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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-11
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How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; "There Were a Lot of Doubters"
Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oi
How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; "There Were a Lot of Doubters"
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-11
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Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?
Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big cras
Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-09
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Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?
Could this growing ad tech company challenge Google?
Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-06
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Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify
SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road
Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-05
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GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning
GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-04
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SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome
SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive
SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-03
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September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows
SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeti
September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows
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湖中有虎
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2022-09-02
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What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? "Too Hot" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro
August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Frid
What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? "Too Hot" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-09-01
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Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market
The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day
Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market
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湖中有虎
湖中有虎
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2022-08-31
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US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry
* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11
US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry
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Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in "carbon management." It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. "I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3," he said. "I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard," he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn's retort: "She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy."</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>How a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHow a CEO Rescued a Big Bet on Big Oil; \"There Were a Lot of Doubters\"\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-11 09:57</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb2e717152d9e61504d0803ac3654\" tg-width=\"1278\" tg-height=\"1278\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.</p><p>Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.</p><p>It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.</p><p>Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61847881fba325e1dc5c7ed3280e29db\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/>Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.</p><p>But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”</p><p>Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.</p><p>Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.</p><p>Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.</p><p>“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”</p><p>A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bf58d7d767a23cfb352e019504bafa44\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERS</span></p><p>Ms. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.</p><p>After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.</p><p>She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.</p><p>Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/58cf5cd81991220ec1f42821cee2554b\" tg-width=\"639\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNAL</span></p><p>But she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.</p><p>Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.</p><p>By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”</p><p>Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.</p><p>As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9090db9eab1ac4c91bd5b1b441d26206\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES</span></p><p>Every day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.</p><p>Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.</p><p>Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.</p><p>Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.</p><p>Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.</p><p>After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.</p><p>Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.</p><p>Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3af2c050a88b00dd9846de958b65be1b\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERS</span></p><p>As the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.</p><p>Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.</p><p>In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.</p><p>Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in "carbon management." It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.</p><p>Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.</p><p>The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.</p><p>The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.</p><p>As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.</p><p>As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.</p><p>Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. "I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3," he said. "I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard," he said.</p><p>Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.</p><p>Mr. Icahn's retort: "She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy."</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4201":"综合性石油与天然气企业","OXY":"西方石油","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BRK.A":"伯克希尔","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","BK4176":"多领域控股"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266817381","content_text":"Occidental Petroleum Corp. entered the thick of the pandemic among the worst prepared of its U.S. oil-and-gas peers. Struggling with debt from an ill-timed $38 billion deal, Chief ExecutiveVicki Hollubwas fending off activist investorCarl Icahn, who controlled two board seats.Two years later, the company has emerged as the top performer in the S&P 500, and Ms. Hollub has traded Mr. Icahn, who sold all of his Occidental shares in March, for Warren Buffett, whoseBerkshire Hathaway Inc. now owns more than 20% of the company.It was touch and go for a time. Months before the pandemic took hold, she implemented widespread layoffs. To stave off bankruptcy after oil prices collapsed in 2020, she slashed spending and nearly eliminated Occidental’s once-sacrosanct dividend—“the biggest and toughest decision that I made and I’ve ever made in my career,” she said in an interview.Her 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum Corp., which Mr. Icahn called a “disaster,” has given Occidental the dominant position in the largest U.S. shale-oil field, the Permian Basin. Lifted by climbing oil prices, Occidental generated a record $4.35 billion in free cash flow and $3.7 billion in profit in the second quarter. It has cut its debt to $22 billion from nearly $36 billion a year ago.Oil-and-gas producers have reported banner profits this year, even as a global energy crisis sparked by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has threatened to derail European industries, left the U.K. facing its worst economic crisis since the 1970s and forced the Netherlands, Germany and India to rely heavily on coal to make up for a dearth of natural gas.But Ms. Hollub, the first woman to be CEO of a major U.S. oil company, says she doesn’t feel vindicated. “I just feel relief,” she said. “There were a lot of doubters.”Mr. Buffett has publicly lauded Ms. Hollub’s leadership. After she detailed the company’s future plans for analysts in February, Mr. Buffett told his own shareholders, “What Vicki Hollub was saying made nothing but sense.” Last month, Berkshire received regulatory approval to buy up to 50% of the oil company’s shares, spurring speculation it might seek to purchase all of Occidental.Mr. Buffett declined to comment for this story. Ms. Hollub said she has “tremendous respect” for Mr. Buffett, adding that “he will be very beneficial for us as we go forward.” She declined to discuss the possibility of Berkshire purchasing the entire company.Some former investors remain skeptical, saying a spike in oil prices has rescued the company, not Ms. Hollub.“I have nothing personal against Vicki,” Mr. Icahn said in an interview. “However, that will never change my mind that she should not have made a bet-the-company investment by way of overpaying for Anadarko.”A University of Alabama graduate, Ms. Hollub joined Occidental in 1982 and soon found herself running operations in Russia and Venezuela. She almost got laid off in 2003, butTodd Stevens, an executive at the company who had followed her rise, arranged for her to lead a team evaluating acreage in Colorado, said Mr. Stevens, who has since left.Equipment used to process carbon dioxide, crude oil and water at an Occidental Petroleum project in Hobbs, N.M.PHOTO:ERNEST SCHEYDER/REUTERSMs. Hollub became known as a hard worker, once spending three weeks straightening out operations at a new gas field’s first well, said Donnie Enns, a former geophysicist who worked under her. “Nobody worked harder than Vicki,” he said. She also found time to run an office March Madness basketball pool.After being named CEO of the company in 2016, Ms. Hollub departed from her predecessor’s preference for low-risk, “bolt-on” transactions. A little over a year into the job, she started courting Anadarko, an oil producer of comparable size, for a deal.She outflanked largerChevronCorp. in a bidding war that riveted the oil patch, offering $5 billion more than her rival for Anadarko and its prized assets in the epicenter of U.S. shale production. Yet victory came at a steep cost.Some of Occidental’s largest shareholders decried the deal—especially a pricey loan from Mr. Buffett in the form of $10 billion in preferred stock paying 8% annually in dividends, or $800 million. Ms. Hollub negotiated the funding at the eleventh hour after meeting with the financier in Omaha, Neb. Mr. Icahn, who first bought stock as the Anadarko bidding war came to a close, wrote to Occidental shareholders that “Buffett figuratively took her to the cleaners.”Ms. Hollub acknowledged the deal damaged the company’s standing with some investors. “I was never offended at the fact that our shareholders were skeptical,” she said.Vicki Hollub said she never doubted the wisdom of the Anadarko acquisition.PHOTO:ANGELA OWENS/THE WALL STREET JOURNALBut she said she never doubted the wisdom of the acquisition, even after it sparked an investor revolt that created an opportunity for Mr. Icahn.Central to Ms. Hollub’s strategy was building on Occidental’s already-large position in the oil-rich Permian of West Texas and New Mexico. She believed purchasing and drilling a huge swath of new acreage, much of it near the company’s existing assets, would give Occidental economies of scale and allow it to outperform Permian rivals. Occidental, she said, was one of the most technologically advanced drillers in the field; it would turn Anadarko’s undeveloped assets into oil-gushing wells.By the end of 2019, the oil producer said it was making progress on its merger goals. It had divested itself of more than $6 billion in assets, including stakes in a liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique and in a Houston-based pipeline company. Occidental recorded single-day and monthly production records in the Permian and other oil fields. Occidental announced its 182nd consecutive quarterly dividend, which Ms. Hollub noted at the time that “few other companies can claim.”Ms. Hollub believed the merger was on track, but investors remained skeptical. From the time of Occidental’s counteroffer for Anadarko in April 2019 to February 2020 Occidental’s stock fell around 35%. Then the global pandemic took hold.As billions of people around the world began to lock down, demand for oil plummeted. In the spring, oil prices reached historic lows, briefly turning negative for the first time ever as traders paid counterparties to take oil off their hands. Falling demand for their product hammered oil-and-gas companies, forcing dozens into bankruptcy.Gasoline prices sank in April 2020 after the global pandemic caused oil prices to drop below zero.PHOTO:FREDERIC J. BROWN/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGESEvery day, Ms. Hollub would drive to Occidental’s Houston offices in her red Jeep Wrangler, said Glenn Vangolen, a former senior vice president at Occidental and close adviser to the CEO. Mondays and Fridays, she and her lieutenants would mask up and gather in a conference room to discuss operations. Her office was spartan—a mostly bare room, except for a TV playing business news on mute, and a plush stuffed version of a costumed elephant, the Alabama Crimson Tide’s mascot, Mr. Vangolen said.Occidental was in a worse situation than many of its peers: At the end of 2019, its long-term debt of about $39 billion was equivalent to roughly four times its earnings, excluding interest, taxes and other accounting items, quadruple the ratio from a year earlier, S&P Capital IQ data show. The divestitures it had planned on to pay it down were no longer viable as assets were losing value.Ms. Hollub said that Occidental made a lot of the difficult decisions before the pandemic to mitigate the downside risks of the Anadarko acquisition, including hedging a portion of its oil production and bumping its line of credit to $5 billion. But the company still faced painful months ahead as it had barely enough cash on hand to meet debt maturities coming due in 2021 and was later forced to hire restructuring advisers.Ms. Hollub moved to cut her executives’ salaries—including her own by 81%—offer employees voluntary buy-outs, slash expenses in the oil patch and cancel employee perks. She also cut the dividend, which rankled investors.Mr. Icahn amplified his calls for Ms. Hollub’s ouster and said he would seek to replace the entire board of directors at the company’s annual meeting. As the oil producer’s stock plunged to under $10 from around $45 before the pandemic, Mr. Icahn—facing paper losses of about $1 billion—doubled down on his shares, boosting his stake to roughly 10% from about 2%.After a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia caused oil prices to plunge below $25 a barrel in March, Occidental reached a settlement with Mr. Icahn. The deal gave board seats to two of his deputies and added another director, required Occidental to create an oversight committee that must be informed of any offers to acquire the company or its assets, and replaced the board chairman withStephen Chazen, Ms. Hollub’s predecessor as CEO.Mr. Icahn’s camp pushed for Occidental to give its shareholders warrants that could allow them to buy discounted shares in the future. After he prevailed, Mr. Icahn received roughly 11 million warrants initially and bought more when they were worth around $3.Mr. Vangolen said Mr. Icahn’s demand for warrants was part of the investor’s “raider playbook,” which he described as “trying to extract as much cash out of the business as you can before you bail.”Mr. Icahn said that all the shareholders who rode the stock down deserved something for their loyalty.A crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas.PHOTO:ANGUS MORDANT/REUTERSAs the pandemic dragged on, Occidental logged a roughly $14.8 billion loss for 2020, its largest on record, according to S&P Capital IQ data. Still, it continued to whittle down its mammoth debt, closing around $2.5 billion in asset sales at the end of 2020. Anadarko’s assets, meanwhile, were starting to shine, with production in the Permian reaching the high end of company estimates.Even as Ms. Hollub wrestled with Mr. Icahn, she was building a relationship with Mr. Buffett.In 2020, she traveled to Omaha to discuss Occidental's long-term strategy with Mr. Buffett, according to a person familiar with the meeting. The investor expressed a strong interest in the company's goal to become a leader in carbon capture, this person said.Occidental says it has no plans to stop producing oil but also aims to be a leader in \"carbon management.\" It wants to develop 70 plants by 2035 to suck carbon dioxide out of the air, store it in the ground and sell carbon credits to businesses seeking to offset their own emissions -- a technology still in its commercial infancy that received a boost thanks to tax credits included in the climate package President Biden signed into law last month. The company also plans to use the gas to squeeze more oil from underground.Then, in late February of this year, Russia invaded Ukraine.The war propelled oil prices to their highest level in years, with Brent crude oil topping $120 in March, translating into a windfall for oil companies. In the first quarter of the year, Occidental made roughly $4.9 billion in profit, its highest quarterly earnings on record, according to S&P Capital IQ.The company now holds the most acreage across the Permian, with leases covering about 2.8 million net acres, according to data firm Enverus. Its domestic oil output in the second quarter of this year was up roughly 80% compared with before it acquired Anadarko, Occidental reported.As Occidental's stock rose above $50 a share in March, Mr. Icahn sold his common stake. The investor's two representatives on Occidental's board also resigned, as was required by the settlement agreement. Mr. Icahn made over $1.5 billion on his investment and still holds some warrants, according to public filings and people familiar with the matter.As Mr. Icahn got out of the stock, Mr. Buffett bought in. In May, Berkshire reported it had purchased roughly $8 billion worth of shares.Mr. Icahn said that Mr. Buffett's investment could be ill-timed. \"I respect Buffett a lot but I think buying this stock at this level is obviously not like buying warrants at $3,\" he said. \"I made a great deal of money on my investment in Occidental, especially with the warrants, and activism worked in that regard,\" he said.Ms. Hollub and Mr. Buffett have developed a personal relationship and the two talk periodically, said Mr. Vangolen. Ms. Hollub said in an interview she had no personal relationship with Mr. Icahn when he was an investor, and that he turned out not to be the kind of long-term shareholder the company prizes.Mr. Icahn's retort: \"She came very close to not being a long-term shareholder also, because her ill-timed investment put the company on the brink of bankruptcy.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BRK.A":0.68,"BRK.B":0.9,"OXY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936782984,"gmtCreate":1662826740248,"gmtModify":1676537147235,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936782984","repostId":"2266879811","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2266879811","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662769352,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2266879811?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-10 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2266879811","media":"InvestorPlace","summary":"Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big cras","content":"<div>\n<p>Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"investorplace","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Crypto Dead After 2022 Market Crash?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-10 08:22 GMT+8 <a href=https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/><strong>InvestorPlace</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale"},"source_url":"https://investorplace.com/2022/09/is-crypto-dead-after-2022-market-crash/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2266879811","content_text":"Is crypto dead? Investors want to know as prices struggle to regain their footing after the big crash.This is a loaded question depending on the type of crypto investor you are, however.Crypto will not likely return to its 2021 peak, but that doesn't mean the asset class is doomed.This year’s crypto market crash was the worst in the short history of the asset class. That much is true, simply given how many more people were affected in the wake of it as opposed to previous crypto crashes. But is crypto dead as a result? The answer is a bit loaded. What is certain, though, is that a fundamental change will be occurring in the crypto market for years to come.The past two years have been great for crypto’s exposure to the mainstream. At this point, everybody and their mother has at least heard of Bitcoin (BTC-USD). Last fall, countless guides cropped up in response to this, telling people how to navigate crypto questions from family members over the holidays. Celebrities started flocking to non-fungible tokens (NFTs) through Bored Ape Yacht Club as well.Throughout 2021, the market capitalization of crypto ebbed and flowed. However, investors can see exactly the point when crypto hit the mainstream via Dogecoin‘s (DOGE-USD) bull run early that year. At that point, the global crypto market cap shattered through the $1 trillion mark. It then proceeded to climb north of $2 trillion by the end of 2021, aided by BTC’s $67,000 all-time high, the booming success of play-to-earn blockchain games, the foray of NFTs into mainstream art and the speculative wonders of pupcoins like Doge and Shiba Inu (SHIB-USD).Indeed, crypto seemed like an unstoppable force not too long ago. But there’s a major fault line in the industry which was oft overlooked as the asset class continued to make investors rich. Crypto was simply not made to exist like it did during the 2021 gravy train.Crypto: Made for Transactions, Not GainsWhen Satoshi Nakamoto introduced Bitcoin to the world in 2008, the pseudonymous programmer likely didn’t envision anything like we saw at the height of the crypto bull market. BTC priced in at well over $67,000 apiece and the “hodl” philosophy — buy the dip and never sell — took over. Now, Bitcoin whales collectively own nearly 46% of the coin’s total supply.This is just not what Bitcoin was meant to be, however. Sure, the price of BTC was expected to go up some, but that was originally only expected to be through the growth of its practical use cases. At its core, BTC was designed as a mode of transaction for the unbanked. Bitcoin is an alternative to fiat, allowing users to operate outside of the control of central banks.Of course, Bitcoin’s not the only crypto like this. Although made as a joke, Dogecoin operates to the same exact ends. Privacy coins like Monero (XMR-USD) and Zcash (ZEC-USD) do the same thing as well, with the added goal of making these transactions completely anonymous.Ethereum (ETH-USD), the second-largest currency which saw its own price renaissance last year, operates on a different motive. However, ETH is not hell-bent on gains either. Vitalik Buterin and the seven other Ethereum cofounders launched the project with the intention of making a blockchain with a built-in programming language. This created an ecosystem of decentralized apps (dapps) which could be immutable and better-performing in contrast to the World Wide Web we know today.Projects Continue to Innovate After Market CrashContinuing down the list of top cryptos, investors will notice each project was built with a grand vision in mind — ones that never explicitly involve going up in price. Layer-1 projects like Cardano (ADA-USD), Solana (SOL-USD) and Polkadot (DOT-USD) are competitors to Ethereum, sharing the project’s dapp vision. Meanwhile, Tether (USDT-USD), Binance USD (BUSD-USD) and USD Coin (USDC-USD) can’t gain as stablecoins. The list goes on.So, is crypto dead in the wake of this recent crash? No, not from an innovation perspective.These projects aren’t phased by market volatility, because at the end of the day, they focus on grander visions. The trap investors get caught in when moving from stocks to crypto is believing that crypto developers care about coin prices the same way traditional companies concern themselves with shareholders and stock prices. This isn’t the case. In fact, it’s quite common for projects to forbid talking about price speculation on official channels.Developers haven’t ceased innovating since the crypto crash. Investors are still seeing some massive rollouts and upgrades. Ethereum is on the verge of its biggest upgrade ever and Cardano is soon to follow with its own hard fork. Ripple (XRP-USD) is also working closely with banks on implementing a new worldwide banking communications standard.Is Crypto Dead? To a Certain Demographic, Yes.The question “Is crypto dead?” comes down to simple framing. Are you an investor looking to 10x your investment on some speculative token with no practical use cases? Are you buying an art NFT and banking on some celebrity to pick up their own from the same collection? If so, the answer to the “dead” question is probably yes.The market crash is sending crypto into capitulation and the chances we see something like 2021 happening again are not very high. Put simply, the industry had caught lightning in a jar. Prices were already on the rise, more investors than ever were participating in the market, the pandemic had created extremely favorable macroeconomic conditions and — most importantly — there were no regulations.Nearly every country is regulating crypto now, especially the United States. The U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission is massively clamping down on projects, particularly in the wake of the crash. Moving forward, investigations and legal challenges could hamper even the most innovative projects in the space. There’s not much room, then, for the more speculative plays to crop up and immediately soar like before.Crypto investing isn’t completely dead. But it is certainly much less favorable to those only interested in speculative investing and the potential for massive gains. The recent crash brought an end to yet another speculative asset bubble; first there was the Dotcom bubble, then the housing bubble and now here we are. Obviously, web stocks didn’t disappear entirely, nor did housing. But they haven’t looked anything like they did at their peak hype. Neither will crypto.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GBTC":0.9,"XBTmain":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"BTCmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2782,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9936995059,"gmtCreate":1662689063671,"gmtModify":1676537119212,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9936995059","repostId":"2265862852","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265862852","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662688723,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265862852?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-09 09:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265862852","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Could this growing ad tech company challenge Google?","content":"<div>\n<p>Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"fool_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill The Trade Desk Be Worth More Than Alphabet by 2030?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-09 09:58 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","BK4576":"AR","BK4514":"搜索引擎","BK4503":"景林资产持仓","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","DSP":"Viant Technology Inc.","NFLX":"奈飞","BK4566":"资本集团","BK4538":"云计算","BK4579":"人工智能","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4108":"电影和娱乐","BK4507":"流媒体概念","BK4548":"巴美列捷福持仓","GOOG":"谷歌","QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","GOOGL":"谷歌A","BK4574":"无人驾驶","BK4551":"寇图资本持仓","CTV":"Innovid","BK4525":"远程办公概念","BK4573":"虚拟现实","BK4561":"索罗斯持仓","BK4009":"广告","BK4023":"应用软件","BK4524":"宅经济概念","BK4532":"文艺复兴科技持仓","BK4581":"高盛持仓","BK4554":"元宇宙及AR概念","BK4527":"明星科技股","BK4553":"喜马拉雅资本持仓"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/09/08/will-the-trade-desk-be-worth-more-than-alphabet-by/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265862852","content_text":"Alphabet's Google has crushed many digital advertising platforms over the past two decades. Yet The Trade Desk, which operates the world's largest independent demand-side platform (DSP) for digital ads, withstood that competition.DSPs help marketers buy programmatic (automated) ad space across multiple platforms. They sit on the opposite end of the advertising supply chain as sell-side platforms (SSPs), which help publishers sell their own ad inventories.Image source: Getty Images.Google's advertising platform already bundles together a DSP, SSP, and other digital advertising services. But instead of going head-to-head against Google in its core desktop and mobile advertising markets, The Trade Desk has carved out a growing niche by focusing on streaming audio and video platforms.The secular growth of those streaming media platforms, which accelerated throughout the pandemic as more people stayed at home, boosted The Trade Desk's revenue from $203 million in 2016 to $1.2 billion in 2021, which represented a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of 43%. The Trade Desk is still tiny compared to Alphabet, but it's also growing a lot faster and attracting advertisers that don't want to tether themselves to Google's sprawling ecosystem. Could it grow significantly larger and eclipse Alphabet's market cap by the end of the decade?The Trade Desk's long-term planThe Trade Desk currently serves more than 1,000 customers. It provides ad space across mobile, desktop, and connected TV (CTV) platforms, but it's been generating most of its growth from the CTV market, which consists of ad-supported platforms like Comcast's Peacock, Warner Bros. Discovery's HBO Max, and Disney+. Even Netflix, which had shunned ads for years, plans to launch a cheaper ad-supported tier in the near future.During The Trade Desk's latest conference call, CEO Jeff Green said Netflix's decision to avoid Google and tap Microsoft's ad tech platform Xandr (which is already partnered with The Trade Desk) to build its upcoming ad-supported tier was a \"strong indication\" that companies were recognizing the \"dangers and limitations of walled gardens.\"Google also owns YouTube, the world's largest ad-supported streaming video platform, so it doesn't make sense for most streaming video companies like Disney or Netflix to tether themselves to a major competitor. Green believes that desire to avoid walled gardens will drive the growth of an \"open internet\" for independent ad platforms like The Trade Desk.Can The Trade Desk keep growing?The Trade Desk has grown like a weed since its IPO in 2016, and its stock has more than tripled from its IPO price of $18. But besides the pandemic, which actually generated tailwinds for its CTV business, it hasn't been tested by a major recession yet. Many advertising companies have already reined in their near-term expectations to deal with inflation, rising interest rates, and unpredictable geopolitical tensions, and The Trade Desk probably won't be immune to those headwinds.For now, analysts expect The Trade Desk's revenue to rise 33% to $1.59 billion this year, grow another 24% to $1.98 billion in 2023, and increase 27% to $2.53 billion in 2024. Those growth rates look healthy, but they might not fully account for a painful recession or intense competition from other independent or bundled DSPs.Furthermore, Apple's privacy changes on iOS and Google's decision to stamp out third-party cookies could also cause unexpected problems. However, The Trade Desk is already countering those changes with its new platform Solimar, which insulates advertisers from Apple's changes by accumulating more first-party data for ads, and a newer technology known as Unified ID (UID) 2.0 that eliminates the need for third-party cookies.Assuming The Trade Desk matches analysts' sales expectations for the next two years and continues to grow at a CAGR of 25% through 2030, it could generate nearly $10 billion in revenue by the final year. But that would still make it an ant compared to Alphabet, which generated a whopping $257.6 billion in revenue last year. So unless Alphabet gets chopped up into tiny pieces by antitrust regulators, it will still be worth a lot more than The Trade Desk.But it could still be a better growth stock than AlphabetYet The Trade Desk could still generate bigger gains than Alphabet over the next eight years. Analysts only expect Alphabet's revenue to grow in the low-teens through 2024, and it will likely maintain those mature growth rates through 2030.With a market cap of $29.3 billion, The Trade Desk isn't cheap at 18 times this year's sales. Alphabet, which is worth $1.4 trillion, trades at five times this year's sales. But if The Trade Desk generates $10 billion in revenue in 2030 and its price-to-sales ratio cools off to ten, it could still be worth $100 billion -- which would be more than triple its current valuation. It would arguably be much more difficult for Alphabet's stock to triple within the same period.That's all speculation for now, but I still believe The Trade Desk is a rock-solid growth stock for long-term investors. Just don't expect it to come anywhere close to matching Alphabet's market cap within the next decade.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOOGL":0.9,"GOOG":0.9,"CTV":1,"QNETCN":0.6,"DSP":1,"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2438,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9931886427,"gmtCreate":1662430719369,"gmtModify":1676537058701,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9931886427","repostId":"2264713810","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264713810","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662422226,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264713810?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-06 07:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264713810","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>Palantir is down 80% from its all-time high.</li><li>Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.</li><li>Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.</li><li>PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I'm cautiously optimistic.</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5161cf24383825916fdda5a8d1265e6a\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>Maria Symchych-Navrotska</span></p><p><b>Down 80%</b></p><p>Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what's 1% between friends?</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95e793f0a76a887f0d46cde8613a143b\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"802\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR data by YCharts</span></p><p>So, what was happening back then?</p><ul><li>Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in Japan</li><li>Fujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customer</li><li>Palantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernization</li><li>Palantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&E</li><li>Palantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo Day</li></ul><p>It certainly wasn't all good news:</p><ul><li>Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growth</li></ul><p>Yet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, <i>and retail</i>. At that point in time, few people were thinking about "macro" at all:</p><blockquote>Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker's market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they're doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.</blockquote><p>Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:</p><blockquote>The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.</blockquote><p><b>Are We Really Down 80%</b></p><p>This is where things get tricky. I'm down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It's not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It's also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it's psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here's what I mean:</p><blockquote>One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.</blockquote><p>Here's a compelling picture to better understand how this works:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b77ef4ec0b7a3bd2e6445460fe02376\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"484\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)</span></p><p>Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn't change because we're looking at the S&P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.</p><p>Making this personal, I'm down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I'm writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.</p><p>Again, I must stress that the math isn't too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.</p><blockquote>If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.</blockquote><p>This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it's critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.</p><p><b>Putting The "Loss" in Perspective</b></p><p>My little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It's quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.</p><p>On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:</p><blockquote>Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.</blockquote><p>I don't think I've ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you'll almost certainly be selling.</p><p>Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bdb4a1bd8a48e99a7dde89069d38ff1f\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"826\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YCharts</span></p><p>That's volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That's the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/06bef574ff547e600696e1a28b73f598\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"177\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/><span>25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)</span></p><p>No new catalysts? That's not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR's Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that's absolutely true, <i>and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst</i>. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so "Fair Warning!" is issued again: <i>Here There Be Volatility</i>.</p><p><b>Wrap Up</b></p><p>Most investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We're all looking to win, right?</p><p>The upside is that it's now a bit easier to understand PLTR's price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it's a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.</p><p>What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:</p><ul><li>Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)</li><li>Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)</li><li>TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)</li><li>New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)</li><li>Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)</li></ul><p>Of course, I'm still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We'll see.</p><p>While I do think that PLTR's 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:</p><blockquote>I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We're in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.</blockquote><p>The company isn't going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I'm going to very, very cautiously issue a "Buy" of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir: Down 80% - Move Slowly, Size Properly, And Diversify\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-06 07:57 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538855-palantir-down-80-percent-move-slowly-size-properly-and-diversify","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264713810","content_text":"SummaryPalantir is down 80% from its all-time high.Investors getting back to even face a tough road ahead.Volatility can cloud judgment and amplifies emotions.PLTR could be a Buy for certain investors; I'm cautiously optimistic.Maria Symchych-NavrotskaDown 80%Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) is down 80% from its all-time high. Actually, to be very precise, PLTR is down 81%, but what's 1% between friends?PLTR data by YChartsSo, what was happening back then?Palantir Technologiesbags new $22.5M contract in JapanFujitsu signs $8M contract as Palantir Foundry customerPalantir selected to work on Army’s Ground Station modernizationPalantir announces multi-million dollar deal with PG&EPalantir shares surge 25% ahead of Demo DayIt certainly wasn't all good news:Palantir cut to sell at Citi ahead of lockup, decelerating growthYet, we were in the days of Wall Street Bets going wild. And, the key back in early 2021 was that PLTR was riding high on sentiment, and retail. At that point in time, few people were thinking about \"macro\" at all:Retail trading is definitely changing the way markets function, but what really seems to matter is that we now have a stock picker's market for the first time since the dot-com bubble. That means stocks may be less sensitive to the broader economy than they used to be, while the professionals need to pay attention to a new generation of investors that entered the scene after the rise of commission-free trading. Instead of following many of the upgrades and downgrades on Wall Street, they're doing their own research on platforms like Seeking Alpha, and signaling a new era to the DIY investing atmosphere.Of course, we know from even the most basic charts that retail went sour and macro has taken over for now: interest rates, inflation, war, just to name a few factors that have taken hold. I was rather clear about this in May 2022:The biggest macro story last year into this year was that growth was shifting to value. Of course, PLTR is clearly in the growth category. However, at this time, we have the perfect storm of inflation, supply chain issues, growth out of favor, and way more. Just about everything is against PLTR in the grand view.Are We Really Down 80%This is where things get tricky. I'm down about 35% because my cost basis is over $11. It's not too hard to mathematically figure out how far an investor is down. It's also not mathematically hard to figure out how much is required to get back to even. The problem is that it's psychologically difficult to put losses and gains together.Here's what I mean:One of the more compelling aspects of investing is the math of gains and losses. Very simply, a 50% gain does not allow a portfolio to recover from a 50% loss. In fact, a 100% gain is required to restore a 50% loss.Here's a compelling picture to better understand how this works:The Math of Recovery From a Portfolio Loss (Craig Israelsen, Ph.D.)Importantly, this also applies to any individual stock. The math doesn't change because we're looking at the S&P 500 (SPY) or PLTR.Making this personal, I'm down 35% so PLTR needs to gain about 54% from here for me to get back to even on my investment. As I'm writing this up, PLTR is trading at $7.40 so I can multiply by 1.54 (i.e., 54%) to see that is how I get back to my cost basis of $11.40.Again, I must stress that the math isn't too difficult. The decline is easy to calculate. And, the gain is easy to calculate. But, what happens is that we anchor to our starting price, so the recovery feels extra painful. Pain and pleasure are not symmetric.If there is a tiger chasing after you versus a suitcase full of money in front of you, which would motivate the average person to act quickly? Avoiding a certain amount of immediate pain wins over gaining immediate pleasure every time. Studies have demonstrated time and time again that people will do much more to avoid short-term pain than they will to gain short-term pleasure.This is why having a long-term view of an investment is so critical. The more you check your investments, like PLTR, the more likely you are to feel bad. This is true even when the stock is mostly going up, because every tick down is 2-3x more painful than one tick up. Furthermore, this also partially explains why it's critical to have a portfolio that makes you comfortable. In other words, diversification helps to moderate feelings because quite often at least some investments are going up.Putting The \"Loss\" in PerspectiveMy little psychology lesson here is of paramount importance. If you believe that PLTR is a meme stock, then you will be thinking of PLTR as a short-term play. It's quite likely that selling will happen on big dips and it will be painful.On the other hand, if you believe Alex Karp, in that PLTR is a long-term play, then your patience will grow dramatically.Hat Tip to Samuel Smith for clarifying this, in regards to Karp speaking at the World Economic Forum:Given the required scale, scope, and strength of enterprise software products, PLTR typically takes up to 5 years to fully build them. As a result, the true value of PLTR at any point in time is often never fully appreciated until ~5 years down the road. The bright side of this, however, is that due to the length of time required for fully building and implementing a new enterprise software product, they often have even longer durations in the marketplace.I don't think I've ever really made the case that PLTR was a short play. My minimum is nearly always 2-3 years, often much longer. When you buy PLTR, you better plan on holding a long time or you'll almost certainly be selling.Here, let me help you with that using a simple visual.PLTR 30-Day Rolling Volatility data by YChartsThat's volatility and it will shake weak hands, forcing them to sell. That's the fear part of volatility. But keep in mind that volatility also generates greed. When the price is rising like crazy the herd jumps on board:25% PLTR Share Price Gain Without Any Catalysts (Seeking Alpha)No new catalysts? That's not entirely true because we know from the title that this was on the cusp of PLTR's Demo Day. Emotions. Sentiment. Yes, that's absolutely true, and the expectations of the herd itself was the catalyst. Although, to be clear, and fair, there was no tangible catalyst on July 22nd, 2021. In any event, we know PLTR will vacillate. I see no reason why this will not continue so \"Fair Warning!\" is issued again: Here There Be Volatility.Wrap UpMost investors holding PLTR are holding onto a capital loss. The downside is the difficult problem of getting back to even, or even moving into the green. We're all looking to win, right?The upside is that it's now a bit easier to understand PLTR's price action, with a reference to volatility. Furthermore, it's a wee bit more simple to know what it will take to get to even, at least in terms of the financials.What are the catalysts?Q2 2022 tells us quite a bit:Overall Revenue Growth (i.e., $473 million in Q2 2022)Customer Count Increases (e.g., Q2 2022 count up to 304 from 169 YoY)TAM Expansion (i.e., Gotham, Foundry, Apollo all open for expansion)New Products (e.g., Edge AI, HyperAuto, OPIs, Cosmos, Pipeline Builder)Developer Community (e.g., Foundry Docs, APIs public, Content Creators)Of course, I'm still frustrated by stock-based compensation. Just look up some of my PLTR articles. It comes up many times. But, I also note that I expect that to burn down a lot over the next 2-3 years. We'll see.While I do think that PLTR's 30% growth is at risk, I said this too:I believe that PLTR is still a Hold. Furthermore, I would not consider buying unless we see the price dip below $8, although that might not be low enough to get me to pull the trigger. We're in rough waters right now. But, again, I do think this is very unique and special company, that should do well over the very long term.The company isn't going bankrupt, or anything remotely that silly. And, we are below $8 at this time. I'm going to very, very cautiously issue a \"Buy\" of PLTR at this point, for those investors looking to lower their cost basis, and also for those investors who want to tip toe into the company. Tread carefully. Move slowly. Size properly, and be sure to diversify as appropriate for your risk tolerance and portfolio composition.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3717,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933710828,"gmtCreate":1662343574065,"gmtModify":1676537040906,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933710828","repostId":"2265749449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2265749449","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1662332817,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2265749449?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-05 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2265749449","media":"Barron's","summary":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earning","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.</p><p>Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.</p><p>Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.</p><p>Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.</p><p>The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.</p><p><b>Monday 9/5</b></p><p>Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.</p><p><b>Tuesday 9/6</b></p><p>The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.</p><p><b>Wednesday 9/7</b></p><p>Appleholds a launch event, titled "Far Out," at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.</p><p>GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.</p><p>The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.</p><p><b>Thursday 9/8</b></p><p>DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.</p><p>Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.</p><p>The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.</p><p>The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.</p><p><b>Friday 9/9</b></p><p>Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.</p><p>Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.</p><p>The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGameStop, Apple, Kroger, NIO, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-05 07:06 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST><strong>Barron's</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"KR":"克罗格",".DJI":"道琼斯","AAPL":"苹果","NIO":"蔚来","DOCU":"Docusign",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","GME":"游戏驿站","ZS":"Zscaler Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/gamestop-apple-kroger-nio-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51662318000?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2265749449","content_text":"U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed on Monday for Labor Day. It's a quiet week on the earnings calendar once investors return from the long weekend, but a few major economic-data releases should grab plenty of attention.Results this week will come from GameStop and NIO on Wednesday, DocuSign and Zscaler on Thursday, and Kroger on Friday. Apple will also host a product launch event on Wednesday, when it is expected to unveil a new lineup of iPhones and Apple Watches.Economic data releases next week include the Institute for Supply Management's Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August on Tuesday. The consensus estimate is for the index to decline by about three points, to 54.Other data for investors and economists to watch next week will be the Federal Reserve's sixth beige book of the year on Wednesday and the Department of Labor's initial jobless claims for the latest week on Thursday.The European Central Bank also announces a monetary-policy decision on Thursday. Futures markets are pricing in the greatest odds of a 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's benchmark interest-rate target to 0.75%.Monday 9/5Equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Labor Day.Tuesday 9/6The Institute for Supply Management releases its Services Purchasing Managers' Index for August. Consensus estimate is for a 54 reading, about three points lower than in July. The index is well off its record high of 68.4 from November, but still above the expansionary level of 50.Wednesday 9/7Appleholds a launch event, titled \"Far Out,\" at its headquarters in Cupertino, Calif. The company is expected to unveil four new iPhone 14 models and three new Apple Watches, along with other products.GameStop and NIO report quarterly results.The Federal Reserve releases the beige book for the sixth of eight times this year. The report summarizes current economic conditions with anecdotal data collected by the 12 regional Federal Reserve banks.The Mortgage Bankers Association releases its mortgage application survey for the week ending on Sept. 2. Mortgage applications have dropped for three consecutive weeks and are at a multidecade low amid record-high home prices and surging mortgage rates.Thursday 9/8DocuSign and Zscaler hold conference calls to discuss quarterly earnings.Moderna hosts a research and development day, with presentations from its executive leadership, including CEO Stéphane Bancel.The European Central Bank announces its monetary-policy decision. Traders are pricing in a 60% chance of a jumbo-size 75-basis-point hike, which would bring ECB's deposit facility rate to 0.75%. At its last meeting, in July, the central bank lifted its key interest rate by half a percentage point, from negative 0.5% to zero. It has been just over a decade since the deposit facility rate was last above zero.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Sept. 3. Claims averaged 241,500 in August, and have risen steadily this year from historically low levels.Friday 9/9Kroger reports second-quarter fiscal-2023 results.Tapestry, the parent company of fashion brands Coach and Kate Spade, holds an investor day at its headquarters in New York. The company will discuss its long-term strategic initiatives and update its financial outlook.The Federal Reserve releases the Financial Accounts of the United States for the second quarter. The report gives a snapshot of the nation's household net worth and debt. In the first quarter, household net worth fell by $544 billion, to $149.3 trillion. It was the first decline since the first quarter of 2020. With the S&P 500 index plunging more than 16% in the second quarter, it's very likely that the report will show another decrease.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":1,"KR":1,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"DOCU":0.9,"AAPL":1,".DJI":0.9,"GME":1,"ZS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2219,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933849599,"gmtCreate":1662263550212,"gmtModify":1676537027502,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"J","listText":"J","text":"J","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933849599","repostId":"1174731052","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174731052","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662259842,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1174731052?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-04 10:50","market":"us","language":"en","title":"SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174731052","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive ","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>SQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.</li><li>Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.</li><li>Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.</li></ul><p>Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds ("ETFs") such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.</p><p>In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility "decay" from daily rebalancings.</p><p><b>Fund Overview</b></p><p>As the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fff5d9cf3e686a0cfbbc881e341b99f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"282\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time Horizons</b></p><p>Investors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:</p><blockquote><i>Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares' returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.</i></blockquote><p>What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.</p><p>For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.</p><p>Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.</p><p>Levered ETFs provide holders with "<b><i>positive convexity"</i></b>in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.</p><p><b>Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile Markets</b></p><p>The biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund's exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.</p><p>Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in "value" will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the "decay."</p><p><b>Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-Term</b></p><p>Volatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.</p><p>Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/799c3972388654e161203372280ae578\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"398\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)</p><p>Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.</p><p><b>Conclusion</b></p><p>If investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility "decay" from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>SQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSQQQ: Don't Overstay Your Welcome\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-04 10:50 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538743-sqqq-dont-overstay-your-welcome","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174731052","content_text":"SummarySQQQ provides 3x inverse 1-day returns of the Nasdaq 100 Index.Levered ETFs provide positive convexity in the direction of the bet.Daily rebalancing of exposure causes value decay, especially in volatile markets.Investors who are afraid of market volatility often turn to inverse exchange-traded funds (\"ETFs\") such as the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:SQQQ) to protect their portfolios.In my opinion, investors should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancings.Fund OverviewAs the name suggests, the Proshares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF seeks daily returns that is -3x the return of the Nasdaq-100 Index. The fund achieves the -3x daily return target by entering into total return swaps with large banks that are reset nightly.Figure 1 - SQQQ holdings (proshares.com)Levered ETFs Only Work On Short Time HorizonsInvestors who are interested in the SQQQ are highly encouraged to read this disclaimer from the Proshares website:Due to thecompoundingof daily returns, holding periods of greater than one day can result in returns that are significantly different than the target return, and ProShares' returns over periods other than one day will likely differ in amount and possibly direction from the target return for the same period. These effects may be more pronounced in funds with larger or inverse multiples and in funds with volatile benchmarks.What this means in layman terms is that the SQQQ is only designed to provide 3x inverse returns for one day. For any holding period longer than 1 day, the returns expectations will differ.For example, imagine you start off with $100 invested in SQQQ. If the Nasdaq-100 index returns -5% on day 1, your position will grow to $115 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). If the Nasdaq-100 returns -5% again on day 2, your position will grow to $132.25. The 2 day total is more than 3 times the 2-day compounded return of 10.25% or $130.75, because the two moves are in the same direction.Conversely, if the returns were consecutive +5% on the Nasdaq-100 index, you would end up with $85 on day 1 and $72.25 on day 2, versus a 2-day compounded loss of 9.75%, or a $70.75 final balance assuming 3 times the returns.Levered ETFs provide holders with \"positive convexity\"in the direction of their bet, i.e., with the SQQQ, as the Nasdaq-100 declines, the short exposure grows, and vice versa.Levered ETFs Decay In Volatile MarketsThe biggest problem with levered ETFs is that the daily rebalancing of the fund's exposure means that in volatile markets, the fund can lose value very quickly.Going back to our example above, if the Nasdaq-100 returned +5% on day 1 followed by -5% on day 2, that should translate to a compounded 2-day loss of 0.25%, or theoretical ending balance of $99.25. However, what happens is that on day 1, the SQQQ balance will fall to $85 (3 times the 1-day return of -5%), and on day 2, the SQQQ balance will only grow to $97.75 (3 times the 1-day return of 5%). $1.50 in \"value\" will have been lost to volatility. The higher the volatility, the more the \"decay.\"Inverse ETFs Lose Value Over The Long-TermVolatility coupled with the fact that markets are upwards trending in the long run means that inverse ETFs like the SQQQ are almost guaranteed to lose money over the long-term.Comparing the performance of SQQQ vs. the Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, we see that over any reasonably long time horizon, the SQQQ has been a money loser. Over 5 years, the SQQQ has lost $98.3 per $100 invested capital, and over 10 years, it has lost an incredible $99.93 per $100 invested capital.Figure 2 - SQQQ vs. QQQ performance (Seeking Alpha)Even YTD, while the QQQ has lost 24.75% of its value, the SQQQ has only gained 52.6%, far less than the theoretical 74.25% gain, because of the volatility decay mentioned above. On a 1 year basis, while the QQQ has lost 21.3%, SQQQ has only gained 24.3%.ConclusionIf investors are truly concerned about their portfolios, they should consider reducing their long exposures instead of seeking inverse ETFs as a hedge, especially for holding periods of longer than a few days due to the volatility \"decay\" from daily rebalancing. Nimble traders can try to capitalize on the convex nature of levered ETF returns, but that is not an easy task, especially for novices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2898,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9933970332,"gmtCreate":1662211845826,"gmtModify":1676537018802,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9933970332","repostId":"1184784977","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1184784977","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1662174038,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1184784977?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-03 11:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184784977","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeti","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>The S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.</li><li>An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.</li><li>Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.</li></ul><p>Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.</p><p>Today's job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.</p><p>The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn't rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b84ce593ffddaaaf877449fe8aa645d2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>BLS.GOV</p><p>More interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791401f8937b11a9c345764a956dbed6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"338\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Meanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7e19e82ac100d02e922240146dd66a6\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"337\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>A rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren't convinced, with current odds at just 62%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/67b0ea44418c49e83255c4d0524d70bb\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"320\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>CME Group</p><p>On top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/779c427f3192a6ad21f8686b92e742f1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p><b>S&P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus Bonds</b></p><p>Data and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&P 500's valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb5d69d23d8cf6e3e3a3fc0d6ef85286\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>With a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&P's current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.</p><p><b>June Lows Are In-Play</b></p><p>The likelihood of the S&P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today's job data isn't likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn't likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0df38f9295305d9279da28bfae09f5b1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"503\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>As rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn't the earnings yield of the S&P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn't that continue well into the future?</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d089ca0d6d95c63abe24819e26ed648\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"323\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Bloomberg</p><p>Unless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>September May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSeptember May Bring The S&P 500 Back To Its June Lows\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-03 11:00 GMT+8 <a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4538702-september-may-bring-the-s-and-p-500-back-to-its-june-lows","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184784977","content_text":"SummaryThe S&P 500 has fallen sharply in recent days, as the dovish pivot has vanished.An FOMC meeting and a slew of economic data will make September very volatile.Rising rates and uncertainty could put the June lows in play.Stocks are off to a turbulent start in September, as the Fed crushed all hopes of a dovish pivot at the Jackson Hole meeting last Friday. To make matters worse, September will hold several key economic data points and an FOMC meeting which could create even more volatility in a seasonally lousy time.Today's job report appeared a bit weaker on the surface due to the rising unemployment rate. However, the jobs data showed that the pace of hiring in the economy is still strong, and wage growth remains elevated, despite rising slower than inflation.The increase in unemployment was driven mainly by the number of workers not in the workforce dropping by 613,000 while the population growth increased by 172,000. This increased the civilian labor force by 786,000, with 442,000 finding work and 344,000 moving into the unemployed column. Unemployment didn't rise because people were losing jobs; unemployment increased because people were pulled into the labor force, perhaps because of solid wage growth, which increased by 5.2% year-over-year.BLS.GOVMore interesting is that the pace of hiring in the household survey accelerated in August and increased at its fastest rate since March 2022. None of the data from the unemployment report would suggest the Fed is likely to do anything different than it has previously indicated.BloombergMeanwhile, CPI is likely still tracking above 8% for August and September, based on the Cleveland Fed estimates. Currently, estimates are for a year-over-year inflation rate of 8.3% for August, and 8.4% for September. Meanwhile, core CPI is forecast to rise by 6.25% in August and 6.6% in September. The increase in CPI for August would be slightly slower than 8.5% for July, while core CPI would be somewhat faster than the 5.9% y/y change.BloombergA rising core CPI and a strong employment report could push the Fed to raise rates by 75 bps in September. While markets are leaning towards a 75 bps rate hike in September, they aren't convinced, with current odds at just 62%.CME GroupOn top of that September tends to be, on average over the past 30 years, the weakest month with an average decline of -0.34%. The declines have been as much as 11%, and the gains have been as much as 8.8%.BloombergS&P 500 Valuation Is Rich Versus BondsData and questions around the next Fed meeting will create a lot of volatility in an already weak time of the year. Interest rates have risen dramatically since Jackson Hole, pushing the S&P 500's valuation to historically high levels relative to the 10-yr yield, with a current spread between the earnings yield and the 10-yr rate now at 2.47%. But given, that spread should be widening because that is what happens when financial conditions tighten, it tells us that stocks are overvalued currently versus bonds.BloombergWith a nominal 10-Yr rate hovering around 3.25%, if the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-Yr rate moves up to 3%, it would assume an earnings yield for the S&P 500 of 6.25%, or a PE Ratio of 16, which is about 9% lower than the S&P's current PE of roughly 17.6. That would equate to a value on the S&P 500 of approximately 3,640 and close to the June lows.June Lows Are In-PlayThe likelihood of the S&P 500 retesting those June lows seems to be increasing, and today's job data isn't likely to help. The fact of the matter is that rates are rising, and the August jobs data do not suggest the Fed should slow rate hikes or change its policy path, and the CPI data isn't likely to either. This means the Fed should remain on course to raise rates to around 4% by the middle of 2023, as the Fed Funds Futures are pricing. Given that, it will be tough for an equity rally to see a sustained advance.BloombergAs rates continue to price higher, not only will nominal rates climb, but so will real rates, and currently, the 5-year and 10-Yr TIP rates have climbed right back to or above their cycle highs. This means that if real rates are rising, shouldn't the earnings yield of the S&P 500 be rising too? After all, they have followed each other this closely for the past five years; shouldn't that continue well into the future?BloombergUnless, of course, you still think the Fed will make a dovish pivot.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9939837755,"gmtCreate":1662082799079,"gmtModify":1676536803429,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9939837755","repostId":"2264210771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2264210771","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1662076475,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2264210771?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-02 07:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2264210771","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Frid","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks," wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>'Too Hot'</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in "too hot" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a "less-intense repeat" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target "until the job is done".</p><p>"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates," said Essaye. "Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed."</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>'Just Right'</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot," said Essaye. "(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023."</p><h2>'Too Cold'</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a "bad is good" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as "a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally," according to Essaye.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat Does Friday's Jobs Report Mean for the Market? \"Too Hot\" and Stocks Could Tumble, Says Market Pro\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-09-02 07:54</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom Essaye</p><p>With Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.</p><p>The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.</p><p>"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks," wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.</p><h2>'Too Hot'</h2><p>According to Essaye, if the employment results come in "too hot" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a "less-intense repeat" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.</p><p>U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target "until the job is done".</p><p>"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates," said Essaye. "Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed."</p><p>He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.</p><p>The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.</p><h2>'Just Right'</h2><p>However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.</p><p>U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.</p><p>"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot," said Essaye. "(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023."</p><h2>'Too Cold'</h2><p>In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a "bad is good" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as "a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally," according to Essaye.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF","QQQ":"纳指100ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2264210771","content_text":"August jobs report may once again carry risks for stocks, but in a 'less intense' way than last Friday's Powell speech, says Tom EssayeWith Federal Reserve Chair Powell last week reaffirming plans to keep raising interest rates to bring down inflation despite the risk of recession, Friday's monthly U.S. jobs report may once again carry risks for the stock market, said Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and the founder of the Sevens Report newsletter.The Labor Department's monthly jobs report on Friday, which tracks employment across the public and private sectors, is expected to show the U.S. economy added 318,000 jobs in August, far fewer than the 528,000 jobs that were created in July, according to a survey of economists by The Wall Street Journal. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 3.5%, while the average hourly earnings are estimated to rise 0.4%, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.\"The labor market needs to show signs that it's on the path to returning to a state of relative balance, where job openings are roughly the same as the number of people looking for jobs--and if it does not show that, then concerns about a more hawkish-for-longer Fed will rise, and that's not good for stocks,\" wrote Essaye in a note on Thursday.'Too Hot'According to Essaye, if the employment results come in \"too hot\" with nonfarm payrolls rising more than 350,000 for the month and the unemployment rate falling below 3.5%, stocks would drop sharply in what might be a \"less-intense repeat\" of last Friday, as markets price in higher interest rates for longer.U.S. stocks tumbled last Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down more than 1,000 points for its worst daily percentage drop in three months, after Chair Powell said in his Jackson Hole address that the central bank will continue its battle to get the annual inflation rate back to its 2% target \"until the job is done\".\"Numbers this strong would underscore that the labor market remains out of balance, and that would keep the Fed focused on slowing demand via higher rates,\" said Essaye. \"Practically, this would increase the chances the 'terminal' fed funds rate moves above 4% and hopes for a rate cut in 2023 would likely be dashed.\"He expects the yield-curve spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasurys to rise as the 2-year yield shoots higher on the prospect of higher rates, while the 10-year yield would also likely rise, but less so.The 2-year Treasury yield hit a fresh 15-year high at 3.528% on Thursday, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 3.266%, its highest level since late June.'Just Right'However, if job growth falls in a range of zero to 300,000 while the unemployment rate rises above 3.7%, the stock market may expect a modest rally given the drop in stocks over the past five days, according to Essaye.U.S. stocks were mixed in late trade on Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 40 points, or 0.1%. The S&P 500 lost 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite was off 0.8%. All three major indexes have fallen for four straight sessions.\"We wouldn't expect an explosion higher in stocks because a 'Just Right' jobs report still wouldn't bring back the idea of an imminent Fed pivot,\" said Essaye. \"(It) would not make the Fed get more hawkish and keep alive the hope that the Fed could cut rates in 2023.\"'Too Cold'In the worst case scenario with a negative jobs print for August and a spike in the unemployment rate, stocks may jump on a \"bad is good\" mindset though the Fed won't pivot away from its monetary tightening as \"a soft number won't change the Fed's calculus for the next several meetings -- 'we're still getting 50-75 bps in September', so we would not be inclined to chase that rally,\" according to Essaye.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"QQQ":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3474,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930463992,"gmtCreate":1661994014218,"gmtModify":1676536619897,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930463992","repostId":"1188697059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188697059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1661990595,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1188697059?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-09-01 08:03","market":"sg","language":"en","title":"Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188697059","media":"rtt news","summary":"The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,220-point plateau and it's likely to take further damage on Thursday.</p><p>The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis broadly negative on inflation and interest rate concerns. The European and U.S. markets were down on Wednesday and now the Asian markets are expected to open in similar fashion.</p><p>The STI finished modestly lower on Wednesday following losses from the trusts and properties, while the financials came in mixed.</p><p>For the day, the index sank 17.66 points or 0.55 percent to finish at 3,221.67 after trading between 3,212.18 and 3,233.61. Volume was 2.06 billion shares worth 1.89 billion Singapore dollars. There were 269 decliners and 251 gainers.</p><p>Among the actives, Ascendas REIT tanked 2.08 percent, while CapitaLand Investment declined 1.86 percent, City Developments shed 0.49 percent, DBS Group skidded 0.85 percent, Genting Singapore tumbled 1.90 percent, Hongkong Land sank 0.82 percent, Keppel Corp climbed 1.11 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust weakened 1.08 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust plunged 2.32 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust plummeted 2.34 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.08 percent, SATS rose 0.25 percent, SembCorp Industries stumbled 1.17 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.42 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.58 percent, SingTel surrendered 1.87 percent, Thai Beverage advanced 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.04 percent, Wilmar International dropped 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial slumped 1.32 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Comfort DelGro were unchanged.</p><p>The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages shook off a positive open on Wednesday, hugging the line for much of the day before a late slide pushed them firmly into the red for the fourth straight session.</p><p>The Dow tumbled 280.44 points or 0.88 percent to finish at 31,510.43, while the NASDAQ slumped 66.93 points or 0.56 percent to close at 11,816.20 and the S&P 500 sank 31.16 points or 0.78 percent to end at 3,955.00.</p><p>The continued weakness on Wall Street reflected lingering concerns about higher interest rates following some hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.</p><p>Exacerbating those concerns, Eurozone inflation hit a new record in August and added further pressure on the European Central Bank to tighten policy more aggressively as soon as next week.</p><p>In economic news, payroll processor ADP said that private sector employment in the U.S. increased by much less than expected in August.</p><p>Crude oil prices saw further downside on Wednesday, extending recent losses on concerns about the outlook for the globaleconomyafter the Eurozone's record high inflation report. West Texas Intermediate for October delivery tumbled $2.09 or 2.3 percent to $89.55 a barrel.</p></body></html>","source":"lsy1637539882596","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Continued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nContinued Consolidation Called For Singapore Stock Market\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-09-01 08:03 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom><strong>rtt news</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"STI.SI":"富时新加坡海峡指数"},"source_url":"https://www.rttnews.com/3308540/continued-consolidation-called-for-singapore-stock-market.aspx?type=acom","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188697059","content_text":"The Singapore stock market has moved lower in two of three trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had picked up more than 15 points or 0.5 percent. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,220-point plateau and it's likely to take further damage on Thursday.The global forecast for the Asianmarketsis broadly negative on inflation and interest rate concerns. The European and U.S. markets were down on Wednesday and now the Asian markets are expected to open in similar fashion.The STI finished modestly lower on Wednesday following losses from the trusts and properties, while the financials came in mixed.For the day, the index sank 17.66 points or 0.55 percent to finish at 3,221.67 after trading between 3,212.18 and 3,233.61. Volume was 2.06 billion shares worth 1.89 billion Singapore dollars. There were 269 decliners and 251 gainers.Among the actives, Ascendas REIT tanked 2.08 percent, while CapitaLand Investment declined 1.86 percent, City Developments shed 0.49 percent, DBS Group skidded 0.85 percent, Genting Singapore tumbled 1.90 percent, Hongkong Land sank 0.82 percent, Keppel Corp climbed 1.11 percent, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust weakened 1.08 percent, Mapletree Industrial Trust plunged 2.32 percent, Mapletree Logistics Trust plummeted 2.34 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation eased 0.08 percent, SATS rose 0.25 percent, SembCorp Industries stumbled 1.17 percent, Singapore Exchange added 0.42 percent, Singapore Technologies Engineering retreated 1.58 percent, SingTel surrendered 1.87 percent, Thai Beverage advanced 0.78 percent, United Overseas Bank collected 0.04 percent, Wilmar International dropped 0.74 percent, Yangzijiang Financial slumped 1.32 percent and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Comfort DelGro were unchanged.The lead from Wall Street is soft as the major averages shook off a positive open on Wednesday, hugging the line for much of the day before a late slide pushed them firmly into the red for the fourth straight session.The Dow tumbled 280.44 points or 0.88 percent to finish at 31,510.43, while the NASDAQ slumped 66.93 points or 0.56 percent to close at 11,816.20 and the S&P 500 sank 31.16 points or 0.78 percent to end at 3,955.00.The continued weakness on Wall Street reflected lingering concerns about higher interest rates following some hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.Exacerbating those concerns, Eurozone inflation hit a new record in August and added further pressure on the European Central Bank to tighten policy more aggressively as soon as next week.In economic news, payroll processor ADP said that private sector employment in the U.S. increased by much less than expected in August.Crude oil prices saw further downside on Wednesday, extending recent losses on concerns about the outlook for the globaleconomyafter the Eurozone's record high inflation report. West Texas Intermediate for October delivery tumbled $2.09 or 2.3 percent to $89.55 a barrel.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"STI.SI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2742,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9930194577,"gmtCreate":1661910496803,"gmtModify":1676536602231,"author":{"id":"3581998808524359","authorId":"3581998808524359","name":"湖中有虎","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581998808524359","authorIdStr":"3581998808524359"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"K","listText":"K","text":"K","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9930194577","repostId":"2263410145","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2263410145","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Reuters.com brings you the latest news from around the world, covering breaking news in markets, business, politics, entertainment and technology","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Reuters","id":"1036604489","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868"},"pubTimestamp":1661900592,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2263410145?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-31 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2263410145","media":"Reuters","summary":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank's determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>"They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off," said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>"It locks them in even further."</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could "dial back" from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is "clearly" slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed's pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan's military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS STOCKS-Wall St Closes down for 3rd Straight Session on Fed Rate Hike Worry\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1036604489\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/443ce19704621c837795676028cec868);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Reuters </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-08-31 07:03</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand</p><p>* Jobs openings in July rise sharply</p><p>* All 11 S&P sectors lower</p><p>* Dow down 0.96%, S&P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%</p><p>U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.</p><p>The benchmark S&P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank's determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.</p><p>Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.</p><p>"They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off," said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.</p><p>"It locks them in even further."</p><p>The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.</p><p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.</p><p>New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.</p><p>However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could "dial back" from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is "clearly" slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed's pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.</p><p>Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.</p><p>Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.</p><p>Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.</p><p>Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.</p><p>The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.</p><p>Adding to worries, Taiwan's military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.</p><p>Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.</p><p>Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p>Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p>The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","BK4567":"ESG概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","BK4076":"电脑与电子产品零售","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","BK4559":"巴菲特持仓","BK4504":"桥水持仓","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BBY":"百思买","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100",".DJI":"道琼斯","BK4581":"高盛持仓",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","COMP":"Compass, Inc."},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2263410145","content_text":"* Best Buy sales beat estimates as discounts spur demand* Jobs openings in July rise sharply* All 11 S&P sectors lower* Dow down 0.96%, S&P 500 down 1.10%, Nasdaq down 1.12%U.S. stocks closed lower for a third straight session on Tuesday as a rise in job openings fueled fears the U.S. Federal Reserve has another reason to maintain its aggressive path of interest rate hikes to combat inflation.The benchmark S&P 500 index has tumbled more than 5% since Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday reaffirmed the central bank's determination to raise interest rates even in the face of a slowing economy.Labor demand showed no signs of cooling as U.S. job openings rose to 11.239 million in July and the prior month was revised sharply higher. A separate report showed consumer confidence rebounded strongly in August after three straight monthly declines.\"They have to weaken the labor market and how are they going to do that – they are going to jam rates and make things so expensive that people are going to pull back, demand is going to fall off, and people are going to get laid off,\" said Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors in Boca Raton, Florida.\"It locks them in even further.\"The data increases the focus on the August non-farm payrolls data due on Friday.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 308.12 points, or 0.96%, to 31,790.87, the S&P 500 lost 44.45 points, or 1.10%, to 3,986.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 134.53 points, or 1.12%, to 11,883.14.New York Fed President John Williams said on Tuesday the central bank will likely need to get its policy rate about 3.5% and is unlikely to cut interest rates at all next year as it fights inflation.However, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said in an essay published on Tuesday the Fed could \"dial back\" from its recent string of 75 basis point hikes if new data shows inflation is \"clearly\" slowing. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the Fed's pledge to bring inflation down to its 2% goal will not necessarily result in a severe recession.Traders are pricing in a 74.5% chance of a third straight 75-basis point rate hike at the Fed's September meeting.Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors were in negative territory, with the energy sector down 3.36%, the biggest percentage decliner, as oil prices settled down more than 5% on concerns that the slowing of global economies could sap demand.Rate-sensitive megacap growth and technology stocks such as Microsoft Corp, down 0.85%, and Apple Inc, off 1.53%, were among the biggest drags on the benchmark index.Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq have broken below their 50-day moving average. The S&P 500 also briefly fell below the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from its June low to August high, another key technical indicator watched by analysts as support.The CBOE Volatility index, also known as Wall Street's fear gauge, rose for the third straight session and hit a six-week high at 27.69 points.Adding to worries, Taiwan's military fired warning shots at a Chinese drone which buzzed an islet controlled by Taiwan near the Chinese coast.Best Buy Co rose 1.61% as one of the biggest gainers on the S&P 500 after it reported a smaller-than-expected drop in quarterly comparable sales thanks to steep discounts.Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.51 billion shares, compared with the 10.54 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 4.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.44-to-1 ratio favored decliners.The S&P 500 posted no new 52-week highs and 18 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 15 new highs and 217 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":1,"513500":1,"UPRO":1,"ESmain":1,"OEX":1,"SSO":1,"SPY":1,"IVV":1,".DJI":1,".IXIC":1,"BBY":1,"SPXU":1,"OEF":1,"SH":1,"SDS":1,".SPX":1,"COMP":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2807,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}