To The Moon

The Chinese economy has continued its slowdown into 2024, with domestic consumption and investment weakening throughout the year. There are some signs of recent stabilization towards the end of the year, but the slowdown was evident comparing to the pre-pandemic momentum. This decline in demand has led to persistent deflationary pressures. Against the backdrop, external trade has emerged as a notable bright spot, significantly bolstering GDP growth, which is expected to end the year relatively close to the official target of 5%.Looking ahead to 2025, policy stimulus will be key. While the government has made fiscal announcement during November 2024, the implemented measures are more of a rescue package than actual fiscal expansion. This has, then, not changed the persistent but gradual slo

FundStrat head of research Tom Lee pictured in 2017. The closely followed strategist has predicted a divided year for the S&P 500 in 2025.PHOTO: CINDY ORD/GETTY IMAGES FOR YAHOOFundstrat’s Tom Lee is no longer one of Wall Street’s biggest bulls. Why he’s cautious on 2025.Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, who has earned respect on Wall Street for some accurate S&P 500 index calls, has also been one of the stock market’s biggest bulls in recent years.But after two years of back-to-back 20%-plus gains for the index: $.SPX(.SPX)$ , $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$

The annual $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ adjustment is set to be announced on December 13. Based on market capitalization rankings, several companies are likely to join the index, including high performers like $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ (up 347.4% YTD) and $MicroStrategy(MSTR)$ (up over 500% YTD), along with $Equinix(EQIX)$ , $CME Group Inc(CME)$ , $Interactive Brokers(IBKR)$ and $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ Meanwhile, six companies, led by $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA

Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Officer at Bank of America, released his 2025 investment outlook report, stating that global markets will continue to follow the theme of "big policy, big actions, and big tail risks."He predicts further economic divergence globally in 2025. The US economy will experience "inflationary prosperity," while other regions face "deflationary recession" risks.1. Long "US Prosperity," Short "Global Recession" in Q1"US inflationary prosperity" and "global deflationary recession" may lead to an overbought dollar and stock market in Q1, with investors already heavily invested in the Trump trade - betting on a rising dollar, US stocks, and higher bond yields.US small-cap stocks (Russell 2000) are expected to outperform due to

As 2024 draws to a close and 2025 approaches, UBS analysts recommended in a Monday report that investors allocate their portfolios to technology, financials, industrials, and utilities.They noted that under current market conditions and expectations for President-elect Donald Trump to implement pro-business policies, these sectors are likely to perform strongly.1. Technology Remains the Top SectorTech stocks are expected to outpace the broader market next year, with an anticipated gain of 19.8% in 2025 compared to the market's 9.4% increase.Fueled by the AI boom in recent months, tech stocks have driven the $.SPX(.SPX)$ to record highs in this bull market rally, contributing nearly 35% of the index's total profits over the past year. While some st

[Cool]Dear tigersRecently, investment banks have provided their outlooks for the year 2025, and it seems that the $.SPX(.SPX)$ 7000-point mark might not be just a dream!In this article, Tiger Analysis team provided a forward-looking analysis on the expectations for US stocks $.SPX(.SPX)$ , the dollar $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ , gold $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ , and the crypto $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ market under the new policies anticipated from Trump's administration, for the purpose of discussion only.1. The Impact of Trump's New Administration on Five Key

By Jake BehanHead of Capital Markets of Direxion InvestmentEditor’s Note: Happy reading and reach out if questions on anything. Happy Thanksgiving to all! $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$ put up a volatile session following its earnings announcement which underwhelmed on its revenue forecast for the current quarter, exceeding analysts’ estimates by a mere $400 million rather than a preferred $1B. Reality seems to be setting in for the company as projections have failed to show ‘blowout’ expectations for two consecutive quarters now. NVDU/NVDD were expectedly busy, $Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares(NVDU)$ currently stands as our 4th biggest getter of inflows YTD. Per Barclays, “post earnings there seems to be no

During the Q3 earnings season, many S&P 500 companies mentioned the potential impact of the upcoming U.S. election on their business operations. Between September 15 and October 31, 116 out of 324 companies (36%) referred to the term “election” in their earnings calls. This number is higher compared to the 102 companies that mentioned the election during the same period in 2020.The Industrials and Financials sectors led in election-related mentions, with 30 and 27 companies, respectively. The highest percentages were found in the Industrials (48%), Consumer Discretionary (46%), and Financials (45%) sectors. Notably, 38 companies reported economic or business slowdowns linked to election uncertainty, but many anticipate conditions will improve post-election.Only a few companies referred

70% of S&P 500 companies have reported Q3 results. 103 S&P 500 companies are set to report Q3 results this week.75% exceeded EPS estimates, slightly below the 5-year average (77%) but matching the 10-year average. Earnings were reported 4.6% above estimates, below the 5-year (8.5%) and 10-year (6.8%) averages. The blended earnings growth rate rose to 5.1% (from 3.6% last week and 4.3% at Q3 end). This marks the fifth consecutive quarter of earnings growth.01-s&p-500-earnings-above-inline-below-estimates-q3-202460% of companies beat revenue estimates (below the 5-year average of 69% and 10-year average of 64%). Revenue was reported 1.1% above estimates. The blended revenue growth rate for Q3 is 5.2%, up from 4.9% last week. 02-s&P-500-revenues-above-inline-below-estimates-q3

Markets have thin patience after years of uninvestability. Authorities need to get their messaging under discipline.China Stimulus: Whatever It Takes Has to Be More Than This - BloombergGoldman Sachs:Large stimulus likely needs multi-department cooperation and fiscal funding.Watching for policy updates from upcoming meetings.Expecting approval of 1-2 trillion yuan in special long-term bonds by year-end.Hong Kong market active but with selling bias; hedge funds selling financials, communications, and IT.Long-only investors buying financials, real estate, materials, and healthcare.Hong Kong $HSI(HSI)$ sees most outflows, while A-shares $SSE Comp(000001.SH)$ attract most inflows.Post-Golden Week:Offshore