Profile - To The Moon

Jenny12345

Posts · 17Posts · 17
Following · 0Following · 0
Followers · 0Followers · 0

- Jenny12345Jenny12345
  ·2021-05-07
  Hello comment and like
  What factors are dragging down the US April non-farm payrolls surprise?
  周五（5月7日）晚，美国4月非农就业人数录得增加26.6万人，远低于预期d的增加97.8万人；美国4月失业率录得6.1%，预期为5.8%，前值为6%。4月就业报告公布后，利率期货交易员削减对美联储升息
  What factors are dragging down the US April non-farm payrolls surprise?
  3.95K Comment
  1
  Share
  Report
No followers yet

Most Discussed

{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"3582107984139187","uuid":"3582107984139187","gmtCreate":1619014181154,"gmtModify":1620396122446,"name":"Jenny12345","pinyin":"jenny12345","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6bf64960ce6f6bee73bef41632e070","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":0,"headSize":35,"tweetSize":17,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-3","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":" Tiger Idol","description":"Join the tiger community for 1500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.06.01","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLinkType":null,"redirectLink":null,"redirectLinkValidityFrom":null,"redirectLinkValidityTo":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.06","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100,"isScarce":0,"effectConfig":null,"effectEnabled":0,"plateImgUrl":null,"plateColors":null,"validityTo":null,"validityToTimestamp":null,"wearingSort":0}],"userBadgeCount":2,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":104263762,"gmtCreate":1620394495456,"gmtModify":1704343044553,"author":{"id":"3582107984139187","authorId":"3582107984139187","name":"Jenny12345","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b6bf64960ce6f6bee73bef41632e070","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3582107984139187","authorIdStr":"3582107984139187"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Hello comment and like","listText":"Hello comment and like","text":"Hello comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/104263762","repostId":"2133687500","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2133687500","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620393908,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2133687500?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-07 21:25","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"What factors are dragging down the US April non-farm payrolls surprise?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2133687500","media":"金十数据","summary":"周五（5月7日）晚，美国4月非农就业人数录得增加26.6万人，远低于预期d的增加97.8万人；美国4月失业率录得6.1%，预期为5.8%，前值为6%。4月就业报告公布后，利率期货交易员削减对美联储升息","content":"<p>On Friday evening (May 7), U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 266,000 in April, far below the expected increase of 978,000. The U.S. unemployment rate recorded 6.1% in April, compared to the expected 5.8% and the previous value of 6%. Following the release of the April jobs report, interest rate futures traders cut their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike.</p><p>Following the data release, spot gold rose briefly, briefly reaching $1,840, before falling back nearly $10. Spot silver rose nearly $0.50 in the short term to $27.62 per ounce. At 20:31 Beijing time on May 7, the most active gold futures contract on COMEX saw 5,043 lots traded instantly within one minute, with a total contract value of $923 million.</p><p><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider202157/128/w1008h720/20210507/c432-kpuunnc2212087.png\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>the US Dollar Index shares fell nearly 30 points in the short term, currently trading at 90.66. Non-US currencies generally rose, with the euro up 60 points against the dollar, the pound up 40 points against the dollar, and the Australian dollar up 40 points against the dollar. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond fell more than 10 basis points in the short term and is currently at 1.46%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b546aa1e91052f92fe2db6609c2886f\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, the number of new non-farm payrolls in February was revised upward from 468,000 to 536,000; The number of new non-farm payrolls in March was revised down from 961,000 to 770,000. The U.S. Department of Labor stated that the revised non-farm payrolls figure for February and March was 78,000, lower than previously reported.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor stated that growth in employment in the leisure and hospitality industry, other services, and local government education offset declines in employment in the short-term services and transportation sectors.</p><p>U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, mainly due to employers struggling to hire employees, which dampened the growth momentum of the labor market. From manufacturing to the restaurant industry, employers are struggling to find the right people. The labor shortage is caused by a variety of factors, including parents staying home to care for their children, the COVID-19 pandemic forcing some people to retire, and the government's generous unemployment checks.</p><p>Due to job vacancies, some states have begun to take action to alleviate labor shortages. Montana is trying to entice people back to work with a $1,200 subsidy, provided they stop receiving unemployment benefits and work for at least four weeks. South Carolina plans to end all pandemic-related federal unemployment programs by the end of June.</p><p>CNBC reported that the employment situation in April was very disappointing, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 266,000, far below expectations, the unemployment rate rising to 6.1%, and a worsening shortage of available labor.</p><p>Analyst Valeria said these poor data mean that the Federal Reserve's ultra-loose monetary policy is correct and supports the idea of a long-term decline. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari also said that the April jobs report validated the Fed's results-oriented policy, and he hopes to see employers raise wages, with much fiscal support still in the works.</p><p>Analyst Cameron Crise pointed out that the shockingly poor U.S. non-farm payrolls data for April indicates a lack of growth in low-skilled jobs. Considering that the number of people in the past two months has been revised down by 78,000, the number in April was particularly weak. Forecasts for the Federal Reserve to taper its bond-buying program should cool down for a while. This, in turn, will support U.S. Treasury Bond, even if only temporarily, which may prove to drive the initial reaction of the stock market in P/E to whether it is bad news or good news.</p><p>It is worth noting that Biden will deliver a speech on the April jobs report at 11:30 p.m. tonight. Financial blog Zero Hedge says the White House is already planning a high-level response to the report. It will be interesting to see how Biden interprets this huge data discrepancy, which will at least keep the Federal Reserve from talking about tapering its bond purchases for the next few months.</p>","source":"jssj","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What factors are dragging down the US April non-farm payrolls surprise?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat factors are dragging down the US April non-farm payrolls surprise?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金十数据</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 21:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday evening (May 7), U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 266,000 in April, far below the expected increase of 978,000. The U.S. unemployment rate recorded 6.1% in April, compared to the expected 5.8% and the previous value of 6%. Following the release of the April jobs report, interest rate futures traders cut their bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike.</p><p>Following the data release, spot gold rose briefly, briefly reaching $1,840, before falling back nearly $10. Spot silver rose nearly $0.50 in the short term to $27.62 per ounce. At 20:31 Beijing time on May 7, the most active gold futures contract on COMEX saw 5,043 lots traded instantly within one minute, with a total contract value of $923 million.</p><p><img src=\"http://n.sinaimg.cn/spider202157/128/w1008h720/20210507/c432-kpuunnc2212087.png\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>the US Dollar Index shares fell nearly 30 points in the short term, currently trading at 90.66. Non-US currencies generally rose, with the euro up 60 points against the dollar, the pound up 40 points against the dollar, and the Australian dollar up 40 points against the dollar. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond fell more than 10 basis points in the short term and is currently at 1.46%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b546aa1e91052f92fe2db6609c2886f\" tg-width=\"1008\" tg-height=\"720\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>In addition, the number of new non-farm payrolls in February was revised upward from 468,000 to 536,000; The number of new non-farm payrolls in March was revised down from 961,000 to 770,000. The U.S. Department of Labor stated that the revised non-farm payrolls figure for February and March was 78,000, lower than previously reported.</p><p>The U.S. Department of Labor stated that growth in employment in the leisure and hospitality industry, other services, and local government education offset declines in employment in the short-term services and transportation sectors.</p><p>U.S. job growth unexpectedly slowed in April, mainly due to employers struggling to hire employees, which dampened the growth momentum of the labor market. From manufacturing to the restaurant industry, employers are struggling to find the right people. The labor shortage is caused by a variety of factors, including parents staying home to care for their children, the COVID-19 pandemic forcing some people to retire, and the government's generous unemployment checks.</p><p>Due to job vacancies, some states have begun to take action to alleviate labor shortages. Montana is trying to entice people back to work with a $1,200 subsidy, provided they stop receiving unemployment benefits and work for at least four weeks. South Carolina plans to end all pandemic-related federal unemployment programs by the end of June.</p><p>CNBC reported that the employment situation in April was very disappointing, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 266,000, far below expectations, the unemployment rate rising to 6.1%, and a worsening shortage of available labor.</p><p>Analyst Valeria said these poor data mean that the Federal Reserve's ultra-loose monetary policy is correct and supports the idea of a long-term decline. Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari also said that the April jobs report validated the Fed's results-oriented policy, and he hopes to see employers raise wages, with much fiscal support still in the works.</p><p>Analyst Cameron Crise pointed out that the shockingly poor U.S. non-farm payrolls data for April indicates a lack of growth in low-skilled jobs. Considering that the number of people in the past two months has been revised down by 78,000, the number in April was particularly weak. Forecasts for the Federal Reserve to taper its bond-buying program should cool down for a while. This, in turn, will support U.S. Treasury Bond, even if only temporarily, which may prove to drive the initial reaction of the stock market in P/E to whether it is bad news or good news.</p><p>It is worth noting that Biden will deliver a speech on the April jobs report at 11:30 p.m. tonight. Financial blog Zero Hedge says the White House is already planning a high-level response to the report. It will be interesting to see how Biden interprets this huge data discrepancy, which will at least keep the Federal Reserve from talking about tapering its bond purchases for the next few months.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-05-07/doc-ikmxzfmm1101242.shtml\">金十数据</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a106188796ec9abb78b8a3cfbae334a5","relate_stocks":{"159934":"黄金ETF","518880":"黄金ETF华安","NUGT":"二倍做多黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","DUST":"二倍做空黄金矿业指数ETF-Direxion","GLD":"黄金ETF-SPDR"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-05-07/doc-ikmxzfmm1101242.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2133687500","content_text":"周五（5月7日）晚，美国4月非农就业人数录得增加26.6万人，远低于预期d的增加97.8万人；美国4月失业率录得6.1%，预期为5.8%，前值为6%。4月就业报告公布后，利率期货交易员削减对美联储升息的押注。\n数据公布后，现货黄金短线拉升，一度站上1840美元，随后回落近10美元；现货白银短线上扬近0.5美元，报27.62美元/盎司。COMEX最活跃黄金期货合约北京时间5月7日20：31一分钟内买卖盘面瞬间成交5043手，交易合约总价值9.23亿美元。\n\n美元指数短线下挫近30点，现报90.66。非美货币普遍走高，欧元兑美元短线上涨60点，英镑兑美元短线上涨40点，澳元兑美元短线上涨40点。美国10年期国债收益率短线下挫逾10个基点，现报1.46%。\n\n此外，2月份非农新增就业人数从46.8万人上修至53.6万人；3月份非农新增就业人数从96.1万人下修至77万人。美国劳工部表示，修正后，2月和3月合计非农就业人数修正值为7.8万人，低于此前报道。\n美国劳工部表示，休闲酒店业、其他服务和地方政府教育就业人数增长，抵消了短期服务和运输行业就业人数的下降。\n美国4月份就业增长意外放缓，主要因雇主难以招聘员工，这抑制了劳动力市场的增长势头。 从制造业到餐饮业，雇主都在为招不到合适的员工苦恼不已。造成劳动力短缺的因素多种多样，包括父母仍留在家里照顾小孩，新冠疫情迫使一些人退休，以及政府慷慨发放失业救济支票。\n由于职位空缺，一些州已经开始采取行动来缓解劳动力短缺的问题。蒙大拿州正试图用1200美元的补贴来吸引人们重返工作岗位，前提是他们停止领取失业救济金并工作至少四周。南卡罗来纳计划在6月底终止所有与流行病相关的联邦失业项目。\nCNBC表示，4月份的就业情况非常令人失望，非农就业人数增加了26.6万人，远低于预期，失业率上升至6.1%，而可用劳动力的短缺加剧。\n分析师Valeria表示，这些糟糕的数据意味着，美联储的超宽松货币政策是正确的，也支持长期走低的想法。美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利也表示，4月的就业报告验证了美联储结果导向性的政策，他希望能看到雇主们提高工资，许多财政支持仍在酝酿之中。\n分析师Cameron Crise指出，美国4月非农就业数据差得让人震惊，这一切说明低技能就业岗位缺乏增长。考虑到过去两月人数还下修了7.8万，4月数字就格外疲软。对美联储收缩购债计划的预测应该会降温一段时间。这进而会支撑美国国债，即使只是暂时的，事实可能证明这会推动股票市盈率市场初步反应是坏消息就是好消息。\n值得注意的是，今晚23：30，拜登将发表关于4月就业报告的讲话。金融博客零对冲表示，白宫已经计划对这份报告做出高级别回应。看看拜登将如何解读这一巨大的数据差异将是一件有趣的事情，这至少会让美联储在未来几个月内避免谈论缩减购债规模。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"159934":0.9,"518880":0.9,"MGCmain":0.9,"SGUmain":0.9,"DUST":0.9,"GCmain":0.9,"SGCmain":0.9,"IAU":0.9,"SImain":0.9,"GLD":0.9,"GDX":0.9,"NUGT":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3948,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}