To The Moon

Goldman Sachs once again recommends straddle options for the upcoming earnings season. Goldman Sachs has released a list of 20 companies, believing that investors are underestimating the earnings day volatility of these targets. Buying straddles is particularly attractive, especially for $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , $Netflix(NFLX)$ , $Cloudflare, Inc.(NET)$ and $American Express(AXP)$ META options imply a move of +/-7.8% on earnings-day, well below its 8Q average earnings-day move of +/-14.1%. One-month normalized put-call skew is in its 10th percentile relative to the past year, indicating bullish positioning by option

$英伟达(NVDA)$ As what I noted yesterday ： NVDA Pre-Earnings Plunge: Will the Surge in Implied Volatility Trigger a Sell-Off?"My plan was to sell calls at $800 if the stock rebounded, otherwise to sell puts at $580-600 if the stock price dropped 3-4%. However, my actual trade that to sell puts at $580 when NVDA stock price was $680. Last night, IV continued to surge, reaching 170% for at-the-money options, compared to the previous day's 140%+. With the stock price at $680 and seeing a put premium of over $3 for the expiring options at a $580 strike, thus I sold puts expiring this week.Regarding the financial report, it beats all expectations. The annual revenue for 2023 surpassed

$英伟达(NVDA)$ stock had a big drop last, before its earnings, seemingly influenced by two pieces of news: 1) Microsoft is developing a new product to reduce dependence on NVIDIA graphics cards, and 2) Silicon Valley startup Groq, with its self-developed LPU chips, claiming the LPU chip is 10 times faster than NVIDIA GPUs.While these announcements may not immediately impact NVIDIA's sales for the current year, they have tempered investors' enthusiasm, serving as a reminder to the investors of the competition and challenges that NVIDIA faces.There's already been plenty of analysis on its earnings, I won't delve into it. I currently don't hold any positions in NVIDIA due to the rapid rise in stock prices.Before, I had considered selling some calls ahea

Update on recent trading strategies for $iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF(TLT)$ and $Direxion Daily 20 Year Plus Treasury Bull 3x Shares(TMF)$ For the background on my trading opinions on TLT and TMF, please refer to the three previous articles:Is Selling Puts on TLT the Best Strategy Right Now?Why do I sell TMF calls, not TLT？Reviewing Options Trading on U.S. Treasury ETFsI began selling puts on TLT in early November. In December, I added selling calls on TMF. At that time, the trading logic was

$3倍做多20年期以上国债ETF-Direxion(TMF)$ is an ETF which is daily 3X $20+年以上美国国债ETF-iShares(TLT)$. I am not really bearish on US Treasury bonds. Actually, I have sold TLT puts, as I mentioned before, Treasury bond bottoms are certain, and selling puts can be a good choice for a while.But TLT rose as much as 10% in November and it was one of the most crowded trades. It continued to rise in December. If I keep selling TLT at a safe exercise price, the premiums will be little. If I raise the exercise price of selling puts to $90, I don’t think it is safe. Since long-term U.S. bonds do not have such an increase, TLT has room for correction.I am willing to sell TLT puts at an exercise price of $87-89. I think it should c

Tomorrow the deal is close, tonight the iv crash, all the sell put has been successfully landed, this year two super mergers and acquisitions have been unexpectedly completed.

$威睿(VMW)$ stock price plunged during last two days, and It fell another 7% in the pre-market trading.As concerns over the last leg of the Broadcom-VMware deal intensified over a snag in China. Broadcom and VMware set Oct. 23 as the deadline for VMware holders to elect the form of merger consideration they will take. The companies reiterated that they expect to close the transaction by Oct. 30, subject to the receipt of regulatory approvals and other customary closing conditions, according to a statement on Wednesday.However, the stock price is honest. Traders have some concern despite sources saying the deal should close without major issue. Traders are focused on China amid a report that China's antitrust approval for the megadeal may be delayed.

Let's review the overall market and the trading opportunities in the stocks I've been monitoring. The interest rate decision lands, and it's as hawkish as expected, which is also in line with common sense. Anyone claiming it's unexpected must have their own problems. The 'higher for longer' stance was set as early as last year, why didn't they believe it?This basically confirms that there will be another interest rate hike in November this year, and it's time to start pricing it in. The current market adjustment also aligns with historical patterns seen in September. For those who are unsure or confused about the market's direction, I sincerely recommend keeping most of your funds in Tiger Vault for now.Another currently focused event is the government shutdown. Personally, I don't think t

$苹果(AAPL)$ I don’t want to talk about the new products. Let’s move to how to trade. I sold puts at the strike price of $160 last night. That means I would like to buy the shares at $160.Why is $160？We can see from the chart below. There is a gap at $165-170, which need to make up. The MA200-day line is around $164, and the MA50-week line is around $162. So I chose the price of $160.It is worth mentioning that the 200-day line and 50-week line did not act supports in history. However, I personally still have confidence in Apple's solid moat, I am willing to buy the shares at this price.Although Apple have fallen a lot in the past few days, it has dropped 13% from its highs. But the stock price still rise as high as 35% year-to-date. In March, there

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ it is seriously fell below MA50-day line. the index is expected to go around 4300 something, where is the high point in Last August. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell below the MA50-day line last Friday, and the rebound in the previous two trading days was suppressed by the MA50-day line, which proves the above view of continuing to be bearish.I would like to remind that investors should hedge and protect when the indexes bounce, even reduce your positions. If you want to hedge, options are better choices. If you hold some stocks, the best options strategy is selling covered calls for your holdings. You can choice an OTM strike price to sell calls, that probably no to be exercised when the market