🚀 AI CNY Arms Race: The Moat Is Getting Deeper, Not Thinner Lunar New Year used to be blockbuster season for movies. Now it’s blockbuster season for AI models. In China, DeepSeek, ByteDance (Doubao), Alibaba, and Knowledge Atlas accelerated releases, with Seedance 2.0 pitched as a breakout contender. Overseas, the cadence is just as relentless: • OpenAI — GPT-5.3 • Anthropic — Claude Sonnet 4.7 • xAI — Grok 5 • Google — Gemini 3.5 • Meta — Avocado Capital intensity is rising. Iteration cycles are compressing. Benchmarks are leapfrogged within months. It feels chaotic. But here’s the deeper question: Does faster iteration weaken moats — or actually make them stronger? ⸻ 🔒 My Take: Speed Reinforces Incumbents 1️⃣ Compute Is Becoming the Toll Booth Frontier AI is no longer just about talent —
📊 13F Drop: Buffett’s Final Signal Before the Hand-Off? The latest 13F from Berkshire Hathaway isn’t just another filing — it may be the clearest message yet about how Warren Buffett wants the portfolio positioned heading into the next era. Portfolio value: $274B Top 10 holdings: 88% concentration Classic Buffett. But the nuance is where it gets interesting. ⸻ 🍏 Apple Trimmed Again — Not a Reversal, But a Rebalance Apple was reduced for the third consecutive quarter. Important distinction: This is trimming, not exiting. Apple remains Berkshire’s largest holding. But three straight reductions suggest: • Position sizing discipline after massive outperformance • Reduced single-stock concentration risk • Recognition that multiple expansion has likely peaked Buffett doesn’t sell great businesse
🚀 Figma Jumps 16% — This Isn’t Just an Earnings Beat, It’s an AI Platform Moment Figma just delivered what growth investors have been waiting for: proof that AI is not cannibalizing creative software — it’s accelerating it. Let’s break this down. ⸻ 🔥 The Numbers: Clear Acceleration • Q4 Revenue: $303.8M (+40% YoY) • Adj. EPS: $0.08 vs. $0.06 consensus • Q1 Guide: $315–$317M (above expectations) • FY2026 Guide: Up to $1.374B This wasn’t just a beat. This was acceleration + raised forward visibility — the combo the market pays up for. At nearly $1.4B forward revenue, Figma is transitioning from high-growth disruptor to scaled platform — and doing it profitably. ⸻ 🤖 The AI Question: Threat or Tailwind? Many feared AI tools would commoditize design. Instead, Figma is embedding AI inside the wo
Google Turns AI Answers Into Checkouts 🤖🛒 — Advertising Just Leveled Up Google is embedding shopping directly inside AI results across Search and Gemini. Users ask. AI answers. Products appear. You buy — without leaving. If executed well, this could be one of the most important monetization upgrades in years. Here’s why 👇 ⸻ 🧠 From “search engine” → to “decision engine” Traditional ads depend on keywords. AI understands intent. That difference is enormous. Instead of: “running shoes” AI can interpret: best shoes for flat feet, marathon training, under $150, available this week. That’s not traffic. That’s a buyer. ⸻ 💰 Why advertisers pay up for this Conversion probability rises. When friction drops and recommendations feel personalized, marketing budgets shift toward whoever closes the sale.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Apple Tumbles 🍎📉 — Breakdown or Classic Overreaction? Apple just suffered a sharp selloff after: ⏳ reports its AI-powered Siri upgrade may be delayed 📨 a letter from the Federal Trade Commission to Tim Cook about Apple News practices Billions wiped in hours. So the real question: 👉 start of a deeper slide? 👉 or another panic that long-term buyers love? Let’s break both sides down 👇 ⸻ 📉 The Bear Argument (why pain could continue) Apple trades at a premium because investors expect near-perfect execution. Now cracks appear: • AI timing uncertainty • louder regulatory attention • mega-caps crowded in portfolios When expectations are high, even small doubts can hit hard. Funds reduce risk first. They don’t wait for clarity. I
AI Fear Crushes Property Stocks 🏢🤖 — Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight? CBRE and JLL just got hammered — down more than 12% in a session. Why? Because the market suddenly believes AI can: ✂️ automate valuations ✂️ summarize leases ✂️ compress due diligence timelines ✂️ reduce the need for armies of analysts And if fewer white-collar workers are needed… ➡️ less office demand ➡️ lower transactions ➡️ weaker commissions Simple narrative. Sounds scary. Very tradable headline. But is it actually right? Let’s slow it down 🧵👇 ⸻ 🧠 The leap investors are making AI improves productivity → fewer people → less space → property values fall → brokers suffer. Clean. Logical. Also possibly too linear. History rarely moves in straight lines. ⸻ 🏢 Real estate deals are not spreadsheets Buying or leasing majo
Netflix – Panic or Opportunity? 🎬📉 Netflix just slid again and is hovering around the mid-$70s. Everyone’s asking the same thing: 👉 Wait for $60? 👉 Or is this where smart money quietly loads? Here’s the take many are missing 👇 ⸻ 😨 Why the market is scared There’s drama around the potential transaction with Warner Bros. Discovery. Add activist pressure from Ancora Capital and suddenly traders see uncertainty, headlines, delays. Short term = institutions hate not knowing. So they sell first. Ask questions later. ⸻ 🧠 But step back from the noise… This is still the king of global streaming 👑 ✔ Massive subscriber base ✔ Expanding advertising engine ✔ Proven ability to raise prices ✔ Content machine competitors struggle to match ✔ Consistent profitability (rare in media) Nothing about today’s re
🔥 #Market Crash! $830B Wiped Out — Panic or Opportunity? 🔥 The software selloff just turned brutal. The S&P 500 Software & Services Index has now fallen six straight sessions, wiping out ~$830B in market cap since Jan 28 and plunging 26% from its October peak. The trigger? A perfect storm of AI-driven disruption fears, stretched valuations, and fast-money exits. After Anthropic unveiled new automation tools targeting legal workflows, investors didn’t debate — they hit sell. A Goldman-tracked software index sank 6% in a single day, while the Nasdaq 100 slid 1.6%, erasing another $285B across software, fintech, and asset managers. So… 👉 Is this panic selling? 👉 Will software keep falling? 👉 Is this finally a buy-the-dip moment — or a value trap? Let’s break it down 👇 ⸻ 💥 Why the Sell
AMD Slides 17% — 2018 Redux or Buy-the-Dip Setup? AMD just suffered its worst one-day drop since 2018, plunging 17% intraday despite delivering an earnings beat. Shares gapped down over 11% at the open, erasing most of the gains built earlier this year. So what actually broke? Not earnings. Not demand. But expectations. The market wasn’t disappointed by what AMD reported — it was disappointed by what AMD didn’t promise. ⸻ What Triggered the Sell-Off? AMD’s quarter was objectively solid: • Revenue and EPS beat consensus • Data-center revenue continued growing strongly • Client and embedded segments showed resilience Yet the stock collapsed because forward guidance failed to validate the most aggressive AI narratives priced into the stock. Key pressure points: • AI revenue lacked a near-term
🐯 Citi Lifts SanDisk to $750 — Why the AI Storage Trade Is Still Early 🚀💾 The market is starting to realize something important: AI is not just a compute story — it’s a storage supercycle. On Monday, Citigroup raised SanDisk’s target price from $490 to $750, highlighting: • +64% QoQ data-center revenue growth • Margin resilience despite past NAND cyclicality • Accelerating hyperscaler demand tied directly to AI workloads The result: • SanDisk +15.4% • Micron +5.5% • Western Digital +6.1% This move isn’t the end of the trade — it’s the recognition phase. ⸻ 1️⃣ AI Is Creating a Structural (Not Cyclical) Storage Shift 🤖📈 Every AI model requires: • Massive training datasets • Continuous high-speed inference access • Frequent data refresh and replacement This changes storage economics: • Higher