• 21
  • 5
  • Favorite

BoE's Haldane sees faint echo of 1970s in inflation spiral risk

Reuters2021-05-28

LONDON, May 28 (Reuters) - Bank of England Chief Economist Andy Haldane has warned there is a chance that cost pressures faced by British companies lead to high prices that become embedded in pay demands, in an echo of inflationary wage-price spirals of previous decades.

Haldane, who leaves the Monetary Policy Committee in June, has previously warned of an inflationary "tiger" prowling as Britain's economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic. Earlier this month he cast a lone vote to reduce the scale of the BoE's bond-buying stimulus.

"There's again a chance that those price pressures could get embedded in pay packets and then we have something closer - not on the same scale remotely - but something closer to the sort of 'wagey-pricey' spiral that we've seen at times in the past, the Seventies and Eighties," Haldane said in an online interview with the Centre for the Study of Financial Innovation.

On Thursday, external MPC member Gertjan Vlieghe said comparisons with the 1970s were flawed.

Most other rate-setters are more relaxed about the outlook for inflation than Haldane, and they stress that the coming rise in inflation is likely to be temporary.

The BoE forecasts headline consumer price inflation will exceed its 2% target and touch 2.5% by the end of the year due to a range of one-off effects related to the pandemic. But it thinks price pressures will be muted in the longer-term, reflecting a return of subdued wage growth that was present before the pandemic.

Earlier on Friday U.S. bank Citi and polling company YouGov said public inflation expectations for the year ahead had cooled slightly this month to 2.7%, down from 2.8% in April.

"As yet, the improving cyclical outlook doesn't seem to have boosted expectations," economists from Citi said. "Household inflation expectations remain well anchored in our view. Upside risks that had been evident earlier in the pandemic now appear to have eased," they added.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment5

  • Cclare
    ·2021-05-28
    ?
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Cclare
      Hmm
      2021-05-28
      Reply
      Report
  • tearach
    ·2021-05-28
    Wwow
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
  • Autoph
    ·2021-05-28
    Commenting
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Dac19
      Thks
      2021-05-28
      Reply
      Report
    • Vince191Replying toDac19
      lol ok
      2021-05-28
      Reply
      Report
    • Dac19
      Help comment back.
      2021-05-28
      Reply
      Report
    View more 1 comments
  • Nibatry
    ·2021-05-28
    Wow
    Reply
    Report
  • Lisi
    ·2021-05-28
    Comment and like 
    Reply
    Report
    Fold Replies
    • Autoph
      Done
      2021-05-28
      Reply
      Report
 
 
 
 

Most Discussed

 
 
 
 
 

7x24

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Company: TTMF Limited. Tech supported by Xiangshang Yixin.

Email:uservice@ttm.financial