Capital_Insights

Institutional view-tracker for macro-to-single-stock shifts.

    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·02-13

      Tiger Rearch | Coinbase:; Maintain HOLD but Decrease PT to $170

      By Tiger RearchCoinbase Global, Inc. (COIN, HOLD) - 4Q25: Everything Exchange Progress Continues as Near-Term Crypto Headwinds Emerge; Maintain HOLD but Decrease PT to $170 Coinbase reported 4Q25 net revenue of $1.71B (3%/2% below Tiger/Street), down 5% sequentially, with transaction revenue of $983M, down 6% Q/Q. While trading volumes softened modestly during the quarter, the more notable dynamic was pressure on retail monetization.Consumer transaction revenue declined 13% Q/Q compared to a 6% decline in consumer spot trading volume, reflecting mix shift toward Advanced trading and higher Coinbase One penetration.Adjusted EBITDA was $566M in 4Q (24%/15% below Tiger/Street) versus $801M in 3Q. Subscription and services revenue declined only 3% Q/Q to $727M, supported by record USDC ba
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      Tiger Rearch | Coinbase:; Maintain HOLD but Decrease PT to $170
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·02-12

      🤖 XPEV 4Q25 Preview: PT at $28! Is the MONA Momentum the Real Engine?

      👋 Hey Tigers! The $XPeng Inc.(XPEV)$ 4Q earnings preview is hot off the press! Is the "Smart EV Challenger" hitting a speed bump or gearing up for the next lap? 🏎️ The Tiger Research Team has updated its model, and the verdict is in: 👉 Maintain BUY rating 👉 Price Target $28 (unchanged) 📈 The big story? Delivery headwinds are real, but the product cycle might just be getting started! 💎 XPeng is navigating near-term softness with the MONA lineup gaining traction, while new models like P7+ and G7 are ramping up. Is this the portfolio diversification we've been waiting for? We've broken down the Estimate Revisions, the Model Mix, and the Financials below. Let's dive in! 👇 1. The Core Reality: Delivery Adjustments 📉 The Tiger Research Team believes the
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      🤖 XPEV 4Q25 Preview: PT at $28! Is the MONA Momentum the Real Engine?
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·02-05

      🤖BIDU 4Q25 Preview: PT Raised to $150! Is the AI Chip IPO the Game Changer?

      👋 Hey Tigers! The $Baidu(BIDU)$ 4Q earnings preview is hot off the press! Is the "AI All-Star" finally ready to sprint? 🏃 The Tiger Research Team has updated its model, and the verdict is in: 👉 Maintain BUY rating 👉 Price Target RAISED to $150 (previously $135) 📈 The big driver? A hidden gem is getting ready to shine! 💎 Baidu is advancing the IPO of its AI chip subsidiary, Kunlunxin, which could be key to unlocking shareholder value. Is this the catalyst we've been waiting for? We’ve broken down the IPO Valuation, the SOTP Model, and the Financials below. Let's dive in! 👇 1. The Core Catalyst: Kunlunxin IPO 🚀 The Tiger Research Team believes the story right now is less about ad revenue and more about AI optionality. The IPO Plan: Baidu has confide
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      🤖BIDU 4Q25 Preview: PT Raised to $150! Is the AI Chip IPO the Game Changer?
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-30

      🏦Warsh Emerging as Fed Chair Frontrunner: What’s the Market Pricing In? 📈

      President Trump confirmed on Jan 29 (US time) that he will announce the next Federal Reserve Chair on the morning of Jan 30. 🗓️ This appointment extends beyond US monetary policy 🇺🇸—it directly impacts global asset allocation frameworks 🌏, particularly for Asia-Pacific markets sensitive to Fed policy trajectories.With Chair Powell’s term ending in May, he’ll still preside over the March and April FOMC meetings, but market attention has already shifted forward—investors are now positioning for the "post-Powell era" policy landscape. 🎯Trump described his pick as "a highly respected figure, well-known throughout financial circles," hinting the choice "won’t be surprising" and comes from the existing shortlist. This statement triggered immediate market repricing 📊, with assets adjusting to shi
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      🏦Warsh Emerging as Fed Chair Frontrunner: What’s the Market Pricing In? 📈
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-29

      COIN 4Q25 Preview: PT Cut to $220! Is Crypto Cycle Stalling?🚨

      👋 Hey Tigers! The highly anticipated 4Q earnings preview for $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is here! 🚀 Current market vibes: Buy the dip or wait on the sidelines? 🤔 Here is the latest take from the Tiger Research Team: 👉 Maintain HOLD rating 👉 Price Target lowered to $220 (previously $300) 📉 While they still believe in COIN’s "Everything Exchange" vision ✨ , the current crypto cycle headwinds are blowing strong. Spot volumes are slipping, and prices are soft—so where exactly is the bottom? ⏳ Tiger Research Team crunched the numbers on the Data, the Cycle, and the Valuation for you. Packed with insights—bookmark this now before reading! 👇 1. 4Q25 Data Check: A Tale of Two Markets 📉🚀 The Tiger Research Team notes a divergence between Coinbase's spot
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      COIN 4Q25 Preview: PT Cut to $220! Is Crypto Cycle Stalling?🚨
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-22

      Cathie Wood Buys $10M Broadcom & Chinese Tech, Sells $20M KTOS

      Cathie Wood, Founder and CEO of ARK Invest, executed a series of contrarian acquisitions this week. $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK)$ $ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF(ARKQ)$ $ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF(ARKX)$ The following analysis examines the fundamental, financial, and technical rationale behind the six key additions to the portfolio.1. $Broadcom(AVGO)$ – The Unshakeable AI Fortress 🏰The AI Infrastructure Moat: AVGO is not a standard chipmaker; it is an infrastructure monopoly. Its dominance in custom ASICs (networking) combined with the sticky, recurring revenue from the VMware integration, crea
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      Cathie Wood Buys $10M Broadcom & Chinese Tech, Sells $20M KTOS
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-21

      CRCL 4Q25 Preview: PT Cut to $85! Is Circle Facing a Slowdown?🚨

      Tiger Research Team is maintaining a HOLD rating on $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ ahead of its 4Q25 earnings, but we are lowering our Price Target to $85 (previously $100).The key drivers? A combination of soft crypto asset prices and interest rate headwinds is putting pressure on the company's reserve income engine.Here is the team's comprehensive analysis of the data, the macro outlook, and our valuation model. 👇1. 4Q25 Data Check: Circulation & Market Share 📊The Good:According to CoinMarketCap, average USDC circulation reached $76.3B in 4Q25, up 12% q/q (from $67.8B in 3Q).YTD Update: So far, in 1Q26 (Jan 1 – Jan 19), USDC circulation has risen slightly by $0.67B.The Bad:Momentum slowed significantly at the end of the year. Circulation peak
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      CRCL 4Q25 Preview: PT Cut to $85! Is Circle Facing a Slowdown?🚨
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-16

      Factset Outlook 2026: US Market Outlook & Asian Investor Strategy

      2026 S&P 500 Earnings Preview: A 15% Growth Story—Should Singapore Investors Double Down or Take Profits?The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ is poised to deliver its third consecutive year of double-digit earnings growth in 2026, with analysts forecasting a robust 15% year-over-year increase—well above the 10-year annual average of 8.6%. For Singapore-based investors heavily allocated to US equities, this begs a critical question: is this the time to accumulate or rebalance toward Asian opportunities?The "Magnificent 7" Narrative Frays at the EdgesHere’s the surprise: only two of the top five earnings growth contributors for 2026 belong to the fabled "Magnificent 7"—NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and Meta
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      Factset Outlook 2026: US Market Outlook & Asian Investor Strategy
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·01-06

      AI Compute Spreads, China Reprices, Gold Breaks Out: Key Views from Major Investment Banks

      As 2026 begins, a clear — though internally differentiated — consensus is emerging among major global investment banks. The dominant themes are becoming increasingly explicit: a broad repricing of China equities, AI compute power diffusing from mega-cap platforms to the supply chain, a structurally bullish outlook for gold and industrial metals, and growing dispersion within U.S. equities.Below is a bank-by-bank breakdown of the latest core views, followed by a concise daily monitoring checklist.1. Goldman Sachs: Overweight China, Persistent AI Capex, and a Structural Bull Case for GoldChina Equities: Overweight Backed by Earnings and Valuation MathGoldman Sachs maintains a clear overweight stance on Chinese equities.Corporate earnings growth is projected at 14% in 2026 and 12% in 2027Comb
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      AI Compute Spreads, China Reprices, Gold Breaks Out: Key Views from Major Investment Banks
    • Capital_InsightsCapital_Insights
      ·2025-12-26

      JD 4Q25 Preview: Home Appliance Headwinds Weigh on Near-Term Growth

      Tiger Research team maintains a BUY rating on $JD.com(JD)$ but lowers the price target to US$35 (from US$40), as macro data point to near-term pressure on consumption—particularly in the home appliance category.Recent NBS data indicate a clear slowdown in retail momentum. Total retail sales growth decelerated to 2.9% YoY in October and 1.3% in November, down meaningfully from 3.0% and 3.4% in September and August. The pressure was most pronounced in household appliances, a key revenue and profit contributor for JD, with sales declining 14.6% YoY in October and 19.4% in November, versus +3.3% YoY in September. The weakness largely reflects a high base effect following the rollout of China’s national subsidy program in 4Q24.Against this backdrop, Tige
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      JD 4Q25 Preview: Home Appliance Headwinds Weigh on Near-Term Growth
       
       
       
       

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