EdwardKarchi

    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·06:31
      Looking ahead to 2026, I don’t think it’s as simple as “another straight bull run” or “market crash incoming.” It feels more like a year where returns are still there, but you actually have to be selective. For U.S. equities, I think the S&P 500 can still move higher, but probably not with the same easy momentum we saw before. Earnings growth will matter more than just multiple expansion. If rate cuts come gradually and the economy avoids a hard landing, double-digit gains are still possible — but they won’t be evenly spread. On AI, I do expect some rotation. Semiconductors won big early, but I wouldn’t be surprised if leadership slowly shifts toward memory, software, and SaaS companies that actually turn AI spending into recurring revenue. Hardware started the race, but monetisation c
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·01-05 08:50
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·01-05 08:49
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-29
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-29
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-24
      The recent move in the S&P 500 feels very technical to me. After triple witching cleared out a lot of options pressure around 6,700–6,800, the market suddenly feels lighter and more willing to push higher. Right now, 6,900 is the level I’m watching closely. It’s not just a round number — it’s where price is pausing and testing commitment. If we can hold above this zone and not immediately get rejected, I think the path toward 7,000 opens up pretty naturally, especially with year-end seasonality on our side. That said, I don’t expect a straight line up. A bit of chop or consolidation around 6,900 wouldn’t be a bad thing at all — it would actually make a breakout healthier. My bias stays bullish as long as price holds above the recent breakout zone. If we lose it, then it’s probably just
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-22
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-22
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-22
      When I first started trading, I used too many indicators and ended up confusing myself. Over time, I realised the simplest thing works best for me: support and resistance. I usually start by zooming out and marking obvious levels where price reacted multiple times before. These are areas where buyers or sellers previously stepped in — and most of the time, they still matter. If price is approaching resistance, I don’t chase longs. I wait to see if it gets rejected or breaks cleanly. If price pulls back into support during an uptrend, that’s where I look for opportunities — but only if price action confirms. One thing I learned the hard way: 👉 support and resistance are zones, not exact lines. Price can poke through briefly and still respect the level overall. I don’t try to predict tops or
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    • EdwardKarchiEdwardKarchi
      ·2025-12-19
      Markets are finally showing some life again, helped by Micron’s earnings and a general rebound in tech. At the same time, everyone is watching the Bank of Japan closely — a rate hike now feels almost certain, with most expecting a 25bps move. What’s interesting to me is that this BoJ hike is not really a surprise anymore. It’s been talked about for months. If Japan goes ahead with a “normal” hike and nothing dramatic happens, it could be one of those classic “sell the rumour, buy the fact” moments. In that case, the uncertainty clears, and markets can refocus on earnings, liquidity, and positioning — which is usually when year-end rallies start to show up. On the flip side, if the BoJ surprises the market (bigger hike, hawkish tone), we could still see some short-term volatility. But hones
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