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Yunjuan

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- YunjuanYunjuan
  ·2022-01-19
  😎😎☺️☺️
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- YunjuanYunjuan
  ·2021-09-02
  $Evolus Inc.(EOLS)$??
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- YunjuanYunjuan
  ·2021-05-26
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  Both the central bank and the market are facing a turning point! The Federal Reserve is no longer a good friend of US stocks.
  剑桥大学皇后学院的院长、安联集团首席经济顾问、前PIMCO总裁El-Erian近日在英国金融时报上发表专栏文章，提醒市场，如今央行和市场都面临棘手的转折点，与其沉溺于宽松流动性带来短期欢愉，应该忍受阵
  Both the central bank and the market are facing a turning point! The Federal Reserve is no longer a good friend of US stocks.
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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EOLS\">$Evolus Inc.(EOLS)$</a>??","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EOLS\">$Evolus Inc.(EOLS)$</a>??","text":"$Evolus Inc.(EOLS)$??","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/27bef7ca57885f6aef6b291619759ef6","width":"1284","height":"2223"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/812967378","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4037,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132039048,"gmtCreate":1622043691784,"gmtModify":1704178471483,"author":{"id":"3568774272934412","authorId":"3568774272934412","name":"Yunjuan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb7a79fb2420509d517b2b9e7884b296","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3568774272934412","idStr":"3568774272934412"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/132039048","repostId":"2138117175","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138117175","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1622036296,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2138117175?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-26 21:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Both the central bank and the market are facing a turning point! The Federal Reserve is no longer a good friend of US stocks.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138117175","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"剑桥大学皇后学院的院长、安联集团首席经济顾问、前PIMCO总裁El-Erian近日在英国金融时报上发表专栏文章，提醒市场，如今央行和市场都面临棘手的转折点，与其沉溺于宽松流动性带来短期欢愉，应该忍受阵","content":"<p>El-Erian, Dean of Queen's College, Cambridge, Chief Economic Advisor to Allianz Group, and former President of PIMCO, recently published a column in the Financial Times, reminding the market that both central banks and markets are now facing a difficult turning point. Rather than indulging in short-term pleasure from loose liquidity, they should endure the growing pains and avoid repeating the mistakes of the last financial crisis.</p><p>El-Erian believes that compared to the 2008 financial crisis, the banking industry now has more capital and is subject to more restrictions on risk-taking. However, the speculative mentality and risk-taking behavior that triggered the financial crisis have not dissipated. On the contrary, they have been transformed, migrated and bred in non-bank entities. Until recently,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>And the principles that other regulatory agencies have always adhered to have inadvertently acted as a booster.</p><p>Why is the financial system still considered fragile? El-Erian stated that the financial system has overcome three crises this year: the sudden rise in US Treasury yields in January, the exploitation of institutional investors by retail investors using GameStop stock in February, and the Archegos Century margin call in March, which caused approximately $10 billion in losses to the banking system. Although these three emergencies do not pose a significant systemic threat to the financial system, it is clear that the financial system is vulnerable to market collapses, which exposes the economy to unnecessary risks.</p><p>El-Erian criticized the role played by regulators, particularly central banks, in facilitating this. He stated that the adverse secondary impacts of the three emergencies on the financial system were more due to luck than to crisis prevention measures. Speculation, fueled by the central bank's massive liquidity, has resurfaced, accompanied by the emergence of a large number of speculative positions. Then, some factors should not be ignored; they are like gunpowder, and once ignited, they can lead to serious financial accidents.</p><p>Fortunately, amidst the shadow of volatile inflation and financial instability, central banks seem to have \"awakened\": several central banks, including the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Federal Reserve, have signaled an early end to their loose monetary policies. While the Federal Reserve downplayed market concerns about inflation and reiterated that it was not considering tapering QE, the minutes of its policy meeting released last week indicated that some officials hoped to discuss the possibility of tapering QE \"at future meetings.\"</p><p>The tightening policy signals released by the central bank triggered slight fluctuations in financial markets. El-Erian believes that if the Federal Reserve waits too long for fear of overreacting to the market, it faces a complex political shift, especially considering that the Fed has become a \"hostage\" to the \"average inflation target\" policy framework, which, in El-Erian's view, is not suitable for economic structural changes in the post-COVID-19 era.</p><p>He stated that if the Federal Reserve changes its current monetary policy stance, it will bring the dual risks of market volatility and loss of credibility. However, if the Federal Reserve adheres to dogmatism and insists on a hindsight policy stance, it will cause greater harm to the financial system. “For investors, the Federal Reserve should be encouraged to turn around early, rather than simply basking in the joy of the liquidity wave. Learning from the experience of banks during the financial crisis, it is better to face short-term growing pains than to risk making major political mistakes that damage asset values, market operations, the economy, and social well-being,” El-Erian suggested.</p>","source":"wallstreetcn_api","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Both the central bank and the market are facing a turning point! The Federal Reserve is no longer a good friend of US stocks.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBoth the central bank and the market are facing a turning point! The Federal Reserve is no longer a good friend of US stocks.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">华尔街见闻</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-26 21:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>El-Erian, Dean of Queen's College, Cambridge, Chief Economic Advisor to Allianz Group, and former President of PIMCO, recently published a column in the Financial Times, reminding the market that both central banks and markets are now facing a difficult turning point. Rather than indulging in short-term pleasure from loose liquidity, they should endure the growing pains and avoid repeating the mistakes of the last financial crisis.</p><p>El-Erian believes that compared to the 2008 financial crisis, the banking industry now has more capital and is subject to more restrictions on risk-taking. However, the speculative mentality and risk-taking behavior that triggered the financial crisis have not dissipated. On the contrary, they have been transformed, migrated and bred in non-bank entities. Until recently,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNBC\">Central Bank</a>And the principles that other regulatory agencies have always adhered to have inadvertently acted as a booster.</p><p>Why is the financial system still considered fragile? El-Erian stated that the financial system has overcome three crises this year: the sudden rise in US Treasury yields in January, the exploitation of institutional investors by retail investors using GameStop stock in February, and the Archegos Century margin call in March, which caused approximately $10 billion in losses to the banking system. Although these three emergencies do not pose a significant systemic threat to the financial system, it is clear that the financial system is vulnerable to market collapses, which exposes the economy to unnecessary risks.</p><p>El-Erian criticized the role played by regulators, particularly central banks, in facilitating this. He stated that the adverse secondary impacts of the three emergencies on the financial system were more due to luck than to crisis prevention measures. Speculation, fueled by the central bank's massive liquidity, has resurfaced, accompanied by the emergence of a large number of speculative positions. Then, some factors should not be ignored; they are like gunpowder, and once ignited, they can lead to serious financial accidents.</p><p>Fortunately, amidst the shadow of volatile inflation and financial instability, central banks seem to have \"awakened\": several central banks, including the Bank of England, the European Central Bank, and the Federal Reserve, have signaled an early end to their loose monetary policies. While the Federal Reserve downplayed market concerns about inflation and reiterated that it was not considering tapering QE, the minutes of its policy meeting released last week indicated that some officials hoped to discuss the possibility of tapering QE \"at future meetings.\"</p><p>The tightening policy signals released by the central bank triggered slight fluctuations in financial markets. El-Erian believes that if the Federal Reserve waits too long for fear of overreacting to the market, it faces a complex political shift, especially considering that the Fed has become a \"hostage\" to the \"average inflation target\" policy framework, which, in El-Erian's view, is not suitable for economic structural changes in the post-COVID-19 era.</p><p>He stated that if the Federal Reserve changes its current monetary policy stance, it will bring the dual risks of market volatility and loss of credibility. However, if the Federal Reserve adheres to dogmatism and insists on a hindsight policy stance, it will cause greater harm to the financial system. “For investors, the Federal Reserve should be encouraged to turn around early, rather than simply basking in the joy of the liquidity wave. Learning from the experience of banks during the financial crisis, it is better to face short-term growing pains than to risk making major political mistakes that damage asset values, market operations, the economy, and social well-being,” El-Erian suggested.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631236\">华尔街见闻</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF博时","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEX":"标普100","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".DJI":"道琼斯","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3631236","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138117175","content_text":"剑桥大学皇后学院的院长、安联集团首席经济顾问、前PIMCO总裁El-Erian近日在英国金融时报上发表专栏文章，提醒市场，如今央行和市场都面临棘手的转折点，与其沉溺于宽松流动性带来短期欢愉，应该忍受阵痛，防止再犯上一次金融危机时的错误。\nEl-Erian认为，和2008年金融危机时期相比，目前银行业的资本金更为充足，在风险承担方面也受到更多限制，但引爆金融危机的投机心态和风险行为并没有就此消散，相反，它们已经转化、迁移并滋生在非银行实体中。而直到最近，中央银行和其他监管机构一直坚守的准则，无意中充当了助推器。\n为什么说金融体系依然脆弱？El-Erian表示，今年以来，金融体系已经克服了三次险情：分别是1月份美债收益率的突然上升、2月份散户投资者借着GameStop股票割机构韭菜、以及3月份Archegos世纪爆仓事件，后者给银行体系造成了约100亿美元的损失。虽然这三次险情给金融体系构成的系统性威胁并不大，但显然，金融体系容易受到市场崩溃的影响，这使得经济面临不必要的风险。\nEl-Erian批评了监管者，特别是中央银行在其中起到的推波助澜作用。他表示，上述三次险情给金融体系造成的不良二次影响，更多是靠运气因素所遏制，而非危机防范措施。而由中央银行海量流动性助长的投机行为又“死灰复燃”了起来，与之相伴的是大量投机性头寸的出现。然后，有些因素不应被忽略，他们就像火药一样，一旦被点燃将会导致严重的金融事故发生。\n但所幸的是，在震荡的通货膨胀和金融不稳定阴影之下，中央银行似乎“觉醒”了：包括英国央行、欧洲央行、美联储在内的多家央行都释放了提早结束宽松货币政策的信号。美联储虽然淡化了市场对通胀的担忧，并重申美联储没有考虑削减QE，但上周公布的美联储政策会议纪要显示表明，一些官员希望 \"在未来的会议上 \"谈论缩减QE的可能性。\n央行所释放的收紧政策信号引发了金融市场的小幅震荡。El-Erian认为，如果因为忌惮市场反应过大而等待太久，美联储面临着复杂的政治转向，特别是考虑到联储已经沦为“平均通胀目标”政策框架的“人质”，这一框架在El-Erian看来并不适用于后新冠疫情时代的经济结构变化。\n他表示，当前的美联储如果转变货币政策立场，将带来市场波动和信誉丧失的双重风险。但如果联储谨遵教条，坚持后视的政策立场，则会给金融体系带来更大的危害。“就投资者而言，应该鼓励美联储及早转向，而不是仅仅沉浸在流动性浪潮的欢愉之下。从金融危机时期银行的经验中吸取教训，与其冒着犯损害资产价值、市场运作、经济、社会福祉的重大政治错误，不如迎接短期的阵痛。”El-Erian建议。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"QID":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SH":0.9,"OEX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"DDM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3245,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}