连分析师都很迷茫！美股接下来怎么走？华尔街分歧巨大

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连分析师都很迷茫！美股接下来怎么走？华尔街分歧巨大

华尔街见闻2021-08-22

随着美股持续上涨，企业收益甚至超过最高预期的情况下，华尔街分析师对美股乐观程度达20年最高。但由于新冠变异病毒减缓经济复苏的进展，衡量通货膨胀的消费价格指数继续高于预期水平，美银美林全球投资策略师Michael Hartnett的观点是：今年下半年股市将出现负回报。他对通货膨胀加剧带来的滞胀威胁表示担忧。摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师迈克•威尔逊也认为，美股正处于回调的边缘。他预测，年底...

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Comment（11）

Aidenmiao
·2021-08-23
讚我[可愛]
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小花猫24
·2021-08-23
呵呵
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小花猫24
·2021-08-23
呵呵
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2
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小花猫24
·2021-08-23
呵呵
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小花猫24
·2021-08-23
呵呵
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金金在线
·2021-08-22
?
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1
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skychin
·2021-08-22
靜觀其變！！！[微笑] [微笑] [微笑]
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AdeCK
·2021-08-22
那麼我們這些散戶怎麼辦啊
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- Aidenmiao:
  吃草 [呆住]
  2021-08-23
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- Aidenmiao:
  吃草 [呆住]
  2021-08-23
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Silent moon 静月
·2021-08-22
迷茫了…..
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Ycho
·2021-08-22
[微笑] [微笑]
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- Ycho:
  [微笑] [微笑]
  2021-08-22
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- Yuyi:
  ?
  2021-08-22
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Hiiping
·2021-08-22
怎麼辦？
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Hartnett的观点是：今年下半年股市将出现负回报。他对通货膨胀加剧带来的滞胀威胁表示担忧。\n摩根士丹利首席美国股票策略师迈克•威尔逊也认为，美股正处于回调的边缘。他预测，年底标普500指数恐回撤10%。\n悲观的分析师表示，近期美债收益率曲线下降，大宗商品价格震荡下跌，以及小盘股正受到冲击，罗素2000小盘股指数较3月中旬的历史高点已跌去近8%，此外，美联储缩减购债规模也可能成为美股下行的导火索。\n彭博社称，投资者最近对大幅回撤的恐惧比过去几个月要大得多，针对市场大跌的对冲需求在最近几周急剧上升。有84%的投资者预测，美联储将在年底前缩减QE，这使得大部分投资者的操作转向谨慎。\n与此同时，也有华尔街多头表示，依旧有充分的理由暂时对美股保持乐观，认为美股将小幅走高。\n他们表示，现在担心Delta变种对消费者支出和经济增长放缓的影响还为时过早。此外，市场将能够从容应对美联储的缩减购债计划。目前，美联储承诺保持每周1200亿美元的资产购买计划以保持市场流动性和投资者信心。\n总的来看，华尔街分析师对美股后市的展望分歧巨大。在彭博追踪的21位预测分析师中，有12位分析师预计，标准普尔500指数将会下降。其中，预测的最高和最低目标之间的差距为24%。\n此外，还有一些分析师对美股后市走势表示不确定。Wealth Advisors投资组合策略总经理亚当•菲利普斯表示：\n\n 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