味着两家公司接来下招股时间很可能 “撞车”。按照港交所流程，回港二次上市的公司可秘密交表，通过聆讯前，无需在联交所网站公布具体信息。关于二次上市，两家公司均表示不予置评。 B站和百度，一个是成功破圈的...

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Comment（12）

漂洋过海dddd
·2021-01-25
肯定B站啊，百度還能有什麼發展空間
Reply
1
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fccg狂锋
·2021-01-25
當然百度
Reply
2
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发哥发发发
·2021-01-25
bidu
Reply
2
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hhyw
·2021-01-25
百度
Reply
1
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王大发啊
·2021-01-25
b站
Reply
1
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Cammychen
·2021-01-24
百度
Reply
2
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淡然笑
·2021-01-24
白度比較穩
Reply
4
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感觉就是传闻而已
·2021-01-24
百度。
Reply
2
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jackychang
·2021-01-24
B站更有前途
Reply
6
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- 追尾必嫁:
  希望也得到你的点赞和回复
  2021-01-26
  Reply
  Report
- 感觉就是传闻而已:
  百度。
  2021-01-24
  Reply
  Report
KPW
·2021-01-24
百度
Reply
4
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Kyorilys
·2021-01-24
感覺就是傳聞而已
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2
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KeithHan
·2021-01-24
當然是百度
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6
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- 陈友谅:
  那你就亏一个，赚一个。最后白忙一场
  2021-01-26
  Reply
  Report
- wormsccc:
  两个都买
  2021-01-24
  Reply
  Report
- 饿了才撒娇卖萌Replying toKeithHan:
  不输*
  2021-01-24
  Reply
  Report
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周内新高，市值超700亿美元。\n如果从过去一年的财报业绩来看，在2020年前三个季度，B站距离百度营收有近10倍之差，其中B站营收增速分别为69%、70%、74%，百度营收增速分别为-7%、-1%和1%。从盈利角度来看，B站亏损逐步加大，其中第三季度亏损扩大至171%，百度在去年实现扭亏为盈。\n不过，连续的亏损并没有阻碍B站在资本市场一路高歌。B站的市场表现一方面源自新生代消费群体的崛起，另一方面源自B站积极的用户增长、拉新策略和多元商业化试水。从跨年晚会到《后浪》、《入海》、《喜相逢》“破圈三部曲”，B站的内容破圈能力开始被市场所关注，同时B站用户数量和用户活跃度保持较快增长，去年8月B站单月活跃用户突破2亿，创下历史新高。\n尤其是在OGV（专业生产内容）领域B站动作频频，5.13亿港币入股欢喜传媒，《风犬少年的天空》、《夺冠》等影视作品落地B站。2020年4月索尼4亿美元战略投资B站，成为继腾讯、阿里后的又一重要战略投资人。\n内容之外，B站在商业化变现上也开始加快步伐。2020年B站的广告业务实现了连续7个季度的加速增长。\n和B站相比，过去一年的百度放下了“BAT的包袱”。很长一段时间，百度股价处于低谷的一个重要原因是自动驾驶、小度等新兴业务的价值未被体现。人工智能创业热潮在经历了市场优胜劣汰，有些融资困难、逐步销声匿迹，一度让外界认为“人工智能不赚钱”。\n在2020年年中一场与百度员工的沟通活动上，百度董事长李彦宏曾表示：每家公司都有高光和低谷的时候，没有一家公司能够抓住所有的风口和机会，每家公司都有自己擅长和不擅长的东西，以技术创新为核心驱动是百度所擅长的。\n技术需要长期坚持，随着Apollo自动驾驶的业务落地、小度分拆和AI技术商业化前景逐渐清晰，这部分业务的价值正逐步得到体现。\n“过去Apollo非但不会有市场估值，甚至被认为是拖累百度业绩的成本项。现在，仅自动驾驶业务，市场已经给出了100 亿美元的估值。投入了8年，风终于来了。”此前一位百度自动驾驶事业群组人士对第一财经记者说。\n在以信息和知识为核心的移动生态领域稳健发展，以及AI加速落地的双重利好带动下，百度在2020年股价上涨股价累计上涨 70%。近期Cathie Wood创立的ARK基金持续加仓百度,主要还是因为看好自动驾驶的未来前景。\n“回归热”下还有哪些挑战？\n2020年港股IPO发行规模达到3975.28亿港元，同比增长27% 。港股前10大IPO中，中概股回归公司占据6席。\n此前阿里巴巴、京东、网易赴港二次上市引发了一波回归潮，如今B站、百度、拼多多二次上市传闻也愈演愈烈，新一轮的中概股二次上市热潮是否会到来？\n老虎证券分析表示，在待回港二次上市名单中，还有十余家符合条件的企业正蓄势待发，这样的节点在历史上还未曾出现过。去年瑞幸造假事件引发信任危机，交易所监管收紧带来的未知性，以及接下来的合规成本、估值风险，或许都是中概股回归的诉求。\n尤其是对于大中型市值的中概股，也很难有更好的选择，如果私有化或者回A股，那么成本、难度都将非常大，周期也会比较长。对于中概股自身来讲，二次上市本身也可以更好的匹配公司发展战略，对业绩、资本实力都有更好的提升。\n不过，对于计划在香港二次上市的B站和百度而言，仍面临不小挑战。\n对百度而言，在过去一年实现了扭亏为盈，但造车仍是一件“烧钱”的事。根据百度官方透露的信息，它将组建一家智能汽车公司，以整车制造商的身份进军汽车行业，面向乘用车市场制造智能电动汽车。可以对比的是，蔚来、小鹏、理想等国内的造车新势力市值飙涨但尚未扭亏，并且高位增发融资，说明仍需大量的资金投入。\n从百度过往业绩来看，在线广告仍是驱动百度营收增长的主力。 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