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CayChan

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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·02-05
      [Great]  [Great]  [Great]  
      @Barcode：
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉📉📉 $MSTR earnings due tomorrow and the real tell isn’t EPS, it’s dilution vs. BTC per share. BTC holdings +5.1% in Q4, but diluted shares +7.8%.. so a -2.5% drop in BTC/share. With $BTC below avg cost & short interest at 12%, this stays a high-beta, sentiment-driven trade ⚠️ $MSTR has lost nearly $100 Billion in market cap since July 2025 Down 74% in 6.5 months If Bitcoin goes to $65k, Strategy could see $75 😱 ⓗⓐⓟⓟⓨ ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ ⓐⓗⓔⓐⓓ! ⓒⓗⓔⓔⓡⓢ, ⓑⓒ🍀🍀🍀
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2602(BTCmain)$ $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 📉📉📉 $MSTR earnings due tomorrow and the real tell isn’t EPS, it’s dilution vs. BTC per share. BTC holdings +5.1% in Q4, but diluted shares +7.8%.. so a -2.5% drop in BTC/share. With $BTC below avg cost & short interest at 12%, this stays a high-beta, sentiment-driven trade ⚠️ $MSTR has lost nearly $100 Billion in market cap since July 2025 Down 74% in 6.5 months If Bitcoin goes to $65k, Strategy could see $75 😱 ⓗⓐⓟⓟⓨ ⓣⓡⓐⓓⓘⓝⓖ ⓐⓗⓔⓐⓓ! ⓒⓗⓔⓔⓡⓢ, ⓑⓒ🍀🍀🍀
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·02-05
      Replying to @BLAZ:Lowest at 67//@BLAZ:it just dipped now
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·02-03
       • AMD = “Can you prove steady AI progress?” • SMCI = “You must be perfect.” If markets turn even slightly risk-off: • AMD → pullback, but survivable • SMCI → violent volatility
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·02-02
      TSLA investors aren’t being “short-changed again” — they’re being reminded who they invested with. 

      TSLA investors Short Change by Musk, AGAIN !

      @JC888：
      The post that I am about to share, squarely sums up $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ in terms of its valuation and the bubble-hype surrounding it. Despite another quarter of disappointment, it is still thriving but for how long ? Without further delay, let’s find out. Quarterly Earnings Summary. TSLA did not post the kind of quarter that usually lifts a stock. Profit fell sharply, deliveries declined, and margins stayed under pressure. However, after-hours trading on Wed, 28 Jan 2026, told a different story. It was up +4% initially and it had (a) less to do with cars and (b) more to do with the future - that investors still want to believe in. By the numbers, the quarter was bruising: (see below) Financial Performances. Total Revenue: Came in at $24.9 billion
      TSLA investors Short Change by Musk, AGAIN !
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·02-02
      Great article, would you like to share it?

      Pre-market | The three major U.S. stock index futures all fell! Spot gold and silver declines narrowed, and crude oil futures fell sharply during the day

      2月2日，美股三大股指期货集体下跌，截止发稿，道指期货跌0.07%，纳指期货跌0.82%，标普500指数期货跌0.47%。贵金属现货黄金、白银跌幅进一步收窄！现货黄金跌幅从最多10%收窄至2%，现报4766.64美元/盎司；现货白银跌幅从最多16%收窄至1.7%，报83.26美元/盎司。
      Pre-market | The three major U.S. stock index futures all fell! Spot gold and silver declines narrowed, and crude oil futures fell sharply during the day
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·01-31
      $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$   Final takeaway • USD is good for: • Liquidity • Short-term safety • Dry powder • SLV is better for: • 2–5 year value preservation • Beating inflation • Capturing monetary + industrial cycles If the question is “Which will be more valuable in 2+ years?” I choose SLV over USD.
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·01-30
      $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$   The $106 support level for silver faces significant testing pressure but has reasonable probability of holding in the near term due to strong underlying fundamentals. The technical analysis in the news article provides several key insights about silver's current market dynamics: Technical Context and Support Level Analysis: Record High and Correction Phase: Silver reached an all-time high of $121.66 on January 29th, 2026, before experiencing profit-taking that pushed prices down to around $112.10. This represents a correction of approximately 7.8% from the peak, which is a natural technical adjustment after such an aggressive rally. Technical Indicators: The article notes that silver
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·01-30
      $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$  Sandisk’s future earnings power looks radically different from what investors previously assumed. 1️⃣ This Is About Forward Earnings, Not the Past Markets don’t reprice stocks 14× because of: • Last quarter’s results • Modest beats • Incremental guidance bumps They reprice stocks when: • Future profits are suddenly expected to be multiples higher • Losses flip to profits • Or margins expand dramatically due to industry cycle shifts In Sandisk’s case, the “eye-popping forecast” implies: • A memory cycle rebound • Sharp improvement in pricing • Strong demand visibility (often tied to AI, data centers, or enterprise storage) That changes valuation math overnight. ⸻ 2️⃣ Memory Stocks Are Highly Cyclical (Which Magnifies Mov
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·01-30
      $Microsoft(MSFT)$   Here’s a clean, market-level explanation of that Microsoft move, tying price action to fundamentals and expectations (not just the headline numbers). ⸻ Why Microsoft Fell ~10% Despite “Good” Fundamentals At first glance, Microsoft’s results looked strong: • Q2 revenue +15% YoY (constant currency) • Azure +38%, beating expectations • Microsoft 365 Commercial +14%, driven by pricing and subscriber growth So why did the stock sell off hard? Because stocks don’t trade on whether results are good — they trade on whether results are better than what was already priced in. ⸻ 1. Expectations Were Extremely High (Especially for AI) Going into earnings, the buy-side narrative was: • Azure acceleration
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    • CayChanCayChan
      ·01-30
      📈 Meta Platforms: Market’s Risk-On Winner Amid Whipsawing Precious Metals $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$   Last week, markets were volatile: • Gold and silver both sold off sharply, with large intraday swings reflecting risk-off flows. • SLV (Silver ETF) and GLD (Gold ETF) experienced significant range expansion. • But one stock stood out: Meta Platforms (META) surged as much as ~10% in a single session. Here’s what was driving that behavior, with data from last week: ⸻ 🧠 1. Meta’s Strong Earnings Data Provided a Catalyst Meta reported FY 2025 revenue of $200.97 billion, up +22% YoY, the first time crossing the $200B mark. Q4 revenue was up +24% YoY, despite aggressive AI investments. Meta also generated $60.
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