How Amazon's "Underappreciated" AI Potential Could Drive The Stock 50% Higher
Both AWS and the Amazon retail business have big opportunities to reap the financial benefits of AI. AWS growth could surge past 30% as Amazon brings more data-center capacity online, according to Morgan Stanley.While Amazon's $200 billion capital-expenditures budget for 2026 raised fears of overspending, Nowak wrote in a Wednesday note that Amazon is on track to reap an impressive "yield" from its spending plans. He reiterated his overweight rating and $300 price target, 50% higher than current levels.AWS has been the main driver of sentiment for Amazon shares, and Nowak believes increasing capex is a bullish signal for the cloud business - one that could help drive over 30% growth for the segment. Last quarter, AWS growth accelerated to 24%, the fastest rate in 13 quarters.Additionally, Nowak believes Amazon will get a lift from the rise of agentic commerce - meaning that AI agents, such as Amazon's Rufus or third-party tools like OpenAI's Cha