If Recession Comes, Where Might the S&P 500 Fall to Next?
(Note: This article mainly examines the situation from the perspectives of corporate earnings expectations, investor sentiment, valuation expectations, technical analysis, and historical data. The data is sourced from publicly available materials. The views are for discussion purposes only and should not be taken as direct investment advice.)Recently, Trump's new tariff policy has disrupted the market and even raised expectations of an economic recession. To determine whether the economy is heading towards a recession, it is necessary to continue monitoring the negative impacts brought about by Trump's trade policies and policy uncertainties:Are the Q2 GDP growth rate, consumer confidence index, manufacturing and services indices, leading economic indicators (LEI), and non-farm employment
As the US dollar depreciates, which non-US assets are more attractive?
The $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ has broken through the 98 mark, marking the first time since March 2022, with a drop of over 1% within the day.So far in 2025, the USD index has fallen by more than 9%, making it the worst start to a year since 1995.To put it simply, the USD index breaking through the 98 mark is mainly due to the following reasons:Trump's "Troublemaking"Trump has recently started "speaking out of turn" again, threatening to fire the Federal Reserve chairman and demanding that the Fed cut interest rates. This kind of "reckless talk" has made investors feel that U.S. economic policies are unstable. They are getting nervous and quickly selling off the dollar, which has led to the decline of the USD index.Trade Policy "Adding
Healthcare giant UNH see the biggest drop in 27 years, Why?
Healthcare giant $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ obliterated and is on track for its biggest loss in 27 years.Keydata: EPS of $7.20 missing expectations of $7.29, Revenue of $109.6B missing expectations of $111.6B.Why is $UNH down 23%? An amazing buying opportunityQ1 2025 Earnings Report AnalysisCompany OverviewUnitedHealth Group is a globally leading diversified healthcare company, operating primarily through two business segments: UnitedHealthcare (which provides health insurance and benefits services) and Optum (which offers information and technology-supported health services). The company is committed to helping people live healthier lives through innovative healthcare solutions and efficient operating models.Business and Business Model IntroductionUnited
How to trade US stocks under high tariffs? Which industries are more suitable?
Will the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ form a double bottom?The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 0 index is currently in a downtrend, approaching the previous low of 5168.98. If it can stabilize near the MA200 (5753.47) and show a rebound with reduced volume, it may form a double bottom. However, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the RSI and KDJ indicators; if there are oversold or overbought signals, cautious operations are needed. Changes in trading volume are also crucial; if a stabilization with reduced volume occurs near the support level, it may indicate the formation of a double bottom. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ EPS Estimates for 2025 are now at $263.05, with a growth
HIMS Surges as Telehealth Platform Adds LLY Weight-Loss Drugs
On April 1st, $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ stock surged because the company announced it's adding $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ 's weight-loss drug Zepbound to its telehealth platform.Here’s the scoop:Stock SurgeStock Performance: $Hims & Hers Health Inc.(HIMS)$ ' stock closed up 5.1% at $31.05 on April 1st, hitting a high of 14% during trading.Trading Volume: The company saw a huge spike in trading volume that day, reaching $144.4 million, up 150.91% from the previous day and ranking 35th in trading volume.Why Add the Drug?Previous Business: Hims & Hers used to make a killing selling a generic version of $Novo-Nordisk A/S(N
HSI Above 24,000 with Rising Volume, RSI Signals Pullback Risk
The $HSI(HSI)$ has recently consolidated around the 24,000 mark. Today, we will conduct a basic technical analysis of the HSI using a weekly chart combined with indicators such as the Moving Average (MA), Bollinger Bands, trading volume, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to assess market sentiment.Data as of March 20 2025Summary:Market Sentiment: The current market sentiment appears to be relatively optimistic, as the index has broken through the 24,000 mark accompanied by an increase in trading volume.Potential Risks: The RSI is approaching the overbought area, and the price is near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, which may indicate a potential risk of a short-term pullback.Strategy Recommendations: Considering the upward momentum of th
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ The gap has been filled, and there might be a spot for a bounce.And the hourly chart of the most hated stock in the market is telling us something, BREAKING OUTImageSome other news of $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says to "buy Tesla, $TSLA. It is unbelievable that this guy's stock is this cheap." $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ energy generation and storage segment is now a $10 Billion annual businessHowever,Is $TSLA a fraud?Image
The $32 Billion Question: Will Google's Wiz Acquisition Pay Off?
According to the latest news, $Alphabet(GOOGL)$$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Google's parent company, has agreed to acquire cybersecurity startup Wiz for at least $32 billion. This will be Google's largest acquisition ever, far exceeding its $12.5 billion purchase of Motorola in 2012.Acquisition BackgroundWiz was founded in 2020 and is a startup focused on cloud computing security. It provides AI-based cybersecurity solutions to help businesses identify and eliminate critical risks on cloud platforms. The company has grown rapidly and achieved a valuation of $12 billion in a funding round in May 2024. This acquisition will help Google enhance its competitiveness in the cloud computing field, especially in the cont
Walmart's $1.5B Insider Sell-Off: A Shift in Sentiment?
Hey fellow Tigers! I wanted to share some thoughts on Walmart’s recent insider sales that caught my eye.During the week of March 3, $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ insiders sold a whopping $1.5 billion worth of shares. As a retail investor, I was pretty intrigued by this move and thought it was worth digging into.Read more>>👇🤔Top 20 Stocks With the Most Insider Sells in the Past Week by @Tiger_Chart Since March 3, $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ has declined by -15.62%, pulling back by over 20% from its all-time high in February.Throughout 2024, $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ surged