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The Dow Is in a Bear Market. What Does That Mean?

Reuters2022-09-27

Sept 26 (Reuters) - The Dow Jones Industrial Average, the oldest of Wall Street's three main stock indexes, dropped 1.1% on Monday, extending the decline from its January peak to more than 20%, meeting a common definition for a bear market.

Worries that the Federal Reserve's war against decades-high inflation is pushing the U.S. economy into a downturn have sent the U.S. stock market tumbling in 2022.

With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq already down some 23% and 32%, respectively, from their record highs, confirmation the Dow is also in a bear market is just the latest milestone in 2022's market turmoil.

While the Dow, with only 30 large-cap companies, is a much narrower index than the other two, it is historically the one Main Street watches most closely.

On Wall Street, the terms "bull" and "bear" markets are often used to characterize broad upward or downward trends in asset prices. Many investors use the terms loosely, and analysts don't always share the same specific definitions, particularly about when to call the end of a bear market.

Indeed, for professionals these are just labels that are less important than fundamentals like company earnings and valuations, interest rates and economic conditions.

Some investors define a bear market specifically as a decline of at least 20% in a stock or index from its previous peak, with the peak defining the beginning of the bear market, which is only recognized in hindsight following the 20% decline.

Similarly, some define a bull market as a 20% rise from a previous low. However, S&P Dow Jones Indices, which administers the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average, has an even more nuanced definition.

A drop of 20% or more from a high, followed by a 20% gain from that lower level, would leave an index still below its previous peak, a situation S&P Dow Jones Indices Senior Index Analyst Howard Silverblatt describes as a "bull rally in a bear market."

Indeed, investors can only be sure they are in a new bull market once a new record high has been reached, and at that point, the previous low would mark the end of the bear market and beginning of the new bull market, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment28

  • BlitzBison
    ·2022-09-27
    Ok
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  • KYHBKO
    ·2022-09-27
    It is prudent to research and shortlist companies for now. 
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    • Werv
      👍
      2022-09-29
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    • coltzilla
      👍🏼
      2022-09-28
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    • MickeyLiew
      yes
      2022-09-27
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  • Angelind
    ·2022-09-27
    Ok.
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    • JackTL
      haiz
      2022-09-27
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  • blessed_1
    ·2022-09-27
    Ok
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  • Remotecam
    ·2022-09-27
    Institutional funds exited most global stock market in preparation of the coming recession. Most of these funds are parked in USD, which is why USD appreciated to historic high lately. This time around they DID NOT buy gold or Yen, which was the usual safe havens previously. But funds can't hold on to cash for long. Once a clearer picture of where company growth is resilient going into 2023/24 , those funds will be deployed again, resulting in the coming bull run. So the question is, which stocks will survive and thrive pass this bear market? Buy that and hold.
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    • DodoOne
      Thank you for sharing your insight...
      2022-10-06
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    • Azerone.Kee
      [Great]
      2022-09-27
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    • SirBahamut
      It will be some good time before funds will deploy again
      2022-09-27
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  • Amytok
    ·2022-09-27
    [Smile] 
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  • Steadyhoo
    ·2022-09-27
    Bear territory for a while
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  • JY1980
    ·2022-09-27
    Meaning jibapo is nearer...
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  • CaptainWoon
    ·2022-09-27
    What does this passage tells?
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  • JenneyJJ
    ·2022-09-27
    Ok, got it.
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  • EugeneKopi
    ·2022-09-27
    Over
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  • runningjames
    ·2022-09-27
    just sell when profitable... hold on to buy goos stocks that reach new low, rebound will be greater than others stocks
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  • Gerinit
    ·2022-09-27
    Like pls. Thanks
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    • Desoupie
      Ok
      2022-09-27
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    • JenneyJJ
      Done
      2022-09-27
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  • melson
    ·2022-09-27
    this means longists cannot hold stocks for long term because the long term trend is going downwards. but still good for trading. cheers.
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  • Hartanto
    ·2022-09-27
    Cancel
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    • Hartanto
      Xhjc
      2022-09-27
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  • Jawslea
    ·2022-09-27
    Keep cash, wait for recession then buy low.
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  • Yangon64
    ·2022-09-27
    Yes
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  • Victorhc88
    ·2022-09-27
    Like 
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    • Gerinit
      👍
      2022-09-27
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  • Williamw
    ·2022-09-27
    Ok
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  • Jasonzheng99
    ·2022-09-27
    Reply
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