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Ariel1994

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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2022-08-24
  $蔚来(NIO)$
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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2021-06-21
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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2021-06-19
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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2021-06-17
  Hi
  Hong Kong stocks fluctuate or intensify in the second half of the year, these investment opportunities should be paid attention to
  在年初南向资金大量涌入及风险偏好抬升等因素助推下，上半年港股走出一波凌厉的上涨行情，但随后持续震荡调整。 6月17日，恒生指数涨0.43%报28558.59点，今年以来涨幅为4.87%。随着市场预
  Hong Kong stocks fluctuate or intensify in the second half of the year, these investment opportunities should be paid attention to
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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2021-04-17
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- Ariel1994Ariel1994
  ·2021-04-17
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  $544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move
  While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire
  $544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move
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19:29","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"Hong Kong stocks fluctuate or intensify in the second half of the year, these investment opportunities should be paid attention to","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163938915","media":"中国证券报","summary":"在年初南向资金大量涌入及风险偏好抬升等因素助推下，上半年港股走出一波凌厉的上涨行情，但随后持续震荡调整。\n6月17日，恒生指数涨0.43%报28558.59点，今年以来涨幅为4.87%。\n\n随着市场预","content":"<p><div>Driven by the influx of southbound funds at the beginning of the year and the rising risk appetite, Hong Kong stocks went out of a sharp rise in the first half of the year, but then continued to fluctuate and adjust. 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On June 17th, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.43% to 28,558.59 points, an increase of 4.87% this year. As the market expects the Fed's monetary policy to gradually normalize, the liquidity of the US dollar may gradually peak. How will Hong Kong stocks perform in the second half of the year? What opportunities are worth watching? Pay attention to the actions of the Federal Reserve Industry insiders said that with the gradual recovery of the U.S. economy and job market, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will gradually return to normalization,...</p><p><a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/75jil5mj0MX3-4z5KDjofA\">Web link</a></div></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/75jil5mj0MX3-4z5KDjofA\">中国证券报</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c1cb237e736a4e03c939622e7b71e8e7","relate_stocks":{"HSI":"恒生指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数","HSCEI":"国企指数","HSCCI":"红筹指数"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/75jil5mj0MX3-4z5KDjofA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163938915","content_text":"在年初南向资金大量涌入及风险偏好抬升等因素助推下，上半年港股走出一波凌厉的上涨行情，但随后持续震荡调整。\n6月17日，恒生指数涨0.43%报28558.59点，今年以来涨幅为4.87%。\n\n随着市场预期美联储货币政策逐步正常化，美元流动性或将逐步见顶，下半年港股将有怎样的表现？有哪些机会值得关注？\n关注美联储举动\n业内人士表示，随着美国经济及就业市场逐步复苏，美联储货币政策将逐步回归正常化，美元流动性见顶及回流，可能引发下半年港股市场波动加剧。\n在此背景下，美联储的一举一动备受关注。北京时间17日凌晨，美国联邦储备委员会宣布维持联邦基金利率目标区间在零至0.25%之间，符合市场预期，同时大幅上调今年美国通货膨胀率增长预期至3.4%。\n美联储主席鲍威尔在会后召开的新闻发布会上说，美国经济和就业指标持续走强，但经济增长风险仍然存在，经济复苏并不均衡。劳动力市场出现改善，但整体就业仍远低于疫情前水平。\n他表示，近几个月来，通胀水平虽已超过预期，但推高通胀的具体因素“似乎是暂时的”，调整政策立场时机尚不确定。\n国联证券研报分析指出，虽然美联储继续按兵不动，但点阵图显示美联储可能在2023年前加息两次。如果2023年加息，Taper（美联储缩减购债规模和缩小美联储资产负债表的动作）需要提前约1年启动，预期关于Taper的讨论将在8月前后开始，美国市场流动性正处于见顶的过程中。\n中信证券表示，美联储6月会议并未释放任何实质收紧的信号，但在表述上偏向鹰派，正常化预期渐起。下半年需要警惕实际利率上行和美元相对走强。\n平安证券研报指出，美联储货币政策正常化背景下，美元强势表现将导致资金从新兴市场回流美国市场，港股将受到冲击，下半年大概率将出现结构性行情。\n港股表现仍值得期待\n业内人士表示，此次美联储继续选择按兵不动，短期美元流动性仍有望保持相对宽松状态。且随着疫情缓解，香港经济复苏及企业盈利逐步修复，港股全年表现依然值得期待。\n天风证券研究所执行所长徐彪表示，经验表明，美联储从开始讨论货币正常化到正式实施QE缩减时间跨度至少在1年以上，因此今年全球流动性仍有望保持相对宽松的状态。同时，香港新兴经济不断发展将持续增强对南向资金和海外资金的吸引力，下半年香港市场资金面仍有望维持相对宽松和友好的状态。\n兴业证券研报表示，下半年经济与企业盈利修复将是支撑港股向好的基础，同时南向资金和海外资金也有望继续流入港股市场，因此继续看好全年港股市场表现。\n新经济核心资产是最大看点\n随着阿里、京东、美团、快手等越来越多的新经济股在港上市，香港市场上以科技、生物医药、新型消费等为代表的新经济核心资产规模日益壮大，未来有望持续扩容并获得资金关注。\n今年年初，这些具备高确定性、高成长能力的新经济股受到投资者热烈追捧，在大量资金流入推动下，港股新经济板块走出一波强势上涨行情，但此后多空分歧加大，新经济股开始震荡调整。业内人士表示，在结构性行情背景下，下半年港股新经济板块仍将是一大看点。\n\n广发证券近日发布的一份研报表示，目前港股新经济板块的调整已较为充分，具备估值性价比和长期布局价值。\n徐彪还指出，港股新经济成长股目前估值水平远低于纳斯达克，估值优势显著，有望吸引长线资金配置。\n兴业证券全球首席策略分析师张忆东表示，与A股的科创板、创业板一样，港股新经济板块同样是未来核心资产的孵化器，也是未来结构性长牛的发源地。美股波动虽会对港股带来短期扰动，但也将带来长期布局的良好机会。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HSCCI":0.9,"HSI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370463757,"gmtCreate":1618620478279,"gmtModify":1704713458332,"author":{"id":"3581594166433158","authorId":"3581594166433158","name":"Ariel1994","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658a074b7b4067097b06c2a718d9df1e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581594166433158","idStr":"3581594166433158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","listText":"Like and comment&nbsp;","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370463757","repostId":"1179330583","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":370482606,"gmtCreate":1618620103605,"gmtModify":1704713448607,"author":{"id":"3581594166433158","authorId":"3581594166433158","name":"Ariel1994","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/658a074b7b4067097b06c2a718d9df1e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581594166433158","idStr":"3581594166433158"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Please like and comment","listText":"Please like and comment","text":"Please like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/370482606","repostId":"1175692875","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175692875","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618582708,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1175692875?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-04-16 22:18","market":"us","language":"en","title":"$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175692875","media":"zerohedge","summary":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire","content":"<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.</p><p><b>In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.</b>As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.</p><p>How to trade this?</p><p>As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations where<b>a large amount of open interest is set to expire.</b>In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.</p><p>What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.</p><p>So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"<i>expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"</i></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0dac61cb87c2f2700d8a0e8e64324f81\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"</p><p>According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).<b>These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX&nbsp; (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae7a60d873792b825bdda669cafa0ed3\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"297\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:</p><blockquote>When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. <b>We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.</b></blockquote><p>With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.&nbsp; Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.&nbsp; Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n$544 Billion In Options Expire Today: Here's What Will Move\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-04-16 22:18 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/544-billion-options-expire-today-heres-what-will-move?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175692875","content_text":"While it's not quad (or even triple) witching day, today's a whole lot of weekly options will expire, may of which will be worthless, and others will be providing a supporting \"pin\" to underlying prices. It's why, even though we are enjoying a beautiful spring week, Goldman notes that single stock options trading activity is elevated relative to historical levels. To wit, daily options volumes are up 70% in April, up from YTD lows of $2.4bn on 30-Mar.In total, across single stocks, $544BN of options are set to expiry today, including $305BN calls.As such, today’s expiry could be important for stocks with large open interest in at-the-money(ATM) options, as market makers delta-hedging their unusually large options portfolios will be active. This flow is likely to dampen volatility in some names while exacerbating stock price moves in others.How to trade this?As Goldman's Vishal Vivek writes, at major expirations, options traders track situations wherea large amount of open interest is set to expire.In situations where there is a significant amount of expiring open interest in at-the-money strikes (strike prices at or very near the current stockprice), delta-hedging activity can impact the underlying stock’s trading that day. If market makers or other options traders who delta-hedge their positions are net long ATM options, expiration-related flow could have the effect of dampening stock price movements, causing the stock price to settle near the strike with large open interest. This situation is often referred to as a “pin” and can be an ideal situation fora large investor trying to enter/exit a stock position. Alternatively, if delta-hedgers are net short ATM options (have a “negative gamma” position), their hedging activity could exacerbate stock price moves.What that means it expiration-related trades may cause trading activity to aggressively pick up for stocks with a significant amount of ATM open interest.So to help traders looking to hop on for daytrading opportunities, here is a table identifying possible focus stocks with large ATM open interest expiring today, which is compared to the average daily volume of the underlying stocks. As Goldman puts it, \"expiration-related activity is likely to have more of an impact if the open interest represents a significant percentage of the stock’s volume.\"Finally, for what it's worth, this morning our friends at SpotGamma write that this has been a rather strange OPEX cycle, \"with a consistent almost mechanical bid pushing markets higher. We’ve not seen the Call Wall “breached” this many times before, but there are other aberrations that we’ve mentioned in previous notes – like net put sales. We’ve got some theories on this we are posting in a longer form piece.\"According to SG, because implied volatility has now compressed (ie VIX at new lows) there is now more potential for “long term” volatility. Recall how as of late any sharp, violent drop in markets was bought so quickly (see chart below).These bursts lower coincided with record VIX spikes, but a reflective snap-back bid would bring a market recovery of equal force as the VIX  (i.e. implied volatility) reversed.And one other curious observation from SpotGamma:When implied volatility is very high, its very sensitive to market moves and also signaling that markets are expecting more large moves ahead. As soon as markets would pause or catch a support level, that implied volatility would quickly reverse lower. We often think of this analogy that if a shark stops swimming, it sinks ( partially true!). If the market stops dropping then Implied volatility sinks.With this, as we often talk about, lower implied volatility (ie lower VIX) signals market makers have to buy back short hedges which fuels rallies. SG's conclusion: this current level of lower implied volatility now gives the market more downside firepower.  Starting with a lower implied volatility “slows down” that responsive “snap-back” buying mechanism.  Additionally, gamma is higher when IV is lower so gamma flips may have more juice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4243,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"following","isTTM":true}