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Heemeng

Posts · 123Posts · 123
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·08-03
  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$
  101 Comment
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2023-01-21
  $Dow30 Bear 3X ETF(SDOW)$
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-12-09
  Great
  Amazon Is Launching TikTok-Style Feed in Bet on Social Commerce
  Amazon.com Inc. has launched a TikTok-style service that will let shoppers buy merchandise from a cu
  Amazon Is Launching TikTok-Style Feed in Bet on Social Commerce
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-12-09
  Ok
  Exxon, Chevron to Spend Billions More on Oil Projects Next Year
  (Reuters) - The two largest U.S. oil companies - Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp - disclosed plans
  Exxon, Chevron to Spend Billions More on Oil Projects Next Year
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-12-07
  How about LCID?
  7 Electric Vehicle Stocks to Sell in December
  These electric vehicle stocks to sell will continue shedding value in the current market downturnNikola(NKLA): Unlikely to scale production anytime soon, with its massive cash burnHyzon Motors(HYZN):
  7 Electric Vehicle Stocks to Sell in December
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-12-01
  Ok
  NIO, Snowflake, Salesforce, Kroger And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch
  With US stock futures trading mostly flat this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may gra
  NIO, Snowflake, Salesforce, Kroger And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-11-22
  $Amazon.com(AMZN)$
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-11-13
  Ok
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-11-09
  Ok
  SPY: When This Bear Is Over, Which ETF Should I Invest In (Technical Analysis)?
  SummaryA study of market returns over the past five bear markets.We look at five risk-on ETFs during
  SPY: When This Bear Is Over, Which ETF Should I Invest In (Technical Analysis)?
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- HeemengHeemeng
  ·2022-11-09
  Ok
  Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
  SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales
  Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy
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08:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon Is Launching TikTok-Style Feed in Bet on Social Commerce","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1173657922","media":"Bloomberg","summary":"Amazon.com Inc. has launched a TikTok-style service that will let shoppers buy merchandise from a cu","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>Amazon.com Inc. has launched a TikTok-style service that will let shoppers buy merchandise from a curated feed of photos and video.</p><p>The world’s largest e-commerce company on Thursday said the new feature, called Inspire, will roll out to select US customers in early December and go national in the next few months.</p><p>“In just a few taps, customers can discover new products or get inspiration on what to buy, all tailored to their interests, and then shop for those items on Amazon,” said Oliver Messenger, the director of Amazon Shopping.</p><p>Amazon, which has long used static product images and descriptions to create a uniform catalog, has been trying to make it easier for shoppers to discover products rather than simply search for specific items. Despite these efforts, most customers don’t linger on the sprawling online marketplace. More than one in four Amazon purchases take three minutes or less.</p><p>So-called social commerce has long been popular in China but has been slow to catch on in the US. However, with TikTok making inroads in e-commerce, Amazon, Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Meta Platforms Inc.’s Facebook and Instagram have been adding social shopping features to their services — with mixed success.</p><p>Amazon’s new Inspire service, which will appear as a lightbulb-shaped icon on the app, will invite shoppers to select from more than 20 interests, including makeup, pets and gaming, which will then be used to tailor their feeds. Shoppers will be able to purchase merchandise posted by other customers, brands and influencers.</p><p>It’s not clear that Inspire will work. Amazon is known for introducing experimental features and quietly abandoning them if they fail to take off.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1584095487587","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon Is Launching TikTok-Style Feed in Bet on Social Commerce</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon Is Launching TikTok-Style Feed in Bet on Social Commerce\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-09 08:26 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-08/amazon-is-launching-tiktok-style-feed-in-bet-on-social-commerce><strong>Bloomberg</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Amazon.com Inc. has launched a TikTok-style service that will let shoppers buy merchandise from a curated feed of photos and video.The world’s largest e-commerce company on Thursday said the new ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-08/amazon-is-launching-tiktok-style-feed-in-bet-on-social-commerce\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-08/amazon-is-launching-tiktok-style-feed-in-bet-on-social-commerce","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1173657922","content_text":"Amazon.com Inc. has launched a TikTok-style service that will let shoppers buy merchandise from a curated feed of photos and video.The world’s largest e-commerce company on Thursday said the new feature, called Inspire, will roll out to select US customers in early December and go national in the next few months.“In just a few taps, customers can discover new products or get inspiration on what to buy, all tailored to their interests, and then shop for those items on Amazon,” said Oliver Messenger, the director of Amazon Shopping.Amazon, which has long used static product images and descriptions to create a uniform catalog, has been trying to make it easier for shoppers to discover products rather than simply search for specific items. Despite these efforts, most customers don’t linger on the sprawling online marketplace. More than one in four Amazon purchases take three minutes or less.So-called social commerce has long been popular in China but has been slow to catch on in the US. However, with TikTok making inroads in e-commerce, Amazon, Alphabet Inc.’s Google and Meta Platforms Inc.’s Facebook and Instagram have been adding social shopping features to their services — with mixed success.Amazon’s new Inspire service, which will appear as a lightbulb-shaped icon on the app, will invite shoppers to select from more than 20 interests, including makeup, pets and gaming, which will then be used to tailor their feeds. Shoppers will be able to purchase merchandise posted by other customers, brands and influencers.It’s not clear that Inspire will work. Amazon is known for introducing experimental features and quietly abandoning them if they fail to take off.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":610,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920762549,"gmtCreate":1670550305781,"gmtModify":1676538391442,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920762549","repostId":"2290447036","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2290447036","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1670549824,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2290447036?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-09 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Exxon, Chevron to Spend Billions More on Oil Projects Next Year","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2290447036","media":"Reuters","summary":"(Reuters) - The two largest U.S. oil companies - Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp - disclosed plans","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The two largest U.S. oil companies - Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp - disclosed plans to increase outlays on energy projects next year amid high oil demand and prices.</p><p>While spending more, it will be less than half the combined $84 billion they spent in 2013, when oil prices often traded above $100 per barrel as it has this year. The two are awash in cash from those prices and past cost-cuts, and have sharply raised shareholder payouts.</p><p>The focus on shareholder returns have led to pressure from the White House. The Biden administration has criticized oil companies for not raising their oil production to help lower prices to consumers. Still, next year&#39;s budgets remain within the ranges each set before the war in Ukraine fed a global shortage of energy.</p><p>Exxon said it would increase project investments next year to between $23 billion to $25 billion, up from a projected $22 billion this year. Chevron said it plans to spend $17 billion, up from about $15 billion this year. Increases include new monies for emissions reduction projects and the impact of inflation.</p><p>The higher spending will not immediately lead to more production. Exxon has said it expects output next year to be flat at about 3.7 million barrels of equivalent oil per day (boed), while Chevron has forecast a greater than 3% compound average annual increase through 2026.</p><p>Exxon will miss its goal of pumping 1 million boed from its Permian operations by about two years, Exxon Chief Executive Darren Woods said on Thursday. It now aims to reach between 900,000-1 million boed in 2027.</p><p>The biggest change will be the amount of cash earned. Exxon sees potential for $100 billion in surplus cash by 2027, assuming global oil prices of $60 per barrel. Chevron should generate about $34 billion in free cash flow next year, according to Jefferies equity research, twice its oil investments levels.</p><p>&#34;This leaves ample room for opportunistic M&amp;A, increases to the buyback or simply even lower leverage with an eye toward increasing buybacks at a lower share price,&#34; said Jefferies equity analysts Lloyd Byrne and Sam Burwell.</p><p>U.S. and European producers have also been partially recovering project spending slashed during the pandemic. Shell this year increased capital spending 22% to between $23 billion to $27 billion. BP this year expanded project spending by 21% to $15.5 billion from last year.</p><p>The five western majors posted record profits this year, and Exxon and Chevron shares have hit historical highs this quarter.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Exxon, Chevron to Spend Billions More on Oil Projects Next Year</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nExxon, Chevron to Spend Billions More on Oil Projects Next Year\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-09 09:37</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>(Reuters) - The two largest U.S. oil companies - Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp - disclosed plans to increase outlays on energy projects next year amid high oil demand and prices.</p><p>While spending more, it will be less than half the combined $84 billion they spent in 2013, when oil prices often traded above $100 per barrel as it has this year. The two are awash in cash from those prices and past cost-cuts, and have sharply raised shareholder payouts.</p><p>The focus on shareholder returns have led to pressure from the White House. The Biden administration has criticized oil companies for not raising their oil production to help lower prices to consumers. Still, next year&#39;s budgets remain within the ranges each set before the war in Ukraine fed a global shortage of energy.</p><p>Exxon said it would increase project investments next year to between $23 billion to $25 billion, up from a projected $22 billion this year. Chevron said it plans to spend $17 billion, up from about $15 billion this year. Increases include new monies for emissions reduction projects and the impact of inflation.</p><p>The higher spending will not immediately lead to more production. Exxon has said it expects output next year to be flat at about 3.7 million barrels of equivalent oil per day (boed), while Chevron has forecast a greater than 3% compound average annual increase through 2026.</p><p>Exxon will miss its goal of pumping 1 million boed from its Permian operations by about two years, Exxon Chief Executive Darren Woods said on Thursday. It now aims to reach between 900,000-1 million boed in 2027.</p><p>The biggest change will be the amount of cash earned. Exxon sees potential for $100 billion in surplus cash by 2027, assuming global oil prices of $60 per barrel. Chevron should generate about $34 billion in free cash flow next year, according to Jefferies equity research, twice its oil investments levels.</p><p>&#34;This leaves ample room for opportunistic M&amp;A, increases to the buyback or simply even lower leverage with an eye toward increasing buybacks at a lower share price,&#34; said Jefferies equity analysts Lloyd Byrne and Sam Burwell.</p><p>U.S. and European producers have also been partially recovering project spending slashed during the pandemic. Shell this year increased capital spending 22% to between $23 billion to $27 billion. BP this year expanded project spending by 21% to $15.5 billion from last year.</p><p>The five western majors posted record profits this year, and Exxon and Chevron shares have hit historical highs this quarter.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CVX":"雪佛龙","XOM":"埃克森美孚"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2290447036","content_text":"(Reuters) - The two largest U.S. oil companies - Exxon Mobil Corp and Chevron Corp - disclosed plans to increase outlays on energy projects next year amid high oil demand and prices.While spending more, it will be less than half the combined $84 billion they spent in 2013, when oil prices often traded above $100 per barrel as it has this year. The two are awash in cash from those prices and past cost-cuts, and have sharply raised shareholder payouts.The focus on shareholder returns have led to pressure from the White House. The Biden administration has criticized oil companies for not raising their oil production to help lower prices to consumers. Still, next year's budgets remain within the ranges each set before the war in Ukraine fed a global shortage of energy.Exxon said it would increase project investments next year to between $23 billion to $25 billion, up from a projected $22 billion this year. Chevron said it plans to spend $17 billion, up from about $15 billion this year. Increases include new monies for emissions reduction projects and the impact of inflation.The higher spending will not immediately lead to more production. Exxon has said it expects output next year to be flat at about 3.7 million barrels of equivalent oil per day (boed), while Chevron has forecast a greater than 3% compound average annual increase through 2026.Exxon will miss its goal of pumping 1 million boed from its Permian operations by about two years, Exxon Chief Executive Darren Woods said on Thursday. It now aims to reach between 900,000-1 million boed in 2027.The biggest change will be the amount of cash earned. Exxon sees potential for $100 billion in surplus cash by 2027, assuming global oil prices of $60 per barrel. Chevron should generate about $34 billion in free cash flow next year, according to Jefferies equity research, twice its oil investments levels.\"This leaves ample room for opportunistic M&A, increases to the buyback or simply even lower leverage with an eye toward increasing buybacks at a lower share price,\" said Jefferies equity analysts Lloyd Byrne and Sam Burwell.U.S. and European producers have also been partially recovering project spending slashed during the pandemic. Shell this year increased capital spending 22% to between $23 billion to $27 billion. BP this year expanded project spending by 21% to $15.5 billion from last year.The five western majors posted record profits this year, and Exxon and Chevron shares have hit historical highs this quarter.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9920906861,"gmtCreate":1670410450353,"gmtModify":1676538362334,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"How about LCID?","listText":"How about LCID?","text":"How about LCID?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9920906861","repostId":"1196589201","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196589201","pubTimestamp":1670427016,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1196589201?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-07 23:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"7 Electric Vehicle Stocks to Sell in December","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196589201","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"These electric vehicle stocks to sell will continue shedding value in the current market downturnNikola(NKLA): Unlikely to scale production anytime soon, with its massive cash burnHyzon Motors(HYZN): ","content":"<html><head></head><body><ul><li>These electric vehicle stocks to sell will continue shedding value in the current market downturn</li><li><b>Nikola</b>(<u><b>NKLA</b></u>): Unlikely to scale production anytime soon, with its massive cash burn</li><li><b>Hyzon Motors</b>(<u><b>HYZN</b></u>): Regulators have confirmed most of the scathing claims by short-seller Blue Orca</li><li><b>Rivian Automotive</b>(<b>RIVN</b>): Product recalls, safety concerns, and a lofty valuation makes it a stock to avoid</li><li><b>Electra</b> <b>Meccanica</b> <b>Vehicles</b>(<b>SOLO</b>): Three-wheeled approach is unlikely to gain mainstream traction</li><li><b>Workhorse</b>(<b>WKHS</b>): Burning cash at an incredible pace while meeting production levels at a minimum</li><li><b>Lordstown Motors</b>(<b>RIDE</b>): Has serious ground to make up as it struggles to grow its production levels</li><li><b>Arcimoto</b>(<b>FUV</b>): Cash burn has led to tremendous dilution as it continues to post lackluster operating results</li></ul><p>After all the excitement the sector garnered last year, it looks as if it’s time to consider which electric vehicle stocks to sell.</p><p>The year has exposed the weaknesses in multiple sectors, and the electric vehicle market is no exception. A significant market rout has seen stocks of prominent companies and startups suffer considerable losses in value.</p><p>Moreover, new EV companies are finding themselves in a much more competitive landscape now that legacy automakers entered the fray. Hence, there are multiple electric vehicle stocks to sell at this time.</p><p>Investing in the electric vehicle market can be very attractive, given the wide range of underlying businesses to choose from. These include car companies, battery manufacturers, charging providers, and others.</p><p>However, with the stock market experiencing significant dips recently, many of these companies are finding it increasingly difficult to attract investors. This puts immense pressure on already unstable businesses and causes long-term problems within the EV sphere. Hence, only EV companies with strong track records are worth investing in at this time.</p><p><b>Nikola (NKLA)</b></p><p>EV start-up <b>Nikola</b> (NASDAQ:<u><b>NKLA</b></u>) has witnessed a steep drop in its stock price over the past few months. Nikola may have to wait before scaling production levels of its flagship Nikola Tre truck for a while.</p><p>In its most recent quarter, Nikola reported negative free cash flows amounting to $237 million. A large part of that comes from the lack of capital required to scale production, especially withthe addition of ailing battery supplier Romeo Power, which will likely result in massive cash burn going forward.</p><p>Therefore, it doesn’t seem like this firm’s tribulations will end anytime soon as it looks to scale production of its battery electric (BEV) truck.</p><p><b>Hyzon Motors (HYZN)</b></p><p><b>Hyzon Motors</b> (NASDAQ:<u><b>HYZN</b></u>) has been nothing short of a disaster for investors. There have been reports of financial manipulation, and the company has also been accused of creating false customers.</p><p>These actions raise serious questions about its legitimacy and ability to remain solvent in an increasingly competitive EV marketplace.</p><p>Late last year, short-seller Blue Orca accused the companywas knowingly overstating its revenue outlookand drawing investors in with inflated promises of future profits.</p><p>The report stated that two of Hyzon’s largest customers weren’t real. Regulators have confirmed at least some of Blue Orca’s claims, leaving Hyzon facing serious scrutiny from the public and its shareholders. This news is a major blow to Hyzon Motors’ already tarnished reputation.</p><p><b>Rivian Automotive (RIVN)</b></p><p>Despite promising EV start-up <b>Rivian Automotive’s</b> (NASDAQ:<b>RIVN</b>) potential, it’s a remarkably rough outing this year.</p><p>Not only was it forced to cut the production target for 2022 by half, but it had to recall nearly all of its deliveries. If that wasn’t enough, its workers have recently complained about inadequate safety conditions at its plants. The triple whammy should have investors wary of investing in its stock in the current economic downturn.</p><p>Though it faces a myriad of challenges, RIVN stock still trades over 16 times forward sales, a lofty valuation. With production delays, a product recall, and safety concerns, its valuation is alarming. Hence, investors should proceed cautiously when considering RIVN stock and understand the risks associated with its business case.</p><p><b>ElectraMeccanica Vehicles (SOLO)</b></p><p><b>ElectraMeccanica</b> <b>Vehicles</b> (NASDAQ:<b>SOLO</b>) seems to have grand ambitions in the electric vehicle arena, but it faces an uphill battle in gaining consumer traction.</p><p>Its vehicles are by no means elegant designs, and itsthree-wheeled structure puts them at a distinct disadvantage in a market filled with sleek and sexy alternatives. Electric three-wheelers seem unlikely to find much appeal due to their odd, unsightly designs in a hotly competitive EV market.</p><p>Its success is further hindered by the numerous challenges already in place for electric vehicle (EV) adoption. EVs are expensive, and the scarcity of charging stations and range anxiety pose massive problems for the companies involved.</p><p>It seems unlikely that the unique three-wheeled designs presented by Electrameccanica will see any major consumer acceptance in the near future. At the same time, it continues to burn through its cash reserves at an accelerated pace.</p><p><b>Workhorse (WKHS)</b></p><p>Shares of budding EV player, <b>Workhorse</b> (NASDAQ:<b>WKHS</b>) have been plummeting in value, reflecting the company’s poor performance.</p><p>It’s been posting lackluster operating results over the past several quarters. Production levels are only meeting bare-minimum estimates, which suggests that its investors are in for a rough ride ahead. Though it has initially planned to deliver 150 to 250 vehicles this year, it will only be delivering 100 to 200 vehicles after revising estimates.</p><p>It recently posted its third quarter results, which missed estimates across both lines. It posted a hefty 73-cent loss per share, missing estimates by 45 cents.</p><p>To complicate matters further, it had to pay $35 million in settlement for its unsuccessful bid for a U.S. Postal Service contract. Hence, anybody on the fence about holding or selling this stock should opt for the latter option to avoid further losses.</p><p><b>Lordstown Motors (RIDE)</b></p><p><b>Lordstown Motors</b> (NASDAQ: <b>RIDE</b>) has finally started production after multiple delays. The firm promised to deliver its first EV in 2020, but it’s only getting started two years later.</p><p>Unfortunately, the company still faces many challenges that analysts believe will keep them lagging compared to others in the industry. With so much competition gunning for similar goals, Lordstown has some serious ground to make up; whether they can weather the headwinds remains to be seen.</p><p>The company’s facility in Ohio kicked-off production in September. However, production has been slow and will likely stay that way as supply-chain issues persist.</p><p>As things currently stand, there’s very little hope of significantly speeding up vehicle production any time soon. Therefore, avoiding a speculative stock such as RIDE amidst the current volatility is best.</p><p><b>Arcimoto (FUV)</b></p><p><b>Arcimoto</b> (NASDAQ: <b>FUV</b>) is on a dire trajectory as it continues to burn through its resources at excessive speeds while accumulating new capital incredibly slowly.</p><p>As with ElectraMeccanica, it boasts a unique lineup of fully electric three-wheeled pods, which faces the same consumer acceptance hurdles. As the company struggles to make headway in the market, it seems likely that unless changes are implemented soon, the fate of Arcimoto will remain uncertain for quite some time.</p><p>Arcimoto has seen quite a bit of turbulence in recent months. Its performance in the third quarter presents a picture that is less than ideal, with numerous obstacles still to be overcome for it to achieve success.</p><p>Third quarter results showed total revenues amounting to slightly more than $2 million, far below analysts’ projections, which nearly tripled that figure. To make matters worse, cash burn is leading to tremendous dilution.</p></body></html>","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>7 Electric Vehicle Stocks to Sell in December</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n7 Electric Vehicle Stocks to Sell in December\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-12-07 23:30 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://investorplace.com/electric-vehicle-stocks-to-sell-ev/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>These electric vehicle stocks to sell will continue shedding value in the current market downturnNikola(NKLA): Unlikely to scale production anytime soon, with its massive cash burnHyzon Motors(HYZN): ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/electric-vehicle-stocks-to-sell-ev/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FUV":"Arcimoto, Inc.","WKHS":"Workhorse Group, Inc.","RIVN":"Rivian Automotive, Inc.","HYZN":"Hyzon Motors Inc.","NKLA":"Nikola Corporation","SOLO":"Electrameccanica Vehicles Corp."},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/electric-vehicle-stocks-to-sell-ev/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196589201","content_text":"These electric vehicle stocks to sell will continue shedding value in the current market downturnNikola(NKLA): Unlikely to scale production anytime soon, with its massive cash burnHyzon Motors(HYZN): Regulators have confirmed most of the scathing claims by short-seller Blue OrcaRivian Automotive(RIVN): Product recalls, safety concerns, and a lofty valuation makes it a stock to avoidElectra Meccanica Vehicles(SOLO): Three-wheeled approach is unlikely to gain mainstream tractionWorkhorse(WKHS): Burning cash at an incredible pace while meeting production levels at a minimumLordstown Motors(RIDE): Has serious ground to make up as it struggles to grow its production levelsArcimoto(FUV): Cash burn has led to tremendous dilution as it continues to post lackluster operating resultsAfter all the excitement the sector garnered last year, it looks as if it’s time to consider which electric vehicle stocks to sell.The year has exposed the weaknesses in multiple sectors, and the electric vehicle market is no exception. A significant market rout has seen stocks of prominent companies and startups suffer considerable losses in value.Moreover, new EV companies are finding themselves in a much more competitive landscape now that legacy automakers entered the fray. Hence, there are multiple electric vehicle stocks to sell at this time.Investing in the electric vehicle market can be very attractive, given the wide range of underlying businesses to choose from. These include car companies, battery manufacturers, charging providers, and others.However, with the stock market experiencing significant dips recently, many of these companies are finding it increasingly difficult to attract investors. This puts immense pressure on already unstable businesses and causes long-term problems within the EV sphere. Hence, only EV companies with strong track records are worth investing in at this time.Nikola (NKLA)EV start-up Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) has witnessed a steep drop in its stock price over the past few months. Nikola may have to wait before scaling production levels of its flagship Nikola Tre truck for a while.In its most recent quarter, Nikola reported negative free cash flows amounting to $237 million. A large part of that comes from the lack of capital required to scale production, especially withthe addition of ailing battery supplier Romeo Power, which will likely result in massive cash burn going forward.Therefore, it doesn’t seem like this firm’s tribulations will end anytime soon as it looks to scale production of its battery electric (BEV) truck.Hyzon Motors (HYZN)Hyzon Motors (NASDAQ:HYZN) has been nothing short of a disaster for investors. There have been reports of financial manipulation, and the company has also been accused of creating false customers.These actions raise serious questions about its legitimacy and ability to remain solvent in an increasingly competitive EV marketplace.Late last year, short-seller Blue Orca accused the companywas knowingly overstating its revenue outlookand drawing investors in with inflated promises of future profits.The report stated that two of Hyzon’s largest customers weren’t real. Regulators have confirmed at least some of Blue Orca’s claims, leaving Hyzon facing serious scrutiny from the public and its shareholders. This news is a major blow to Hyzon Motors’ already tarnished reputation.Rivian Automotive (RIVN)Despite promising EV start-up Rivian Automotive’s (NASDAQ:RIVN) potential, it’s a remarkably rough outing this year.Not only was it forced to cut the production target for 2022 by half, but it had to recall nearly all of its deliveries. If that wasn’t enough, its workers have recently complained about inadequate safety conditions at its plants. The triple whammy should have investors wary of investing in its stock in the current economic downturn.Though it faces a myriad of challenges, RIVN stock still trades over 16 times forward sales, a lofty valuation. With production delays, a product recall, and safety concerns, its valuation is alarming. Hence, investors should proceed cautiously when considering RIVN stock and understand the risks associated with its business case.ElectraMeccanica Vehicles (SOLO)ElectraMeccanica Vehicles (NASDAQ:SOLO) seems to have grand ambitions in the electric vehicle arena, but it faces an uphill battle in gaining consumer traction.Its vehicles are by no means elegant designs, and itsthree-wheeled structure puts them at a distinct disadvantage in a market filled with sleek and sexy alternatives. Electric three-wheelers seem unlikely to find much appeal due to their odd, unsightly designs in a hotly competitive EV market.Its success is further hindered by the numerous challenges already in place for electric vehicle (EV) adoption. EVs are expensive, and the scarcity of charging stations and range anxiety pose massive problems for the companies involved.It seems unlikely that the unique three-wheeled designs presented by Electrameccanica will see any major consumer acceptance in the near future. At the same time, it continues to burn through its cash reserves at an accelerated pace.Workhorse (WKHS)Shares of budding EV player, Workhorse (NASDAQ:WKHS) have been plummeting in value, reflecting the company’s poor performance.It’s been posting lackluster operating results over the past several quarters. Production levels are only meeting bare-minimum estimates, which suggests that its investors are in for a rough ride ahead. Though it has initially planned to deliver 150 to 250 vehicles this year, it will only be delivering 100 to 200 vehicles after revising estimates.It recently posted its third quarter results, which missed estimates across both lines. It posted a hefty 73-cent loss per share, missing estimates by 45 cents.To complicate matters further, it had to pay $35 million in settlement for its unsuccessful bid for a U.S. Postal Service contract. Hence, anybody on the fence about holding or selling this stock should opt for the latter option to avoid further losses.Lordstown Motors (RIDE)Lordstown Motors (NASDAQ: RIDE) has finally started production after multiple delays. The firm promised to deliver its first EV in 2020, but it’s only getting started two years later.Unfortunately, the company still faces many challenges that analysts believe will keep them lagging compared to others in the industry. With so much competition gunning for similar goals, Lordstown has some serious ground to make up; whether they can weather the headwinds remains to be seen.The company’s facility in Ohio kicked-off production in September. However, production has been slow and will likely stay that way as supply-chain issues persist.As things currently stand, there’s very little hope of significantly speeding up vehicle production any time soon. Therefore, avoiding a speculative stock such as RIDE amidst the current volatility is best.Arcimoto (FUV)Arcimoto (NASDAQ: FUV) is on a dire trajectory as it continues to burn through its resources at excessive speeds while accumulating new capital incredibly slowly.As with ElectraMeccanica, it boasts a unique lineup of fully electric three-wheeled pods, which faces the same consumer acceptance hurdles. As the company struggles to make headway in the market, it seems likely that unless changes are implemented soon, the fate of Arcimoto will remain uncertain for quite some time.Arcimoto has seen quite a bit of turbulence in recent months. Its performance in the third quarter presents a picture that is less than ideal, with numerous obstacles still to be overcome for it to achieve success.Third quarter results showed total revenues amounting to slightly more than $2 million, far below analysts’ projections, which nearly tripled that figure. To make matters worse, cash burn is leading to tremendous dilution.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"4131314249442152","authorId":"4131314249442152","name":"Chrissimo","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"4131314249442152","authorIdStr":"4131314249442152"},"content":"Lucid wont be able to scale even in 2023. it's going to be very tough in keeping the operations afloat, unless they change the way they build their cars and fund their business.","text":"Lucid wont be able to scale even in 2023. it's going to be very tough in keeping the operations afloat, unless they change the way they build their cars and fund their business.","html":"Lucid wont be able to scale even in 2023. it's going to be very tough in keeping the operations afloat, unless they change the way they build their cars and fund their business."}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9965303969,"gmtCreate":1669887898452,"gmtModify":1676538263576,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9965303969","repostId":"1187286110","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187286110","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1669887543,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1187286110?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-12-01 17:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"NIO, Snowflake, Salesforce, Kroger And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187286110","media":"Benzinga","summary":"With US stock futures trading mostly flat this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may gra","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading mostly flat this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li>Data cloud company <b>Snowflake</b> on Wednesday posted a bigger quarterly loss, hit by a sharp jump in its research and development and marketing expenses. Shares of the company tumbled 13% in premarket trading Thursday after the company forecast fourth-quarter product revenue to increase between 49% to 50%, compared to the 67% growth in prior quarter.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Salesforce Inc</b> said on Wednesday that Bret Taylor would step down as co-chief executive officer in January and that co-founder Marc Benioff will become the sole CEO. The news sent the company&#39;s shares down 7% in premarket trading Thursday as investors shrugged off the annual profit raise.</li></ul><ul><li><b>NIO</b> delivered 14,178 vehicles in November 2022, a new record-high monthly delivery, representing an increase of 30.3% year-over-year. The deliveries consisted of 8,003 premium smart electric SUVs including 4,897 ES7s, and 6,175 premium smart electric sedans including 3,207 ET7s and 2,968 ET5s. Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 273,741 as of November 30, 2022. NIO will further accelerate the production and delivery in December 2022. The shares fell 3.6% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Li Auto, Inc.</b> reported Thursday record monthly deliveries, aided by strong reception for its Li L9 SUV. The Beijing-based electric vehicle maker reported November deliveries of 15,034 units, up 11.5% year-over-year and 50% higher than the previous month. The shares fell 4.7% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li>In November, <b>XPeng Inc.</b> delivered 5,811 Smart EVs to customers as it mitigated challenges brought by COVID-related restrictions and disruptions. As ofNovember 30, 2022, year-to-date deliveries reached 109,465, representing a 33% increase year-over-year. The shares fell 7.6% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Dollar General Corporation</b> to report quarterly earnings at $2.53 per share on revenue of $9.42 million<i>before the opening</i>bell. Dollar General shares fell 0.9% to $253.50 in after-hours trading Wednesday.</li><li><b>Splunk Inc.</b> reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised FY23 sales guidance. Splunk shares jumped 9.2% to $84.82 in premarket trading Thursday.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>The Kroger Co.</b> to have earned $0.82 per share on revenue of $33.95 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Kroger shares rose 0.6% to $49.50 in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Five Below, Inc.</b> posted upbeat results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for FY22. Five Below shares gained 9.1% to $175.50 in the after-hours trading Wednesday.</li><li>Analysts expect <b>Ulta Beauty, Inc.</b> to post quarterly earnings at $4.15 per share on revenue of $2.21 billion after the closing bell. Ulta Beauty shares gained 0.3% to $465.98 in after-hours trading Wednesday.</li></ul></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>NIO, Snowflake, Salesforce, Kroger And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNIO, Snowflake, Salesforce, Kroger And More: U.S. Stocks To Watch\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-12-01 17:39</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>With US stock futures trading mostly flat this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:</p><ul><li>Data cloud company <b>Snowflake</b> on Wednesday posted a bigger quarterly loss, hit by a sharp jump in its research and development and marketing expenses. Shares of the company tumbled 13% in premarket trading Thursday after the company forecast fourth-quarter product revenue to increase between 49% to 50%, compared to the 67% growth in prior quarter.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Salesforce Inc</b> said on Wednesday that Bret Taylor would step down as co-chief executive officer in January and that co-founder Marc Benioff will become the sole CEO. The news sent the company&#39;s shares down 7% in premarket trading Thursday as investors shrugged off the annual profit raise.</li></ul><ul><li><b>NIO</b> delivered 14,178 vehicles in November 2022, a new record-high monthly delivery, representing an increase of 30.3% year-over-year. The deliveries consisted of 8,003 premium smart electric SUVs including 4,897 ES7s, and 6,175 premium smart electric sedans including 3,207 ET7s and 2,968 ET5s. Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 273,741 as of November 30, 2022. NIO will further accelerate the production and delivery in December 2022. The shares fell 3.6% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Li Auto, Inc.</b> reported Thursday record monthly deliveries, aided by strong reception for its Li L9 SUV. The Beijing-based electric vehicle maker reported November deliveries of 15,034 units, up 11.5% year-over-year and 50% higher than the previous month. The shares fell 4.7% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li>In November, <b>XPeng Inc.</b> delivered 5,811 Smart EVs to customers as it mitigated challenges brought by COVID-related restrictions and disruptions. As ofNovember 30, 2022, year-to-date deliveries reached 109,465, representing a 33% increase year-over-year. The shares fell 7.6% in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li>Wall Street expects <b>Dollar General Corporation</b> to report quarterly earnings at $2.53 per share on revenue of $9.42 million<i>before the opening</i>bell. Dollar General shares fell 0.9% to $253.50 in after-hours trading Wednesday.</li><li><b>Splunk Inc.</b> reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised FY23 sales guidance. Splunk shares jumped 9.2% to $84.82 in premarket trading Thursday.</li><li>Analysts are expecting <b>The Kroger Co.</b> to have earned $0.82 per share on revenue of $33.95 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Kroger shares rose 0.6% to $49.50 in premarket trading Thursday.</li></ul><ul><li><b>Five Below, Inc.</b> posted upbeat results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for FY22. Five Below shares gained 9.1% to $175.50 in the after-hours trading Wednesday.</li><li>Analysts expect <b>Ulta Beauty, Inc.</b> to post quarterly earnings at $4.15 per share on revenue of $2.21 billion after the closing bell. Ulta Beauty shares gained 0.3% to $465.98 in after-hours trading Wednesday.</li></ul></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRM":"赛富时","FIVE":"Five Below","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","DG":"美国达乐公司","ULTA":"Ulta美容","SNOW":"Snowflake","SPLK":"Splunk Inc","KR":"克罗格"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187286110","content_text":"With US stock futures trading mostly flat this morning on Wednesday, some of the stocks that may grab investor focus today are as follows:Data cloud company Snowflake on Wednesday posted a bigger quarterly loss, hit by a sharp jump in its research and development and marketing expenses. Shares of the company tumbled 13% in premarket trading Thursday after the company forecast fourth-quarter product revenue to increase between 49% to 50%, compared to the 67% growth in prior quarter.Salesforce Inc said on Wednesday that Bret Taylor would step down as co-chief executive officer in January and that co-founder Marc Benioff will become the sole CEO. The news sent the company's shares down 7% in premarket trading Thursday as investors shrugged off the annual profit raise.NIO delivered 14,178 vehicles in November 2022, a new record-high monthly delivery, representing an increase of 30.3% year-over-year. The deliveries consisted of 8,003 premium smart electric SUVs including 4,897 ES7s, and 6,175 premium smart electric sedans including 3,207 ET7s and 2,968 ET5s. Cumulative deliveries of NIO vehicles reached 273,741 as of November 30, 2022. NIO will further accelerate the production and delivery in December 2022. The shares fell 3.6% in premarket trading Thursday.Li Auto, Inc. reported Thursday record monthly deliveries, aided by strong reception for its Li L9 SUV. The Beijing-based electric vehicle maker reported November deliveries of 15,034 units, up 11.5% year-over-year and 50% higher than the previous month. The shares fell 4.7% in premarket trading Thursday.In November, XPeng Inc. delivered 5,811 Smart EVs to customers as it mitigated challenges brought by COVID-related restrictions and disruptions. As ofNovember 30, 2022, year-to-date deliveries reached 109,465, representing a 33% increase year-over-year. The shares fell 7.6% in premarket trading Thursday.Wall Street expects Dollar General Corporation to report quarterly earnings at $2.53 per share on revenue of $9.42 millionbefore the openingbell. Dollar General shares fell 0.9% to $253.50 in after-hours trading Wednesday.Splunk Inc. reported better-than-expected results for its third quarter and raised FY23 sales guidance. Splunk shares jumped 9.2% to $84.82 in premarket trading Thursday.Analysts are expecting The Kroger Co. to have earned $0.82 per share on revenue of $33.95 billion for the latest quarter. The company will release earnings before the markets open. Kroger shares rose 0.6% to $49.50 in premarket trading Thursday.Five Below, Inc. posted upbeat results for its third quarter and issued strong forecast for FY22. Five Below shares gained 9.1% to $175.50 in the after-hours trading Wednesday.Analysts expect Ulta Beauty, Inc. to post quarterly earnings at $4.15 per share on revenue of $2.21 billion after the closing bell. Ulta Beauty shares gained 0.3% to $465.98 in after-hours trading Wednesday.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":461,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9968055364,"gmtCreate":1669081409059,"gmtModify":1676538148697,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/AMZN\">$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ &nbsp;</a>","text":"$Amazon.com(AMZN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/d88f1ef886c7ec2973437c6b7167548d","width":"1080","height":"1897"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9968055364","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9969957940,"gmtCreate":1668329308680,"gmtModify":1676538042080,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9969957940","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":161,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987733766,"gmtCreate":1667988022255,"gmtModify":1676537995055,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987733766","repostId":"1168113903","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1168113903","pubTimestamp":1668008209,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1168113903?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SPY: When This Bear Is Over, Which ETF Should I Invest In (Technical Analysis)?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1168113903","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryA study of market returns over the past five bear markets.We look at five risk-on ETFs during","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>A study of market returns over the past five bear markets.</li><li>We look at five risk-on ETFs during these periods.</li><li>Each ETF - SPY, QQQ, XLF, XLI, and XLY - had their moment of outperformance, but one or two stand out.</li></ul><p>In this article I will look at five exchange-traded funds (&#34;ETFs&#34;) to find out which one is the best to invest in once this bear market is over. The five ETFs examined in this article are: SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI). These are often referred to as &#34;risk on&#34; assets.</p><p>I will gather data from the last five bear markets - defined as drops in the S&amp;P 500 Futures (SPX) of 20% or more. We know from history when each of the last five bear markets ended. For the purposes of this article, I will consider the bear market to be over once the market as measured by SPX has closed above its 10-month exponential moving average. In each case, this will have occurred after the exact bottom of the five bear markets. I will then look at the performance of buying each of the five ETFs at the opening price the following month and then holding those ETFs for one-, two-, and three-year periods. Let’s see what we can find out.</p><p>The first bear market will be the Dot Com Bear Market. In this event, the market lost over 50%. The S&amp;P 500 Index reclaimed its 10-month EMA in April 2003, so according to my method, I would enter a position for each of the ETFs at the open of May’s trading. Table 1 shows the results of those for the next three years.</p><p><b>Table 1 – Dot Com Bear Market</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6811d4e9082e48707e7514fe23481e33\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Table 1 shows the results of SPX in the second row with the one-year, two-year, and three-year results. All other results that beat SPX are highlighted in green. Results that underperform SPX are highlighted in yellow. The bottom two rows show the median and average results for all ETFs for that period.</p><p>The results show that QQQ performed best for the first year, returning 26.70%. XLI performed best for the two-year and three-year period. XLY underperformed the market for the two and three-year periods. These results surprised me, as I thought that technology stocks would have outperformed all others for the three years because technology stocks were so beaten down during the bear market.</p><p>The second bear market examined will be the Financial Crisis Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 57%. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in July 2009, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of August’s trading. Table 2 shows the results of those for the next three years.</p><p><b>Table 2 – Financial Crisis Bear Market</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/64b9e606cc2ed2413b7e715ebb7f79b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Looking at Table 2, Industrials were the one-year winner. They more than doubled the market’s gain for the first year. XLY also more than doubled the market in the first year. Consumer Discretionary stocks outperformed all others for the two-year and three-year periods. It’s interesting to me that Financials never got on track and were clear laggards.</p><p>The third bear market examined will be the European Debt Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 21%. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in October 2011, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of November’s trading. Table 3 shows the results of those for the next three years.</p><p><b>Table 3 – European Debt Crisis</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/60b78f5c93f1dc1987b7ce950f9f07b0\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Table 3 shows that Financials led for the first year coming out of the bear market, more than doubling the market’s overall performance. Consumer Discretionary stocks outperformed for the first two years. Financial stocks outperformed all others over a three-year period. This table shows that all the ETFs studied outperformed the market for all three time periods.</p><p>The fourth bear market examined will be the Cryptocurrency Debt Bear Market. In case you’re wondering, I got this name fromWikipedia. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over just over 20% barely qualifying for bear market status. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in January 2019, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of February’s trading. Table 4 shows the results of those for the next three years.</p><p><b>Table 4 – Cryptocurrency Bear Market</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d170899cac7e7fb8d0cc679e463d6c47\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Coming out of this bear market is where technology stocks show up. QQQ outperforms all the other ETFs for all three time periods. It does so in a big way. It’s two-year and three-year performance is 40 percentage points higher than its closest competitor. The time frame of the table overlaps Table 5 five below and therefore shows the COVID rally where technology stocks dominated. This bear market is also one where there were several ETFs that underperformed the market over all three time periods.</p><p>The last bear market covered is the COVID Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 35%. The COVID bear market was the shortest bear market in the study spanning just over a month. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in May 2020, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of June’s trading. Table 5 shows the results for two full years and to the end of October 2022 as there hasn’t been a full three years since this market reclaimed its 10-month EMA.</p><p><b>Table 5 – COVID Bear Market</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a571324503f006a6fba5cdb8000c9044\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"283\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>Coming out of the COVID Bear Market, Financial stocks led the way for the first year. This result surprised me. I was certain it was technology stocks that led the way. For the two-year period XLF outperformed all other ETFs while managing to lose money from the end of year one to the end of year two. The same situation happened with the return to the end of October 2022. XLF led all other ETFs for the total period, while losing money from the end of year two.</p><p>The last table will be the averages for all five ETFs compared to SPX for all five bear markets. This chart is difficult to read, and I apologize for that. When reading this chart, percentages highlighted in green are percentages that are above SPX returns for the same period of the bear market identified in the first column. Percentages highlighted in yellow are percentages that are below SPX returns for the period of the bear market identified in the first column. The cells highlighted in blue represent the best period return for that bear market.</p><p><b>Table 6 – Combined Results</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d17ce5d37e2cabb07dc35401b58ec67b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"132\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Author</p><p>What jumps out at me from Table 6 are three things. One, SPY outperformed the broad market in each bear market recovery in each time period. So, if you want to outperform the market, buy SPY. I think Warren Buffett gives that advice. The second observation is that QQQ outperformed the broad market for the first year in every instance. It outperformed SPY for the first year in every instance except the Euro Debt Bear Market, where QQQ returned 15.96% in the first year while SPY returned 18.31% in the first year. Both beat SPX during that time frame. Three, each ETF had its moment of outperformance and underperformance.</p><p>What I’ve learned from this study is that once the current bear market is over, meaning SPX closes above its 10-month moving average, I will put some of my money in SPY. I will put money in QQQ for the first year at least. XLY, XLF, and XLI all had their opportunities to shine. Looking at Table 6, I’m not sure I can make a blanket statement that one or more of those ETFs should be an automatic buy over SPY or QQQ coming out of a bear market over.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SPY: When This Bear Is Over, Which ETF Should I Invest In (Technical Analysis)?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSPY: When This Bear Is Over, Which ETF Should I Invest In (Technical Analysis)?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:36 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554293-spy-when-this-bear-is-over-which-etf-should-i-invest-in-technical-analysis><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryA study of market returns over the past five bear markets.We look at five risk-on ETFs during these periods.Each ETF - SPY, QQQ, XLF, XLI, and XLY - had their moment of outperformance, but one ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554293-spy-when-this-bear-is-over-which-etf-should-i-invest-in-technical-analysis\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4554293-spy-when-this-bear-is-over-which-etf-should-i-invest-in-technical-analysis","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1168113903","content_text":"SummaryA study of market returns over the past five bear markets.We look at five risk-on ETFs during these periods.Each ETF - SPY, QQQ, XLF, XLI, and XLY - had their moment of outperformance, but one or two stand out.In this article I will look at five exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") to find out which one is the best to invest in once this bear market is over. The five ETFs examined in this article are: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY), Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY), Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF), and Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI). These are often referred to as \"risk on\" assets.I will gather data from the last five bear markets - defined as drops in the S&P 500 Futures (SPX) of 20% or more. We know from history when each of the last five bear markets ended. For the purposes of this article, I will consider the bear market to be over once the market as measured by SPX has closed above its 10-month exponential moving average. In each case, this will have occurred after the exact bottom of the five bear markets. I will then look at the performance of buying each of the five ETFs at the opening price the following month and then holding those ETFs for one-, two-, and three-year periods. Let’s see what we can find out.The first bear market will be the Dot Com Bear Market. In this event, the market lost over 50%. The S&P 500 Index reclaimed its 10-month EMA in April 2003, so according to my method, I would enter a position for each of the ETFs at the open of May’s trading. Table 1 shows the results of those for the next three years.Table 1 – Dot Com Bear MarketAuthorTable 1 shows the results of SPX in the second row with the one-year, two-year, and three-year results. All other results that beat SPX are highlighted in green. Results that underperform SPX are highlighted in yellow. The bottom two rows show the median and average results for all ETFs for that period.The results show that QQQ performed best for the first year, returning 26.70%. XLI performed best for the two-year and three-year period. XLY underperformed the market for the two and three-year periods. These results surprised me, as I thought that technology stocks would have outperformed all others for the three years because technology stocks were so beaten down during the bear market.The second bear market examined will be the Financial Crisis Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 57%. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in July 2009, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of August’s trading. Table 2 shows the results of those for the next three years.Table 2 – Financial Crisis Bear MarketAuthorLooking at Table 2, Industrials were the one-year winner. They more than doubled the market’s gain for the first year. XLY also more than doubled the market in the first year. Consumer Discretionary stocks outperformed all others for the two-year and three-year periods. It’s interesting to me that Financials never got on track and were clear laggards.The third bear market examined will be the European Debt Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 21%. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in October 2011, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of November’s trading. Table 3 shows the results of those for the next three years.Table 3 – European Debt CrisisAuthorTable 3 shows that Financials led for the first year coming out of the bear market, more than doubling the market’s overall performance. Consumer Discretionary stocks outperformed for the first two years. Financial stocks outperformed all others over a three-year period. This table shows that all the ETFs studied outperformed the market for all three time periods.The fourth bear market examined will be the Cryptocurrency Debt Bear Market. In case you’re wondering, I got this name fromWikipedia. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over just over 20% barely qualifying for bear market status. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in January 2019, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of February’s trading. Table 4 shows the results of those for the next three years.Table 4 – Cryptocurrency Bear MarketAuthorComing out of this bear market is where technology stocks show up. QQQ outperforms all the other ETFs for all three time periods. It does so in a big way. It’s two-year and three-year performance is 40 percentage points higher than its closest competitor. The time frame of the table overlaps Table 5 five below and therefore shows the COVID rally where technology stocks dominated. This bear market is also one where there were several ETFs that underperformed the market over all three time periods.The last bear market covered is the COVID Bear Market. In this event, the market as measured by the SP 500 lost over 35%. The COVID bear market was the shortest bear market in the study spanning just over a month. The SP 500 reclaimed its 10-month EMA in May 2020, so according to my method, I would enter a position at the open of June’s trading. Table 5 shows the results for two full years and to the end of October 2022 as there hasn’t been a full three years since this market reclaimed its 10-month EMA.Table 5 – COVID Bear MarketAuthorComing out of the COVID Bear Market, Financial stocks led the way for the first year. This result surprised me. I was certain it was technology stocks that led the way. For the two-year period XLF outperformed all other ETFs while managing to lose money from the end of year one to the end of year two. The same situation happened with the return to the end of October 2022. XLF led all other ETFs for the total period, while losing money from the end of year two.The last table will be the averages for all five ETFs compared to SPX for all five bear markets. This chart is difficult to read, and I apologize for that. When reading this chart, percentages highlighted in green are percentages that are above SPX returns for the same period of the bear market identified in the first column. Percentages highlighted in yellow are percentages that are below SPX returns for the period of the bear market identified in the first column. The cells highlighted in blue represent the best period return for that bear market.Table 6 – Combined ResultsAuthorWhat jumps out at me from Table 6 are three things. One, SPY outperformed the broad market in each bear market recovery in each time period. So, if you want to outperform the market, buy SPY. I think Warren Buffett gives that advice. The second observation is that QQQ outperformed the broad market for the first year in every instance. It outperformed SPY for the first year in every instance except the Euro Debt Bear Market, where QQQ returned 15.96% in the first year while SPY returned 18.31% in the first year. Both beat SPX during that time frame. Three, each ETF had its moment of outperformance and underperformance.What I’ve learned from this study is that once the current bear market is over, meaning SPX closes above its 10-month moving average, I will put some of my money in SPY. I will put money in QQQ for the first year at least. XLY, XLF, and XLI all had their opportunities to shine. Looking at Table 6, I’m not sure I can make a blanket statement that one or more of those ETFs should be an automatic buy over SPY or QQQ coming out of a bear market over.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987733505,"gmtCreate":1667987979807,"gmtModify":1676537995047,"author":{"id":"3580653303727490","authorId":"3580653303727490","name":"Heemeng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/233557b79108934fcf6cea2199c46012","crmLevel":3,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3580653303727490","authorIdStr":"3580653303727490"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987733505","repostId":"1157692624","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1157692624","pubTimestamp":1668008277,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1157692624?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 23:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1157692624","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSLA is trading at 12-month lows.</li><li>Rising interest rates, Q3&#39;s revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.</li><li>The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.</li><li>The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.</li><li>The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.</li></ul><p>Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed96ee922a9178151466be6bb913196e\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"382\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.</p><p>Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.</p><p>The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bddbc4100fa6280bf6fcc0ef8b86d03a\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"418\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Trailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.</p><p>Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.</p><p>I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&amp;P 500 (not including dividends).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c08822d1f3055ab12bf6e9e8a7ea386\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"186\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Previous analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&amp;P 500 above.</p><p>For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.</p><p>With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.</p><p><b>Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>ETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/615c8d0e04e8918e25b7385e2bad7c26\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"855\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>ETrade</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/797d6141699490e50d24fb2784e632e1\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"882\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Seeking Alpha</p><p>Wall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.</p><p>In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.</p><p><b>Market-Implied Outlook for TSLA</b></p><p>I have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.</p><p>The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44f689bc8494e22307e8401f8fcc1ac2\" tg-width=\"966\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.</p><p>To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67eb2da8e00a45afb6a60092265c1c8c\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.</p><p>Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f17528781a49f411c10295d132d77cf\" tg-width=\"897\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Geoff Considine</p><p>Market-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.</p><p>The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.</p><p><b>Summary</b></p><p>Tesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Even At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEven At The 12-Month Low, Tesla Is Not A Compelling Buy\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-09 23:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555040-tesla-stock-not-compelling-buy-even-at-12-month-low","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157692624","content_text":"SummaryTSLA is trading at 12-month lows.Rising interest rates, Q3's revenue miss, and slowing sales in China are immediate concerns.The Wall Street consensus rating is a buy, with a consensus 12-month price target that is about 50% above the current share price.The very high dispersion in the individual analyst price targets reduces confidence in the meaningfulness of the consensus.The market-implied outlook (calculated from options prices) is slightly bullish through the end of 2022, but bearish to mid-2023.Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) have fallen by 15% from the closing price on October 31st and are down 51.6% from the 12-month high closing price of $399.93 on January 3rd. The shares are currently trading at 12-month lows. The drop in the share price since the end of October is largely attributable to declining vehicle sales in China for October, with the company cutting the prices of the Model 3 and Model Y by 9% to maintain demand. The market response to the China news was probably exacerbated by growing concerns after TSLA’s revenue miss for Q3(reported on October 19th).Seeking Alpha12-Month price history and basic statistics for TSLA above.Tesla’s valuation depends on continued rapid growth in revenues and earnings. This fact makes the share value quite sensitive to changes in interest rates. The theoretical value of a stock is the net present value of future earnings. The further into the future that these earnings are expected, the larger the compounded impact of increasing the discount rate, which depends on current interest rates. Rising interest rates are one of the factors driving TSLA down.The prevailing view among Wall Street analysts is that TSLA can maintain recent years’ incredibly rapid growth rates. The consensus for the rate of EPS growth over the next 3 to 5 years is 31.6% per year. If the company fails to deliver earnings in line with this outlook, the share valuation is likely to decline.ETradeTrailing (3 years) and estimated future quarterly EPS for TSLA. Green (red) values are amounts by which EPS beat (missed) the consensus expected EPS above.Tesla has generated growth rates that amply demonstrate the company’s exceptionalism. TSLA’s YoY revenue growth rate is59.8%, as compared to 4.5% for Toyota (TM), 6.6% for Mercedes-Benz Group (OTCPK: MBGAF), 12.4% for General Motors (GM), and 12.7% for Ford (F). TSLA also has gross profit margins that are higher than those of these competing firms. Given the massive difference in scale of production, TSLA’s higher profit margins are impressive. The question for investors is whether the current share valuation makes sense, given that this valuation is sensitive to interest rates and depends on maintaining heroic growth rates.I last wrote about TSLA on May 25, 2022, about 5 ½ months ago, and I maintained a sell rating on the shares. At that time, the Wall Street consensus rating on TSLA was a buy and the consensus 12-month price target was almost 50% above the share price. One red flag from the analyst outlooks was the extremely high dispersion among the individual price targets. Research has shown that the consensus price target is a meaningful predictor only when the spread in individual price targets is quite low. In fact, a consensus price target that implies a high return is actually a bearish indicator when the spread in the individual price targets is high. The valuation, then as now, was a concern and required incredible growth rates to be justified. I also noted that rising interest rates put downward pressure on the shares. I also looked at the market-implied outlook, a probabilistic price forecast that represents the consensus view from the options market. The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 was substantially bearish. In the 5 ½ months since this post, TSLA has returned -13.3% vs. -4.26% for the S&P 500 (not including dividends).Seeking AlphaPrevious analysis of TSLA and subsequent performance vs. the S&P 500 above.For readers who are unfamiliar with the market-implied outlook, a brief explanation is needed. The price of an option on a stock is largely determined by the market’s consensus estimate of the probability that the stock price will rise above (call option) or fall below (put option) a specific level (the option strike price) between now and when the option expires. By analyzing the prices of call and put options at a range of strike prices, all with the same expiration date, it is possible to calculate a probabilistic price forecast that reconciles the options prices. This is the market-implied outlook. For a deeper explanation and background, I recommend this monograph published by the CFA Institute.With TSLA trading at 12-month lows, I have calculated updated market-implied outlooks and I have compared these with the Wall Street consensus outlook in revisiting my rating.Wall Street Consensus Outlook for TSLAETrade calculates the Wall Street consensus outlook for TSLA using price targets and ratings from 29 ranked analysts who have published their views over the past 3 months. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price targets is 57.7% above the current share price. As in my post from May, there is an enormous spread among the individual price targets. As a rule of thumb, I discount the consensus price target when the ratio of the highest to lowest price target is greater than 2. In this case, the ratio is 10.4 ($760 / $73).ETradeWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.Seeking Alpha’s version of the Wall Street consensus outlook is calculated using the views of 35 analysts who have published ratings and price targets within the last 90 days. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target is 47.2% above the current share price. I don’t put much weight on this number, however, because of the very large spread among the individual price targets.Seeking AlphaWall Street analyst consensus rating and 12-month price target for TSLA above.In the current results, as in my previous posts on TSLA in May of 2022 and in April of 2021, the spread among the individual analyst price targets is extremely high. This, in turn, suggests that the consensus outlook is unlikely to have predictive value. The consensus price target that is about 50% above the current share price, along with the large spread in individual price targets, may actually be a bearish indicator.Market-Implied Outlook for TSLAI have calculated the market-implied outlook for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023 and for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023, using the prices of call and put options that expire on these dates. I selected these two expiration dates to provide a view through the end of 2022 and to the middle of 2023. In addition, options with expiration dates in January and June tend to be highly traded, increasing the confidence in the representativeness of the market-implied outlook.The standard presentation of the market-implied outlook is a probability distribution of price return, with probability on the vertical axis and return on the horizontal.Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023, above.The market-implied outlook to mid-January of 2023 is very symmetric, with probabilities of positive returns that are very close to those for negative returns of the same magnitude. The expected volatility calculated from this outlook is 62% (annualized). For comparison, ETrade calculates a 59% implied volatility for the January options.To make it easier to compare the relative probabilities of positive and negative returns, I rotate the negative return side of the distribution about the vertical axis (see chart below).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 2.4-month period from now until January 20, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.This view shows just how closely the probabilities of positive and negative returns match up, across the entire range of possible outcomes (the solid blue line and the dashed red line are basically on top of one another). These results indicate a neutral outlook for the next 2.4 months.Theory indicates that the market-implied outlook is expected to have a negative bias because investors, in aggregate, are risk averse and thus tend to pay more than fair value for downside protection. There is no way to measure the magnitude of this bias, or whether it is even present, however. The expectation of a negative bias shifts what would otherwise look like a neutral outlook to a slightly bullish view.The market-implied outlook for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023 has probabilities of negative returns that are consistently higher than those for positive returns, across a wide range of possible outcomes (the dashed red line is consistently above the solid blue line over the left ⅔ of the chart below). The maximum probability corresponds to a price return of -21%. Even with consideration of a potential negative bias, I interpret this outlook as bearish. The expected volatility calculated from this distribution is 63% (annualized).Geoff ConsidineMarket-implied price return probabilities for TSLA for the 7.2-month period from now until June 16, 2023. The negative return side of the distribution has been rotated about the vertical axis above.The market-implied outlook for TSLA is very slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023, but bearish from now until mid-June of 2023. This suggests that TSLA may have gotten a bit oversold in the current sell-off, so a bounce in the next couple of months would not be a surprise. Over the longer-term, however, the outlook is somewhat bearish. In my analysis in late May, the 7.9-month outlook to January 20, 2023 was much more bearish than the current 7.2-month outlook to June of 2023. The expected volatility calculated in late May, 74%, was notably higher than the current estimation for expected volatility. The current outlook to the middle of 2023 is bearish, with high volatility, but the probability of large declines in the share price is lower than it was in late May.SummaryTesla has generated exceptional revenue growth in recent years, justifying a substantial premium on the share price as compared to other auto manufacturers and many successful tech companies, as well. That said, the value of a share of TSLA should be quite sensitive to prevailing interest rates as well as any shortfalls in the growth trajectory. With substantial gains in interest rates in 2022, along with concerns about slowing sales growth in China and Q3’s revenue miss, how does one evaluate TSLA? The Wall Street consensus outlook is of limited value because there is such a high level of disagreement between the analysts who follow the company. The consensus rating is a buy and the consensus 12-month price target implies a gain of around 50% from current levels, but I have little confidence in the usefulness of these metrics. If anything, the high consensus price target with high dispersion in the individual price targets is a somewhat bearish indicator. The market-implied outlook for TSLA is slightly bullish to mid-January of 2023 but moderately bearish to the middle of 2023. I am maintaining my sell rating on TSLA, although there is decent potential for some price recovery through the end of this year.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":501,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}