Harrison Schwartz

    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·05-15

      Sunnova: Strong Growth But Needs More Scaling To Become Profitable

      Summary Sunnova Energy International is benefiting from a short squeeze, with a short interest of 40 million shares making up a third of the share count. The company provides solar energy services to over 440k customers in the US and growing its revenues nicely even though it will take a while to be profitable. The company has a lot of debt (11x its revenues) but most of the debt belongs to its financing arm, which provides financing to customers. Still doesn't make it risk-free. The company's full year guidance calls for profits but it's an adjusted metric that includes tax credits and excludes items so be cautious. anatoliy_gleb Sunnova Energy International (NYSE:NOVA) is a solar energy company whose stock has been benefiting grea
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      Sunnova: Strong Growth But Needs More Scaling To Become Profitable
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·02-21

      Xponential Fitness: A Growth Story Unliked By Investors

      Summary Xponential Fitness is a fitness company with a franchise model and multiple brands, offering a variety of services to franchisees. The company has over 3,000 franchised studios worldwide, with unique aspects and a focus on local boutique fitness experiences. Revenues have been growing at a decent rate, margins are improving, and cash flow generation is increasing, indicating strong financial performance. Sentiment around the stock is weak so the bottom might not be there but current risk-reward ratio looks favorable. gradyreese/iStock via Getty Images Business Overview Xponential Fitness (NYSE:XPOF) is a fitness company that has a franchise model and holds an umbrella of several brands such as Club Pilates, CycleBar, StretchLa
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      Xponential Fitness: A Growth Story Unliked By Investors
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·02-09

      Brandywine Realty Earnings: Investors Are Disappointed By Forward Guidance

      Summary Brandywine Realty Trust's Q4 earnings report triggered a sell-off in its shares, despite meeting expectations. The company's new guidance for 2024 came below expectations, indicating ongoing struggles in the office REIT sector. Brandywine expects a flat occupancy rate, slower rental rate growth, and a low tenant retention rate for 2024. The dividend is well-covered for now, but the payout ratio is likely to increase from 63% to 80% unless there is a cut this year. From a valuation standpoint, the stock is quite cheap with a P/AFFO of 5, but the stock may remain cheap until there is a turnaround in its business. serts Brandywine Realty Trust (NYSE:BDN) just
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      Brandywine Realty Earnings: Investors Are Disappointed By Forward Guidance
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·02-09

      PHK: I Am Not Convinced Of This Fund's Value Proposition

      Summary PIMCO High Income Fund offers high yields but has a history of shrinking distributions year after year. Even reinvesting dividends doesn't seem to catch up with distribution cuts (after 2016) even if you ignore inflation. It's hard to rely on this fund for sustainable income for retirees who depend on it for their living expenses. malerapaso PIMCO High Income Fund (NYSE:PHK) is a CEF by one of the largest asset managers in the world and it often attracts a lot of attention from income focused investors that are generally seeking high yields in order to boost their income. The fund has been around for 20 years and it offered mixed results throughout its existence and I am not convinced that it offers a lot of value for most in
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      PHK: I Am Not Convinced Of This Fund's Value Proposition
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·02-09

      Churchill Downs: Accelerating Growth Might Justify High Valuation

      Summary Churchill Downs Incorporated is an entertainment and gaming company that owns the Kentucky Derby and operates online wagering businesses and casino resorts. The company's revenues have been accelerating in recent years, reaching $2.4 billion in 2023, up from $1 billion a few years ago, driven by investments and expansion into new businesses. CHDN's stock has outperformed the market, up 732% in the last 10 years, but its valuation appears to be at a premium compared to its peers. Whether this premium valuation is justified or not really depends on whether you are a growth investor or value investor and what your time horizon is. Joe Hendrickson Churchill Downs Incorporated (NASDAQ:CHDN) is an entertainment and gaming company
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      Churchill Downs: Accelerating Growth Might Justify High Valuation
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·02-09

      Inspire Medical Systems: Strong Q4 Results But Growth Might Be Slowing

      Summary Inspire Medical Systems reported a surprising profit of 49 cents per share, beating analyst estimates who were expecting it to report a loss. The company's YoY revenue growth has slowed to about 40% and expected to further slow down to 25% next year based on guidance. It is still expected to see double digit growth for many years to come with possible international expansion. INSP stock trades at a premium of 10x revenues of 115 times profits and it could use a pullback. Tippapatt/iStock via Getty Images Inspire Medical Systems (NYSE:INSP) released its latest earnings report representing Q4 and full year of 2023 in the after hours of February 6th. The medical device company
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      Inspire Medical Systems: Strong Q4 Results But Growth Might Be Slowing
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·2023-11-24

      NUSI: What Explains The ETF's Recent Performance?

      Summary Nationwide Nasdaq-100 Risk-Managed Income ETF saw its performance change dramatically this year after underperforming last year. It surprised many people to see a hedge portfolio perform so badly during a bear market while performing much better in a rally. This is because the fund actually changed its strategy in a significant way. NUSI is now more flexible about applying options strategies and sometimes doesn't use covered calls at all, so its performance has improved dramatically. arthon meekodong Nationwide Nasdaq-100® Risk-Managed Income ETF (NYSEARCA:NUSI) is a highly popular covered call fund. The fund is known for applying a collar approach which combines covered call writing with buying of protective puts as an insura
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      NUSI: What Explains The ETF's Recent Performance?
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·2023-11-24

      DIVO May Have Room To Increase Its Distributions

      Summary Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF (DIVO) has a dividend yield close to 5% with limited covered call writing. DIVO's holdings consist mostly of Dow Jones Index components, which may result in performance matching that of the Dow Index. While DIVO holds stocks with a strong history of dividend growth, its own dividend distribution history has been disappointing. The fund has room to increase its distributions as most of its holdings are continuing to increase their dividends and it appears to be overdue for a hike. Whether it will hike or not is still a decision to be made by the fund's management. acilo Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF (NYSEARCA:DIVO) is an interesting income oriented fund which I covered i
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      DIVO May Have Room To Increase Its Distributions
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·2023-11-24

      Origin Materials: Highly Speculative Play

      Summary Origin Materials aims to produce carbon-negative materials using renewable and organic materials, potentially reducing carbon footprint and greenhouse gas emissions. The company has secured partnerships with major companies like Ford, PepsiCo, and Nestle, indicating interest in its platform. It has a lot of demand for its products. However, Origin Materials is burning cash at a dangerous rate and will require additional funding to support its growth and production infrastructure. The company needs to scale up fast in order to survive and prosper. The company's own projections are significantly more optimistic than what analysts and investors are seeing. cosmin4000/iStock via Getty Images Origin Materials (NASDAQ:ORGN) is a com
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      Origin Materials: Highly Speculative Play
    • Diesel1Diesel1
      ·2023-11-24

      VGT: Whether You Should Hold This Fund Depends On Your Time Horizon

      Summary Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares has had a strong performance this year, but may be getting expensive based on traditional metrics. Technology stocks are up 45% year to date almost entirely driven by P/E multiple expansion driven by hopes of looser monetary policies. Sentiment is still strong and could remain strong for a while. Investors with long term horizons should be fine but those that are closer to retirement may want to reduce their risk exposure. RomoloTavani Vanguard Information Technology Index Fund ETF Shares (NYSEARCA:VGT) is a highly popular fund by Vanguard which had a tremendous performance this year as tech stocks had a stellar year but it might be getting a bit pricey at the moment based o
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      VGT: Whether You Should Hold This Fund Depends On Your Time Horizon
       
       
       
       

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