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Apeman67

I am a total retard

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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2022-11-13
  Don't forget the huge protential in AI and cloud. Alibaba may be a platform which sells stuffs. Not many mentioned about the amount of data it has on consumer spending behavior and habits. That's a gold mine .
  Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments
  SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales fi
  Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2022-03-20
  My avg is 154 and I am not selling a single shares.
  Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share
  SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from
  Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-17
  #TME price plunge but huge capital inflow. It loss almost 2 b in valuation in 2 days. Volume is low for the quarter. Perhaps the worse may be ending soon. Hang on there. Don't be the breakfast of the wolves. The sum does not add up.
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-16
  $Tencent Music(TME)$my goodness. TME is way too oversold.....waiting for the rebound,if any. Chinese stocks always strike when you list expected.
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-13
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$power
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-13
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Interest is rising……
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-13
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$wow…..
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-13
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Wow….. what a short……I am buying more. Give me discount please…..regulars fall in. ? together strong.
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-12
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$be prepared for a swim in the dark pool. Buy the dip. Apes together strong
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- Apeman67Apeman67
  ·2021-08-12
  $AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ape together strong. Encourage more ape to join the movement. AMC deserves a 2nd chance and so are we. Lets pickup our brothers and sisters who are still hanging around the 40,50,60,70. To the moon.
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forget the huge protential in AI and cloud. Alibaba may be a platform which sells stuffs. Not&nbsp;many mentioned&nbsp;about&nbsp;the amount of data it has on&nbsp;consumer spending behavior and habits. That's a gold mine .","listText":"Don't forget the huge protential in AI and cloud. Alibaba may be a platform which sells stuffs. Not&nbsp;many mentioned&nbsp;about&nbsp;the amount of data it has on&nbsp;consumer spending behavior and habits. That's a gold mine .","text":"Don't forget the huge protential in AI and cloud. Alibaba may be a platform which sells stuffs. Not many mentioned about the amount of data it has on consumer spending behavior and habits. That's a gold mine .","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969961419","repostId":"2282457893","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2282457893","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1668301809,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2282457893?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-13 09:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2282457893","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales fi","content":"<html><head></head><body><h2>Summary</h2><ul><li>Alibaba heads into its FQ2&#39;23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles&#39; Day (11.11) sales event.</li><li>We discuss why even a relatively weak FQ2 earnings release should not impact the potential re-rating of BABA as China has started to refine its zero COVID policy.</li><li>At these levels, the reward/risk setup pointing to the upside remains attractive, with an earlier reopening likely spurring further buying momentum.</li><li>Maintain Strong Buy with a PT of $90.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99fd8bfbb6e746ad97e8ae396d55f7fb\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"500\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Robert Way</span></p><p><i>This article is written by </i><i>JR Research</i><i> for reference only. Please note the risks.</i></p><h2>Thesis</h2><p>Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) heads into its highly-anticipated FQ2&#39;23 (quarter ended September 30) earnings release on November 17, even as it held back from reporting actual sales figures for its 2022 Singles&#39; Day (11.11) sales event for the first time.</p><p>Alibaba reported that its 11.11 event &#34;[delivered GMV] for brands in line with [2021] despite economic and COVID-related headwinds.&#34; Notably, Alibaba reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB540.3B for 2021&#39;s 11.11 event.</p><p>Therefore, all eyes will be on CEO Daniel Zhang &amp; team on November 17, as Bloomberg had reported earlier that Alibaba&#39;s 11.11 event &#34;may suffer a decline unprecedented in the event&#39;s 14-year history.&#34;</p><p>Despite that, BABA has outperformed the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) (SP500) since we upgraded it to Strong Buy in our previous article. Moreover, BABA&#39;s recent recovery was bolstered by the anticipation of a progressive easing of COVID policy. As such, the positive reaction by the market was not surprising.</p><p>We discuss why we glean that the mean reversion move for BABA remains attractive at the current levels. Despite the massive pessimism seen as investors further de-rated China&#39;s political risks, BABA&#39;s price action remains constructive. Coupled with a well-beaten-down valuation in line with its Hong Kong tech peers, we assess that BABA&#39;s reward/risk profile remains attractive.</p><p>Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term price target (PT) of $90.</p><h2>Refinement Of China&#39;s COVID Policy Is Good Progress</h2><p>China lifted the market&#39;s sentiments last week as the newly installed Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) highlighted the need for &#34;more decisive&#34; measures, as Bloomberg reported:</p><blockquote>In a meeting of the new Politburo Standing Committee, the members called for more decisive measures to curb the spread of the virus so as to resume normal life and production as soon as possible, according to the Xinhua News Agency. - Bloomberg</blockquote><p>Therefore the &#34;20 measures&#34; rolled out by China&#39;s State Council and National Health Commission that reduced centralized quarantine time and flight suspension penalties were not expected by the market. Moreover, it occurred while COVID cases continued rising. Bloomberg reported that China&#39;s COVID cases increased to 11.3K on Friday (November 11), breaking above 10K for the first time since April on Thursday.</p><p>Furthermore, some cities actually reduced mass testing despite the rising cases. Hence, we believe the odds for a progressive ending in COVID zero are increasingly likely.</p><p>Still, investors should not rule out Beijing tightening its COVID policy again if COVID cases continue to rise higher, or even spike. China has maintained that the recent measures do not indicate that China has moved to living with the virus. Stamping out COVID expeditiously remains the guiding principle of its policy measures. As such, investors should expect near-term downside volatility if Beijing tightens further.</p><h2>What&#39;s Next For Alibaba?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ddc437479ec434895135417dc6411936\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"396\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>Alibaba Revenue change % and Adjusted EBITDA change % consensus estimates (S&amp;P Cap IQ)</span></p><p>Therefore, we think the thesis for a bottoming in Alibaba&#39;s revenue and profitability growth by FY23 (year ending March 2023) is increasingly likely.</p><p>China&#39;s hand has likely been forced by the worsening global macroeconomic headwinds that has added significant stress to its domestic malaise. Moreover, China&#39;s trade surplus weakened further in October as exports fell for the first time since May 2020, down 0.3% YoY.</p><p>Furthermore, China&#39;s producer price index (PPI) declined 1.3% YoY in October, down for the first time in over two years. Hence, the disinflation signals are building up in China&#39;s economy, likely spurring policymakers to act more urgently to arrest China&#39;s economic malaise.</p><p>Therefore, while Alibaba may report a relatively tepid or even lower-than-project FQ2 earnings release, the market is already looking ahead. While still early, Goldman Sachs had previously highlighted that it expected a reopening in the &#34;second quarter of [2023].&#34; Therefore, we believe Wall Street&#39;s estimates have been predicated on such a possibility.</p><p>Given that China has already started to set the wheels in motion, despite the surge in COVID cases, we believe the reward/risk for an earlier exit is likely pointing to the upside.</p><h2>Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?</h2><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b99a8e7fe43e4b72d7e31dbf093f969e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/><span>BABA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)</span></p><p>We emphasized in our previous update that BABA has two robust support zones that could see buyers defending vigorously against further selling pressure.</p><p>Therefore, even after the market forced sellers to give up after it broke below its March lows, buyers came in to defend its October 2015 levels ($57). That level appears to have been defended resolutely, which suggests that the market pulled the rug on weak holders who added the dips in March/May 2022.</p><p>Notwithstanding, we still need BABA to retake its March level and sit above it decisively for our thesis of a mean-reversion setup toward the $95 level to play out accordingly.</p><p>With China moving progressively away from its zero COVID strategy, we believe the potential for Alibaba to outperform the markedly downgraded consensus projections is looking increasingly likely.</p><p><i>Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term PT of $90.</i></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Refinement Of Zero COVID Policy Lifts Market Sentiments\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-13 09:10 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles' Day (11.11) sales event.We discuss why even a relatively ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4556789-alibaba-refinement-zero-covid-policy-lifts-market-sentiments","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2282457893","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba heads into its FQ2'23 earnings release on November 17 without disclosing its sales figures for its recently concluded Singles' Day (11.11) sales event.We discuss why even a relatively weak FQ2 earnings release should not impact the potential re-rating of BABA as China has started to refine its zero COVID policy.At these levels, the reward/risk setup pointing to the upside remains attractive, with an earlier reopening likely spurring further buying momentum.Maintain Strong Buy with a PT of $90.Robert WayThis article is written by JR Research for reference only. Please note the risks.ThesisAlibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA) heads into its highly-anticipated FQ2'23 (quarter ended September 30) earnings release on November 17, even as it held back from reporting actual sales figures for its 2022 Singles' Day (11.11) sales event for the first time.Alibaba reported that its 11.11 event \"[delivered GMV] for brands in line with [2021] despite economic and COVID-related headwinds.\" Notably, Alibaba reported a gross merchandise value (GMV) of RMB540.3B for 2021's 11.11 event.Therefore, all eyes will be on CEO Daniel Zhang & team on November 17, as Bloomberg had reported earlier that Alibaba's 11.11 event \"may suffer a decline unprecedented in the event's 14-year history.\"Despite that, BABA has outperformed the S&P 500 (SPX) (SP500) since we upgraded it to Strong Buy in our previous article. Moreover, BABA's recent recovery was bolstered by the anticipation of a progressive easing of COVID policy. As such, the positive reaction by the market was not surprising.We discuss why we glean that the mean reversion move for BABA remains attractive at the current levels. Despite the massive pessimism seen as investors further de-rated China's political risks, BABA's price action remains constructive. Coupled with a well-beaten-down valuation in line with its Hong Kong tech peers, we assess that BABA's reward/risk profile remains attractive.Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term price target (PT) of $90.Refinement Of China's COVID Policy Is Good ProgressChina lifted the market's sentiments last week as the newly installed Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) highlighted the need for \"more decisive\" measures, as Bloomberg reported:In a meeting of the new Politburo Standing Committee, the members called for more decisive measures to curb the spread of the virus so as to resume normal life and production as soon as possible, according to the Xinhua News Agency. - BloombergTherefore the \"20 measures\" rolled out by China's State Council and National Health Commission that reduced centralized quarantine time and flight suspension penalties were not expected by the market. Moreover, it occurred while COVID cases continued rising. Bloomberg reported that China's COVID cases increased to 11.3K on Friday (November 11), breaking above 10K for the first time since April on Thursday.Furthermore, some cities actually reduced mass testing despite the rising cases. Hence, we believe the odds for a progressive ending in COVID zero are increasingly likely.Still, investors should not rule out Beijing tightening its COVID policy again if COVID cases continue to rise higher, or even spike. China has maintained that the recent measures do not indicate that China has moved to living with the virus. Stamping out COVID expeditiously remains the guiding principle of its policy measures. As such, investors should expect near-term downside volatility if Beijing tightens further.What's Next For Alibaba?Alibaba Revenue change % and Adjusted EBITDA change % consensus estimates (S&P Cap IQ)Therefore, we think the thesis for a bottoming in Alibaba's revenue and profitability growth by FY23 (year ending March 2023) is increasingly likely.China's hand has likely been forced by the worsening global macroeconomic headwinds that has added significant stress to its domestic malaise. Moreover, China's trade surplus weakened further in October as exports fell for the first time since May 2020, down 0.3% YoY.Furthermore, China's producer price index (PPI) declined 1.3% YoY in October, down for the first time in over two years. Hence, the disinflation signals are building up in China's economy, likely spurring policymakers to act more urgently to arrest China's economic malaise.Therefore, while Alibaba may report a relatively tepid or even lower-than-project FQ2 earnings release, the market is already looking ahead. While still early, Goldman Sachs had previously highlighted that it expected a reopening in the \"second quarter of [2023].\" Therefore, we believe Wall Street's estimates have been predicated on such a possibility.Given that China has already started to set the wheels in motion, despite the surge in COVID cases, we believe the reward/risk for an earlier exit is likely pointing to the upside.Is BABA Stock A Buy, Sell, Or Hold?BABA price chart (weekly) (TradingView)We emphasized in our previous update that BABA has two robust support zones that could see buyers defending vigorously against further selling pressure.Therefore, even after the market forced sellers to give up after it broke below its March lows, buyers came in to defend its October 2015 levels ($57). That level appears to have been defended resolutely, which suggests that the market pulled the rug on weak holders who added the dips in March/May 2022.Notwithstanding, we still need BABA to retake its March level and sit above it decisively for our thesis of a mean-reversion setup toward the $95 level to play out accordingly.With China moving progressively away from its zero COVID strategy, we believe the potential for Alibaba to outperform the markedly downgraded consensus projections is looking increasingly likely.Maintain Strong Buy with a medium-term PT of $90.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":210,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9034914905,"gmtCreate":1647753402449,"gmtModify":1676534263514,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"My avg is 154 and I am not selling a single shares.&nbsp;","listText":"My avg is 154 and I am not selling a single shares.&nbsp;","text":"My avg is 154 and I am not selling a single shares.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9034914905","repostId":"2220430742","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2220430742","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1647741823,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2220430742?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-03-20 10:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2220430742","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Alibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.</li><li>Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.</li><li>However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.</li><li>Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.</li><li>Alibaba&#39;s business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70ca27bada17fe6e115be1eaa4822061\" tg-width=\"750\" tg-height=\"513\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images</span></p><p>I began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba&#39;s recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company&#39;s share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.</p><p><b>Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing News</b></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aa856eb9a75ce4c55e67c3d28a956fd7\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"676\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>BABA (StockCharts)</span></p><p>We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.</p><p>Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba&#39;s history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba&#39;s business. The company&#39;s growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it&#39;s going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba&#39;s stock remains exceptionally cheap.</p><p><b>Alibaba Back Then And Now</b></p><p>Back then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba&#39;s stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba&#39;s revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (&#34;TTM&#34;). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba&#39;s stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I&#39;ve written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba&#39;s stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.</p><p><b>Alibaba&#39;s Stock Is Remarkably Cheap</b></p><p>How cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba&#39;s revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company&#39;s growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.</p><p><b>The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single Share</b></p><p>I&#39;m not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I&#39;ve written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba&#39;s, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company&#39;s stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba&#39;s share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.</p><p><b>Here&#39;s what Alibaba&#39;s financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:</b></p><table><tbody><tr><td>Year</td><td>2022</td><td>2023</td><td>2024</td><td>2025</td></tr><tr><td>Revenues</td><td>$151B</td><td>$167B</td><td>$184B</td><td>$203B</td></tr><tr><td>Revenue growth</td><td>15.3%</td><td>10.6%</td><td>10.2%</td><td>10.3%</td></tr><tr><td>EPS</td><td>$10.25</td><td>$10.55</td><td>$13.12</td><td>$15.85</td></tr><tr><td>Forward P/E</td><td>12</td><td>15</td><td>18</td><td>20</td></tr><tr><td>Price</td><td>$127</td><td>$197</td><td>$285</td><td>$375</td></tr></tbody></table><p>Source: The Author</p><p>As we advance, Alibaba&#39;s revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company&#39;s profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company&#39;s transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba&#39;s P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.</p><p><b>Risks To Consider</b></p><p>While I&#39;m bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company&#39;s ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba&#39;s growth and profits. The company&#39;s growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba&#39;s profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.</p></body></html>","source":"seekingalpha","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba: Why I'm Not Selling A Single Share\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-03-20 10:03 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","09988":"阿里巴巴-W"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4496224-alibaba-why-im-not-selling-single-share","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/5a36db9d73b4222bc376d24ccc48c8a4","article_id":"2220430742","content_text":"SummaryAlibaba has been a challenging investment over the last year, dropping by as much as 77% from its ATH.Despite increasing revenues by more than tenfold, its stock price dropped down to levels not seen since its early post-IPO days.However, things are likely to change in a big way for Alibaba investors.Much of the transitory detrimental factors are now behind the company, and more emphasis should go towards positive developments now.Alibaba's business remains solid, growth should resume, and the company will likely become more profitable in future years.Philiphotographer/iStock Unreleased via Getty ImagesI began investing in Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) in early 2015, shortly after the company IPOed in the U.S. Incidentally, I started buying the stock at a similar price point to Alibaba's recent low ($70-80). I would be lying if I said that this was not a challenging investment, but Alibaba is remarkably cheap right now. Furthermore, the ongoing concerns surrounding the company are overexaggerated. Moreover, the Chinese government is now taking market-friendly measures to stabilize markets and support stock prices. We could be looking at a tectonic shift in China, and Alibaba shares will likely get a substantial bid moving forward. Despite the recent monster 40% rebound, Alibaba remains a strong buy around the $100 level. Additionally, the company's share price should continue appreciating as we advance through 2022 and beyond and could reach $300 within the next three years.Alibaba Skyrockets On Beijing NewsBABA (StockCharts)We just saw one of the most violent up moves in history. Alibaba soared by approximately $100 billion in market cap in a single day. China will provide additional support to the Chinese economy through monetary policy, and the government reaffirmed that it supports foreign IPOs. The report also stated that China supports listings overseas and will work with the SEC to resolve any issues.Concerns over increased regulation, possible delisting fears, and other transitory concerns led Alibaba to unprecedented declines over the last year. The stock cratered by about 77% (peak to trough) from its recent highs, illustrating one of the most significant market cap declines. Recent selling became indiscriminate and panic-driven, likely leading to one of the best buying opportunities in Alibaba's history. The most striking thing is that nothing material changed about Alibaba's business. The company's growth slowed a bit more than expected, and it's going through a transitory margin compression phase. However, this is not something that warrants a 77% decline or anything even close, and Alibaba's stock remains exceptionally cheap.Alibaba Back Then And NowBack then (in 2015), when I first began buying Alibaba, its stock was around $80. In recent sessions, Alibaba's stock dipped below $80 for the first time in about six years. In 2015 Alibaba's revenues were $12.3 billion, and the company recorded approximately $131.6 billion in revenues in its trailing twelve months (\"TTM\"). Its gross profit was at about $8.4 billion then, and nearly $50 billion in its TTM. I think you get the picture here. Revenues and many profitability metrics have surged in the past six years, yet Alibaba's stock price was back at its post-IPO lows in recent days. I've written many articles on Alibaba, I own the stock, and I continue to argue that Alibaba's stock price is unjustly low and has a strong probability of moving significantly higher in future years.Alibaba's Stock Is Remarkably CheapHow cheap is Alibaba, even after its unprecedented 40% move higher? Consensus EPS estimates are for approximately $10 in 2023, illustrating that at $100, the stock is only trading at ten times forward EPS estimates. If we look at Alibaba's revenue projections, we see that the company should still grow revenues by 10-15% in the coming years. Moreover, Alibaba has the potential to become more profitable in future years, suggesting that its EPS projections may be muted and lowballed. The company's growth dynamic, profitability potential, and low valuation illustrate that its stock remains exceptionally cheap and has a high probability of appreciating substantially in future years.The Bottom Line: Not Selling A Single ShareI'm not selling a single Alibaba share here. As I've written many times, Alibaba and Chinese stocks, in general, went through a transitory phase where overly negative news flow put enormous pressure on stock prices. This problematic period lasted for over one year and caused stock prices, including Alibaba's, to decline to obscenely oversold and undervalued levels. Now that the negative news is behind us, we will likely see more emphasis on positive developments regarding Alibaba. The company does not face significant threats from the regulation, and the U.S. delisting fears are overblown. Moreover, Alibaba remains a dominant, market-leading e-commerce giant that should continue growing double-digit for several years. Furthermore, the company's stock is dirt cheap right now, and Alibaba's share price will likely appreciate considerably as the company advances in future years.Here's what Alibaba's financials could look like as the company moves forward into 2025:Year2022202320242025Revenues$151B$167B$184B$203BRevenue growth15.3%10.6%10.2%10.3%EPS$10.25$10.55$13.12$15.85Forward P/E12151820Price$127$197$285$375Source: The AuthorAs we advance, Alibaba's revenue growth should continue to expand, and the company's profitability should continue improving. Moreover, the company's transitory negative news flow stage should continue to pass. Therefore, sentiment should strengthen, and Alibaba's P/E multiple should gradually expand. It is not uncommon for companies with similar growth and profitability dynamics to trade at 20-30 times EPS estimates or higher. Thus, Alibaba should not have a problem getting back up to a 20 P/E multiple in future years. As sentiment improves, its share price could appreciate considerably in the coming years, to my price target of $375 in 2025.Risks To ConsiderWhile I'm bullish on Alibaba, various factors could occur that may derail my expectations for the company. For instance, the regulation could clamp down further on Alibaba and other Chinese tech giants. Moreover, U.S. regulators could decide to delist the company's ADRs. Increased competition could impact Alibaba's growth and profits. The company's growth could be worse than my current anticipation. Also, Alibaba's profitability could continue to struggle for various reasons. There are multiple risks to this investment, which is why shares are very cheap right now. In my view, Alibaba remains an elevated risk/high reward investment, and investors should carefully examine the risks before opening a position in Alibaba stock.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":674,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":833122139,"gmtCreate":1629211454021,"gmtModify":1676529968320,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"#TME price plunge but huge capital inflow. It&nbsp;loss almost 2 b in valuation in 2 days. Volume is low for the quarter. Perhaps the worse may be ending soon. Hang on there. Don't be the breakfast of the wolves. The sum does not add up.&nbsp;","listText":"#TME price plunge but huge capital inflow. It&nbsp;loss almost 2 b in valuation in 2 days. Volume is low for the quarter. Perhaps the worse may be ending soon. Hang on there. Don't be the breakfast of the wolves. The sum does not add up.&nbsp;","text":"#TME price plunge but huge capital inflow. It loss almost 2 b in valuation in 2 days. Volume is low for the quarter. Perhaps the worse may be ending soon. Hang on there. Don't be the breakfast of the wolves. The sum does not add up.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a012a40175ee2bd8412cbfc4ed58c65f","width":"1080","height":"2708"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/833122139","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":762,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":839187743,"gmtCreate":1629127081982,"gmtModify":1676529940797,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>my goodness. TME is way too oversold.....waiting for the rebound,if any. Chinese stocks always strike when you list expected.&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">$Tencent Music(TME)$</a>my goodness. TME is way too oversold.....waiting for the rebound,if any. Chinese stocks always strike when you list expected.&nbsp;","text":"$Tencent Music(TME)$my goodness. TME is way too oversold.....waiting for the rebound,if any. Chinese stocks always strike when you list expected.","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc05b4fd1738fc6dc8c8fe9d4b6df809","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/839187743","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":681,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894781013,"gmtCreate":1628857258332,"gmtModify":1676529876314,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>power","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>power","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$power","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d38c42a0a412c7d8534240b467cdb960","width":"1242","height":"1029"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894781013","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894783761,"gmtCreate":1628857218653,"gmtModify":1676529876306,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Interest is rising……","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Interest is rising……","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Interest is rising……","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894783761","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894783824,"gmtCreate":1628857161468,"gmtModify":1676529876290,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>wow…..","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>wow…..","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$wow…..","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d8fa76c2679ec5e023cbebadbf77b809","width":"1242","height":"2195"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894783824","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":922,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":894789455,"gmtCreate":1628857118277,"gmtModify":1676529876257,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Wow….. what a short……I am&nbsp;buying more. Give me discount please…..regulars fall in. ? together strong.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>Wow….. what a short……I am&nbsp;buying more. Give me discount please…..regulars fall in. ? together strong.","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$Wow….. what a short……I am buying more. Give me discount please…..regulars fall in. ? together strong.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/894789455","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1077,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895451493,"gmtCreate":1628768544812,"gmtModify":1676529847677,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>be prepared for a swim in the dark pool. Buy the dip. Apes together strong","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>be prepared for a swim in the dark pool. Buy the dip. Apes together strong","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$be prepared for a swim in the dark pool. Buy the dip. Apes together strong","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895451493","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895989790,"gmtCreate":1628706368510,"gmtModify":1676529827624,"author":{"id":"3575016406185733","authorId":"3575016406185733","name":"Apeman67","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a981ee16978544a21c19f0e5ffb118b7","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3575016406185733","authorIdStr":"3575016406185733"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>ape together strong. Encourage more ape to join the movement. AMC deserves a 2nd chance and so are we. Lets&nbsp;pickup our brothers and sisters who are still hanging around the 40,50,60,70. To the moon.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$</a>ape together strong. Encourage more ape to join the movement. AMC deserves a 2nd chance and so are we. Lets&nbsp;pickup our brothers and sisters who are still hanging around the 40,50,60,70. To the moon.","text":"$AMC Entertainment(AMC)$ape together strong. Encourage more ape to join the movement. AMC deserves a 2nd chance and so are we. Lets pickup our brothers and sisters who are still hanging around the 40,50,60,70. To the moon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/895989790","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}