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lihar

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- liharlihar
  ·2022-04-05
  okay
  It’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap
  Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up
  It’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-06-16
  Why so many drop?
  170 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-06-15
  Nio looks good
  454 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-06-10
  All about inflation
  119 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-05-31
  Ev in focus again
  170 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-05-22
  Going to be a good start
  133 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-05-16
  Cryptocurrency up again
  281 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-05-13
  What will the stock market heading?
  166 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-05-05
  Rebound not to worry
  154 Comment
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- liharlihar
  ·2021-04-03
  No
  How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?
  You may not like the answer. For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b
  How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?
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It’s time to pick up","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that may not sound cheap, but shares are still off more than 20% from their November 2021 all-time high close of $333.76.</p><p>Given the way this company’s business is going — and the projections for future growth — you’re liable to be kicking yourself if you don’t pick up shares at current prices.</p><p>Here are the reasons why NVDA stock has nowhere to go but up.</p><h2>Nvidia’s Current Business Is Going Strong</h2><p>Going back to February, Nvidia reported its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2022 results. The company reported record quarterly revenue (up 53% year-over-year) and record annual revenue (up 61% YoY). The company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization divisions each reported record quarterly and annual revenue. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $1.32 topped the $1.22 analysts were expecting.</p><p>Nvidia’s CEO summed up the performance and what’s coming: “We are entering the new year with strong momentum across our businesses and excellent traction with our new software business models with NVIDIA AI, NVIDIA Omniverse and NVIDIA DRIVE. GTC is coming. We will announce many new products, applications and partners for NVIDIA computing.”</p><p>The mention of GTC is very important. Because what Nvidia revealed at that conference (which wrapped up last week), will make last year’s record $26.91 billion seem quaint.</p><h2>Nvidia At GTC 2022</h2><p>I’ve already written about the massive opportunity the metaverse represents for Nvidia, and for NVDA stock’s growth. That was before GTC 2022.</p><p>Nvidia’s GTC 2022 (Graphics Technology Conference) took place from March 21 through March 24. At the event, Nvidia showed off its latest new products and laid out a plan for the future that has investors drooling.</p><p>Among the key announcements were new Hopper architecture for its data center AI systems. These Hopper chips will power the Eos supercomputer, which is expected to be the world’s fastest AI supercomputer when it begins operations later in 2022. Its projected 18.4 exaflops of AI computing performance would make it four times faster than the current champion, Japan’s Fugaku supercomputer. Hopper is expected to be commercially available in the first half of 2023.</p><p>Joining Hopper is Grace, a new GPU superchip for the data center market. This new chip will also hit the market in the first half of 2023. Nvidia’s new DRIVE Hyperion 9 driving platform architecture arrives in 2026, doubling the performance of the current DRIVE Orin-based architecture. In addition, Nvidia is releasing a new Isaac Nova Orin platform for autonomous robotics.</p><p>What about the metaverse? While pushing its own Omniverse as a solution for creating massive, ultra-realistic simulations, Nvidia is making it available to a wider audience. The company’s new Omniverse Cloud eliminates the need for a PC with an RTX graphics card.</p><p>The company also announced six new RTX series GPUs. These are aimed at gaming PCs and laptops, as well as professional and creative markets.</p><p>Why is all this a big deal for NVDA stock growth? InvestorPlace contributor Shanthi Rexaline has a nice summary. This includes a long-term addressable market of $100 billion for gaming, $300 billion for software (including Omniverse), $300 billion for chips and systems and $300 billion for automotive.</p><p>You can see why 2021’s record revenue of $26.91 billion suddenly seems like it leaves Nvidia with plenty of runway for growth.</p><h2>Bottom Line on NVDA Stock</h2><p>With an “A” rating in Portfolio Grader, NVDA stock is a strong buy. I’m far from the only one who feels this way. The investment analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal give NVDA a consensus “overweight” rating. If shares hit their average price target of $343.47, that’s an upside in the range of 25%. And that takes us to just before those new Hopper and Grace chips are expected to start shipping.</p><p>Nvidia has been a powerhouse stock for the past six years. Its biggest crisis came in 2018 when the crypto market crashed and took demand for graphics cards with it. However, NVDA stock quickly came roaring back with more momentum than ever. Even a global pandemic, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruption weren’t enough to knock NVDA off its growth trajectory. From the worst of the crypto crash fallout in December 2018 to November 19, 2021, NVDA delivered virtually nonstop growth and a return of over 900%.</p><p>Since then, macroeconomic factors that have resulted in a broad market pullback — hitting  tech stocks especially hard — have done some damage. NVDA stock appears to have shaken off the doubts and has been rallying for the past two weeks. At this point it is down just 9% from the start of the year. Now it’s going in the right direction once again, but still nicely discounted compared to its November 2021 all-time highs.</p><p>It’s time to make a move.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1606302653667","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>It’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIt’s Time to Buy Nvidia Stock While It Remains Relatively Cheap\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-04-05 19:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/><strong>investorplace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/04/its-time-to-buy-nvidia-nvda-stock-while-it-remains-relatively-cheap/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155621499","content_text":"Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has managed to climb nearly 20% over the past month. It’s time to pick up Nvidia shares while they are still selling at a discount. Currently trading in the $280 range, that may not sound cheap, but shares are still off more than 20% from their November 2021 all-time high close of $333.76.Given the way this company’s business is going — and the projections for future growth — you’re liable to be kicking yourself if you don’t pick up shares at current prices.Here are the reasons why NVDA stock has nowhere to go but up.Nvidia’s Current Business Is Going StrongGoing back to February, Nvidia reported its Q4 and full-year fiscal 2022 results. The company reported record quarterly revenue (up 53% year-over-year) and record annual revenue (up 61% YoY). The company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization divisions each reported record quarterly and annual revenue. Adjusted earnings-per-share of $1.32 topped the $1.22 analysts were expecting.Nvidia’s CEO summed up the performance and what’s coming: “We are entering the new year with strong momentum across our businesses and excellent traction with our new software business models with NVIDIA AI, NVIDIA Omniverse and NVIDIA DRIVE. GTC is coming. We will announce many new products, applications and partners for NVIDIA computing.”The mention of GTC is very important. Because what Nvidia revealed at that conference (which wrapped up last week), will make last year’s record $26.91 billion seem quaint.Nvidia At GTC 2022I’ve already written about the massive opportunity the metaverse represents for Nvidia, and for NVDA stock’s growth. That was before GTC 2022.Nvidia’s GTC 2022 (Graphics Technology Conference) took place from March 21 through March 24. At the event, Nvidia showed off its latest new products and laid out a plan for the future that has investors drooling.Among the key announcements were new Hopper architecture for its data center AI systems. These Hopper chips will power the Eos supercomputer, which is expected to be the world’s fastest AI supercomputer when it begins operations later in 2022. Its projected 18.4 exaflops of AI computing performance would make it four times faster than the current champion, Japan’s Fugaku supercomputer. Hopper is expected to be commercially available in the first half of 2023.Joining Hopper is Grace, a new GPU superchip for the data center market. This new chip will also hit the market in the first half of 2023. Nvidia’s new DRIVE Hyperion 9 driving platform architecture arrives in 2026, doubling the performance of the current DRIVE Orin-based architecture. In addition, Nvidia is releasing a new Isaac Nova Orin platform for autonomous robotics.What about the metaverse? While pushing its own Omniverse as a solution for creating massive, ultra-realistic simulations, Nvidia is making it available to a wider audience. The company’s new Omniverse Cloud eliminates the need for a PC with an RTX graphics card.The company also announced six new RTX series GPUs. These are aimed at gaming PCs and laptops, as well as professional and creative markets.Why is all this a big deal for NVDA stock growth? InvestorPlace contributor Shanthi Rexaline has a nice summary. This includes a long-term addressable market of $100 billion for gaming, $300 billion for software (including Omniverse), $300 billion for chips and systems and $300 billion for automotive.You can see why 2021’s record revenue of $26.91 billion suddenly seems like it leaves Nvidia with plenty of runway for growth.Bottom Line on NVDA StockWith an “A” rating in Portfolio Grader, NVDA stock is a strong buy. I’m far from the only one who feels this way. The investment analysts polled by the Wall Street Journal give NVDA a consensus “overweight” rating. If shares hit their average price target of $343.47, that’s an upside in the range of 25%. And that takes us to just before those new Hopper and Grace chips are expected to start shipping.Nvidia has been a powerhouse stock for the past six years. Its biggest crisis came in 2018 when the crypto market crashed and took demand for graphics cards with it. However, NVDA stock quickly came roaring back with more momentum than ever. Even a global pandemic, semiconductor shortages and supply chain disruption weren’t enough to knock NVDA off its growth trajectory. From the worst of the crypto crash fallout in December 2018 to November 19, 2021, NVDA delivered virtually nonstop growth and a return of over 900%.Since then, macroeconomic factors that have resulted in a broad market pullback — hitting  tech stocks especially hard — have done some damage. NVDA stock appears to have shaken off the doubts and has been rallying for the past two weeks. At this point it is down just 9% from the start of the year. Now it’s going in the right direction once again, but still nicely discounted compared to its November 2021 all-time highs.It’s time to make a move.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":81,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169568913,"gmtCreate":1623843620032,"gmtModify":1703821104784,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why so many drop?&nbsp;","listText":"Why so many drop?&nbsp;","text":"Why so many drop?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/169568913","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187549768,"gmtCreate":1623760229254,"gmtModify":1703818390519,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nio looks good&nbsp;","listText":"Nio looks good&nbsp;","text":"Nio looks good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187549768","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":183635242,"gmtCreate":1623327520586,"gmtModify":1704200947909,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"All about inflation&nbsp;","listText":"All about inflation&nbsp;","text":"All about inflation","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/183635242","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":119,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110250434,"gmtCreate":1622462794228,"gmtModify":1704184748463,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ev in focus again&nbsp;","listText":"Ev in focus again&nbsp;","text":"Ev in focus again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110250434","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139757497,"gmtCreate":1621661615019,"gmtModify":1704361215721,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Going to be a good start&nbsp;","listText":"Going to be a good start&nbsp;","text":"Going to be a good 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again","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/192129753","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":191471737,"gmtCreate":1620903883529,"gmtModify":1704350177332,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What will the stock market heading?&nbsp;","listText":"What will the stock market heading?&nbsp;","text":"What will the stock market heading?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/191471737","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":166,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102284446,"gmtCreate":1620218402585,"gmtModify":1704340314337,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Rebound not to worry&nbsp;","listText":"Rebound not to worry&nbsp;","text":"Rebound not to worry","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/102284446","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":340424064,"gmtCreate":1617458416758,"gmtModify":1704699836043,"author":{"id":"3559467843060044","authorId":"3559467843060044","name":"lihar","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/57c5c35020302640dd35270482bcc3f7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3559467843060044","authorIdStr":"3559467843060044"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"No&nbsp;","listText":"No&nbsp;","text":"No","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/340424064","repostId":"1191998262","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1191998262","pubTimestamp":1617366158,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1191998262?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-02 20:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1191998262","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-b","content":"<blockquote>\n You may not like the answer.\n</blockquote>\n<p>For the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmark<b>S&amp;P 500</b>(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.</p>\n<p>But there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.</p>\n<p>It begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.</p>\n<p><b>Double-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average</b></p>\n<p>To begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&amp;P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.</p>\n<p>However, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.</p>\n<p>We could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.</p>\n<p><b>Corrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom</b></p>\n<p>Another interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&amp;P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.</p>\n<p>Since the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).</p>\n<p>Put another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.</p>\n<p><b>Crashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit</b></p>\n<p>But the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&amp;P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.</p>\n<p>As of the close of business on March 30, the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.</p>\n<p>To some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.</p>\n<p>However, previous instances of the S&amp;P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.</p>\n<p><b>Keep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks</b></p>\n<p>To circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.</p>\n<p>While this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.</p>\n<p>The reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&amp;P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&amp;P 500 been negative.</p>\n<p>If you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&amp;P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow Likely Is a Stock Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-02 20:22 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/02/how-likely-is-a-stock-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1191998262","content_text":"You may not like the answer.\n\nFor the past year, investors have enjoyed one of the greatest bounce-back rallies of all time. After the benchmarkS&P 500(SNPINDEX:^GSPC)lost a third of its value in mere weeks due to unprecedented uncertainties surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, it bounced back to gain in the neighborhood of 75% off its lows. You could rightly say that patience has paid off.\nBut there's another reality that investors -- especially long-term investors -- are keenly aware of: the propensity of the stock market to crash or correct. Things might look great now, but the next big nosedive is always waiting in the wings.\nIt begs the question: How likely is astock market crash? Let's take a closer look.\nDouble-digit declines occur every 1.87 years, on average\nTo begin with the basics, stock market corrections (i.e., declines of at least 10%) are quite common in the S&P 500. According to data from market analytics firm Yardeni Research, there have been 38 corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950. This works out to an average double-digit decline in the benchmark indexevery 1.87 years. Since it's now been more than a year since the market hit its bear-market bottom, the averages are certainly not in investors' favor.\nHowever, averages are nothing more than that... averages. The market doesn't adhere to averages, even if some folks base their investments off of what's happened historically.\nWe could enter a period similar to 1991 through 1996 where there were zero corrections. Or we could continue the theme since the beginning of 2010, where corrections occur, on average, every 19 months.\nCorrections have been an historical given within three years of a bear market bottom\nAnother interesting piece of evidence to examine is the frequency by which the S&P 500 corrects after hitting a bear-market bottom.\nSince the beginning of 1960 (an arbitrary year I chose for the sake of simplicity), the widely followed index has navigated its way through nine bear markets, including the coronavirus crash. In rebounding from each of the previous eight bear market lows, there was at least one double-digit percentage decline within three years100% of the time. In aggregate, 13 corrections have occurred within three years following the last eight bear market bottoms (i.e., either one or two following each bottom).\nPut another way, rebounding from a bear-market bottom is rarely a straight-line move higher. Yet up, up, and away has pretty much been the theme for investors since March 23, 2020. History would suggest that there's a very good chance of a move lower in equities within the next two years.\nCrashes frequently occur when this valuation metric is hit\nBut the most damning bit of evidence might just be the S&P 500's Shiller price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. This is a valuation metric that examines the average inflation-adjusted earnings from the previous 10 years. You might also know it as the cyclically adjusted P/E ratio, or CAPE.\nAs of the close of business on March 30, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio hit 35.61. That's well over double its 150-year average of 16.8. Using continuous bull market moves as a parameter, it's the second-highest reading in its history.\nTo some extent, itmakes sensethat equity valuations should be higher now than they've been historically. That's because interest rates are near an all-time low and access to the internet has effectively broken down barriers between Wall Street and Main Street that may have, in the past, kept P/E multiples at bay.\nHowever, previous instances of the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio crossing above and sustaining the 30 levelhaven't ended well. In the prior four instances where the Shiller P/E surpassed and held above 30, the benchmark index tumbled anywhere from 20% to as much as 89%. Although an 89% plunge, which was experienced during the Great Depression, is very unlikely these days, a big drop has historically been in the cards when valuations get extended, as they are now.\nKeep that cash handy in the event that opportunity knocks\nTo circle back to the original question at hand, the data is pretty clear that the likelihood of a stock market crash or correction has grown considerably. It's impossible to precisely predict when a crash might occur, how long the decline will last, or how steep the drop could be. But the data strongly suggests that downside is in the offing.\nWhile this might be a disappointing revelation to some investors, it shouldn't be. Crashes and corrections are a normal part of the investing cycle. More importantly, theyprovide an opportunityfor investors to buy into great companies at a discount. Just think about all the great companies you're probably kicking yourself over for not buying last March.\nThe reason to be excited about crashes and corrections is also found in the data. You see, of those 38 previous corrections in the S&P 500 since the beginning of 1950, each and every one has eventually been put into the rearview mirror by a bull market rally. Plus,at no point over the past centuryhave rolling 20-year total returns (including dividends) for the S&P 500 been negative.\nIf you need further encouragement to buy during a correction, keep in mind that 24 of the 38 double-digit declines in the S&P 500 havefound their bottom in 104 or fewer calendar days(3.5 months or less). Crashes and corrections may be steep at times but tend to resolve quickly. That's your cue to have cash at the ready in the event that opportunity knocks.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":206,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}