外媒头条：耶稣受难日+非农！美债料迎疯狂波动

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外媒头条：耶稣受难日+非农！美债料迎疯狂波动

新浪财经2021-04-02

全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有： 1、OPEC+同意5-7月份逐步增加石油产量沙特将分阶段撤回额外减产 2、策略师：美经济二季度有望获得提振对股市来说是个好消息 3、美联储Daly：美联储将保持政策宽松 2021年不会实现双目标 4、美国制造业录得逾37年来最强劲增长但前景仍受制于疫情 5、耶稣受难日叠加非农就业数据美债市场周五或将迎来较大波动 6、辉瑞...

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mckino
·2021-04-02
666
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mckino
·2021-04-02
酷
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Ysw16888
·2021-04-02
回覆我
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尼克欢
·2021-04-02
[開心]
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云里梦里飞
·2021-04-02
油價要跌？
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1
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王春年
·2021-04-02
??
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SunnyLeo
·2021-04-02
希望市場穩定穩步前進
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2
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笨笨_3734
·2021-04-02
今天不是暫停交易麼，怎麼搞非農啊
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- 飞鸟跌穴298884:
  互评一下～??
  2021-04-02
  Reply
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- 云里梦里飞:
  没有非农吧
  2021-04-02
  Reply
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US debt is expected to meet crazy fluctuations","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/56a2761723e1731db2660a0fb408b0d7","symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9},"content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、OPEC+同意5-7月份逐步增加石油产量 沙特将分阶段撤回额外减产\n\n\n2、策略师：美经济二季度有望获得提振 对股市来说是个好消息\n\n\n3、美联储Daly：美联储将保持政策宽松 2021年不会实现双目标\n\n\n4、美国制造业录得逾37年来最强劲增长 但前景仍受制于疫情\n\n\n5、耶稣受难日叠加非农就业数据 美债市场周五或将迎来较大波动\n\n\n6、辉瑞新冠疫苗在接种六个月后仍维持91%以上防护性\n\nOPEC+同意5-7月份逐步增加石油产量 沙特将分阶段撤回额外减产\n面对外部和内部的增产压力，OPEC+同意在5-7月份逐步增加石油产量。\n根据哈萨克斯坦能源部的声明，OPEC+在不到一个月内第二次做出了出乎市场意料的决定，成员国们决定在5-7月份将原油日产量提高逾100万桶。\n本周初，外界普遍预期OPEC+可能会延长限产措施。\nIHS Markit Ltd．副总裁兼资深OPEC观察员Roger Diwan表示，“三个月内日产量增加约100万桶，同期石油需求料将增加约300万桶/日，所以这个增产消息对油市不算利空。以上是保守的预期，但仍然是预期。”\n哈萨克斯坦能源部表示，以沙特和俄罗斯为首的23个成员国同意5月增产35万桶/日，6月再增加35万桶/日，7月份增产45万桶/日。\n此外，沙特还将分阶段撤回100万桶/日的额外减产。该国能源大臣会后告诉记者，5月份沙特将增产25万桶/日，6月份增产35万桶/日，7月份增产40万桶/日。\n策略师：美经济二季度有望获得提振 对股市来说是个好消息\n随着越来越多的美国人接种新冠疫苗以及更多州重新开放经济活动，美国经济可能会在零售商、饭店、体育馆等服务型需求激增的带动下获得提振。\n几个月来，股票市场一直在以这些预期进行交易。如果强劲的经济活动带来更好的收益前景，则可能进一步推动股市的涨势。标普500指数周四创下历史新高，在新季度伊始首次突破4000点大关。\nCFRA首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“其中有些因素已被考虑在内，如果存在风险，那将是上行风险而不是下行。从经济角度来看，我们可能会低估这一点，除非利率进一步上升，否则这最终可能会给股市带来一点推动作用。”\nStovall称，二季度通常对股市有利。标普500指数自1990年以来在该季度平均上涨2.8%，在该季度内上涨的概率为三分之二。\n美联储Daly：美联储将保持政策宽松 2021年不会实现双目标\n旧金山联邦储备银行行长Mary Daly预计今年价格压力会暂时性上升，但不会持久，而且仍有数以百万计的美国人因为疫情而失业。\n“我们知道今年将出现预期中的、需要着重强调属于暂时性的通胀上升，因为2020年疫情最严重的几个月里通胀很低”\n“作为决策者，我们需要看透这些暂时的上升。我们确实在寻求通货膨胀的持续改善，这样我们才能达到2%均值、实现我们的物价稳定目标”。\n“我们目前没有达到通胀目标。我们预计通胀会暂时升高，但只要疫情同比基数效应消除，通胀将回落。而且，我们仍有近千万人在找工作，寻找重新进入劳动力市场的机会”。\n“我们真的不觉得2021年会实现双重使命的任何一个。这就是为什么政策保持宽松的原因，以便我们肯定能够实现这些目标”。\n美国制造业录得逾37年来最强劲增长 但前景仍受制于疫情\n在17年来最强订单和生产数据加持下，美国制造业在3月份录得了1983年以来最快的扩张速度。\n美国供应管理协会（ISM）周四发布的数据显示，美国企业活动指数从前月前的60.8升至64.7。这一结果超过了接受调查的所有经济学家预测。\n新订单和生产的增长凸显了居民及企业需求随着疫苗接种增加、防疫相关限制减少且财政刺激为经济复苏提供更清晰指引的情况下加速上升。\n供应管理协会主席Fiore表示，美国制造业在3月份继续复苏。但他同时也指出，目前制造业的各个环节都受到了新冠疫情的影响，而制造业的增长潜力仍旧受制于多方面因素。\n调查报告显示，由于新冠疫情影响和限制了零部件和材料的供应，企业和供应商难以满足日益增长的需求。交货期延长、关键基础材料大规模短缺、大宗商品价格上涨以及产品运输困难，正影响着制造业经济的所有领域。\n耶稣受难日叠加非农就业数据 美债市场周五或将迎来较大波动\n美国3月非农就业报告可能会在周五因假期缩短的交易日中搅动美国国债市场，而投资者对数据非常强劲的预期升温则令局面更为复杂。\n正如过去曾偶尔发生过的，劳工部发布就业报告的当月首个周五正好落在耶稣受难日，这天美国股市休市，但不是联邦假日。证券行业协会Sifma已经建议国债市场交易持续到当天的纽约时间中午12点。\n与此同时，经济学家对此次非农就业人数的中值预估是增长65万，果真如此，将是去年10月以来的最大增幅。Whisper非正式预测由周一上午的44万增加到目前的80万。\n一项摩根大通自2007年以来因假期交易时间缩短的债券市场研究发现，在耶稣受难日周五发布就业数据并且债市在中午12点提前闭市的情况下，美国10年期国债的波动比正常交易日高两倍左右。在非农就业数据公布当日，若下午2点提前闭市（例如在7月4日假期之前），市场的波动大约比正常全天交易日高三倍。\n辉瑞新冠疫苗在接种六个月后仍维持91%以上防护性\n根据公司联合声明，关于辉瑞-BioNTech SE新冠疫苗的最新长期研究数据显示，该疫苗接种六个月后仍可保持高度防护性。辉瑞称，可能会利用该结果向监管部门寻求扩大使用授权。\n一项对46307人进行的三期试验后续数据显示，从接种该疫苗第二剂一周后开始计算，六个月后预防有症状病例的有效性仍高达91.3%。在美国试验显示的有效性为92.6%。\n同时，两家公司公布了关于疫苗应对南非变异毒株B.1.351效果的部分首批数据。在南非参加试验的800名受试者中，有9人感染新冠病毒，其中6人感染了B.1.351变异毒株。但是这些人均在安慰剂组，意味着疫苗对这个变异毒株仍有防护效果。\n辉瑞首席执行官Albert Bourla在声明中称，这个结果将“使我们能够向美国食品药品管理局提交生物制剂许可申请。”\n新浪合作大平台期货开户 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