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- 好事连轴转好事连轴转
  ·2021-06-13
  666
  The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's competent media: It's time for speculators to give up their illusions.
  炒房者最终会付出惨重代价。
  The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's competent media: It's time for speculators to give up their illusions.
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- 好事连轴转好事连轴转
  ·2021-04-16
  666
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It's time for those who are taking chances with real estate speculators to abandon their illusions and face reality.</p>","source":"lsy1623490616696","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's competent media: It's time for speculators to give up their illusions.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's competent media: It's time for speculators to give up their illusions.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">中国房地产报</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-12 11:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>At the 2021 Lujiazui Forum last week, Guo Shuqing's speech added a pebble to the turbulent real estate market, stirring up ripples.</p><p>The central bank's party secretary and chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said: \"Those who speculate on foreign exchange, gold and other commodity futures will have little chance of getting rich, just as those who bet that house prices will never fall will eventually pay a heavy price.\"</p><p>At first glance, this statement primarily warns investors who speculate on financial derivatives such as foreign exchange, gold, and other commodity futures. However, upon closer inspection, it also serves as a warning to the real estate market. After all, public speeches by leaders at this level are carefully considered and meticulously worded.</p><p>Who are the people who bet that housing prices will never fall? Property speculators. Guo Shuqing's words implied that real estate speculators would ultimately pay a heavy price.</p><p>Guo Shuqing has long been known as a whistleblower of financial risks, and he also frequently talks about real estate, which essentially belongs to the financial industry. Especially since August last year, he has stated three times in a row that the real estate bubble is the biggest gray rhino threatening financial security. Repeatedly emphasized over and over again in just eight months, the saying has since taken root in people's hearts.</p><p>It should be said that Guo Shuqing's remarks and thoughts represent the views of the top leadership. Therefore, every speech reveals or hints at some future direction. Looking back, behind every word he spoke, regulatory measures targeting the real estate market were quietly being implemented.</p><p>At the end of last year, new regulations on the concentration of real estate loans by banking financial institutions were introduced. In addition, measures such as the two-pronged land transfer system, the establishment of a second-hand housing guidance price mechanism, and the crackdown on illegal entry of business loans into the real estate market followed one after another. Each of these measures hit the real estate market hard.</p><p>Various measures were implemented in a multi-pronged manner, yielding significant results. On June 1, Liang Tao, vice chairman of the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, said that the trend of real estate financialization and bubbles has been curbed. This statement even became a trending topic on Weibo.</p><p>However, despite strong regulation and financial tightening, hidden concerns remain in the real estate market. In the first five months of this year, housing prices across the country continued to rise across the board, showing a tenacious trend. The housing market remains enthusiastic, but many cities still experience an irrational shortage of housing. Especially with the upgrading of real estate market regulation and supervision, the chaos of arbitrage in the real estate market by various capital forces and financial means has gradually been exposed.</p><p>Strengthening financial regulation, cutting off financial manipulators involved in real estate transactions, and cracking down on leveraged speculators have become the inevitable direction for regulating the deep-water zone. This is also why in early June, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, popular cities in the real estate market, introduced a series of financial regulatory policies to strictly investigate illegal funds flowing into the real estate market and held talks with financing guarantee and microloan companies.</p><p>The increase in financial regulation of real estate from traditional commercial banks to financing guarantee companies conveys the trend of further upgrading financial regulation. Next, financial regulators will firmly block the lifeline and funding sources of real estate speculation.</p><p>In a sense, from cracking down on business loans to anti-money laundering, and then to restricting bridge loans, this round of real estate market regulation has actually entered a stage of deep competition and implementation.</p><p>This will have a profound impact on the entire real estate market. It is foreseeable that the activity of the real estate market will be suppressed to some extent in the short term. In hot housing markets where housing prices continue to rise, transactions will be significantly suppressed. As various financial channels continue to tighten, the number of people with abnormal purchasing needs will inevitably decrease, directly reducing housing liquidity. Housing price growth will inevitably enter a period of slowdown and fluctuation.</p><p>It is worth noting that once the tide of speculative capital in the real estate market subsides, it will impact housing price support. In cities where speculation is high, the risk of a decline in housing prices cannot be ruled out. In the early stages, the purchase or speculation of real estate through financial means such as bridge loans even carried the risk of concentrated defaults.</p><p>On the same day as Guo Shuqing's speech, the People's Bank of China released its financial statistics report for May 2021 as usual. Medium- and long-term loans related to resident housing loans decreased by about 10% compared with the previous month, which is basically consistent with the current trend of tightening the housing market.</p><p>Given the current rise in mortgage rates, strict crackdowns on business loans, and upgraded regulations to quasi-financial institutions, it is not hard to imagine that the real estate market may continue to decline in the future.</p><p>It was against this backdrop that Guo Shuqing appealed to real estate speculators, using the phrase \"heavy price,\" which can be described as an extreme term.</p><p>The core is to send a signal: regulators are very confident in future real estate price regulation, and it cannot be ruled out that more policies will be introduced one after another. The era of real estate as a tool for asset appreciation arbitrage is coming to an official end. It's time for those who are taking chances with real estate speculators to abandon their illusions and face reality.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632821\">中国房地产报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b534b0aaeb1794ec95e07b3462adf7ae","relate_stocks":{"000001.SH":"上证指数"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3632821","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112481215","content_text":"上周的2021年陆家嘴论坛上，郭树清的一段讲话，给风雨飘摇的楼市投入一枚石子，激荡起层层涟漪。\n这位央行党委书记、银保监会主席说：那些炒作外汇、黄金及其他商品期货的人很难有机会发家致富，正像押注房价永远不会下跌的人最终会付出沉重代价一样。\n乍一听，这句话主要是警告炒作外汇、黄金及其他商品期货等金融衍生品投资者。不过细细一品，同样也在警告楼市。毕竟这个层面的领导的公开讲话都是经过深思熟虑，字斟句酌的。\n押注房价永远不会下跌的都是哪些人？炒房者。郭树清话里话外透露的意思是，炒房者最终会付出惨重代价。\n郭树清一直被称为金融风险的吹哨人，也时不时谈论起本质上属于金融行业的房地产。尤其是在去年8月以来，他连续三次直言房地产泡沫是威胁金融安全最大的灰犀牛。一而再，再而三，短短八个月内反复强调，自此该说法深入人心。\n应该说，郭树清的言论和思路代表着高层的看法。故而每次讲话都透露或暗示着未来的某种风向。回看他每一次说话的背后，针对楼市的调控行动都在悄然落地呼应。\n去年年底，银行业金融机构房地产贷款集中度新规出台，加之后面的土地两集中出让制度、建立二手房指导价机制、严厉打击经营贷违规入楼市等行径接踵而至，每一条都打在楼市的七寸上。\n各种举措多管齐下，收效明显。不久前的6月1日，银保监会副主席梁涛表示，房地产金融化泡沫化势头得到遏制。这一表态还登上了微博热搜。\n不过，虽有强力调控和金融收紧，楼市隐忧依然存在。今年前5个月，全国的房价依然出现了普涨行情, 态势顽强。楼市热情不减，很多城市依然存在非理性的一房难求现象。尤其是随着楼市调控监管升级，各种资本力量和各种金融手段在楼市套利的乱象逐渐暴露出来。\n提升金融监管的力度，斩断伸向房产交易的金融黑手，打击加杠杆炒房者，就成为了调控深水区的必然走向。这也是6月初楼市热门代表城市广州和深圳密集出台金融监管政策，严查资金违规流入楼市，约谈融资担保、小额贷款公司的原因。\n对房地产的金融监管从传统的商业银行增加到融资担保公司，传达了金融监管进一步升级的导向。接下来，金融监管机构会牢牢卡住房产炒作的命脉和资金来源。\n某种意义上说，从打击经营贷，到反洗钱，再到过桥贷限制，本轮楼市调控事实上已经进入深度博弈和攻坚落地的阶段。\n这会给整个楼市带来深远影响。可以预见，楼市的活跃性短期会受到一定程度的抑制。那些房价持续上涨的热点楼市，成交会受到明显的抑制。各种金融渠道持续收紧，非正常购买需求群体的数量必然会减少，直接降低房子的流动性。房价增长必然会进入低速，震荡调整的周期。\n值得警惕的是，一旦楼市炒作资本力量的退潮会对房价支撑产生冲击，在炒作热度高的城市，不排除出现房价下滑的风险。前期凭借过桥贷等金融手段购买或者炒作房产的行为，甚至出现集中暴雷的风险。\n在郭树清讲话的同一天，央行照例发布2021年5月金融统计数据报告，与居民购房贷款相关的中长期贷款较上月下降约10%，与当前楼市收紧的趋势基本一致。\n结合当前房贷利率上升，严查经营贷，监管升级到类金融机构等调控行为，不难想象，接下来的楼市或持续下行。\n就是在这样的背景下，郭树清向炒房者喊话，用的措辞是“沉重代价”，称得上偏极端的用词了。\n核心在于传递一个信号：监管层对未来的房地产价格调控上的信心是很坚定的，不排除还会有政策陆续出台。房产作为资产增值套利的工具时代，即将正式结束。心存侥幸的炒房群体是时候放弃幻想，面对现实了。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"000001.SH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3299,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":347740872,"gmtCreate":1618532887096,"gmtModify":1704712271000,"author":{"id":"3558650128182991","authorId":"3558650128182991","name":"好事连轴转","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3558650128182991","authorIdStr":"3558650128182991"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"666","listText":"666","text":"666","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/347740872","repostId":"1179341244","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3388,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}