To The Moon

It has been a wonderful 3 years staying in this awesome Tiger community. We had fun through game activities and more importantly exchange investment thoughts and ideas over the past few years. I am sure I will miss this 'camaraderie' within the community but good things don't last. Due to the nature of my job, my employer requires that I trade and invest through their list of approved brokers. Hence, I am writing to my fellow Tiger friends with this goodbye note. I wish you the best in your trading and investment journey. Till we meet again [Heart] @pekss  @Kaixiang  @MHh  

*What's my view on big tech misses? First off, quarter earning misses are kind of expected since big tech had reported job cuts and cost cutting through various means few months back. 1 or 2 QE misses doesn't bother me. However as an investor, what bother me will be 1)Whether the businesses I invested in still have a wide economic moat?  2)Will its business model remain sustainable?  3)Can the business continue to churn in profit? 4)Can the business remain as a market leader? 5)Is there a permanent fundamental changes to its business? If yes, I will exit the business. For example, SPH and Starhub used to be a great business 20 years ago. Look at where they are now? For me Apple, Amazon and Alphabet are still the same business I know before the earnings so nothing has changed

Hang Seng Index has risen from it's Oct low of 14597 to 22700 within 3 months. That's a whopping 55.5% increase. So should investors worry about a 7% drop in some of the big tech? Or worry that this is the end of the rally? Let's remove the prediction factor because prediction is base on individual opinion. When one individual is bullish, there will be another who is bearish. It's just like listening to an expert or investment strategist telling you their views on S&P. Who should you listen to? 😂 https://www.cnbc.com/market-strategist-survey-cnbc/ 1) The same also apply to HSI, so let's deep dive into the facts. Statistically a bear market doesn't last more than 3 years so the probability of HK/China heading back into another bear is low. Looking at the 30 years historical chart of H

$Alibaba(09988)$ 1)Can Alibaba repeat the feats of GME and BBY?I don't think it's appropriate to compare GME and BBBY to Alibaba. It's like comparing apple to orange.First off, GME and BBBY are 'hype up stocks' simply meant for the purpose of speculative plays. Besides, these businesses are not making money, doesn't have any track records of growing revenue or positive cashflow from their businesses. They attract mainly speculators who want to profit from short term plays. I highly doubt value investors like Charlie Munger or his associates would be keen to have a stake in these businesses.Alibaba on the other hand has real assets and proven track records of revenue growth and it continues

Many CNY goodies are finger licking good [Happy] . Personally, I'm going with huat kueh aka fortune cake. It symbolizes fortune and prosperity as its namesake and I wish everyone in the tiger community a huat and prosperous 2023. May the bull returns and bring us multiple folds in our portfolio 💰 😂

Three Warnings to Remind In Stock Market 1) First and foremost, I don't recommend using leverage to invest. When it comes to investment which I will hold for at least 5-10 years or longer, it has to be money I have and money I don't need for future use. In short it has to be money I can park and sleep well with it. It is important to understand leverage and use it appropriate (disclaimer I only use leverage for trading portfolio but never for investment portfolio). Regardless of one's portfolio size, a failure to control leverage can have devastating effect. Bill Hwang is an example of excessive leverage resulting in huge losses within 2 days https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2021-04-08/how-bill-hwang-of-archegos-capital-lost-20-billion-in-two-days 2) Predicting the stock m

Goals for 2023 1) Stay healthy, health is wealth. No amount of money can bring back your health. To investors who lose money and having sleepless nights over your investment, you had either take on a bigger risk that you cannot stomach or you bought into a business that's not profitable/ no longer having a sustainable economic moat. Knowing when to cut loss play an important part in building a resilient investment portfolio. 2) My goal each year has always been beating the market. Was 2022 a bad year? It depends on how one see it. As Adam Khoo had mentioned in his YouTube video, if your goal and objective is to build an investment portfolio to beat the market over the long haul and achieve higher return, then 2022 is a good year to build your investment portfolio. Mr Market depressing mood

To me, low risk investments are index ETFs and generally more suitable for the retail investors with a time horizon of 20 years or more (minimum 10 years). My preference has always been $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ as time and again it has proven to be resilient no matter what happens be it war or economic crisis or black swan event like pandemic etc. To me this is a low risk investment that allows me to sleep well no matter what happens. The probability of one taking a loss in a 20 years investment cycle is zero. Other index ETFs that I like include $Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)$ and $TRACKER FUND OF HONG KONG(02800)$  that makes

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Can Elon Musk be trusted? I've seen this script happening before and I think his word can be taken with a pinch of salt. The current trend is bearish and I don't see any sign of reversal. Since breaking below 200SMA in the weeklies it's price action are showing some sign of sharp selling down. In my post last week when TSLA is at 150 region, I posted it may likely test 120 region I didn't expect that to happen within a week. This magnitude of sell down surprised me a little given that now is usually the festive season where the major players are taking the rest of the year off and I expect lesser selling pressure. Well it happen when one least expected [Helpless]  From the chart, t

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Last month I did a post on TSLA. Price action was around 180s when I post my thoughts that it is likely to test the 200SMA. It had since tested and breached this level. Luck or my crystal ball is working? Nah, how I wish I can see the future This is my follow up base on TA. The weekly chart close below 200SMA last Friday which likely imply further downside movement in the short term. The last time it stays below 200SMA was back in Oct 2019. On the daily, all SMA are slopping down, with price action showing higher low and lower low which is also a bearish signal. The next support is around 120-125 region failing which it might breached the 100 level. Let's see how price action forms the following