To The Moon

Last week, a mysterious trader who made waves with a bold $150 million options bet on China has turned a massive profit—how much exactly? Let’s break it down.Starting on November 29, the trader spent three consecutive days buying YINN call options expiring in January 2026 with a strike price of $27. Over those three days, he/she purchased 98,200, 38,800, and 15,300 contracts respectively, totaling approximately 152,300 contracts. Based on purchase prices between November 29 and December 3, their average cost was around $9.5-$9.8 per contract, amounting to an investment of about $150 million.On December 2, another major trade was executed, this time in CHAU options expiring in May 2025 with a $15 strike price. The trader bought about 200,000 contracts at an average price of approximately $2

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ Wall Street banks raise price targets on Nvidia, across the board after earnings beat despite the stock falling.Morgan Stanley Raises Target to $150 from $144Wells Fargo Raises Target to $165 from $155Goldman Sachs Raises Target to $135Mizuho Raises Target to $140 from $132BofA Securities Raises Target to $165 from $150JPMorgan Raises Target to $155 from $115Needham Raises Target to $145 from $120Bernstein Raises Target to $155 from $130Raymond James Raises Target to $140 from $120

Goldman Sachs is once again recommending straddle options, a strategy where investors buy both call and put options. Goldman believes that with U.S. stocks reaching new highs this year, options might be a more attractive alternative to owning the stock outright.Goldman Sachs identified 25 companies where they believe the implied volatility (IV) underestimates the potential stock price movement on earnings day, making straddle options appealing. Among these, notable picks include $Meta Platforms(META)$ $Eli Lilly(LLY)$ and $Marathon Digital Holdings Inc(MARA)$Meta Platforms (META): With earnings set for July 31, Goldman suggests buying straddles before IV spikes. T

$Microsoft(MSFT)$ 365 experienced service disruptions, affecting users worldwide. Microsoft dropped nearly 2% in after-hours trading, now priced at $433.If Microsoft opens around $435 tonight, I will sell a put option at $400, holding through the earnings report, with an expiration date of August 2nd.

$GameStop(GME)$ Tiger have opened GME call options all the way up to the 100 strike. The $GME 20230616 100 CALL$  with 3.5 days to expiry is trading for $3. With high liquidity, I sold 1 contract of call at the strike of $100, expiring this Friday, to earn premium of $3. I bet the share price will not reach $100 this week.But a word of caution for those looking to sell options - be mindful of the margin requirements and risks involved!

Goldman Sachs once again recommends straddle options for the upcoming earnings season. Goldman Sachs has released a list of 20 companies, believing that investors are underestimating the earnings day volatility of these targets. Buying straddles is particularly attractive, especially for $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Netflix(NFLX)$ , $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ and $American Express(AXP)$ META options imply a move of +/-7.8% on earnings-day, well below its 8Q average earnings-day move of +/-14.1%. One-month normalized put-call skew is in its 10th percentile relative to the past year, indicating bullish positioning by option

$英伟达(NVDA)$ As what I noted yesterday ： NVDA Pre-Earnings Plunge: Will the Surge in Implied Volatility Trigger a Sell-Off?"My plan was to sell calls at $800 if the stock rebounded, otherwise to sell puts at $580-600 if the stock price dropped 3-4%. However, my actual trade that to sell puts at $580 when NVDA stock price was $680. Last night, IV continued to surge, reaching 170% for at-the-money options, compared to the previous day's 140%+. With the stock price at $680 and seeing a put premium of over $3 for the expiring options at a $580 strike, thus I sold puts expiring this week.Regarding the financial report, it beats all expectations. The annual revenue for 2023 surpassed

$英伟达(NVDA)$ stock had a big drop last, before its earnings, seemingly influenced by two pieces of news: 1) Microsoft is developing a new product to reduce dependence on NVIDIA graphics cards, and 2) Silicon Valley startup Groq, with its self-developed LPU chips, claiming the LPU chip is 10 times faster than NVIDIA GPUs.While these announcements may not immediately impact NVIDIA's sales for the current year, they have tempered investors' enthusiasm, serving as a reminder to the investors of the competition and challenges that NVIDIA faces.There's already been plenty of analysis on its earnings, I won't delve into it. I currently don't hold any positions in NVIDIA due to the rapid rise in stock prices.Before, I had considered selling some calls ahea

Update on recent trading strategies for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ and $Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$ For the background on my trading opinions on TLT and TMF, please refer to the three previous articles:Is Selling Puts on TLT the Best Strategy Right Now?Why do I sell TMF calls, not TLT？Reviewing Options Trading on U.S. Treasury ETFsI began selling puts on TLT in early November. In December, I added selling calls on TMF. At that time, the trading logic was

$3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion(TMF)$ is an ETF which is daily 3X $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$. I am not really bearish on US Treasury bonds. Actually, I have sold TLT puts, as I mentioned before, Treasury bond bottoms are certain, and selling puts can be a good choice for a while.But TLT rose as much as 10% in November and it was one of the most crowded trades. It continued to rise in December. If I keep selling TLT at a safe exercise price, the premiums will be little. If I raise the exercise price of selling puts to $90, I don’t think it is safe. Since long-term U.S. bonds do not have such an increase, TLT has room for correction.I am willing to sell TLT puts at an exercise price of $87-89. I think it should c