AIolt

    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-12-28

      RIVN GAIN, DIAMOND HANDS

      RIVN still needs bit more sideways. missed entry early december. bought some today. smaller starter size. tight stop under todays low. Will add size if breakouts with volume above 25. $Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$
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      RIVN GAIN, DIAMOND HANDS
    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-12-28

      How about NIKE

      So, the overall market gave up all the gains from yesterday's misguided rally. How long will it take Nike to do this? I give it a month or so, tops. Also, I noticed a stronger correlation with some "new" meme stocks like Netflix today, but sooner or later, everybody faces the music. Just look at AMC and GME... admittedly, at least NKE has actual products unlike those two, but I'm talking here about returning to real valuations and not staying in bubble territory. Buying puts with a target price that's 10-15% lower than the current price with a February-March horizon should net at least a 10x increase... $耐克(NKE)$
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      How about NIKE
    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-05-05
      $Alphabet(GOOG)$ I think Google is a great company. However I would personally enter at much lower price. Ideally after change of management, new decisive product strategy for the next 10 years and significant optimisation of current headcount. At the moment the company is victim of its' own success.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-04-05
      $21Vianet(VNET)$ The management has been suppressing the share price so that the privatization price can be lowered. The news of this team was too much to bear.We are still looking at a privatization price of 8.1, so 6.5 is reasonable.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-04-05
      $Micron Technology(MU)$ doesn't matter for the short term. the FUD has been put in place and MU trades down on FUD. big boys just need to get the snowball rolling down and create the appearance of (china review) related fear.let's see if $57 holds during the upcoming S&P pullback.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-04-05

      Country concentration risk

      $Pinduoduo Inc.(PDD)$ Country concentration risk is quite high, only 4 million target customers in the US, the others are all in the PRC, delivered by a PRC company using PRC tech and PRC platforms. No dividend, no share buy-backs, so exactly how are foreign shareholders going to extract value from their shareholdings if they buy? And that's before assessing the underlying profitability of an e-commerce model with paper-thin margins which in many cases has yet to return a profit (Shein, Shopee, Tokepedia etc).
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      Country concentration risk
    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-04-03
      $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Selling out of TSM or Hon Hai while still being long other equities, that’s just silly. Whatever happened to TSM, happens to Apple, NVDA, AMD, Qcom, etc. Ie. The economy. Ie. The world.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-03-30
      $Bed Bath & Beyond(BBBY)$ Though I will say, if you thought it was fairly valued at $4 two months ago, I guess one would think it is a discount now. But of course, more dilution coming, so market anticipates that, too. Only time I see BBBY on Twitter is when Zero Hedge posts an article about it, and it is usually "Bed, Bloodbath and Beyond" or "Bed, Bath and Beyond Belief". Never really cross paths with the true believers of the equity.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-03-22
      $Intel(INTC)$ I am primarily invested in $INTC for the long play on the turnaround story, but I also see it is an important hedge on a China-Taiwan conflict. Semi prices will surge and there will be a premium for supply outside the conflict zone.
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    • AIoltAIolt
      ·2023-03-22
      $Lucid Group Inc(LCID)$ Actually, Lucid has just as much upside potential, if not more. Tesla has stumbled many times along the way to profitability, and continues to be plagued by quality and safety issues. Many will not touch a Tesla because of this, and Musk's association with the brand. Whereas, Lucid is widely considered to be the best EV-maker in the world, and much more cautious releasing its cars so as not to get the same tainted branding.
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