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- xLyraxLyra
  ·2021-06-22
  Wow
  5 things NOT to buy on Amazon Prime Day
  Amazon's annual Prime Day kicks off on June 21 and ends on June 22. Amazon's $(AMZN)$ annual Prime
  5 things NOT to buy on Amazon Prime Day
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- xLyraxLyra
  ·2021-06-21
  ??
  Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
  A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will r
  Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week
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- xLyraxLyra
  ·2021-06-20
  Wow
  Answering the great inflation question of our time
  Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up
  Answering the great inflation question of our time
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- xLyraxLyra
  ·2021-06-18
  Cool
  The Trade Desk Stock Split: Time to Buy?
  The stock is still down about 36% from recent highs.
  The Trade Desk Stock Split: Time to Buy?
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(It costs $12.99 per month or $119 per year to sign up.)</p>\n<p>Amazon Prime is currently advertising 20% off select books, 4 months free of Wondery+ premium podcasts, and 20% off beauty, and other home products. It also promises discounts of up to 50% on Amazon devices.</p>\n<p>There's a chance Amazon will run a separate additional Prime Day later this year in October, said Pete King who runs a YouTube <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL) channel for Slickdeals, a site where users post deals they come across.</p>\n<p>But Amazon spokesperson Victoria O'Dierno declined to comment, labeling talk of a second separate Prime Day \"speculation.\"</p>\n<p>Just because Amazon publishes a \"Lightning Deals\" page with items that appear to be steals doesn't mean they are a steal by any means, said Kristin Cook, managing editor for BensBargains.com .</p>\n<p>One way to find out whether or not you're getting a good deal is to copy and paste the item's URL on CamelCamelCamel.com , a site that tracks prices for items listed on Amazon.</p>\n<p>There, you can also set up email alerts that will alert you if/when a product drops to the price you enter.</p>\n<p>But if the item you're interested in buying on Prime Day is already below the average price listed on CamelCamelCamel, Cook says it's OK to go ahead and press buy.</p>\n<p>This year's Prime Day is also unique from prior ones given the global microchip shortage, which is disrupting the manufacturing supply chains for cars as well as gaming equipment and computers.</p>\n<p>Hence consumers shouldn't expect to see any markdowns on highly sought-after PS5s (6758.TO), Nintendo Switches or higher-end computers, retail experts told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>Here are 4 other items to think twice before buying on Amazon Prime Day:</p>\n<p><b>Furniture and clothing</b></p>\n<p>Consumers may want to postpone home goods purchases until July Fourth sales events kickoff, said Kristin McGrath, editor and shopping expert at BlackFriday.com</p>\n<p>That's because \"so many mattress stores run sales and furniture stores run July Fourth blowouts,\" she said. But it's still worth checking to see if there are any good deals bearing in mind that discounts may only apply to a \"certain-size bed frame\" or a couch in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> particular color but not the others.</p>\n<p>The same applies to clothing.</p>\n<p>\"We've seen past Prime Day deals where a shirt is discounted but it's only discounted in a certain color and it's sold out of most sizes,\" McGrath told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>In general, the best time to get discounted clothing is when seasons change, she added.</p>\n<p>Typically, \"retailers across the board offer free shipping, promo codes for up to 40% off everything\" when the seasons change.</p>\n<p><b>TVs and gaming systems</b></p>\n<p>On Prime Day, consumers shouldn't expect to see TVs \"discounted across the board,\" McGrath said. \"Amazon is going to be plugging its Fire TVs, but there's certainly not going to be the absolute best prices on the absolute best models,\" she added.</p>\n<p>Right before the holidays is a better time to get a good deal on a TV because \"they're very giftable items,\" so retailers tend to offer discounts across a wider range of models.</p>\n<p>But if you do come across a good deal on a TV you make sure you know which year's model you're getting.</p>\n<p>Oftentimes \"consumers unknowingly buy outdated products thinking they're getting a discount when there is actually a newer model available,\" King told MarketWatch. \"In the same vein, you'll also want to read reviews on TV models.\"</p>\n<p>During the holiday season, Amazon and other retailers are more likely to offer bundling. For instance, you may be able to find a bundle that includes video games, gaming accessories and a bonus gift card, McGrath said.</p>\n<p><b>Prime Day vs. Walmart and Target</b></p>\n<p>It's nearly impossible to know in advance if shoppers could save more money through Walmart's Deals for Days <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> promotional event, Target's Deal Days<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> or Best Buy's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$(BBY)$</a> Bigger Deals.</p>\n<p>(Target declined to comment, and Best Buy did not respond to a request for comment.)</p>\n<p>But this isn't the first time these companies have competed head-to-head with Prime Day.</p>\n<p>In the past, Walmart's competing promotional event (June 20 to June 23) has been \"disappointing,\" Cook told MarketWatch, \"There usually isn't that much that's actually on sale,\" she added, \"but I could be wrong maybe they'll switch it up this year.\"</p>\n<p>Walmart told MarketWatch that Hisense's 40\" Class FHD Roku Smart LED TV was listed for $239.99 on Amazon, as of Tuesday evening.</p>\n<p>Target's Deal Days event (June 20 to June 22) tends to be \"pretty good,\" Cook said, but oftentimes Amazon will match Target's deals \"within a couple of hours.\" The same applies to Best Buy's event (June 15 to June 22).</p>\n<p>But the same cannot apply to Target-exclusive brands of clothing and home goods, so there's a good chance the company will offer its best discounts in that area, she said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 things NOT to buy on Amazon Prime Day\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-22 14:35</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n Amazon's annual Prime Day kicks off on June 21 and ends on June 22.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Amazon's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> annual Prime Day is just around the corner -- but before you click \"buy now\" you may want to reconsider whether or not you're getting a good deal.</p>\n<p>Prime Day (June 21-June 22) is a sales event opened exclusively to Amazon Prime Members. (It costs $12.99 per month or $119 per year to sign up.)</p>\n<p>Amazon Prime is currently advertising 20% off select books, 4 months free of Wondery+ premium podcasts, and 20% off beauty, and other home products. It also promises discounts of up to 50% on Amazon devices.</p>\n<p>There's a chance Amazon will run a separate additional Prime Day later this year in October, said Pete King who runs a YouTube <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOGL\">$(GOOGL)$</a>(GOOGL) channel for Slickdeals, a site where users post deals they come across.</p>\n<p>But Amazon spokesperson Victoria O'Dierno declined to comment, labeling talk of a second separate Prime Day \"speculation.\"</p>\n<p>Just because Amazon publishes a \"Lightning Deals\" page with items that appear to be steals doesn't mean they are a steal by any means, said Kristin Cook, managing editor for BensBargains.com .</p>\n<p>One way to find out whether or not you're getting a good deal is to copy and paste the item's URL on CamelCamelCamel.com , a site that tracks prices for items listed on Amazon.</p>\n<p>There, you can also set up email alerts that will alert you if/when a product drops to the price you enter.</p>\n<p>But if the item you're interested in buying on Prime Day is already below the average price listed on CamelCamelCamel, Cook says it's OK to go ahead and press buy.</p>\n<p>This year's Prime Day is also unique from prior ones given the global microchip shortage, which is disrupting the manufacturing supply chains for cars as well as gaming equipment and computers.</p>\n<p>Hence consumers shouldn't expect to see any markdowns on highly sought-after PS5s (6758.TO), Nintendo Switches or higher-end computers, retail experts told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>Here are 4 other items to think twice before buying on Amazon Prime Day:</p>\n<p><b>Furniture and clothing</b></p>\n<p>Consumers may want to postpone home goods purchases until July Fourth sales events kickoff, said Kristin McGrath, editor and shopping expert at BlackFriday.com</p>\n<p>That's because \"so many mattress stores run sales and furniture stores run July Fourth blowouts,\" she said. But it's still worth checking to see if there are any good deals bearing in mind that discounts may only apply to a \"certain-size bed frame\" or a couch in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> particular color but not the others.</p>\n<p>The same applies to clothing.</p>\n<p>\"We've seen past Prime Day deals where a shirt is discounted but it's only discounted in a certain color and it's sold out of most sizes,\" McGrath told MarketWatch.</p>\n<p>In general, the best time to get discounted clothing is when seasons change, she added.</p>\n<p>Typically, \"retailers across the board offer free shipping, promo codes for up to 40% off everything\" when the seasons change.</p>\n<p><b>TVs and gaming systems</b></p>\n<p>On Prime Day, consumers shouldn't expect to see TVs \"discounted across the board,\" McGrath said. \"Amazon is going to be plugging its Fire TVs, but there's certainly not going to be the absolute best prices on the absolute best models,\" she added.</p>\n<p>Right before the holidays is a better time to get a good deal on a TV because \"they're very giftable items,\" so retailers tend to offer discounts across a wider range of models.</p>\n<p>But if you do come across a good deal on a TV you make sure you know which year's model you're getting.</p>\n<p>Oftentimes \"consumers unknowingly buy outdated products thinking they're getting a discount when there is actually a newer model available,\" King told MarketWatch. \"In the same vein, you'll also want to read reviews on TV models.\"</p>\n<p>During the holiday season, Amazon and other retailers are more likely to offer bundling. For instance, you may be able to find a bundle that includes video games, gaming accessories and a bonus gift card, McGrath said.</p>\n<p><b>Prime Day vs. Walmart and Target</b></p>\n<p>It's nearly impossible to know in advance if shoppers could save more money through Walmart's Deals for Days <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMT\">$(WMT)$</a> promotional event, Target's Deal Days<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">$(TGT)$</a> or Best Buy's <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBY\">$(BBY)$</a> Bigger Deals.</p>\n<p>(Target declined to comment, and Best Buy did not respond to a request for comment.)</p>\n<p>But this isn't the first time these companies have competed head-to-head with Prime Day.</p>\n<p>In the past, Walmart's competing promotional event (June 20 to June 23) has been \"disappointing,\" Cook told MarketWatch, \"There usually isn't that much that's actually on sale,\" she added, \"but I could be wrong maybe they'll switch it up this year.\"</p>\n<p>Walmart told MarketWatch that Hisense's 40\" Class FHD Roku Smart LED TV was listed for $239.99 on Amazon, as of Tuesday evening.</p>\n<p>Target's Deal Days event (June 20 to June 22) tends to be \"pretty good,\" Cook said, but oftentimes Amazon will match Target's deals \"within a couple of hours.\" The same applies to Best Buy's event (June 15 to June 22).</p>\n<p>But the same cannot apply to Target-exclusive brands of clothing and home goods, so there's a good chance the company will offer its best discounts in that area, she said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","AMZN":"亚马逊","03086":"华夏纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2145822032","content_text":"Amazon's annual Prime Day kicks off on June 21 and ends on June 22.\n\nAmazon's $(AMZN)$ annual Prime Day is just around the corner -- but before you click \"buy now\" you may want to reconsider whether or not you're getting a good deal.\nPrime Day (June 21-June 22) is a sales event opened exclusively to Amazon Prime Members. (It costs $12.99 per month or $119 per year to sign up.)\nAmazon Prime is currently advertising 20% off select books, 4 months free of Wondery+ premium podcasts, and 20% off beauty, and other home products. It also promises discounts of up to 50% on Amazon devices.\nThere's a chance Amazon will run a separate additional Prime Day later this year in October, said Pete King who runs a YouTube $(GOOGL)$(GOOGL) channel for Slickdeals, a site where users post deals they come across.\nBut Amazon spokesperson Victoria O'Dierno declined to comment, labeling talk of a second separate Prime Day \"speculation.\"\nJust because Amazon publishes a \"Lightning Deals\" page with items that appear to be steals doesn't mean they are a steal by any means, said Kristin Cook, managing editor for BensBargains.com .\nOne way to find out whether or not you're getting a good deal is to copy and paste the item's URL on CamelCamelCamel.com , a site that tracks prices for items listed on Amazon.\nThere, you can also set up email alerts that will alert you if/when a product drops to the price you enter.\nBut if the item you're interested in buying on Prime Day is already below the average price listed on CamelCamelCamel, Cook says it's OK to go ahead and press buy.\nThis year's Prime Day is also unique from prior ones given the global microchip shortage, which is disrupting the manufacturing supply chains for cars as well as gaming equipment and computers.\nHence consumers shouldn't expect to see any markdowns on highly sought-after PS5s (6758.TO), Nintendo Switches or higher-end computers, retail experts told MarketWatch.\nHere are 4 other items to think twice before buying on Amazon Prime Day:\nFurniture and clothing\nConsumers may want to postpone home goods purchases until July Fourth sales events kickoff, said Kristin McGrath, editor and shopping expert at BlackFriday.com\nThat's because \"so many mattress stores run sales and furniture stores run July Fourth blowouts,\" she said. But it's still worth checking to see if there are any good deals bearing in mind that discounts may only apply to a \"certain-size bed frame\" or a couch in one particular color but not the others.\nThe same applies to clothing.\n\"We've seen past Prime Day deals where a shirt is discounted but it's only discounted in a certain color and it's sold out of most sizes,\" McGrath told MarketWatch.\nIn general, the best time to get discounted clothing is when seasons change, she added.\nTypically, \"retailers across the board offer free shipping, promo codes for up to 40% off everything\" when the seasons change.\nTVs and gaming systems\nOn Prime Day, consumers shouldn't expect to see TVs \"discounted across the board,\" McGrath said. \"Amazon is going to be plugging its Fire TVs, but there's certainly not going to be the absolute best prices on the absolute best models,\" she added.\nRight before the holidays is a better time to get a good deal on a TV because \"they're very giftable items,\" so retailers tend to offer discounts across a wider range of models.\nBut if you do come across a good deal on a TV you make sure you know which year's model you're getting.\nOftentimes \"consumers unknowingly buy outdated products thinking they're getting a discount when there is actually a newer model available,\" King told MarketWatch. \"In the same vein, you'll also want to read reviews on TV models.\"\nDuring the holiday season, Amazon and other retailers are more likely to offer bundling. For instance, you may be able to find a bundle that includes video games, gaming accessories and a bonus gift card, McGrath said.\nPrime Day vs. Walmart and Target\nIt's nearly impossible to know in advance if shoppers could save more money through Walmart's Deals for Days $(WMT)$ promotional event, Target's Deal Days$(TGT)$ or Best Buy's $(BBY)$ Bigger Deals.\n(Target declined to comment, and Best Buy did not respond to a request for comment.)\nBut this isn't the first time these companies have competed head-to-head with Prime Day.\nIn the past, Walmart's competing promotional event (June 20 to June 23) has been \"disappointing,\" Cook told MarketWatch, \"There usually isn't that much that's actually on sale,\" she added, \"but I could be wrong maybe they'll switch it up this year.\"\nWalmart told MarketWatch that Hisense's 40\" Class FHD Roku Smart LED TV was listed for $239.99 on Amazon, as of Tuesday evening.\nTarget's Deal Days event (June 20 to June 22) tends to be \"pretty good,\" Cook said, but oftentimes Amazon will match Target's deals \"within a couple of hours.\" The same applies to Best Buy's event (June 15 to June 22).\nBut the same cannot apply to Target-exclusive brands of clothing and home goods, so there's a good chance the company will offer its best discounts in that area, she said.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167596162,"gmtCreate":1624275413356,"gmtModify":1703832157161,"author":{"id":"3586411158154498","authorId":"3586411158154498","name":"xLyra","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa831843e6e2d0a740fcd64dc61a1ae6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586411158154498","authorIdStr":"3586411158154498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"??","listText":"??","text":"??","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/167596162","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154249454","pubTimestamp":1624230573,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1154249454?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-21 07:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154249454","media":"barrons","summary":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will r","content":"<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from&nbsp;Johnson &amp;&nbsp;Johnson,&nbsp;GlaxoSmithKline,and&nbsp;Equinix.</p>\n<p>Economic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.</p>\n<p>And on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.</p>\n<p>Monday 6/21</p>\n<p><b>The Federal Reserve Bank</b>of Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.</p>\n<p>Tuesday 6/22</p>\n<p><b>The National Association</b>of Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.</p>\n<p>Wednesday 6/23</p>\n<p>Equinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.</p>\n<p>GlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.</p>\n<p>Johnson &amp; Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>reports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.</p>\n<p><b>IHS Markitreports</b>both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.</p>\n<p>Thursday 6/24</p>\n<p><b>The Bureau of Economic Analysis</b>reports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.</p>\n<p>Accenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p>\n<p><b>The Bank of England</b>announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.</p>\n<p><b>The Census Bureau</b>releases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.</p>\n<p>Friday 6/25</p>\n<p>CarMax and Paychex report earnings.</p>\n<p><b>The BEA reports</b>personal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.</p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, FedEx, Johnson & Johnson, Darden, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-21 07:09 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3><strong>barrons</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NKE":"耐克","FDX":"联邦快递","JNJ":"强生","DRI":"达登饭店"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-fedex-johnson-johnson-darden-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51624215603?mod=hp_LEAD_3","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154249454","content_text":"A handful of notable companies will release their latest results toward the end of this week.Nike,FedEx,andDarden Restaurantswill report on Thursday, followed by CarMax and Paychex on Friday. Wednesday will also feature analyst days and investor events from Johnson & Johnson, GlaxoSmithKline,and Equinix.\nEconomic data out this week include IHS’ Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for June on Wednesday. Both are expected to hold near their record highs. The Census Bureau will release the durable-goods report for May on Thursday. Orders—often seen as a decent proxy for business investment—are expected to rise 3.3% month over month.\nAnd on Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will report personal income and consumption for May. Spending is forecast to continue rising despite a drop off in income as stimulus checks finished being sent out in April.\nMonday 6/21\nThe Federal Reserve Bankof Chicago releases its National Activity index, a gauge of overall economic activity, for May. Expectations are for a 0.50 reading, higher than April’s 0.24 figure. A positive reading indicates economic growth that is above historical trends.\nTuesday 6/22\nThe National Associationof Realtors reports existing-home sales for May. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.7 million homes sold, about 150,000 fewer than the April data. Existing-home sales have fallen for three consecutive months, as supply hasn’t been able to keep up with demand.\nWednesday 6/23\nEquinix hosts its 2021 analyst day, when the company will update its long-term financial outlook.\nGlaxoSmithKline hosts a conference call, featuring its CEO, Emma Walmsley, to update investors on the company’s strategy for growth and shareholder value creation.\nJohnson & Johnson hosts a webcast to discuss its ESG strategy.\nThe Census Bureaureports new residential construction data for May. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 875,000 new single-family homes sold, slightly higher than April’s 863,000. Similar to existing-home sales, new-home sales have fallen from their recent peak of 993,000 in January of this year.\nIHS Markitreportsboth its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ indexes for June. Expectations are for a 61.5 reading for the Manufacturing PMI, and a 69.8 figure for the Services PMI. Both projections are comparable to the May data as well as being near record highs for their respective indexes.\nThursday 6/24\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysisreports the third and final estimate of first-quarter gross-domestic-product growth. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual growth rate of 6.4%.\nAccenture,Darden Restaurants, FedEx, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bank of Englandannounces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is widely expected to keep its key interest rate at 0.1%.\nThe Census Bureaureleases the durable-goods report for May. The consensus call is for new orders of manufactured goods to rise 2.8% month over month to $253 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are projected at 1%, matching the April data.\nFriday 6/25\nCarMax and Paychex report earnings.\nThe BEA reportspersonal income and consumption for May. Income is expected to fall 3% month over month, after plummeting 13.1% in April. This reflects a dropoff in stimulus checks that first were sent out in March. Spending is seen rising 0.5%, comparable to the April data.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":44,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164893079,"gmtCreate":1624188329391,"gmtModify":1703830354217,"author":{"id":"3586411158154498","authorId":"3586411158154498","name":"xLyra","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa831843e6e2d0a740fcd64dc61a1ae6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586411158154498","authorIdStr":"3586411158154498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/164893079","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133385197","pubTimestamp":1624151969,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1133385197?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-20 09:19","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Answering the great inflation question of our time","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133385197","media":"finance.yahoo","summary":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up","content":"<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.</p>\n<p>Unfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”</p>\n<p>The current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?</p>\n<p>Before I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.</p>\n<p>As an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.</p>\n<p>Until now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87f75dfcb98fb5a0e7c3f9d3f8d336e2\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"412\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>Used car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.</p>\n<p>To be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)</p>\n<p>But that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&amp;P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.</p>\n<p>Given this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.</p>\n<p>Now I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.</p>\n<p>As for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.</p>\n<p>Which brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.</p>\n<p>“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”</p>\n<p>“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.</p>\n<p>COVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.</p>\n<p>A prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.</p>\n<p>Another secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.</p>\n<p><b>Anti-inflation forces</b></p>\n<p>But here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?</p>\n<p>I say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”</p>\n<p>To buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.</p>\n<p>To me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.</p>\n<p>Not only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.</p>\n<p>So technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.</p>\n<p>There is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.</p>\n<p>After World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)</p>\n<p>Like its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.</p>\n<p>The internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.</p>\n<p>So technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.</p>\n<p>COVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.</p>\n<p>How significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.</p>\n<p>More downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”</p>\n<p>And so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”</p>\n<p>I don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)</p>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Answering the great inflation question of our time</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAnswering the great inflation question of our time\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-20 09:19 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html><strong>finance.yahoo</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/answering-the-great-inflation-question-of-our-time-114153460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133385197","content_text":"Prices of everything; a house in Phoenix, a Ford F-150, a plane ticket to New York, have all gone up. That much is true.\nUnfortunately pretty much everything else about inflation—a red hot topic these days—is conjecture. And that’s vexing, not just for the dismal scientists (aka economists), but for all of us, because whether or not prices are really rising, by how much and for how long, has massive implications in our lives. Or as Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, says: “Inflation is one of the mysteries of economic study and thought. A difficult thing to gauge and forecast and get right. That’s why the risks are high.”\nThe current debate over inflation really revolves around two questions: First, is this current spate of inflation, just that, a spate—or to use Wall Street’s buzzword of the moment, “transitory,”—or not? (Just to give you an idea of how buzzy, when I Google the word “transitory” the search engine suggests “inflation” after it.) And second, transitory (aka temporary) inflation or not, what does it suggest for the economy and markets?\nBefore I get into that, let me lay out what’s going on with prices right now. First, know that inflation,which peaked in 1980 at an annualized rate of 13.55%,has been tame for quite some time, specifically 4% or less for nearly 30 years. Which means that anyone 40 years old or younger has no experience with inflation other than maybe from an Econ 101 textbook. Obviously that could be a problem.\nAs an aside I remember President Ford in 1974 trying to jawbone inflation down with his \"Whip Inflation Now\" campaign, which featured“Win” buttons,earringsand evenugly sweaters.None of this worked and it took draconian measures by Fed Chair Paul Volcker (raising rates and targeting money supply,as described by Former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, William Poole)to eventually tame inflation and keep it under wraps for all those years.\nUntil now perhaps. Last week theLabor Department reported that consumer prices (the CPI, or consumer price index) rose 5% in May,the fastest annual rate in nearly 13 years—which was when the economy was overheating from the housing boom which subsequently went bust and sent the economy off a cliff and into the Great Recession. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was up 3.8%, the biggest increase since May 1992. (For the record, the likelihood of the economy tanking right now is de minimis.)\n\nUsed car and truck prices are a major driver of inflation, climbing 7.3% last month and 29.7% over the past year. New car prices are up too, which have pushed upshares of Ford and GM a remarkable 40% plus this year.Clearly Americans want to buy vehicles to go on vacation and get back to work. And Yahoo Finance’sJanna Herron reportsthat rents are rising at their fastest pace in 15 years.\nTo be sure, not all prices are climbing.As Yahoo Finance’s Rick Newman points out,prices are not up much at all for health care, education and are basically flat for technology, including computers, smartphones and internet service (an important point which we’ll get back to.)\nBut that’s the counterpoint really. Americans are obsessed with cars, housing is critical and many of us are experiencing sticker shock booking travel this summer. Higher prices are front and center. Wall Street too is in a tizzy about inflation, and concerns about it and more importantly Federal Reserve policy in response to inflation (see below), sent stocks lower with the S&P 500 down 1.91% this week, its worst week since February.\nGiven this backdrop, the tension (such as it is) was high when the Fed met this week to deliver its forecast and for Chair Jay Powell to answer questions from the media. Or at least so said hedge fund honcho Paul Tudor Jones,who characterized the proceedings on CNBCas “the most important meeting in [Chairman] Jay Powell’s career, certainly the most important Fed meeting of the past four or five years.” Jones was critical of the Fed, which he believes is now stimulating the economy unnecessarily by keeping interest rates low and by buying financial assets. Unnecessarily, Jones says, because the economy is already running hot and needs no support. The Fed (which is in the transitory camp when it comes to inflation) risks overheating the economy by creating runaway inflation, according to PTJ.\nNow I don’t see eye to eye with Jones on this, though I should point out, he's a billionaire from investing in financial markets, and let’s just say I’m not. I should also point out that Jones, 66, is in fact old enough to remember inflation, never mind that as a young man he called the 1987 stock market crash. So we should all ignore Jones at our peril.\nAs for what the Fed put forth this past Wednesday, well it wasn’t much, signaling an expectation ofraising interest rates twice by the end of 2023(yes, that is down the road.) And Powell, who’s become much more adept at not rippling the waters these days after some rougher forays earlier in his tenure, didn’t drop any bombshells in the presser.\nWhich brings us to the question of why the Federal Reserve isn’t so concerned about inflation and thinks it is mostly—here’s that word again—transitory. To answer that, we need to first address why prices are rising right now, which can be summed up in one very familiar abbreviation: COVID-19. When COVID hit last spring the economy collapsed, which crushed demand in sectors like leisure, travel and retail. Now the economy is roaring back to life and businesses can raise prices, certainly over 2020 levels.\n“We clearly should’ve expected it,” says William Spriggs, chief economist at the AFL-CIO and a professor of economics at Howard University. “You can’t shut down the economy and think you turn on the switch [without some inflation].”\n“We had a pandemic that forced an artificial shutdown of the economy in a way that even the collapse of the financial system and the housing market didn’t, and we had a snapback at a rate we’ve never seen before—not because of the fundamentals driving recovery but because of government,” says Joel Naroff, president and chief economist of Naroff Economics.\nCOVID had other secondary effects on the economy though, besides just ultimately producing a snapback. For one thing, the pandemic throttled supply chains, specifically the shipping of parts and components from one part of the globe to another. It also confused managers about how much to produce and therefore how many parts to order.\nA prime example here is what happened to the chip (semiconductor) and auto industrieswhich I wrote about last month.Car makers thought no one would buy vehicles during the pandemic and pared back their orders with chipmakers, (which were having a tough time shipping their chips anyway.) Turned out the car guys were wrong, millions of people wanted cars and trucks, but the automakers didn’t have enough chips for their cars and had to curb production. Fewer vehicles and strong demand led to higher new car prices, which cascaded to used car prices then to car rental rates. Net net, all the friction and slowness of getting things delivered now adds to costs which causes companies to raise prices.\nAnother secondary effect of COVID which has been inflationary comes from employment,which I got into a bit last week.We all know millions were thrown out of work by COVID last year, many of whom were backstopped by government payments that could add up to $600 a week (state and federal.) These folks have been none too keen on coming back to work for minimum wage, or $290 a week. So to lure them back employers are having to pay more, which puts more money in people's pockets which allows stores for example to raise prices.\nAnti-inflation forces\nBut here’s the big-time question: If COVID was temporary, and therefore its effects are temporary and inflation is one of its effects then doesn’t it follow, ipso facto, that inflation is (OK I’ll say it again), transitory?\nI say yes, (with a bit of a caveat.) And most economists, like Claudia Sahm, a senior fellow at the Jain Family Institute and a former Federal Reserve economist, agree. “‘Transitory’ has become a buzzword,” she says. “It is important to be more concrete about what we mean by that. We’re probably going to see in the next few months inflation numbers that are bigger than average, but as long as they keep stepping down, that’s the sign of it being transitory. If we didn’t see any sign of inflation stepping down some, it would’ve started feeling like ‘Houston, we have a problem.’”\nTo buttress my argument beyond that above \"if-then\" syllogism, let’s take a look at why inflation has been so low for the past three decades.\nTo me this is mostly obvious. Prices have been tamped down by the greatest anti-inflation force of our lifetime, that being technology, specifically the explosion of consumer technology. Think about it. The first wave of technology, a good example would be IBM mainframes, saved big companies money in back-office functions, savings which they mostly kept for themselves (higher profits) and their shareholders. But the four great landmark events in the advent of consumer technology; the introduction ofthe PC in 1974 (MITS Altair),the Netscape IPO of 1995,Google search in 1998,and the launch of theiPhone in 2007(I remember Steve Jobs demoing it to me like it was yesterday), greatly accelerated, broadened and deepened this deflationary trend.\nNot only has technology been pushing down the cost of everything from drilling for oil, to manufacturing clothes to farming, and allowing for the creation of groundbreaking (and deflationary) competitors like Uber, Airbnb and Netflix, but it also let consumers find—on their phones—the most affordable trip to Hawaii, the least expensive haircut or the best deal on Nikes.\nSo technology has reduced the cost of almost everything and will continue to do so the rest of our lifetime. Bottom line: Unless something terrible happens, the power of technology will outweigh and outlive COVID.\nThere is one mitigating factor and that is globalism, which is connected to both technology and COVID. Let me briefly explain.\nAfter World War II, most of humanity has become more and more connected in terms of trade, communication, travel, etc. (See supply chain above.) Technology of course was a major enabler here; better ships, planes and faster internet, all of which as it grew more potent, accelerated globalism. Another element was the introduction of political constructs like the World Trade Organization and NAFTA. (I think of the Clinton administration andChina joining the WTO in 2001as perhaps the high-water marks of globalization.)\nLike its technological cousin, globalism has deflationary effects particularly on the labor front as companies could more and more easily find lowest cost countries to produce goods and source materials. And like technology, globalization seemed inexorable, which it was, until it wasn’t. Political winds, manifested by the likes of Brexit and leaders like Putin, Xi Jinping, Erdogan, Bolsonaro, Duterte and of course Donald Trump have caused globalism to wane and anti-globalism and nationalism to wax.\nThe internet too, once seen as only a great connector, has also become a global divider, as the world increasingly fractures into Chinese, U.S. and European walled digital zones when it comes to social media and search for example. Security risks, privacy, spying and hacking of course divide us further here too.\nSo technology, which had made globalism stronger and stronger, now also makes it weaker and weaker.\nCOVID plays a role in rethinking globalism as it exposes vulnerabilities in the supply chain. Companies that were rethinking their manufacturing in China but considering another country, are now wondering if it just makes sense to repatriate the whole shebang. Supply chains that were optimized for cost only are being rethought with security and reliability being factored in and that costs money.\nHow significant is this decline in globalization and how permanent is it? Good questions. But my point here is whether or not \"globalism disrupted\" is transitory (!) or not, it could push prices up, (in the short and intermediate run at least), as cost is sacrificed for predictability. Longer term I say Americans are a resourceful people. We’ll figure out how to make cost effective stuff in the U.S. It’s also likely that globalism will trend upward again, though perhaps not as unfettered as it once was.\nMore downward pressure on pricing could come from shifts in employment practices. Mark Zandi points out that “the work-from-anywhere dynamic could depress wage growth and prices. If I don’t need to work in New York anymore and could live in Tampa, it stands to reason my wage could get cut or I won’t get the same wage increase in the future.”\nAnd so what is Zandi’s take on transitory? “What we’re observing now is prices going back to pre-pandemic,” he says. “The price spikes we’re experiencing now will continue for the next few months through summer but certainly by the end of year, this time next year, they will have disappeared. I do think underlying inflation will be higher post-pandemic than pre-pandemic, but that’s a feature not a bug.”\nI don’t disagree. To me it’s simple: The technology wave I’ve described above is bigger than COVID and bigger than the rise and fall of globalism. And that is why, ladies and gentlemen, I believe inflation will be transitory, certainly in the long run. (Though I’m well aware of whatJohn Maynard Keynes said about the long run.)","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":98,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":166171243,"gmtCreate":1623999245282,"gmtModify":1703826164751,"author":{"id":"3586411158154498","authorId":"3586411158154498","name":"xLyra","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa831843e6e2d0a740fcd64dc61a1ae6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586411158154498","authorIdStr":"3586411158154498"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cool","listText":"Cool","text":"Cool","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/166171243","repostId":"1167089681","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167089681","pubTimestamp":1623996062,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1167089681?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 14:01","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Trade Desk Stock Split: Time to Buy?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167089681","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The stock is still down about 36% from recent highs.","content":"<p>Shares of data-driven advertising company&nbsp;<b>The Trade Desk</b>&nbsp;(NASDAQ:TTD)&nbsp;jumped sharply on Thursday, following their 10-for-1 split. Today marks the first day that the company's stock is trading on a split basis.</p>\n<p>Stock splits in and of themselves don't do anything to make shares better investments. But The Trade Desk's split -- following massive shareholder value creation since its initial public offering in 2016 -- does highlight management's consistent ability to grow revenue and earnings, something likely to persist in the coming years.</p>\n<p>This 10-for-1 split, therefore, is a good reminder of what an incredible business The Trade Desk is.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/50e503a653795bb7465c0aa43050307a\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p>\n<p><b>Business momentum</b></p>\n<p>The&nbsp;tech stock's split follows a period of incredible growth for The Trade Desk, and management says the move reflects its confidence in the company's prospects.</p>\n<p>\"The Trade Desk has consistently delivered strong top line growth and&nbsp;GAAP&nbsp;profitability as a publicly traded company,\" CEO Jeff Green said in a press release about the stock split. \"In that time, we have emerged as the default demand side advertising platform for the open internet, and we continue to invest to build on that leadership position.\"</p>\n<p>Over the past four years, The Trade Desk's revenue has risen more than fourfold and its net income has increased 12-fold.</p>\n<p>Even in 2020 -- when digital advertising took a temporary hit as uncertainties surrounding COVID-19 led some ad buyers to reduce spend or even pause their campaigns -- The Trade Desk saw its revenue increase 26% year over year. And as the year ended, its momentum picked up sharply. \"Those brands spending more than $1 million on our platform in 2020 more than doubled from a year ago,\" The Trade Desk said in its&nbsp;fourth-quarter 2020 earnings call.</p>\n<p>Adjusting for U.S. political ad spend, The Trade Desk's top-line revenue growth accelerated further in the first quarter of 2021 compared to its impressive momentum at the end of last year.</p>\n<p>\"Excluding political spend related to the U.S. elections last year, which represented a mid-single-digit percent share of our business in Q1 of 2020, revenue increased around 42% year over year in Q1 of this year,\" CFO Blake Grayson said in the company's first-quarter earnings release. \"This represents a material acceleration on a sequential basis from Q4 of 2020 after excluding election spend.\"</p>\n<p>Furthermore, Grayson said the company saw broad-based strong growth across every region and channel during the quarter. In fact, ad spend on its platform accelerated in every one of its major geographic regions, management said.</p>\n<p><b>A buying opportunity</b></p>\n<p>Though The Trade Desk's stock split might be drawing attention to the stock on Thursday, the company's fundamentals and recent sell-off are what make it seem like an attractive long-term investment.</p>\n<p>Even though shares are up sharply today, they are still notably far below a split-adjusted all-time high of $97.28. Shares were slammed earlier this year along with many other growth stocks -- and The Trade Desk has been slow to recover, still trading 36% below a 52-week high.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Trade Desk Stock Split: Time to Buy?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Trade Desk Stock Split: Time to Buy?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-18 14:01 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/the-trade-desk-stock-jumps-following-stock-split/><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Shares of data-driven advertising company The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) jumped sharply on Thursday, following their 10-for-1 split. Today marks the first day that the company's stock is trading on a ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/the-trade-desk-stock-jumps-following-stock-split/\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TTD":"Trade Desk Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/17/the-trade-desk-stock-jumps-following-stock-split/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167089681","content_text":"Shares of data-driven advertising company The Trade Desk (NASDAQ:TTD) jumped sharply on Thursday, following their 10-for-1 split. Today marks the first day that the company's stock is trading on a split basis.\nStock splits in and of themselves don't do anything to make shares better investments. But The Trade Desk's split -- following massive shareholder value creation since its initial public offering in 2016 -- does highlight management's consistent ability to grow revenue and earnings, something likely to persist in the coming years.\nThis 10-for-1 split, therefore, is a good reminder of what an incredible business The Trade Desk is.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nBusiness momentum\nThe tech stock's split follows a period of incredible growth for The Trade Desk, and management says the move reflects its confidence in the company's prospects.\n\"The Trade Desk has consistently delivered strong top line growth and GAAP profitability as a publicly traded company,\" CEO Jeff Green said in a press release about the stock split. \"In that time, we have emerged as the default demand side advertising platform for the open internet, and we continue to invest to build on that leadership position.\"\nOver the past four years, The Trade Desk's revenue has risen more than fourfold and its net income has increased 12-fold.\nEven in 2020 -- when digital advertising took a temporary hit as uncertainties surrounding COVID-19 led some ad buyers to reduce spend or even pause their campaigns -- The Trade Desk saw its revenue increase 26% year over year. And as the year ended, its momentum picked up sharply. \"Those brands spending more than $1 million on our platform in 2020 more than doubled from a year ago,\" The Trade Desk said in its fourth-quarter 2020 earnings call.\nAdjusting for U.S. political ad spend, The Trade Desk's top-line revenue growth accelerated further in the first quarter of 2021 compared to its impressive momentum at the end of last year.\n\"Excluding political spend related to the U.S. elections last year, which represented a mid-single-digit percent share of our business in Q1 of 2020, revenue increased around 42% year over year in Q1 of this year,\" CFO Blake Grayson said in the company's first-quarter earnings release. \"This represents a material acceleration on a sequential basis from Q4 of 2020 after excluding election spend.\"\nFurthermore, Grayson said the company saw broad-based strong growth across every region and channel during the quarter. In fact, ad spend on its platform accelerated in every one of its major geographic regions, management said.\nA buying opportunity\nThough The Trade Desk's stock split might be drawing attention to the stock on Thursday, the company's fundamentals and recent sell-off are what make it seem like an attractive long-term investment.\nEven though shares are up sharply today, they are still notably far below a split-adjusted all-time high of $97.28. Shares were slammed earlier this year along with many other growth stocks -- and The Trade Desk has been slow to recover, still trading 36% below a 52-week high.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":113,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"followers","isTTM":true}