$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ I put out a fresh batch of one-page stock breakdowns this week, covering NOW, GOOGL, TSM, and ASML. These are names tied to AI, cloud, and semiconductor growth. I've been going through the fundamentals, the catalysts, and the levels I'm keeping an eye on. The idea is pretty straightforward: spot quality names before the crowd starts piling in. I was on this theme back when fewer people were paying attention.
$Netflix(NFLX)$ With tariffs, the capex cycle, the war, the Paramount deal getting cancelled — Netflix feels like the cleanest story you can find in big tech right now.
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Intel's earnings beat wasn't a surprise. They reaffirmed that AI is strong and alive, which almost guarantees TSMC's future will be bright. Intel is a TSMC customer, and I hope things go well for them. TSMC, as a leader, wants all 534+ of its customers to do well, not just the smart investors.
$Netflix(NFLX)$ Small daily swings below $10 don't really bother me. It feels more like the big players running their usual playbook, trying to shake out retail traders. They know they're on the other side of the trade, and those stop-loss orders probably get triggered every day like clockwork.
$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ NVDA and TSM look like the three biggest beneficiaries of GOOGL's increased capex. Seeing them move into the green would be a positive signal.
I see positive signs for $Netflix(NFLX)$ with YouTube's ($Alphabet(GOOGL)$ ) ad revenue seeing strong growth. That could translate into solid profits for the company once its ad engine is fully operational.
$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Alphabet's capital expenditures roughly doubled year over year to about $45B, which looks like a major ramp-up in investment spending. The company also topped quarterly revenue expectations, with AI investments driving growth. It's interesting to note that Uncle Buffett got a private placement deal on GOOGL and GOOG at $351.81 and $348.20 each.
$Netflix(NFLX)$ It would be good to see it manage a strong close from this level. A couple of consecutive days with some confidence would be encouraging.
Three things stood out to me recently. First, the optics side: Zhongji Innolight's planned IPO shows capital markets are still open to funding top AI optical module players. Second, memory: Micron and SK hynix have seen a bounce as some investors start positioning ahead of upcoming Big Tech earnings, looking to see if AI capex plans are holding up. Third, the broader AI theme: the focus seems to be shifting away from just short-term sentiment and back toward the long-term need for AI infrastructure. From where I stand, the real play isn't about any single stock. It's the whole AI infrastructure supply chain. AI needs compute. Compute needs HBM. HBM needs high-speed optical interconnects. They all need each other to scale. $NVIDIA(NVDA)$