To The Moon

$Upwork Inc.(UPWK)$ operates an online Marketplace for freelancers. The stock boomed during the pandemic when people were stuck at home but shares have fallen over 80% since. At the latest price, Upwork has now got a market value of $1.29 billion  Financials  Cash and investments: $500 million Debt: $360 million Enterprise Value: $1.2 billion TTM Revenue: $744 million  Net income: $74 million Free cash flow: $73 million Ratios P/E: 18x EV/FCF: 16x   Recent performance That valuation is not bad when you look at Upwork's recent performance. Average revenue growth over the last 5 years: 22%  Sales TTM: 14%  Positives Crucially, Upwork recently turned the corner on profitability. Cost cutting help total operating exp

$Occidental(OXY)$  at the current price, the company is worth 52.44 billion. Financials and ratios Cash & Investments: $5.3 billion Debt: $20 billion Enterprise Value: 78 billion Revenue TTM: $28 billion Net income TTM: $3.9 billion Free cash flow: $4.1 billion P/E Ratio: 14x EV/FCF: 19x Stock Performance comparison Occidental petroleum has not had the best couple of years including dividends. The stock has returned -9% while the S&P 500 is up 34% and $Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$  is up 22% over the same period. Past actions However, the performance of Occidental isn't that surprising. Back in 2019, the company won a bidding war with 

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$    Did not hold previous week options till expiration. Was a good choice. Price fell below 13.5, got to purchase at a strike price of 13, out of the money. Options $RIVN 20240823 13.0 PUT$   Portfolio Cash No actions. Just happily accuring interest from banks and Chocolate Finance Stocks No new purchases. Sold $Nike(NKE)$ at breakeven invluding commissions. T bills Instead of T bills, will buy Syfe guaranteed monthly. Not SDIC insured. Crypto No actions.

Warren Buffett just bought this stock. Cosmetic Company, $ulta beauty(ULTA)$ jumped 11% yesterday on news that Warren Buffett's business Burk Shear halfway had purchased almost 700,000 shares. What does Warren Buffett see in Ulta Beauty? Financials Cash: $525 million debt: $0 Enterprise Value: $17.3 billion Revenue TTM: $11.3 billion Net income TTM: $1.26 billion Adjusted EBITDA TTM: $1.94 billion Free cash flow TTM: $914 million Valuation P/E Ratio: 14 EV/FCF: 19 EV/EBITDA: 8.9 That PE ratio is right at the bottom of the company's historical range. That low valuation is because Ulta is not performing as well as in the past. Negatives Same-store sales in the first quarter rose just 1. 6% year-over-year. Ulta then cut its full year outlo

Since July 18th, cyber security stock, $SentinelOne, Inc(S)$  has climbed 13% but those gains have little to do with business results. Instead, SentinelOne stock has soared after rival, $CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD)$ caused the global outage that disrupted millions of people. The question is whether SentinelOne can hold on to those gains at the latest price. Financials Market cap: $7.9 billion. Cash and investments: $1.1 billion Enterprise Value: $6.8 billion TTM Revenue TTM: $674 million However, the company is not yet profitable. Net income TTM: - $300 million FCF TTM: $0 Stock based compensation TTM: $220 million SentinelOne vs CrowdStrike Revenue: 47% vs 36% Revenue Multiple: 10x vs

$Intel(INTC)$   No. 1 Intel Just over 4 years ago, Intel was worth more than $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$   and $NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  combined. Today the company is worth just 87 billion and AMD and Nvidia are worth over 2 trillion. That sort of Divergence might seem like a buying opportunity but in Intel's case there is not much to be optimistic about. Q2 Results Revenue: - 1% YoY Net Income TTM: $1.6 billion FCF TTM: - $13 billion Risks Firstly, the company is dealing with slowing PC sales and has fallen behind in AI.  Secondly, management's guidance for next quarter was even worse. With Revenu

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$   Options $RIVN 20240809 13.0 PUT$   $RIVN 20240809 13.5 PUT$   Managed to sell 2 puts without getting assigned $RIVN 20241018 16.0 CALL$   Sold covered call (see above) Portfolio Cash No actions Stocks Bought $iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(ETHA)$ @18.59 T bills No actions. T bills have not been lucurative since US yeilds have been falling Crypto No actions This week actions Selling puts Strike price: 13.5/ 14 (OTM nearest to ATM) Exp

$Intuitive Surgical(ISRG)$ is one of the best businesses in the world. The dominant player in robotic surgery has had huge success with its Da Vinci system and the stock has increased almost 23,000% from its initial public offering (IPO). At the latest price, the company's got a valuation of $164.24 billion.  Financials Cash: $8 billion Debt: $0 Trailing 12 months (TTM) Revenue: $7.6 billion Net income: 2.1 billion Free cash flow (FCF): $420 million Its numbers look closer to a good software company than a medical business. Gross margins: 67% (STRONG) EBITA margins: 40% A great business More than 80% of the revenue is recurring and the company continues to put up solid growth. The instruments and accessories segment which is mostly recurr

$Starbucks(SBUX)$ is down 19% this year taking the company's market cap to $85.84 billion.  Financials Cash and Investments: $4.1 billion Debt: $15.6 billion Enterprise Value (EV) = $97.34 billion. Over the last 12 months Revenue: $36.5 billion  Net income: $4.1 Billion  Free cash flow (FCF): $3.8 billion  Ratios P/E ratio: 21  EV/FCF: 25  This valuation doesn't look particularly appealing when looking at the company's recent performance total returns in the stock are now - 21% over the past 5 years. 3rd Quarter Same store sales: US: - 2% China: - 4%  Negatives From a top- down perspective, it looks like Starbucks has lost its way. The company's goal to be third place between home and work seems t

$Rivian Automotive, Inc.(RIVN)$   Sentiment Got assigned 500 shares@16. No more near miss this time.  Options Will still buy this week options. Portfolio Cash Will have a huge decrease due to buying this week option Stocks Bad timing. Bought $Himax(HIMX)$ @6.96,$Tenable Holdings Inc.(TENB)$ @46.96, $Rockwell Automation(ROK)$ @263.53 and more$Aurora Innovation(AUR)$ @3.91. Stocks allocation will increase due to cash for cash secured puts. T bills Disappointing. Interest rate dropped to 3.4%. Allocated to Sfye Cash+ for 3 m